FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Cal Poly def. Utah Valley 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Cal Poly 96.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cal Poly won at Utah Valley 3-0 (25-14, 25-16, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
CALPLY2525253
UT VAL1416190

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Utah Valley never reached 20 in a set against Cal Poly.

Win probability never moved more than 0.6 points on one rally; Utah Valley topped out at 4% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Cal Poly 97% before first serve.

Cal PolyUtah Valley
  • Break %+27.6 pts
    45.217.6

    33 of 73 on serve vs 9 of 51, so Utah Valley's sideout was 54.8%.

  • Hitting+.300
    .459.159

    41 kills, 7 errors vs 28 kills, 15 errors.

  • Longest run+3
    74

    7 straight Cal Poly points in the second set turned a 0–1 deficit into a 7–1 lead. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Utah Valley above 50Cal Poly belowMax swing 0.6%

Cal PolyUtah Valley

Aces
Cal Poly 7·Utah Valley 3
Serve err
Cal Poly 10·Utah Valley 11
Blocks
Cal Poly 5·Utah Valley 00 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 0 BA
Digs
Cal Poly 36·Utah Valley 22

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Utah Valley above 50 · Cal Poly below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 124 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Cal Poly stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALPLY 95.3%4.7% UT VAL

Cal Poly wins

3-0
56.4%
3-1
29.4%
3-2
9.5%

Utah Valley wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.3%
3-2
2.8%
CALPLY break %
47.3% vs this opp
UT VAL break %
34.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38223.2610355000011
38011.72700020031.59.5
38011.727000100219
35313.15410261010.55.5
34041.000321190010.55.5
3000–111500001
38212.50010000031.59.5
3000–011100001
3000–010000001
3000–200710000
Team totals41774.45937710363010575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38523.130104730008
36216.250000200006
3519.444000000005
33211.091003100003
3106.1672401200001
1125-.200000010001
3000–131700003
3000–101000000
24312.083000210004
2000–000000000
2000–001100000
Team totals281582.1592731122700049

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cal Poly vs Utah Valley

Season series · Cal Poly leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 CALPLY · UT VAL 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 CALPLYUT VAL 1

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 7 CALPLYUT VAL 2

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 CALPLYUT VAL 4

Bars above the line = Utah Valley leads, below = Cal Poly leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal Poly

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
42%5/12
2
90%9/10
57%12/21
3
86%6/7
40%4/10
4
100%6/6
54%7/13
5
100%6/6
25%2/8
6
86%6/7
33%3/9
All
82%42/51
45%33/73

