Mercyhurst vs New Haven Volleyball: New Haven Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 29, 2026

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: New Haven 66.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Haven beat visiting Mercyhurst 3-1 (22-25, 25-22, 25-17, 28-26) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. Lauren MacKellar led New Haven with 13 kills; Mercyhurst's Roslyn Guerra had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Oct 29

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MERCYH	25	22	17	26	1
NEWHAV	22	25	25	28	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Camryn Harris, and New Haven needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are New Haven's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave New Haven 66% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Mercyhurst 22–22 New Haven
3 straight Mercyhurst kills broke a 22–22 tie and made it 25–22. The match swung to Mercyhurst.
New Haven 64% → 45%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Mercyhurst 23–20 New Haven
Down 20–23, New Haven scored 3 straight to tie it at 23.
New Haven 62% → 79%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · Mercyhurst 25–25 New Haven
New Haven won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 28–26 and win the match 3–1.
New Haven 81% → >99%

New Haven above 50Mercyhurst belowMax swing 10.7%

MercyhurstNew Haven

Sideout %: Mercyhurst 53.5·New Haven 59.3
Break %: Mercyhurst 40.7·New Haven 46.5
Hitting: Mercyhurst .240·New Haven .237
Longest run: Mercyhurst 5·New Haven 5

Jordan Northcutt
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 12 K, .250, 13.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Haven above 50 · Mercyhurst below

Biggest swing: 10.7% to New Haven — set 4, MERCYH 24-25 NEWHAV. Madison Miner stuffed by Josie Foster. NEWHAV win probability 79% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCYH 37.6%62.4% NEWHAV

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

8.0%

3-1

13.6%

3-2

16.0%

New Haven wins

3-0

18.5%

3-1

23.9%

3-2

20.0%

MERCYH break %: 44.1% vs this opp
NEWHAV break %: 46.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Josie FosterBlock+10.7%
Madison Miner stuffed by Josie Foster
Set 4 · MERCYH 24-25 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 79% → 90%
02
Marley AlefaioKill+9.9%
Kill by Marley Alefaio (set by Zaira Kearns)
Set 4 · MERCYH 26-28 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 90% → 100%
03
New HavenService error+9.8%
New Haven service error
Set 4 · MERCYH 24-23 NEWHAV · MERCYH 21% → 30%
04
Jordan NorthcuttKill+9.8%
Kill by Jordan Northcutt (set by Zaira Kearns)
Set 4 · MERCYH 24-24 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 70% → 79%
05
Madison MinerKill+9.2%
Kill by Madison Miner (set by Alyssa Krause)
Set 4 · MERCYH 25-25 NEWHAV · MERCYH 10% → 19%
06
Jordan NorthcuttKill+9.2%
Kill by Jordan Northcutt (set by Zaira Kearns)
Set 4 · MERCYH 25-26 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 81% → 90%
07
New HavenService error+9.2%
New Haven service error
Set 4 · MERCYH 26-26 NEWHAV · MERCYH 10% → 19%
08
Josie FosterBlock+9.2%
Roslyn Guerra stuffed by Josie Foster
Set 4 · MERCYH 26-27 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 81% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mercyhurstaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Madison MinerOH	4	11	4	35	.200	0	1	4	11	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
23Ava CarneyMB	4	9	2	13	.538	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
13Mia MattinglyMB	4	4	3	12	.083	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
26Anna LoganDS	4	4	1	7	.429	0	0	2	6	4	0	0	0	4
21Alyssa KrauseDS	4	0	0	0	–	23	1	3	6	0	0	0	0	1
14Julia ShepherdOPP	3	2	5	12	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
1Roslyn GuerraOH	4	16	3	31	.419	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1.5	17.5
9Payton MelinOPP	4	5	3	13	.154	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
10Mya ComerS	4	1	0	4	.250	19	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	10	2	0	0	0	1
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
2Erin RobbinsMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
16Sarah BarnumMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		52	21	129	.240	48	4	12	53	10	1	12	7	90

New Havenhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Lauren MacKellarOH	4	13	5	34	.235	0	1	5	7	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
18Josie FosterMB	4	8	2	18	.333	0	2	1	0	0	2	2	3	13
20Marley AlefaioOH	4	12	7	40	.125	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
21Kira LynchMB	4	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	6
14Zaira KearnsS	4	2	1	4	.250	40	1	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Alejandra MejiaL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
13Jordan NorthcuttOH	4	12	4	32	.250	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	13.5
8Camryn HarrisL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	4	2	7	2	0	0	0	4
19Mirella RedererL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	1	2	17	0	0	0	0	1
2Payton MalinoskiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	19	135	.237	46	10	12	53	4	4	8	8	100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercyhurst vs New Haven

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Mercyhurst at New Haven · New Haven won 3-1This match
Fri, Oct 30, 2026Mercyhurst at New Haven · Mercyhurst won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MERCYH · NEWHAV 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 MERCYHNEWHAV 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 MERCYHNEWHAV 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 MERCYHNEWHAV 4

