Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UNI def. Evansville 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UNI 99.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNI won at Evansville 3-1 (25-23, 25-17, 16-25, 26-24) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. UNI's Lily Dykstra led with 20 kills, and Jadyn Petersen added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set1234Sets
N IOWA252516263
EVANS231725241

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UNI pulled away set by set.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.8 points, and Evansville's high was 5% in Set 4. The numbers below are where it was won. UNI went in as RallyIQ's >99% pick.

The gap was spread thin: nothing reached the thresholds on its own.

Evansville above 50UNI belowMax swing 2.8%

UNIEvansville

Hitting
UNI .260·Evansville .250
Aces
UNI 6·Evansville 7
Serve err
UNI 8·Evansville 13
Blocks
UNI 8·Evansville 101 BS · 14 BA vs 3 BS · 14 BA
Digs
UNI 46·Evansville 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Evansville above 50 · UNI below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.8% EVANSrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Evansville — set 4, N IOWA 23-24 EVANS. Attack error by Cassidy Hartman. EVANS win probability 2% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N IOWA 99.6%0.4% EVANS

UNI wins

3-0
81.4%
3-1
16.2%
3-2
2.0%

Evansville wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.3%
N IOWA break %
52.0% vs this opp
EVANS break %
31.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Cassidy HartmanAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Cassidy Hartman

    Set 4 · N IOWA 23-24 EVANS · EVANS 2% → 5%

  2. 02
    EvansvilleService error+2.1%

    Evansville service error

    Set 4 · N IOWA 24-24 EVANS · N IOWA 95% → 97%

  3. 03

    Kill by Cassidy Hartman (set by Reese Booth)

    Set 4 · N IOWA 25-24 EVANS · N IOWA 97% → 99%

  4. 04

    Kill by Savannah Gogel (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 4 · N IOWA 23-23 EVANS · EVANS 1% → 2%

  5. 05
    Lily DykstraAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Lily Dykstra

    Set 4 · N IOWA 19-20 EVANS · EVANS 2% → 3%

  6. 06

    Wren Jones stuffed by Cassidy Hartman & Lily Dykstra

    Set 4 · N IOWA 26-24 EVANS · N IOWA 99% → 100%

  7. 07
    Brooke HerdesAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Brooke Herdes

    Set 4 · N IOWA 21-20 EVANS · N IOWA 98% → 99%

  8. 08
    Cassidy HartmanAttack error+0.8%

    Attack error by Cassidy Hartman

    Set 4 · N IOWA 19-19 EVANS · EVANS 1% → 2%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNIaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420541.36603472132.525.5
413737.16212010302116
48319.263000300219
46212.33320020031.57.5
4327.14300000031.54.5
4326.1673910500004
4001.00000010010.50.5
4000–6011600000
4000–003110000
1000–000100000
Team totals5321123.2604868467114892
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413636.19410430031.514.5
47214.35704220153.514.5
411832.09400034010.511.5
49125.32022150010.511.5
49216.43800010212.511.5
4102.500380370031.52.5
41011.000111900002
41011.0003011400001
2000–001000000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals5220128.250457134463141089

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNI vs Evansville

Season series · UNI leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 N IOWA · EVANS 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 N IOWAEVANS 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 N IOWAEVANS 2

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 N IOWAEVANS 6

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 4 N IOWAEVANS 5

Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = UNI leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNI

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
46%6/13
2
40%8/20
38%5/13
3
58%7/12
46%6/13
4
100%7/7
0%0/7
5
88%7/8
36%4/11
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
59%43/73
36%24/66

