Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026

Stonehill def. New Haven 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: New Haven 82.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Stonehill won at New Haven 3-2 (14-25, 19-25, 27-25, 25-15, 15-10) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Kaisa Dowd led Stonehill with 13 kills; New Haven's Lauren MacKellar had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set12345Sets
STONEH14192725153
NEWHAV25252515102

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 aces from Jess Barrett, and Stonehill needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Stonehill's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. New Haven went in at 83% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Stonehill 3–2 New Haven

    New Haven scored 3 straight to turn a 2–3 deficit into a 5–3 lead.

    Stonehill 43% → 20%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Stonehill 5–7 New Haven

    Down 5–7, Stonehill scored 6 straight to lead 11–7. The match swung to Stonehill.

    Stonehill 20% → 85%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Stonehill 11–8 New Haven

    3 straight Stonehill points stretched an 11–8 lead to 14–8.

    Stonehill 80% → 99%

New Haven above 50Stonehill belowMax swing 13.1%

StonehillNew Haven

Sideout %
Stonehill 52.0·New Haven 52.0
Break %
Stonehill 48.0·New Haven 48.0
Hitting
Stonehill .196·New Haven .235
Longest run
Stonehill 6·New Haven 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Haven above 50 · Stonehill below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.1% STONEHrally 200 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.1% to Stonehill — set 5, STONEH 9-7 NEWHAV. Kill by Abby Farrell (set by Kendra Sawyer). NEWHAV win probability 52% → 38%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STONEH 21.0%79.0% NEWHAV

Stonehill wins

3-0
3.5%
3-1
7.0%
3-2
10.5%

New Haven wins

3-0
30.6%
3-1
29.9%
3-2
18.5%
STONEH break %
40.9% vs this opp
NEWHAV break %
47.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Abby FarrellKill+13.1%

    Kill by Abby Farrell (set by Kendra Sawyer)

    Set 5 · STONEH 9-7 NEWHAV · STONEH 48% → 62%

  2. 02
    Lauren MacKellarAttack error+12.8%

    Attack error by Lauren MacKellar

    Set 5 · STONEH 10-7 NEWHAV · STONEH 62% → 74%

  3. 03
    Kaisa DowdKill+12.0%

    Kill by Kaisa Dowd (set by Kendra Sawyer)

    Set 5 · STONEH 8-7 NEWHAV · STONEH 36% → 48%

  4. 04
    StonehillAce+11.0%

    Stonehill ace

    Set 5 · STONEH 11-7 NEWHAV · STONEH 74% → 85%

  5. 05
    Abby FarrellKill+10.2%

    Kill by Abby Farrell

    Set 5 · STONEH 7-7 NEWHAV · STONEH 26% → 36%

  6. 06

    Kill by Annabelle Svenson

    Set 5 · STONEH 3-2 NEWHAV · STONEH 34% → 43%

  7. 07
    Zaira KearnsBad set+8.8%

    Bad set by Zaira Kearns

    Set 5 · STONEH 12-8 NEWHAV · STONEH 80% → 89%

  8. 08
    Addy FryeAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Addy Frye

    Set 5 · STONEH 3-4 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 64% → 72%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512430.267011103010.513.5
58418.22200120031.59.5
58316.313000100219
5002.0004222602235
2129-.11100020010.51.5
1114.000000000001
513934.1180001000013
5001.000063000006
5001.000021610002
5001.000113300001
5003.0001001500000
310216.50000000010.510.5
1117.000000100001
1001.000000000000
1000–101000000
Team totals5426143.1964512124772107100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519444.34102370010.521.5
57116.37501000153.511.5
58630.06700022010.58.5
54011.364411190031.56.5
5316.33300000313.56.5
5002.000111900001
59623.13000000010.59.5
5004.0004231430002
5000–0031020000
Team totals5018136.23546711511241210100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Stonehill vs New Haven

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 STONEH · NEWHAV 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 STONEHNEWHAV 6

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 STONEHNEWHAV 5

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 5 STONEHNEWHAV 5

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 5 STONEHNEWHAV 2

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 6 STONEHNEWHAV 3

Bars above the line = New Haven leads, below = Stonehill leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stonehill

