Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UC Santa Barbara def. Sacramento St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UC Santa Barbara 55.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 8:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC Santa Barbara won at Sacramento St. 3-1 (28-26, 10-25, 25-10, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. UC Santa Barbara's Gabi Martinez led with 15 kills, and Cortni Youngblood added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
UCSB281025253
SAC ST262510201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Gabi Martinez served 4 aces, and UC Santa Barbara needed every one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are UC Santa Barbara's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. UC Santa Barbara went in as RallyIQ's 56% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · UC Santa Barbara 22–24 Sacramento St.

    UC Santa Barbara scored 3 straight to turn a 22–24 deficit into a 25–24 lead. The match swung to UC Santa Barbara.

    UC Santa Barbara 40% → 63%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · UC Santa Barbara 25–25 Sacramento St.

    UC Santa Barbara closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 28–26 and lead 1–0.

    UC Santa Barbara 56% → 73%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · UC Santa Barbara 0–0 Sacramento St.

    UC Santa Barbara opened the set with 14 straight points for a 14–0 lead.

    UC Santa Barbara 54% → 77%

Sacramento St. above 50UC Santa Barbara belowMax swing 10.1%

UC Santa BarbaraSacramento St.

Sideout %
UC Santa Barbara 57.3·Sacramento St. 52.9
Break %
UC Santa Barbara 47.1·Sacramento St. 42.7
Hitting
UC Santa Barbara .337·Sacramento St. .268
Longest run
UC Santa Barbara 14·Sacramento St. 7

Gabi Martinez
15 kills on .357, 19.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Sacramento St. above 50 · UC Santa Barbara below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.1% UCSBrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.1% to UC Santa Barbara — set 1, UCSB 24-24 SAC ST. Kill by Sophia Wendlick (set by Ava Zamora). SAC ST win probability 57% → 47%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCSB 49.6%50.4% SAC ST

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0
12.3%
3-1
18.6%
3-2
18.7%

Sacramento St. wins

3-0
12.7%
3-1
18.9%
3-2
18.8%
UCSB break %
42.3% vs this opp
SAC ST break %
42.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sophia WendlickKill+10.1%

    Kill by Sophia Wendlick (set by Ava Zamora)

    Set 1 · UCSB 24-24 SAC ST · UCSB 43% → 53%

  2. 02
    UC Santa BarbaraAce+9.8%

    UC Santa Barbara ace

    Set 1 · UCSB 25-24 SAC ST · UCSB 53% → 63%

  3. 03

    Keonahi'ilani Solaita stuffed by Bella Mathis & Emma McDermott

    Set 1 · UCSB 28-26 SAC ST · UCSB 63% → 73%

  4. 04
    Auburn TomkinsonAttack error+7.7%

    Attack error by Auburn Tomkinson

    Set 1 · UCSB 22-24 SAC ST · SAC ST 52% → 60%

  5. 05

    Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Makenna Wiepert)

    Set 1 · UCSB 25-25 SAC ST · SAC ST 37% → 44%

  6. 06
    Ava ZamoraKill+7.3%

    Kill by Ava Zamora (set by Ava Zamora)

    Set 1 · UCSB 26-25 SAC ST · UCSB 56% → 63%

  7. 07

    Kill by Keonahi'ilani Solaita (set by Makenna Wiepert)

    Set 1 · UCSB 26-26 SAC ST · SAC ST 37% → 44%

  8. 08

    Kill by Emma McDermott (set by Ava Zamora)

    Set 1 · UCSB 27-26 SAC ST · UCSB 56% → 63%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415528.35724121010.519.5
411220.45000020010.511.5
4408.500000102237
4428.25010420010.54.5
4000–2331700003
4000–300540000
48418.222000010008
4419.33300010010.54.5
42021.0001520400004
4000–001100000
4000–2001730000
1022-1.000000000000
Team totals481695.337469742926588
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412226.3850333100015
412433.24200522111.513.5
49115.5330000002110
48115.4671021004210
45519.00000000010.55.5
4012-.5003431501225
4000–031400003
4000–3011340000
2000–000000000
1022-1.000000000211
1000–200000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4616112.26840913289212881

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC Santa Barbara vs Sacramento St.

Season series · UC Santa Barbara leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 14 UCSB · SAC ST 7

Set 1

28-26

Longest run 3 UCSBSAC ST 4

Set 2

10-25

Longest run 2 UCSBSAC ST 7

Set 3

25-10

Longest run 14 UCSBSAC ST 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 UCSBSAC ST 2

Bars above the line = Sacramento St. leads, below = UC Santa Barbara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Santa Barbara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%10/24
33%4/12
2
69%9/13
71%22/31
3
47%7/15
33%4/12
4
58%7/12
36%4/11
5
88%7/8
46%6/13
6
70%7/10
13%1/8
All
57%47/82
47%41/87

