FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Cal Poly def. UC Santa Barbara 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Cal Poly 91.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 8:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cal Poly beat visiting UC Santa Barbara 3-0 (25-16, 25-22, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Cal Poly's Kendall Beshear led with 14 kills, and Elif Hurriyet added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
UCSB1622230
CALPLY2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Kendall Beshear. Cal Poly swept UC Santa Barbara.

Win probability never moved more than 1.7 points on one rally; UC Santa Barbara topped out at 11% in Set 2. Cal Poly went in as RallyIQ's 91% pick.

UC Santa BarbaraCal Poly
  • Break %+11.8 pts
    35.547.3

    35 of 74 on serve vs 22 of 62, so UC Santa Barbara's sideout was 52.7%.

  • Hitting+.125
    .233.358

    45 K / 11 E against 42 K / 18 E.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    6 straight Cal Poly points in the third set erased a 7–13 deficit: 13–13. That set ended 25–23.

Cal Poly above 50UC Santa Barbara belowMax swing 1.7%

UC Santa BarbaraCal Poly

Aces
UC Santa Barbara 1·Cal Poly 4
Serve err
UC Santa Barbara 5·Cal Poly 7
Blocks
UC Santa Barbara 5·Cal Poly 71 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs
UC Santa Barbara 35·Cal Poly 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cal Poly above 50 · UC Santa Barbara below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.7% UCSBrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.7% to UC Santa Barbara — set 2, UCSB 17-15 CALPLY. Kill by Avery Gibbs (set by Cortni Youngblood). CALPLY win probability 93% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCSB 10.0%90.0% CALPLY

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
3.1%
3-2
5.6%

Cal Poly wins

3-0
44.3%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.0%
UCSB break %
35.2% vs this opp
CALPLY break %
44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Avery GibbsKill+1.7%

    Kill by Avery Gibbs (set by Cortni Youngblood)

    Set 2 · UCSB 17-15 CALPLY · UCSB 7% → 8%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kendall Beshear (set by Elif Hurriyet)

    Set 2 · UCSB 17-17 CALPLY · CALPLY 93% → 94%

  3. 03

    Ace by Emma Fredrick on Emma McDermott

    Set 2 · UCSB 17-18 CALPLY · CALPLY 94% → 95%

  4. 04

    Gabi Martinez stuffed by Kayla Murdoch & Breklyn Pulling

    Set 2 · UCSB 14-13 CALPLY · CALPLY 92% → 93%

  5. 05
    Breklyn PullingAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Breklyn Pulling

    Set 1 · UCSB 8-8 CALPLY · UCSB 8% → 9%

  6. 06
    Ella ScottAce+1.2%

    Ace by Ella Scott

    Set 2 · UCSB 14-14 CALPLY · CALPLY 93% → 94%

  7. 07
    Emma FredrickAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Emma Fredrick

    Set 2 · UCSB 12-7 CALPLY · UCSB 9% → 10%

  8. 08
    Kendall BeshearAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Kendall Beshear

    Set 2 · UCSB 21-22 CALPLY · UCSB 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310628.14300041010.510.5
37214.357000000007
3507.714000100216
3419.333002300215
3126-.167202201223
31011.0001001600001
311426.26900010010.511.5
3000–2010600001
3000–100000000
3000–5001200000
23312.000100010003
Team totals4218103.233391535418561
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314131.41911440010.515.5
313527.29612260010.515.5
39112.66700000031.510.5
35212.250000000427
34211.182000300426
3002.000380030010.50.5
3000–011200001
3000–2001200000
3000–000100000
3000–100500000
Team totals451195.3584347361014775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly

Season series · Cal Poly leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UCSB · CALPLY 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 UCSBCALPLY 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 UCSBCALPLY 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 UCSBCALPLY 6

Bars above the line = Cal Poly leads, below = UC Santa Barbara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Santa Barbara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
40%4/10
2
44%7/16
27%3/11
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
46%6/13
36%4/11
5
40%6/15
40%4/10
6
83%5/6
33%3/9
All
53%39/74
35%22/62