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
58%11/19
2
47%9/19
44%7/16
3
69%9/13
10%1/10
4
50%9/18
40%6/15
5
67%8/12
64%16/25
6
44%7/16
47%7/15
All
52%52/100
48%48/100

New Haven

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
64%16/25
2
64%9/14
31%4/13
3
90%9/10
57%12/21
4
45%9/20
44%7/16
5
38%8/21
33%4/12
6
50%8/16
38%5/13
All
52%52/100
48%48/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#STONEH-NEWHAVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NEWHAVSTONEHAttack errMarley Alefaio+1.3
22-0STONEHSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+1.8
32-1STONEHNEWHAVAttack errSamantha Loyd+1.3
43-1NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven+1.4
53-2STONEHNEWHAV×3KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.3
63-3NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Payton Malinoski+1.7
73-4NEWHAVNEWHAV×3BlockedAddy Fryeblk Josie Foster, Lauren MacKellar+1.6
84-4NEWHAVSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+1.3
94-5STONEHNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+1.2
104-6NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Foster+1.5
114-7NEWHAVNEWHAV×3AceNew Haven+1.3
125-7NEWHAVSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.0
136-7STONEHSTONEHAceGabi Polishukaced Camryn Harris+1.5
146-8STONEHNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.2
157-8NEWHAVSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.2
168-8STONEHSTONEHAceAddy Fryeaced Marley Alefaio+1.8
178-9STONEHNEWHAV×4KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+1.4
188-10NEWHAVNEWHAV×4BlockedAnnabelle Svensonblk Kira Lynch+1.7
198-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AceNew Havenaced Addy Frye+1.5
208-12NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillZaira Kearnsset Kendra Sawyer+1.2
219-12NEWHAVSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+0.9
229-13STONEHNEWHAV×6Attack errKaisa Dowd+1.0
239-14NEWHAVNEWHAV×6KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.0
249-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×6Attack errAbby Farrell+0.7
259-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×6Attack errAddy Frye+0.5
269-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×6KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.3
279-18NEWHAVNEWHAV×6Attack errKaisa Dowd+0.2
2810-18NEWHAVSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Rosa Smith+0.1
2910-19STONEHNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+0.1
3010-20NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errKaisa Dowd+0.1
3111-20NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven·
3211-21STONEHNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns·
3311-22NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errHaley Herndon·
3412-22NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven·
3513-22STONEHSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svenson·
3613-23STONEHNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns·
3713-24NEWHAVNEWHAVAceNew Haven·
3814-24NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven·
3914-25STONEHNEWHAVServe errRosa Smith·
Set 2
11-0STONEHSTONEHAttack errLauren MacKellar+1.2
21-1STONEHNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.9
32-1NEWHAVSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.0
42-2STONEHNEWHAV×4Attack errZaira Kearns+0.9
52-3NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.1
62-4NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillQuinn Yenshawset Payton Malinoski+1.0
72-5NEWHAVNEWHAV×4BlockedHaley Herndonblk Josie Foster, Quinn Yenshaw+0.9
83-5NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven+0.7
93-6STONEHNEWHAVServe errAddison Koontz+0.7
104-6NEWHAVSTONEH×3Bad setQuinn Yenshaw+0.7
115-6STONEHSTONEH×3BlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Annabelle Svenson, Kendra Sawyer+1.1
126-6STONEHSTONEH×3KillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+1.3
136-7STONEHNEWHAVBad setAnnabelle Svenson+1.0
146-8NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.2
157-8NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven+0.9
167-9STONEHNEWHAVServe errJess Barrett+0.9
178-9NEWHAVSTONEHKillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+0.9
188-10STONEHNEWHAVServe errKendra Sawyer+0.9
199-10NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven+1.0
2010-10STONEHSTONEHAceGabi Polishukaced Payton Malinoski+1.5
2110-11STONEHNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.1
2210-12NEWHAVNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.3
2311-12NEWHAVSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+1.0