Sacramento St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
32%9/28
56%10/18
2
56%9/16
47%8/17
3
67%8/12
36%5/14
4
50%7/14
56%9/16
5
88%7/8
22%2/9
6
67%6/9
13%1/8
All
53%46/87
43%35/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#UCSB-SAC STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SAC STSAC ST×4KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+2.5
20-2SAC STSAC ST×4KillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Reese Ampi+2.5
30-3SAC STSAC ST×4KillSkyler Gartin+2.5
40-4SAC STSAC ST×4AceSacramento St.aced Kate Martin+2.3
51-4SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+1.6
61-5UCSBSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+1.8
72-5SAC STUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+1.6
83-5UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Keonahi'ilani Solaita+2.4
93-6UCSBSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.0
104-6SAC STUCSBKillBella Mathisset Milan Rex+1.8
115-6UCSBUCSBBlockedNikola Gamlinblk Sandrea Thomas+2.6
125-7UCSBSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+2.1
135-8SAC STSAC STAttack errSophia Wendlick+2.7
146-8SAC STUCSBAttack errMakenna Wiepert+1.9
156-9UCSBSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.1
167-9SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+1.9
177-10UCSBSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+2.2
188-10SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+1.9
199-10UCSBUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+2.9
209-11UCSBSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert+2.4
2110-11SAC STUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+2.2
2211-11UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Reese Ampi+3.2
2312-11UCSBUCSB×3Attack errMia Molnar+3.3
2412-12UCSBSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert+2.5
2512-13SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Kate Martin+3.5
2613-13SAC STUCSBKillBella Mathisset Milan Rex+2.6
2713-14UCSBSAC STServe errUC Santa Barbara+2.7
2814-14SAC STUCSBKillSophia Wendlickset Milan Rex+2.7
2914-15UCSBSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+2.9
3015-15SAC STUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+2.8
3115-16UCSBSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Reese Ampi+3.0
3216-16SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+2.9
3316-17UCSBSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Ava Zamora+3.2
3417-17SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Kate Martin+3.1
3517-18UCSBSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+3.4
3617-19SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Kate Martin+4.5
3718-19SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+3.0
3818-20UCSBSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+3.6
3919-20SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+3.1
4020-20UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Reese Ampi+5.2
4120-21UCSBSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+4.4
4220-22SAC STSAC STKillVictoria Marthaler+5.8
4321-22SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+3.4
4422-22UCSBUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Bella Mathis+6.5
4522-23UCSBSAC STServe errUC Santa Barbara+5.9
4622-24SAC STSAC STAttack errAuburn Tomkinson+7.7
4723-24SAC STUCSB×3KillSophia Wendlickset Milan Rex+3.3
4824-24UCSBUCSB×3KillSophia Wendlickset Ava Zamora+10.1
4925-24UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbara+9.8
5025-25UCSBSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+7.3
5126-25SAC STUCSBKillAva Zamoraset Ava Zamora+7.3
5226-26UCSBSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert+7.3
5327-26SAC STUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora+7.3
5428-26UCSBUCSBBlockedKeonahi'ilani Solaitablk Bella Mathis, Emma McDermott+9.6
Set 2
10-1UCSBSAC ST×7KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+1.8
20-2SAC STSAC ST×7KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.4
30-3SAC STSAC ST×7AceSacramento St.aced Sophia Wendlick+2.3
40-4SAC STSAC ST×7BlockedGabi Martinezblk Skyler Gartin, Victoria Marthaler+2.2
50-5SAC STSAC ST×7Attack errBella Mathis+2.0
60-6SAC STSAC ST×7Attack errGabi Martinez+1.8
70-7SAC STSAC ST×7AceSacramento St.aced Cortni Youngblood+1.5
81-7SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+0.9
91-8UCSBSAC STBad setMilan Rex+1.2
101-9SAC STSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Skyler Gartin+1.2
112-9SAC STUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.7
122-10UCSBSAC ST×6KillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+0.9
132-11SAC STSAC ST×6KillNikola Gamlinset Auburn Tomkinson+0.9
142-12SAC STSAC ST×6Attack errSophia Wendlick+0.7
152-13SAC STSAC ST×6BlockedSophia Wendlickblk Makenna Wiepert, Nikola Gamlin+0.5
162-14SAC STSAC ST×6KillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+0.3
172-15SAC STSAC ST×6BlockedEmma McDermottblk Makenna Wiepert+0.2
183-15SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+0.1
194-15UCSBUCSBAttack errVictoria Marthaler+0.1
204-16UCSBSAC STAttack errAvery Gibbs+0.2
214-17SAC STSAC STAttack errAvery Gibbs+0.1
225-17SAC STUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora·
235-18UCSBSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert+0.1
245-19SAC STSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert·
256-19SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora·
267-19UCSBUCSBAttack errVictoria Marthaler·
277-20UCSBSAC ST×3KillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert·
