Utah Valley vs Cal Poly Volleyball Prediction

ScheduledFri, Nov 13, 2026ESPN+

–:–

Utah Valley (9-17) at Cal Poly (17-7), Fri, Nov 13, 2026, 7:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Cal Poly a 98% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Cal Poly won 3-0 on Oct 3.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT

Match prediction

UT VAL 2.1%97.9% CALPLY

Utah Valley wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.5%

3-2

1.4%

Cal Poly wins

3-0

66.3%

3-1

25.5%

3-2

6.1%

UT VAL break %: 33.1% vs this opp
CALPLY break %: 48.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.