2412-12STONEHSTONEHAttack errQuinn Yenshaw+1.6
2512-13STONEHNEWHAV×4KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.2
2612-14NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AceNew Havenaced Gabi Polishuk+1.5
2712-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AceNew Havenaced Addy Frye+1.3
2812-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillLauren MacKellarset Payton Malinoski+1.0
2913-16NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven+0.7
3013-17STONEHNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.8
3114-17NEWHAVSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+0.7
3214-18STONEHNEWHAVKillZaira Kearnsset Kaisa Dowd+0.8
3315-18NEWHAVSTONEHKillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+0.7
3416-18STONEHSTONEHAceJess Barrett+1.2
3516-19STONEHNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.1
3616-20NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errAbby Farrell+1.1
3717-20NEWHAVSTONEH×3KillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+0.6
3818-20STONEHSTONEH×3KillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+1.3
3919-20STONEHSTONEH×3BlockedMarley Alefaioblk Haley Herndon, Abby Farrell+1.9
4019-21STONEHNEWHAV×5Attack errKaisa Dowd+1.7
4119-22NEWHAVNEWHAV×5KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.7
4219-23NEWHAVNEWHAV×5KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.1
4319-24NEWHAVNEWHAV×5AceNew Haven+0.5
4419-25NEWHAVNEWHAV×5KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.1
Set 3
10-1NEWHAVNEWHAVBad setRoe Beland+0.5
21-1NEWHAVSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+0.4
31-2STONEHNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+0.4
41-3NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.5
52-3NEWHAVSTONEHKillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+0.4
62-4STONEHNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.4
73-4NEWHAVSTONEHKillRoe Belandset Kendra Sawyer+0.4
83-5STONEHNEWHAVKillZaira Kearnsset Payton Malinoski+0.4
94-5NEWHAVSTONEHBlockedMarley Alefaioblk Kendra Sawyer+0.4
105-5STONEHSTONEHKillKaisa Dowdset Marley Alefaio+0.6
115-6STONEHNEWHAVAttack errKaisa Dowd+0.5
125-7NEWHAVNEWHAVKillZaira Kearnsset Alejandra Mejia+0.6
136-7NEWHAVSTONEH×3KillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+0.4
147-7STONEHSTONEH×3AceKendra Sawyeraced Marley Alefaio+0.7
158-7STONEHSTONEH×3KillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+0.7
168-8STONEHNEWHAVAttack errKaisa Dowd+0.5
179-8NEWHAVSTONEHKillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+0.6
1810-8STONEHSTONEHAttack errKira Lynch+0.8
1910-9STONEHNEWHAVServe errGabi Polishuk+0.6
2010-10NEWHAVNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.8
2111-10NEWHAVSTONEHKillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+0.6
2211-11STONEHNEWHAVServe errAbby Farrell+0.6
2312-11NEWHAVSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+0.7
2413-11STONEHSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Payton Malinoski+0.9
2513-12STONEHNEWHAVBad setRoe Beland+0.6
2613-13NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedRoe Belandblk Josie Foster, Zaira Kearns+0.9
2714-13NEWHAVSTONEHBad setQuinn Yenshaw+0.7
2814-14STONEHNEWHAV×5KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.7
2914-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×5BlockedKaisa Dowdblk Zaira Kearns, Josie Foster+0.9
3014-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×5KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.8
3114-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×5Bad setKristina Bishop+0.7
3214-18NEWHAVNEWHAV×5AceNew Havenaced Addy Frye+0.5
3315-18NEWHAVSTONEH×5Bad setAlejandra Mejia+0.3
3416-18STONEHSTONEH×5Attack errMarley Alefaio+0.6
3517-18STONEHSTONEH×5AceJess Barrett+0.8
3618-18STONEHSTONEH×5KillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+1.1
3719-18STONEHSTONEH×5AceJess Barrett+1.3
3819-19STONEHNEWHAVServe errJess Barrett+0.9
3919-20NEWHAVNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.2
4020-20NEWHAVSTONEHKillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+1.0
4120-21STONEHNEWHAVServe errKendra Sawyer+1.1
4221-21NEWHAVSTONEH×4KillKaisa Dowdset Kristina Bishop+1.1
4322-21STONEHSTONEH×4BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Abby Farrell, Addy Frye+1.8
4423-21STONEHSTONEH×4KillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.9
4524-21STONEHSTONEH×4KillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+1.6
4624-22STONEHNEWHAV×4KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.5
4724-23NEWHAVNEWHAV×4Attack errAddy Frye+1.4
4824-24NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+2.9