287-21SAC STSAC ST×3Bad setAva Zamora·
297-22SAC STSAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert·
308-22SAC STUCSBKillBella Mathisset Ava Zamora·
318-23UCSBSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert·
329-23SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.·
339-24UCSBSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaita·
3410-24SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.·
3510-25UCSBSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert·
Set 3
11-0SAC STUCSB×14KillGabi Martinezset Kate Martin+2.4
22-0UCSBUCSB×14KillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+3.2
33-0UCSBUCSB×14KillSandrea Thomasset Milan Rex+3.1
44-0UCSBUCSB×14KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+2.8
55-0UCSBUCSB×14KillSandrea Thomasset Milan Rex+2.5
66-0UCSBUCSB×14Bad setMakenna Wiepert+2.2
77-0UCSBUCSB×14KillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+1.8
88-0UCSBUCSB×14AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Victoria Marthaler+1.5
99-0UCSBUCSB×14BlockedMia Molnarblk Auburn Tomkinson, Sandrea Thomas+1.1
1010-0UCSBUCSB×14Attack errVictoria Marthaler+0.8
1111-0UCSBUCSB×14KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+0.6
1212-0UCSBUCSB×14Attack errMia Molnar+0.4
1313-0UCSBUCSB×14AceUC Santa Barbara+0.2
1414-0UCSBUCSB×14BlockedSkyler Gartinblk Sandrea Thomas, Gabi Martinez+0.1
1514-1UCSBSAC STBlockedGabi Martinezblk Addy Scheitlin, Skyler Gartin+0.1
1615-1SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.1
1715-2UCSBSAC STServe errUC Santa Barbara·
1815-3SAC STSAC STBlockedAuburn Tomkinsonblk Victoria Marthaler+0.1
1916-3SAC STUCSBKillSophia Wendlickset Milan Rex+0.1
2016-4UCSBSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+0.1
2116-5SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Gabi Martinez+0.1
2217-5SAC STUCSB×4KillSophia Wendlickset Cortni Youngblood+0.1
2318-5UCSBUCSB×4KillSophia Wendlickset Cortni Youngblood+0.1
2419-5UCSBUCSB×4AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Reese Ampi·
2520-5UCSBUCSB×4Bad setMakenna Wiepert·
2620-6UCSBSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert·
2721-6SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.·
2821-7UCSBSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Kaylee Piepho·
2922-7SAC STUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora·
3022-8UCSBSAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Kaylee Piepho·
3122-9SAC STSAC ST×3BlockedGabi Martinezblk Addy Scheitlin, Skyler Gartin·
3222-10SAC STSAC ST×3AceSacramento St.aced Kate Martin·
3323-10SAC STUCSB×3KillSandrea Thomasset Ava Zamora·
3424-10UCSBUCSB×3Attack errAddy Scheitlin·
3525-10UCSBUCSB×3Attack errAddy Scheitlin·
Set 4
11-0UCSBUCSBAttack errVictoria Marthaler+3.1
21-1UCSBSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+2.3
32-1SAC STUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+2.4
42-2UCSBSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.4
53-2SAC STUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+2.4
64-2UCSBUCSBAttack errKeonahi'ilani Solaita+3.2
74-3UCSBSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.3
84-4SAC STSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+3.3
95-4SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+2.5
106-4UCSBUCSBKillSophia Wendlickset Ava Zamora+3.3
116-5UCSBSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert+2.4
127-5SAC STUCSBKillEmma McDermottset Ava Zamora+2.5
137-6UCSBSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert+2.5
148-6SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+2.6
158-7UCSBSAC STServe errUC Santa Barbara+2.5
168-8SAC STSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Reese Ampi+3.7
179-8SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+2.8
1810-8UCSBUCSBAttack errMia Molnar+3.7
1910-9UCSBSAC STServe errUC Santa Barbara+2.7
2011-9SAC STUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Kate Martin+2.9
2112-9UCSBUCSB×3KillSophia Wendlickset Gabi Martinez+3.6
2213-9UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Reese Ampi+3.2
2313-10UCSBSAC STBlockedSophia Wendlickblk Mia Molnar, Nikola Gamlin+2.0
2413-11SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Cortni Youngblood+3.3
2514-11SAC STUCSBKillAuburn Tomkinsonset Gabi Martinez+2.8
2614-12UCSBSAC STServe errUC Santa Barbara+2.5
2715-12SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+2.9
2815-13UCSBSAC STKillSophia Wendlickset Makenna Wiepert+2.6
2915-14SAC STSAC STBlockedBella Mathisblk Skyler Gartin+4.2
3016-14SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+3.5
3117-14UCSBUCSBKillAva Zamoraset Makenna Wiepert+4.2
3217-15UCSBSAC STAttack errGabi Martinez+2.7
3318-15SAC STUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+3.3
3418-16UCSBSAC STServe errUC Santa Barbara+2.7
3519-16SAC STUCSBServe errSacramento St.+3.4
3619-17UCSBSAC STBad setMilan Rex+2.8
3719-18SAC STSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+4.9
3820-18SAC STUCSB×4BlockedMia Molnarblk Sandrea Thomas+4.4
3921-18UCSBUCSB×4KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+5.0
4022-18UCSBUCSB×4KillAuburn Tomkinsonset Milan Rex+3.6
4123-18UCSBUCSB×4AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Victoria Marthaler+2.0
4223-19UCSBSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+0.6
4323-20SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Cortni Youngblood+1.6
4424-20SAC STUCSBKillSandrea Thomasset Milan Rex+2.3
4525-20UCSBUCSBKillBella Mathisset Milan Rex+0.9

Score shown after each rally, UC Santa Barbara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).