FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Mercer def. Chattanooga 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Mercer 60.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Mercer won at Chattanooga 3-0 (25-16, 25-18, 25-23) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Mercer's Joselynn Sanjurjo and Lara Matta led with 14 kills each, and Sammi Bergjans added 9 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
MERCER2525253
CHAT1618230

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.500 and 14 kills for Joselynn Sanjurjo as Mercer rolled past Chattanooga.

Win probability never moved more than 4.1 points on one rally; Chattanooga topped out at 42% in Set 1. Mercer went in as RallyIQ's 61% pick.

MercerChattanooga
  • Break %+17.7 pts
    39.722.0

    On serve: 29/73 against 13/59 (Chattanooga sideout 60.3%).

  • Hitting+.220
    .377.157

    50 kills, 10 errors vs 33 kills, 17 errors.

Chattanooga above 50Mercer belowMax swing 4.1%

MercerChattanooga

Aces
Mercer 3·Chattanooga 1
Serve err
Mercer 11·Chattanooga 5
Blocks
Mercer 5·Chattanooga 30 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Mercer 43·Chattanooga 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Chattanooga above 50 · Mercer below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.1% MERCERrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.1% to Mercer — set 3, MERCER 25-23 CHAT. Kill by Taylor Timko (set by Sammi Bergjans). CHAT win probability 4% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCER 63.5%36.5% CHAT

Mercer wins

3-0
19.1%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%

Chattanooga wins

3-0
7.6%
3-1
13.1%
3-2
15.7%
MERCER break %
45.9% vs this opp
CHAT break %
43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Taylor TimkoKill+4.1%

    Kill by Taylor Timko (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 3 · MERCER 25-23 CHAT · MERCER 96% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Joselynn Sanjurjo (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 3 · MERCER 24-22 CHAT · MERCER 95% → 98%

  3. 03
    Lara MattaAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Lara Matta

    Set 3 · MERCER 23-22 CHAT · CHAT 3% → 5%

  4. 04
    Lara MattaKill+2.3%

    Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sarah Frager)

    Set 1 · MERCER 3-2 CHAT · MERCER 60% → 62%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sophia Garrido (set by Ashley Reynolds)

    Set 1 · MERCER 0-1 CHAT · CHAT 39% → 42%

  6. 06

    Kill by Joselynn Sanjurjo

    Set 1 · MERCER 4-2 CHAT · MERCER 62% → 65%

  7. 07

    Bailey Burgess stuffed by Jasmine Calton & Joselynn Sanjurjo

    Set 1 · MERCER 5-2 CHAT · MERCER 65% → 67%

  8. 08
    Lara MattaKill+2.1%

    Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 3 · MERCER 22-19 CHAT · MERCER 96% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Merceraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314322.50010130031.515.5
314432.3130016002115
37219.263000400007
36011.545000000217
3519.44400030031.56.5
34011.3644213900005
3001.000022800002
3001.000101510000
3000–002000000
3000–101400000
1000–000100000
Team totals5010106.37745311431010575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37227.18500220111.58.5
36218.22210151010.56.5
36415.133000300006
31011.0001700200001
2428.25000010010.54.5
24311.091000200004
3000–1212200001
3001.000100910000
3001.000000200000
2012-.50000000010.50.5
2000–000300000
13111.182000310003
1227.000000000002
1000–000300000
Team totals3317102.157311537314357

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercer vs Chattanooga

Season series · Mercer leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MERCER · CHAT 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 MERCERCHAT 2

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 3 MERCERCHAT 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 MERCERCHAT 3

Bars above the line = Chattanooga leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercer

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
46%6/13
2
82%9/11
25%3/12
3
58%7/12
53%8/15
4
78%7/9
30%3/10
5
88%7/8
42%5/12
6
88%7/8
36%4/11
All
78%46/59
40%29/73