Cal Poly

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
30%3/10
2
73%8/11
56%10/18
3
58%7/12
30%3/10
4
60%6/10
63%10/16
5
67%6/9
45%5/11
6
71%5/7
44%4/9
All
65%40/62
47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#UCSB-CALPLYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.9
21-1CALPLYUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Ava Zamora+0.7
31-2UCSBCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kellyset Ava Zamora+0.6
41-3CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errBella Mathis+0.9
51-4CALPLYCALPLY×3AceKendall Beshear+0.7
62-4CALPLYUCSBServe errKendall Beshear+0.5
72-5UCSBCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.5
82-6CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.6
93-6CALPLYUCSBAttack errEmma Fredrick+0.4
104-6UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.7
114-7UCSBCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+0.5
124-8CALPLYCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.6
135-8CALPLYUCSB×4KillSandrea Thomasset Milan Rex+0.4
146-8UCSBUCSB×4KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Cortni Youngblood+0.8
157-8UCSBUCSB×4KillGabi Martinezset Cortni Youngblood+1.0
168-8UCSBUCSB×4Attack errBreklyn Pulling+1.3
178-9UCSBCALPLY×4KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+0.8
188-10CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errEmma McDermott+1.1
198-11CALPLYCALPLY×4AceEmma Fredrickaced Gabi Martinez+0.9
208-12CALPLYCALPLY×4BlockedEmma McDermottblk Breklyn Pulling, Alexis Haury+0.7
219-12CALPLYUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Cortni Youngblood+0.4
2210-12UCSBUCSBKillBella Mathisset Milan Rex+0.9
2310-13UCSBCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet+0.6
2411-13CALPLYUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.6
2511-14UCSBCALPLYServe errAva Zamora+0.6
2612-14CALPLYUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora+0.6
2712-15UCSBCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.7
2812-16CALPLYCALPLYBad setAva Zamora+0.8
2913-16CALPLYUCSBServe errKendall Beshear+0.4
3013-17UCSBCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.5
3114-17CALPLYUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Cortni Youngblood+0.4
3214-18UCSBCALPLY×5KillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.5
3314-19CALPLYCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Noelle Vanacht+0.5
3414-20CALPLYCALPLY×5KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.3
3514-21CALPLYCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.1
3614-22CALPLYCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.1
3715-22CALPLYUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex·
3815-23UCSBCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury·
3915-24CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Emma Fredrick·
4016-24CALPLYUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex·
4116-25UCSBCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury·
Set 2
11-0UCSBUCSBBlockedCharlotte Kellyblk Sandrea Thomas, Danica Rach+0.8
21-1UCSBCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.5
31-2CALPLYCALPLYAttack errDanica Rach+0.7
42-2CALPLYUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Milan Rex+0.5
53-2UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Danica Rach+0.8
63-3UCSBCALPLYServe errDanica Rach+0.5
74-3CALPLYUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.6
85-3UCSBUCSB×3KillGabi Martinez+1.0
96-3UCSBUCSB×3Attack errEmma Fredrick+1.1
106-4UCSBCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.6
117-4CALPLYUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.8
128-4UCSBUCSBBlockedKayla Murdochblk Bella Mathis, Gabi Martinez+1.1
138-5UCSBCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.6
149-5CALPLYUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Danica Rach+0.8
159-6UCSBCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.6
1610-6CALPLYUCSBServe errEmma Fredrick+0.8
1710-7UCSBCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.6
1811-7CALPLYUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Emma McDermott+0.9
1912-7UCSBUCSBAttack errEmma Fredrick+1.2
2012-8UCSBCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.6
2113-8CALPLYUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Milan Rex+0.9
2213-9UCSBCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.6
2313-10CALPLYCALPLYAttack errAuburn Tomkinson+1.1
2414-10CALPLYUCSBServe errKendall Beshear+1.0
2514-11UCSBCALPLY×4KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.7