Set 4

26-28

Longest run 4 MERCYHNEWHAV 3

Bars above the line = New Haven leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%10/23	33%4/12
2	48%10/21	44%8/18
3	63%10/16	33%5/15
4	60%9/15	33%5/15
5	47%8/17	55%11/20
6	86%6/7	36%4/11
All	54%53/99	41%37/91

New Haven

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%10/18	47%7/15
2	63%10/16	55%12/22
3	67%10/15	44%8/18
4	50%9/18	44%7/16
5	56%9/16	18%2/11
6	75%6/8	59%10/17
All	59%54/91	46%46/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

190 rallies

#	MERCYH-NEWHAV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MERCYH	NEWHAV×5	Attack err	Anna Logan		+1.8
2	0-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Bad set	Alyssa Krause		+2.0
3	0-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Ace	New Haven	aced Anna Logan	+1.9
4	0-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Kill	Lauren MacKellar		+1.7
5	0-5	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+1.5
6	1-5	NEWHAV	MERCYH×5	Serve err	New Haven		+1.2
7	2-5	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+1.6
8	3-5	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+1.9
9	4-5	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Blocked	Lauren MacKellar	blk Madison Miner, Ava Carney	+2.1
10	5-5	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+2.3
11	5-6	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+2.0
12	6-6	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
13	6-7	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.0
14	7-7	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+2.1
15	8-7	MERCYH	MERCYH	Blocked	Jordan Northcutt	blk Mia Mattingly, Payton Melin	+2.6
16	8-8	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Zaira Kearns		+2.2
17	9-8	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Sydney Forcht	+2.3
18	9-9	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Blocked	Payton Melin	blk Kira Lynch, Marley Alefaio	+2.2
19	9-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+2.6
20	10-10	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+2.3
21	10-11	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+2.3
22	11-11	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mya Comer	set Payton Melin	+2.4
23	12-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Ava Carney	+3.0
24	13-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Alyssa Krause		+3.1
25	13-12	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Alyssa Krause		+2.5
26	13-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	New Haven		+3.0
27	14-13	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
28	14-14	MERCYH	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.7
29	14-15	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+3.2
30	14-16	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+3.1
31	15-16	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+2.5
32	16-16	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+3.4
33	16-17	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+3.1
34	16-18	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+3.4
35	17-18	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
36	18-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Payton Melin	set Mya Comer	+3.9
37	19-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner		+4.4
38	19-19	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Mirella Rederer	+3.6
39	20-19	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+4.1
40	21-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Madison Miner	aced Marley Alefaio	+4.9
41	22-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+4.4
42	22-20	MERCYH	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	Madison Miner		+2.6
43	22-21	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Bad set	Madison Miner		+4.4
44	22-22	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+5.8
45	23-22	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+6.2
46	24-22	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+7.4
47	25-22	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra		+4.8
Set 2
1	1-0	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.3
2	1-1	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.2
3	1-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Jordan Northcutt, Kira Lynch	+2.5
4	2-2	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Anna Logan	set Sydney Forcht	+2.3
5	3-2	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
6	3-3	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.3
7	4-3	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.5
8	5-3	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner		+2.9
9	5-4	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Bad set	Alyssa Krause		+2.4
10	6-4	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+2.6
11	6-5	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Mya Comer		+2.4
12	7-5	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Mya Comer	+2.7
13	8-5	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+3.1
14	8-6	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Madison Miner		+2.4
15	9-6	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+2.8
16	9-7	MERCYH	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+2.5
17	9-8	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Ava Carney		+3.1
18	9-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+3.2
19	9-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Blocked	Payton Melin	blk Kira Lynch	+3.2
20	10-10	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Mya Comer	+2.8
21	10-11	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Mirella Rederer	+2.8
22	11-11	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+2.9
23	12-11	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+3.6
24	12-12	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+3.0
25	13-12	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+3.3
26	13-13	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+3.1
27	14-13	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+3.4
28	15-13	MERCYH	MERCYH	Bad set	Zaira Kearns		+4.1
29	15-14	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+3.2
30	16-14	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Anna Logan	set Sydney Forcht	+3.7
31	16-15	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+3.3
32	17-15	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+3.9
33	17-16	MERCYH	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+3.5
34	17-17	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+4.5
35	17-18	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Ace	New Haven	aced Madison Miner	+4.6
36	17-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+4.4
37	18-19	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Mya Comer	+3.5
38	19-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Lauren MacKellar	blk Roslyn Guerra	+5.0
39	20-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+5.8
40	20-20	MERCYH	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+4.8
41	20-21	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Ava Carney		+6.0
42	20-22	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	New Haven	aced Roslyn Guerra	+5.7
43	21-22	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	+4.2
44	21-23	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+5.6
45	22-23	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+4.3
46	22-24	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Sydney Forcht		+6.6
47	22-25	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+4.4
Set 3
1	0-1	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Alyssa Krause		+2.4