Utah Valley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
38%5/13
2
37%7/19
18%2/11
3
55%6/11
0%0/7
4
60%6/10
14%1/7
5
67%6/9
0%0/6
6
60%6/10
14%1/7
All
55%40/73
18%9/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#CALPLY-UT VALSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1UT VALUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris
21-1UT VALCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
32-1CALPLYCALPLYAttack errChloe Hansen
42-2CALPLYUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Lani Toutai
53-2UT VALCALPLYServe errUtah Valley
64-2CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Poly
74-3CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
85-3UT VALCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
96-3CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Chloe Hansen
106-4CALPLYUT VALKillChloe Hansenset Evalyn Medaris
117-4UT VALCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury
128-4CALPLYCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
138-5CALPLYUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris
149-5UT VALCALPLYServe errUtah Valley
159-6CALPLYUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris
1610-6UT VALCALPLY×4KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
1711-6CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errMiley Thunstrom
1812-6CALPLYCALPLY×4AceCal Polyaced Miley Thunstrom
1913-6CALPLYCALPLY×4KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
2013-7CALPLYUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris
2114-7UT VALCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
2215-7CALPLYCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
2315-8CALPLYUT VALAttack errKayla Murdoch
2416-8UT VALCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
2516-9CALPLYUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris
2617-9UT VALCALPLYServe errUtah Valley
2718-9CALPLYCALPLYAttack errChloe Hansen
2818-10CALPLYUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris
2919-10UT VALCALPLYServe errUtah Valley
3019-11CALPLYUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris
3120-11UT VALCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
3220-12CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
3321-12UT VALCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
3422-12CALPLYCALPLYAttack errMiley Thunstrom
3522-13CALPLYUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris
3623-13UT VALCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
3723-14CALPLYUT VALKillEvalyn Medarisset Kenna McClure
3824-14UT VALCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury
3925-14CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Miley Thunstrom
Set 2
10-1CALPLYUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris
21-1UT VALCALPLY×7KillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
32-1CALPLYCALPLY×7KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
43-1CALPLYCALPLY×7BlockedBree Carsonblk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch
54-1CALPLYCALPLY×7Bad setEvalyn Medaris
65-1CALPLYCALPLY×7Attack errOlivia Gloeckner
76-1CALPLYCALPLY×7AceCal Polyaced Miley Thunstrom
87-1CALPLYCALPLY×7KillKayla Murdochset Elif Hurriyet
97-2CALPLYUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris
108-2UT VALCALPLYServe errUtah Valley
118-3CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
128-4UT VALUT VALKillBree Carsonset Kayla Murdoch
139-4UT VALCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury
149-5CALPLYUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris
1510-5UT VALCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury
1610-6CALPLYUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris
1711-6UT VALCALPLYKillAlexis Hauryset Emma Fredrick
1811-7CALPLYUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris
1912-7UT VALCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
2012-8CALPLYUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris
2113-8UT VALCALPLY×3Serve errUtah Valley
2214-8CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errBrielle Rueckert
2315-8CALPLYCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kelly
2415-9CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
2516-9UT VALCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
2616-10CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
2717-10UT VALCALPLY×3Serve errUtah Valley
2818-10CALPLYCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Kayla Murdoch
2919-10CALPLYCALPLY×3BlockedAlyvia Watkinsblk Breklyn Pulling, Emma Fredrick
3019-11CALPLYUT VALKillBree Carsonset Miley Thunstrom
3120-11UT VALCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
3220-12CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
3321-12UT VALCALPLYKillAlexis Hauryset Noelle Vanacht
3421-13CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
3522-13UT VALCALPLYKillAlexis Hauryset Elif Hurriyet
3623-13CALPLYCALPLYAttack errMiley Thunstrom
3723-14CALPLYUT VALAttack errEmma Fredrick
3823-15UT VALUT VALAttack errEmma Fredrick
3924-15UT VALCALPLYServe errUtah Valley
4024-16CALPLYUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris
4125-16UT VALCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury
Set 3
10-1UT VALUT VAL×4Attack errKendall Beshear
20-2UT VALUT VAL×4AceLani Toutaiaced Elif Hurriyet
30-3UT VALUT VAL×4AceLani Toutaiaced Emma Fredrick
40-4UT VALUT VAL×4AceLani Toutai
51-4UT VALCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
62-4CALPLYCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
73-4CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errBrielle Rueckert
83-5CALPLYUT VALKillBrielle Rueckertset Evalyn Medaris
93-6UT VALUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris
104-6UT VALCALPLY×3BlockedMiley Thunstromblk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch
115-6CALPLYCALPLY×3BlockedMiley Thunstromblk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch
126-6CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Poly
136-7CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
147-7UT VALCALPLY×3Serve errUtah Valley
158-7CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errOlivia Gloeckner
169-7CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury
179-8CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
1810-8UT VALCALPLYServe errUtah Valley
1910-9CALPLYUT VALKillOlivia Gloecknerset Evalyn Medaris
2011-9UT VALCALPLY×4KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
2112-9CALPLYCALPLY×4KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
2213-9CALPLYCALPLY×4KillAlexis Haury
2314-9CALPLYCALPLY×4BlockedBree Carsonblk Alexis Haury, Breklyn Pulling
2414-10CALPLYUT VALKillBree Carsonset Evalyn Medaris
2514-11UT VALUT VALBad setAlexis Haury
2615-11UT VALCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
2715-12CALPLYUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris
2816-12UT VALCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
2916-13CALPLYUT VALAttack errKendall Beshear
3017-13UT VALCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
3117-14CALPLYUT VALServe errCal Poly
3218-14UT VALCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
3319-14CALPLYCALPLYKillBreklyn Pulling
3419-15CALPLYUT VALKillBree Carsonset Evalyn Medaris
3520-15UT VALCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
3621-15CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Bree Carson
3721-16CALPLYUT VALKillAlyvia Watkinsset Evalyn Medaris
3822-16UT VALCALPLYAttack errBree Carson
3922-17CALPLYUT VALAttack errEmma Fredrick
4023-17UT VALCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
4123-18CALPLYUT VALKillMiley Thunstromset Evalyn Medaris
4224-18UT VALCALPLYServe errUtah Valley
4324-19CALPLYUT VALAttack errKayla Murdoch
4425-19UT VALCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury

Score shown after each rally, Cal Poly first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).