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
46%6/13
2
50%8/16
62%13/21
3
78%7/9
53%9/17
4
100%7/7
0%0/7
5
50%6/12
13%1/8
6
50%6/12
14%1/7
All
64%42/66
41%30/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#N IOWA-EVANSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1EVANSEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley·
21-1EVANSN IOWAKillGrace Hannamset Reese Booth·
31-2N IOWAEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley·
42-2EVANSN IOWA×4Serve errEvansville·
53-2N IOWAN IOWA×4KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth·
64-2N IOWAN IOWA×4KillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth·
75-2N IOWAN IOWA×4KillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth·
85-3N IOWAEVANSServe errJadyn Petersen·
96-3EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville·
106-4N IOWAEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley·
117-4EVANSN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth·
127-5N IOWAEVANSKillBrooke Herdesset Carsyn Kelley·
138-5EVANSN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth·
149-5N IOWAN IOWAKillReese Boothset Aubry Dowling·
159-6N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley·
169-7EVANSEVANSAttack errGrace Hannam·
1710-7EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth·
1810-8N IOWAEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley·
1911-8EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth·
2011-9N IOWAEVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley·
2111-10EVANSEVANS×3BlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Carsyn Kelley, McKenzie Laubach+0.1
2211-11EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
2312-11EVANSN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth·
2412-12N IOWAEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
2513-12EVANSN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.1
2613-13N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
2714-13EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville+0.1
2814-14N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
2915-14EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.1
3015-15N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
3116-15EVANSN IOWA×4KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.1
3217-15N IOWAN IOWA×4KillGrace Hannamset Reese Booth+0.1
3318-15N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errWren Jones+0.1
3419-15N IOWAN IOWA×4BlockedWren Jonesblk Lily Dykstra·
3519-16N IOWAEVANS×3BlockedCalia Clubbblk Brooke Herdes, Carsyn Kelley·
3619-17EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Cassidy Hartman+0.1
3719-18EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Lily Dykstra+0.1
3820-18EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Jadyn Petersen+0.1
3920-19N IOWAEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
4021-19EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.1
4122-19N IOWAN IOWAAttack errWren Jones+0.1
4222-20N IOWAEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley·
4323-20EVANSN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.1
4423-21N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley·
4524-21EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.1
4624-22N IOWAEVANSKillBrooke Herdesset Carsyn Kelley·
4724-23EVANSEVANSAttack errLily Dykstra+0.1
4825-23EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Jadyn Petersen+0.2
Set 2
11-0N IOWAN IOWABlockedLyla Fisherblk Calia Clubb, Grace Hannam·
22-0N IOWAN IOWAAttack errWren Jones·
32-1N IOWAEVANSBlockedGrace Hannamblk Savannah Gogel·
42-2EVANSEVANSBlockedLily Dykstrablk Lyla Fisher, McKenzie Laubach·
53-2EVANSN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth·
63-3N IOWAEVANSServe errLily Dykstra·
74-3EVANSN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth·
85-3N IOWAN IOWABlockedLyla Fisherblk Calia Clubb, Maryn Bixby·
95-4N IOWAEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Brooke Herdes·
106-4EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Jadyn Petersen·
116-5N IOWAEVANSServe errTaryn Rice·
126-6EVANSEVANSAceEvansvilleaced Taryn Rice·
137-6EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth·
147-7N IOWAEVANSAttack errMaryn Bixby·
157-8EVANSEVANSBlockedMaryn Bixbyblk Savannah Gogel·
168-8EVANSN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth·
178-9N IOWAEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley·
189-9EVANSN IOWA×4KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth·
1910-9N IOWAN IOWA×4KillLily Dykstraset Jadyn Petersen·
2011-9N IOWAN IOWA×4BlockedSavannah Gogelblk Lily Dykstra, Grace Hannam·
2112-9N IOWAN IOWA×4KillLily Dykstra·
2212-10N IOWAEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley·
2313-10EVANSN IOWA×5KillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth·
2414-10N IOWAN IOWA×5KillGrace Hannamset Reese Booth·
2515-10N IOWA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2616-10N IOWAN IOWA×5AceLily Dykstraaced Lyla Fisher·
2717-10N IOWAN IOWA×5AceLily Dykstraaced Lyla Fisher·
2817-11N IOWAEVANSServe errLily Dykstra·
2917-12EVANSEVANSBlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Wren Jones, McKenzie Laubach·
3018-12EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville·
3118-13N IOWAEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Kendall Agler·
3219-13EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth·
3319-14N IOWAEVANSServe errTaryn Rice·
3419-15EVANSEVANSAttack errCassidy Hartman·
3520-15EVANSN IOWA×3Serve errEvansville·
3621-15N IOWAN IOWA×3BlockedWren Jonesblk Claire Munch, Maryn Bixby·
3722-15N IOWAN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Jadyn Petersen·
3822-16N IOWAEVANSKillBrooke Herdesset Carsyn Kelley·
3923-16EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville·