2	0-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	New Haven	aced Anna Logan	+2.7
3	1-2	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Bad set	Zaira Kearns		+2.4
4	1-3	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+2.4
5	1-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Bad set	Julia Shepherd		+2.6
6	2-4	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Attack err	Josie Foster		+2.2
7	2-5	MERCYH	NEWHAV×3	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk Josie Foster, Lauren MacKellar	+2.3
8	2-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Blocked	Mia Mattingly	blk Josie Foster, Zaira Kearns	+2.4
9	2-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Jordan Northcutt	+2.1
10	3-7	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+1.7
11	3-8	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+1.9
12	3-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	New Haven	aced Anna Logan	+1.8
13	4-9	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer	+1.4
14	4-10	MERCYH	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+1.6
15	4-11	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Ace	New Haven	aced Sydney Forcht	+1.5
16	4-12	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Payton Melin		+1.1
17	4-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+0.8
18	5-13	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.5
19	5-14	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.7
20	6-14	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Serve err	New Haven		+0.5
21	7-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Bad set	Alejandra Mejia		+0.8
22	8-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+1.1
23	8-15	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+1.2
24	9-15	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+0.9
25	9-16	MERCYH	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+1.2
26	9-17	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Madison Miner		+1.0
27	9-18	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+0.6
28	10-18	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+0.3
29	11-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Sydney Forcht	aced Camryn Harris	+0.6
30	12-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Josie Foster		+0.9
31	12-19	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+1.0
32	13-19	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+0.7
33	13-20	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+1.0
34	13-21	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.6
35	14-21	NEWHAV	MERCYH×4	Kill	Anna Logan	set Mya Comer	+0.3
36	15-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Zaira Kearns		+0.5
37	16-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Blocked	Marley Alefaio	blk Mia Mattingly, Sarah Barnum	+0.9
38	17-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+1.5
39	17-22	MERCYH	NEWHAV×4	Serve err	Madison Miner		+1.9
40	17-23	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+1.2
41	17-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Zaira Kearns	set Mya Comer	+0.4
42	17-25	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Ace	New Haven	aced Sydney Forcht	+0.1
Set 4
1	1-0	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Anna Logan	set Alyssa Krause	+2.3
2	1-1	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Mirella Rederer	+2.2
3	1-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Bad set	Sydney Forcht		+2.5
4	2-2	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.2
5	2-3	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Anna Logan		+2.2
6	2-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Madison Miner		+2.5
7	3-4	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.2
8	3-5	MERCYH	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+2.2
9	3-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+2.4
10	3-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	New Haven		+2.2
11	4-7	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Serve err	New Haven		+1.8
12	5-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Jordan Northcutt		+2.4
13	6-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mya Comer	aced Camryn Harris	+2.7
14	6-8	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+2.4
15	7-8	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Mya Comer	+2.4
16	7-9	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Alejandra Mejia	+2.4
17	8-9	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+2.4
18	8-10	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Mia Mattingly		+2.5
19	8-11	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Bad set	Mya Comer		+2.7
20	9-11	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+2.2
21	9-12	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+2.4
22	10-12	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Blocked	Lauren MacKellar	blk Ava Carney, Roslyn Guerra	+2.3
23	10-13	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Anna Logan		+2.5
24	11-13	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+2.3
25	12-13	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Zaira Kearns	+3.2
26	12-14	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.9
27	13-14	NEWHAV	MERCYH×4	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
28	14-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Payton Melin	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+3.8
29	15-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Jordan Northcutt		+4.1
30	16-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Blocked	Jordan Northcutt	blk Payton Melin, Mia Mattingly	+4.2
31	16-15	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+3.3
32	17-15	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer	+3.9
33	18-15	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+4.3
34	18-16	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Serve err	Madison Miner		+3.1
35	19-16	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+3.9
36	19-17	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+3.2
37	20-17	NEWHAV	MERCYH×3	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+4.1
38	21-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Lauren MacKellar	blk Erin Robbins, Ava Carney	+4.0
39	22-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+2.8
40	22-18	MERCYH	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	Alyssa Krause		+1.3
41	22-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+2.4
42	22-20	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Mirella Rederer	+3.7
43	23-20	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+4.9
44	23-21	MERCYH	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+3.0
45	23-22	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	New Haven	aced Anna Logan	+5.6
46	23-23	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Josie Foster	set Mirella Rederer	+8.4
47	24-23	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+9.8
48	24-24	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+9.8
49	24-25	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk Josie Foster	+10.7
50	25-25	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+9.2
51	25-26	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Zaira Kearns	+9.2
52	26-26	NEWHAV	MERCYH	Serve err	New Haven		+9.2
53	26-27	MERCYH	NEWHAV	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Josie Foster	+9.2
54	26-28	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+9.9

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

New Haven def. Mercyhurst 3–1

4 aces from Camryn Harris, and New Haven needed each of them.