4924-25NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+2.4
5025-25NEWHAVSTONEH×3Serve errNew Haven+1.8
5126-25STONEHSTONEH×3Attack errQuinn Yenshaw+2.8
5227-25STONEHSTONEH×3Bad setZaira Kearns+3.3
Set 4
11-0STONEHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+2.0
22-0STONEHSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+2.2
32-1STONEHNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+1.6
43-1NEWHAVSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.8
54-1STONEHSTONEH×3BlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Kendra Sawyer+2.4
65-1STONEHSTONEH×3AceAddison Koontz+2.5
75-2STONEHNEWHAVServe errAddison Koontz+1.6
86-2NEWHAVSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+2.0
96-3STONEHNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.7
107-3NEWHAVSTONEHBlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Kendra Sawyer, Annabelle Svenson+2.1
118-3STONEHSTONEHAceJess Barrettaced Camryn Harris+2.5
128-4STONEHNEWHAVBlockedKaisa Dowdblk Josie Foster, Zaira Kearns+1.6
139-4NEWHAVSTONEHAttack errMarley Alefaio+2.1
149-5STONEHNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.6
1510-5NEWHAVSTONEHKillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+2.1
1610-6STONEHNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.6
1711-6NEWHAVSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+2.1
1811-7STONEHNEWHAVBad setKendra Sawyer+1.7
1912-7NEWHAVSTONEHKillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+2.2
2012-8STONEHNEWHAVServe errAddison Koontz+1.7
2113-8NEWHAVSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+2.2
2213-9STONEHNEWHAVServe errAddy Frye+1.7
2314-9NEWHAVSTONEH×3Serve errNew Haven+2.2
2415-9STONEHSTONEH×3KillKaisa Dowdset Lauren MacKellar+2.5
2516-9STONEHSTONEH×3AceJess Barrettaced Payton Malinoski+2.0
2616-10STONEHNEWHAVServe errJess Barrett+1.0
2716-11NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errAbby Farrell+1.7
2817-11NEWHAVSTONEH×5KillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+1.9
2918-11STONEHSTONEH×5Attack errJosie Foster+1.9
3019-11STONEHSTONEH×5Attack errMarley Alefaio+1.3
3120-11STONEHSTONEH×5KillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+0.8
3221-11STONEHSTONEH×5KillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+0.4
3321-12STONEHNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.1
3421-13NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Kendra Sawyer+0.3
3522-13NEWHAVSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+0.4
3622-14STONEHNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.1
3722-15NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedAbby Farrellblk Kira Lynch+0.3
3823-15NEWHAVSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+0.4
3924-15STONEHSTONEH×3KillAnnabelle Svenson+0.2
4025-15STONEHSTONEH×3Attack errLauren MacKellar+0.8
Set 5
11-0STONEHSTONEHBlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Abby Farrell, Mia Crowley+8.3
21-1STONEHNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+6.0
31-2NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errMia Crowley+7.6
42-2NEWHAVSTONEHKillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+6.2
53-2STONEHSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svenson+9.0
63-3STONEHNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+6.6
73-4NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errAddy Frye+8.3
83-5NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+7.6
94-5NEWHAVSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+5.8
104-6STONEHNEWHAVBlockedAnnabelle Svensonblk Kira Lynch, Marley Alefaio+6.1
115-6NEWHAVSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Addison Koontz+6.1
125-7STONEHNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+6.4
136-7NEWHAVSTONEH×6KillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+6.4
147-7STONEHSTONEH×6KillAbby Farrell+10.2
158-7STONEHSTONEH×6KillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+12.0
169-7STONEHSTONEH×6KillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+13.1
1710-7STONEHSTONEH×6Attack errLauren MacKellar+12.8
1811-7STONEHSTONEH×6AceStonehill+11.0
1911-8STONEHNEWHAVAttack errKaisa Dowd+5.3
2012-8NEWHAVSTONEH×3Bad setZaira Kearns+8.8
2113-8STONEHSTONEH×3AceStonehillaced Payton Malinoski+7.2
2214-8STONEHSTONEH×3KillMia Crowleyset Kendra Sawyer+3.3
2314-9STONEHNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.5
2414-10NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errMia Crowley+1.5
2515-10NEWHAVSTONEHServe errNew Haven+2.8

Score shown after each rally, Stonehill first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).