4024-16N IOWAN IOWAAttack errMakenzie Miller·
4124-17N IOWAEVANSKillBrooke Herdesset Carsyn Kelley·
4225-17EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Jadyn Petersen·
Set 3
10-1EVANSEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley·
21-1EVANSN IOWAAttack errLyla Fisher·
31-2N IOWAEVANSServe errLily Dykstra·
41-3EVANSEVANSKillAubry Dowlingset Reese Booth·
52-3EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth·
62-4N IOWAEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley·
72-5EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Cassidy Hartman·
82-6EVANSEVANS×3KillWren Jones·
93-6EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville·
103-7N IOWAEVANSKillKendall Aglerset Reese Booth·
114-7EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth·
124-8N IOWAEVANSKillBrooke Herdesset Wren Jones·
135-8EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Maryn Bixby·
146-8N IOWAN IOWAAttack errLyla Fisher·
156-9N IOWAEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley·
167-9EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth·
177-10N IOWAEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Brooke Herdes·
188-10EVANSN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth·
199-10N IOWAN IOWABlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Cassidy Hartman, Grace Hannam·
209-11N IOWAEVANS×6KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley·
219-12EVANSEVANS×6KillBrooke Herdesset Reese Booth·
229-13EVANSEVANS×6BlockedLily Dykstrablk McKenzie Laubach, Carsyn Kelley·
239-14EVANSEVANS×6KillBrooke Herdesset Kendall Agler+0.1
249-15EVANSEVANS×6Attack errCalia Clubb+0.1
259-16EVANSEVANS×6AceEvansville+0.1
2610-16EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth·
2710-17N IOWAEVANS×4BlockedCassidy Hartmanblk McKenzie Laubach, Wren Jones·
2810-18EVANSEVANS×4BlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Wren Jones, Savannah Gogel+0.1
2910-19EVANSEVANS×4KillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley·
3010-20EVANSEVANS×4AceEvansvilleaced Lily Dykstra·
3111-20EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Maryn Bixby·
3211-21N IOWAEVANSServe errTaryn Rice·
3312-21EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville·
3412-22N IOWAEVANSBad setMaryn Bixby·
3513-22EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth·
3613-23N IOWAEVANSKillCarsyn Kelley·
3714-23EVANSN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth·
3815-23N IOWAN IOWA×3Attack errMcKenzie Laubach·
3916-23N IOWAN IOWA×3AceUNI·
4016-24N IOWAEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley·
4116-25EVANSEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley·
Set 4
10-1N IOWAEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
20-2EVANSEVANSBlockedLily Dykstrablk McKenzie Laubach+0.3
31-2EVANSN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.2
42-2N IOWAN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.2
52-3N IOWAEVANSServe errLily Dykstra+0.2
62-4EVANSEVANSAttack errCalia Clubb+0.3
73-4EVANSN IOWAKillReese Boothset Aubry Dowling+0.2
83-5N IOWAEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
94-5EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville+0.2
104-6N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
115-6EVANSN IOWAAttack errLyla Fisher+0.2
126-6N IOWAN IOWAAceUNIaced Lyla Fisher+0.3
136-7N IOWAEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
147-7EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.2
158-7N IOWAN IOWAAttack errLyla Fisher+0.3
168-8N IOWAEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
179-8EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville+0.2
189-9N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
1910-9EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.2
2010-10N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
2111-10EVANSN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.2
2211-11N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
2312-11EVANSN IOWAServe errEvansville+0.2
2412-12N IOWAEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
2513-12EVANSN IOWA×4Serve errEvansville+0.3
2614-12N IOWAN IOWA×4BlockedSavannah Gogelblk Maryn Bixby, Lily Dykstra+0.3
2715-12N IOWAN IOWA×4AceUNIaced Lyla Fisher+0.2
2816-12N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errLyla Fisher+0.1
2916-13N IOWAEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
3017-13EVANSN IOWAKillReese Booth+0.1
3117-14N IOWAEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
3217-15EVANSEVANSAttack errReese Booth+0.2
3318-15EVANSN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.2
3419-15N IOWAN IOWAAttack errLyla Fisher+0.2
3519-16N IOWAEVANS×5KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
3619-17EVANSEVANS×5KillBrooke Herdesset Aubry Dowling+0.3
3719-18EVANSEVANS×5KillBrooke Herdesset Kendall Agler+0.5
3819-19EVANSEVANS×5Attack errCassidy Hartman+0.8
3919-20EVANSEVANS×5Attack errLily Dykstra+1.2
4020-20EVANSN IOWA×4KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.7
4121-20N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errBrooke Herdes+1.0
4222-20N IOWAN IOWA×4KillCalia Clubbset Cassidy Hartman+0.7
4323-20N IOWAN IOWA×4KillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.4
4423-21N IOWAEVANS×4Attack errReese Booth+0.2
4523-22EVANSEVANS×4AceEvansvilleaced Cassidy Hartman+0.6
4623-23EVANSEVANS×4KillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.4
4723-24EVANSEVANS×4Attack errCassidy Hartman+2.8
4824-24EVANSN IOWA×3Serve errEvansville+2.1
4925-24N IOWAN IOWA×3KillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+1.9
5026-24N IOWAN IOWA×3BlockedWren Jonesblk Cassidy Hartman, Lily Dykstra+1.1

Score shown after each rally, UNI first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).