2614-12CALPLYCALPLY×4BlockedGabi Martinezblk Breklyn Pulling, Kayla Murdoch+1.2
2714-13CALPLYCALPLY×4BlockedGabi Martinezblk Kayla Murdoch, Breklyn Pulling+1.3
2814-14CALPLYCALPLY×4AceElla Scott+1.2
2915-14CALPLYUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.9
3015-15UCSBCALPLYBad setDanica Rach+0.8
3116-15CALPLYUCSBKillBella Mathisset Ava Zamora+1.0
3217-15UCSBUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Cortni Youngblood+1.7
3317-16UCSBCALPLY×5Attack errEmma McDermott+0.9
3417-17CALPLYCALPLY×5KillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet+1.5
3517-18CALPLYCALPLY×5AceEmma Fredrickaced Emma McDermott+1.4
3617-19CALPLYCALPLY×5Bad setAva Zamora+1.2
3717-20CALPLYCALPLY×5Attack errGabi Martinez+0.9
3818-20CALPLYUCSBServe errEmma Fredrick+0.5
3919-20UCSBUCSBKillDanica Rachset Ava Zamora+1.1
4019-21UCSBCALPLYServe errBella Mathis+0.9
4119-22CALPLYCALPLYBlockedAvery Gibbsblk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly+1.0
4220-22CALPLYUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Ava Zamora+0.4
4321-22UCSBUCSBAttack errKendall Beshear+1.2
4421-23UCSBCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.1
4521-24CALPLYCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+1.0
4622-24CALPLYUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.2
4722-25UCSBCALPLYServe errDanica Rach+0.6
Set 3
11-0CALPLYUCSB×3KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.2
22-0UCSBUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.4
33-0UCSBUCSB×3AceMilan Rex+0.4
43-1UCSBCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.2
54-1CALPLYUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Milan Rex+0.3
65-1UCSBUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Milan Rex+0.5
75-2UCSBCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.3
86-2CALPLYUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.3
97-2UCSBUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Bianca Nistor+0.5
107-3UCSBCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.3
118-3CALPLYUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.4
128-4UCSBCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+0.3
138-5CALPLYCALPLYAttack errGabi Martinez+0.4
149-5CALPLYUCSBKillBella Mathisset Ava Zamora+0.4
1510-5UCSBUCSBBlockedBreklyn Pullingblk Danica Rach+0.5
1610-6UCSBCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.3
1711-6CALPLYUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Ava Zamora+0.4
1812-6UCSBUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Ava Zamora+0.5
1912-7UCSBCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.2
2013-7CALPLYUCSBBlockedKayla Murdochblk Danica Rach, Sandrea Thomas+0.4
2113-8UCSBCALPLY×6KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.2
2213-9CALPLYCALPLY×6Attack errAuburn Tomkinson+0.4
2313-10CALPLYCALPLY×6BlockedAuburn Tomkinsonblk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly+0.5
2413-11CALPLYCALPLY×6KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.5
2513-12CALPLYCALPLY×6BlockedDanica Rachblk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly+0.5
2613-13CALPLYCALPLY×6KillKayla Murdochset Kendall Beshear+0.5
2714-13CALPLYUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.4
2814-14UCSBCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.4
2915-14CALPLYUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.4
3015-15UCSBCALPLYKillEmma Fredrick+0.4
3115-16CALPLYCALPLYAttack errGabi Martinez+0.6
3216-16CALPLYUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.4
3316-17UCSBCALPLYAttack errGabi Martinez+0.4
3417-17CALPLYUCSBKillAvery Gibbsset Ava Zamora+0.4
3517-18UCSBCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+0.4
3618-18CALPLYUCSBKillBella Mathisset Ava Zamora+0.4
3718-19UCSBCALPLYServe errBella Mathis+0.4
3818-20CALPLYCALPLYAttack errAvery Gibbs+0.6
3919-20CALPLYUCSBKillAva Zamora+0.4
4019-21UCSBCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.4
4120-21CALPLYUCSBServe errKendall Beshear+0.4
4221-21UCSBUCSBAttack errEmma Fredrick+0.8
4321-22UCSBCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.6
4421-23CALPLYCALPLYBlockedAuburn Tomkinsonblk Breklyn Pulling, Emma Fredrick+0.8
4522-23CALPLYUCSBServe errElla Scott+0.4
4623-23UCSBUCSBBlockedEmma Fredrickblk Auburn Tomkinson, Bella Mathis+1.1
4723-24UCSBCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.9
4823-25CALPLYCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.1

Score shown after each rally, UC Santa Barbara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).