Chattanooga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
20%2/10
2
42%8/19
18%2/11
3
70%7/10
20%2/10
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
70%7/10
22%2/9
6
67%6/9
13%1/8
All
60%44/73
22%13/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#MERCER-CHATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CHATCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+2.3
21-1CHATMERCERBlockedJordin Glassblk Jasmine Calton, Avery Wilks+1.9
31-2MERCERCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+2.0
42-2CHATMERCER×4KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
53-2MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sarah Frager+2.3
64-2MERCERMERCER×4KillJoselynn Sanjurjo+2.3
75-2MERCERMERCER×4BlockedBailey Burgessblk Jasmine Calton, Joselynn Sanjurjo+2.2
85-3MERCERCHATAttack errGracie Rose+1.7
96-3CHATMERCER×3KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
107-3MERCERMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
118-3MERCERMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
128-4MERCERCHATKillGracie Roseset Caiti Barthel+1.3
138-5CHATCHATAttack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+1.9
149-5CHATMERCERServe errMallory Merz+1.7
159-6MERCERCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+1.6
1610-6CHATMERCERServe errGracie Rose+1.8
1710-7MERCERCHATServe errJoselynn Sanjurjo+1.6
1811-7CHATMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
1911-8MERCERCHATServe errSammi Bergjans+1.6
2012-8CHATMERCERKillJasmine Caltonset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
2112-9MERCERCHATBad setAvery Wilks+1.6
2213-9CHATMERCERKillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
2313-10MERCERCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.7
2414-10CHATMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
2514-11MERCERCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+1.7
2615-11CHATMERCER×4KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
2716-11MERCERMERCER×4KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+2.0
2817-11MERCERMERCER×4KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
2918-11MERCERMERCER×4Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+1.0
3018-12MERCERCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.6
3119-12CHATMERCERAttack errJordin Glass+0.8
3220-12MERCERMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.6
3320-13MERCERCHATServe errBrooke Kaoui+0.3
3420-14CHATCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+0.5
3521-14CHATMERCERKillSammi Bergjans+0.7
3621-15MERCERCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+0.3
3722-15CHATMERCERAttack errJordin Glass+0.6
3822-16MERCERCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+0.2
3923-16CHATMERCER×3KillJasmine Caltonset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
4024-16MERCERMERCER×3BlockedBailey Burgessblk Lara Matta, Joselynn Sanjurjo+0.2
4125-16MERCERMERCER×3BlockedSophia Garridoblk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Jasmine Calton·
Set 2
11-0MERCERMERCER×3BlockedDelaney Wingenbachblk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta+2.0
22-0MERCERMERCER×3Attack errSophia Garrido+2.0
33-0MERCERMERCER×3KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
43-1MERCERCHATServe errSarah Frager+1.5
54-1CHATMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.6
65-1MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjo+1.8
75-2MERCERCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.3
86-2CHATMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
96-3MERCERCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.4
107-3CHATMERCERKillLara Mattaset Emily Matias+1.5
117-4MERCERCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.4
128-4CHATMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
138-5MERCERCHATServe errBrooke Kaoui+1.4
149-5CHATMERCER×3KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
1510-5MERCERMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.7
1611-5MERCERMERCER×3Attack errDelaney Wingenbach+1.4
1711-6MERCERCHATServe errSammi Bergjans+0.9
1812-6CHATMERCERKillJasmine Caltonset Sammi Bergjans+1.1
1912-7MERCERCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+0.9
2013-7CHATMERCER×3KillSammi Bergjans+1.1
2114-7MERCERMERCER×3KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.1
2215-7MERCERMERCER×3AceAubri Martinaced Kynli Kirkendoll+0.8
2315-8MERCERCHATServe errAubri Martin+0.5
2416-8CHATMERCERKillJasmine Caltonset Sammi Bergjans+0.6
2516-9MERCERCHAT×4KillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+0.4
2616-10CHATCHAT×4Attack errLara Matta+0.7
2716-11CHATCHAT×4AceMallory Merzaced Sarah Frager+1.0
2816-12CHATCHAT×4BlockedJoselynn Sanjurjoblk Gracie Rose+1.4
2917-12CHATMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
3017-13MERCERCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+1.1
3117-14CHATCHATBlockedTaylor Timkoblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Destiny Wiggins+1.8
3218-14CHATMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.9
3319-14MERCERMERCERAttack errDestiny Wiggins+1.8
3419-15MERCERCHATAttack errTaylor Timko+1.0
3520-15CHATMERCERAttack errKynli Kirkendoll+1.4
3620-16MERCERCHATAttack errLara Matta+1.0
3721-16CHATMERCER×3KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+1.4
3822-16MERCERMERCER×3Attack errJordin Glass+1.0
3923-16MERCERMERCER×3KillAvery Wilksset Sammi Bergjans+0.5
4023-17MERCERCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
4124-17CHATMERCERAttack errSophia Garrido+0.3
4224-18MERCERCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
4325-18CHATMERCERKillSammi Bergjansset Joselynn Sanjurjo+0.1
Set 3
10-1CHATCHATBlockedJasmine Caltonblk Bailey Burgess, Gracie Rose+1.3
21-1CHATMERCERServe errMallory Merz+1.0
31-2MERCERCHAT×3KillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+1.1
41-3CHATCHAT×3Attack errLara Matta+1.3
51-4CHATCHAT×3KillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz+1.3
62-4CHATMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.0
72-5MERCERCHATKillBailey Burgessset Mallory Merz+1.1
83-5CHATMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.0
93-6MERCERCHATServe errEmily Matias+1.1
104-6CHATMERCERKillSammi Bergjans+1.1
115-6MERCERMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.4
125-7MERCERCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+1.2
136-7CHATMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.2
147-7MERCERMERCERAttack errGracie Rose+1.5
157-8MERCERCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+1.3
168-8CHATMERCERServe errKynli Kirkendoll+1.2
179-8MERCERMERCERAceSammi Bergjansaced Elena Vukmanov+1.5
189-9MERCERCHATServe errSammi Bergjans+1.3
1910-9CHATMERCERAttack errGracie Rose+1.3
2010-10MERCERCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+1.3
2111-10CHATMERCERServe errGracie Rose+1.3
2211-11MERCERCHATServe errAubri Martin+1.4
2312-11CHATMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.4
2412-12MERCERCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz+1.4
2513-12CHATMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.4
2613-13MERCERCHATServe errLara Matta+1.5
2714-13CHATMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
2814-14MERCERCHATKillAshley Reynolds+1.5
2915-14CHATMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.6
3015-15MERCERCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.6
3116-15CHATMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.6
3216-16MERCERCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+1.7
3317-16CHATMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.7
3418-16MERCERMERCER×4AceAubri Martinaced Caiti Barthel+2.1
3519-16MERCERMERCER×4Attack errElena Vukmanov+1.8
3620-16MERCERMERCER×4KillJasmine Caltonset Sammi Bergjans+1.5
3720-17MERCERCHAT×3KillBailey Burgessset Mallory Merz+0.9
3820-18CHATCHAT×3Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+1.5
3920-19CHATCHAT×3KillElena Vukmanovset Kynli Kirkendoll+2.1
4021-19CHATMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.1
4122-19MERCERMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+2.1
4222-20MERCERCHATKillBailey Burgessset Mallory Merz+1.2
4323-20CHATMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
4423-21MERCERCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.1
4523-22CHATCHATAttack errLara Matta+2.4
4624-22CHATMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+3.1
4724-23MERCERCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.9
4825-23CHATMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+4.1

Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).