Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Drake def. Evansville 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Drake 95.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Drake beat visiting Evansville 3-2 (16-25, 25-14, 25-20, 23-25, 15-9) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Drake's Shay McMillen led with 22 kills, and Jasmine Dulan added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set12345Sets
EVANS2514202592
DRAKE16252523153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Katie Quick set 54 assists as Drake outlasted Evansville.

The match turned once; each line shows Drake's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Drake 95% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Evansville 4–4 Drake

    Drake scored 7 straight to go from 4–4 to an 11–4 lead.

    Drake 75% → >99%

Drake above 50Evansville belowMax swing 7.7%

EvansvilleDrake

Sideout %
Evansville 53.8·Drake 60.2
Break %
Evansville 39.8·Drake 46.2
Hitting
Evansville .223·Drake .297
Longest run
Evansville 6·Drake 7

Shay McMillen
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 22 K, .375, 27 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Drake above 50 · Evansville below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+7.7% EVANSrally 197 · set 5

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Evansville — set 4, EVANS 25-23 DRAKE. Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley). DRAKE win probability 84% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

EVANS 7.2%92.8% DRAKE

Evansville wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.2%

Drake wins

3-0
49.9%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
11.9%
EVANS break %
38.0% vs this opp
DRAKE break %
49.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lyla FisherKill+7.7%

    Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 4 · EVANS 25-23 DRAKE · EVANS 16% → 24%

  2. 02
    Shay McMillenKill+6.2%

    Kill by Shay McMillen (set by Katie Quick)

    Set 5 · EVANS 4-6 DRAKE · DRAKE 80% → 86%

  3. 03

    McKenzie Laubach stuffed by Caroline Smith & Aniyah Davis

    Set 5 · EVANS 1-2 DRAKE · DRAKE 75% → 82%

  4. 04
    Wren JonesKill+5.9%

    Kill by Wren Jones (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 5 · EVANS 4-4 DRAKE · EVANS 19% → 25%

  5. 05
    Lyla FisherKill+5.8%

    Kill by Lyla Fisher (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 5 · EVANS 1-0 DRAKE · EVANS 24% → 30%

  6. 06
    Ryan ScheuKill+5.6%

    Kill by Ryan Scheu (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 5 · EVANS 3-3 DRAKE · EVANS 19% → 24%

  7. 07
    Savannah GogelAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Savannah Gogel

    Set 5 · EVANS 4-5 DRAKE · DRAKE 75% → 80%

  8. 08
    DrakeService error+5.3%

    Drake service error

    Set 5 · EVANS 2-2 DRAKE · EVANS 18% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513952.07712280010.515.5
511232.28100020031.512.5
58628.07100020233.511.5
58620.10010220031.59.5
5307.42950011100214
5000–3201710002
521236.5280002010122
5000–211600001
5000–2031700000
1000–000000000
Team totals6425175.2235959678312993
Drakehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
522448.3750328004227
513643.16300030010.513.5
511115.66700020132.513.5
57316.25000010153.510.5
55218.1670211400218
5215.200541170010.53.5
5001.000110800001
5000–4122400001
5000–001800000
2102.500000000001
Team totals6117148.297598775521610104

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 EVANS · DRAKE 7

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 EVANSDRAKE 2

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 EVANSDRAKE 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 EVANSDRAKE 5

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 6 EVANSDRAKE 7

Set 5

9-15

Longest run 2 EVANSDRAKE 7

Bars above the line = Drake leads, below = Evansville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
58%14/24
2
48%10/21
39%7/18
3
47%9/19
31%4/13
4
60%9/15
18%2/11
5
47%8/17
36%5/14
6
62%8/13
38%5/13
All
54%56/104
40%37/93

Drake

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%11/26
41%7/17
2
83%10/12
41%7/17
3
69%9/13
41%7/17
4
100%9/9
59%13/22
5
47%9/19
50%9/18
6
57%8/14
38%5/13
All
60%56/93
46%48/104

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

197 rallies

#EVANS-DRAKESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DRAKEEVANSServe errDrake+0.5
21-1EVANSDRAKEServe errEvansville+0.5
32-1DRAKEEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Kendall Agler+0.5
43-1EVANSEVANSAttack errShay McMillen+0.8
53-2EVANSDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+0.5
63-3DRAKEDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.7
74-3DRAKEEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
84-4EVANSDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.5
95-4DRAKEEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
105-5EVANSDRAKEServe errEvansville+0.5
115-6DRAKEDRAKEAceDrake+0.6
126-6DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
136-7EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.5
146-8DRAKEDRAKEAttack errMcKenzie Laubach+0.6
157-8DRAKEEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
168-8EVANSEVANS×4Attack errCaroline Smith+0.7
179-8EVANSEVANS×4AceKendall Agler+0.9
1810-8EVANSEVANS×4KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.1
1910-9EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.7
2011-9DRAKEEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
2112-9EVANSEVANSKillWren Jonesset Kendall Agler+1.3
2212-10EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Jasmine Dulan+0.8
2313-10DRAKEEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.1
2414-10EVANSEVANSAceLexi Owen+1.4
2514-11EVANSDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+0.8
2615-11DRAKEEVANSKillCarsyn Kelleyset Brooke Herdes+1.2
2715-12EVANSDRAKEServe errEvansville+0.8
2816-12DRAKEEVANSServe errDrake+1.2
2916-13EVANSDRAKEKillKatie Quickset Bella Faria+0.9
3017-13DRAKEEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
3117-14EVANSDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.9
3218-14DRAKEEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
3319-14EVANSEVANS×3Attack errCaroline Smith+1.5
3420-14EVANSEVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.2
3520-15EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.5
3620-16DRAKEDRAKEBad setCarsyn Kelley+0.9
3721-16DRAKEEVANS×5BlockedKamryn Behrnsblk McKenzie Laubach, Wren Jones+1.2
3822-16EVANSEVANS×5KillWren Jonesset Kendall Agler+1.0
3923-16EVANSEVANS×5KillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.6
4024-16EVANSEVANS×5Attack errCaroline Smith+0.2
4125-16EVANSEVANS×5BlockedAniyah Davisblk Savannah Gogel, Ryan Scheu·
Set 2
11-0EVANSEVANSAceKendall Agler+1.8
22-0EVANSEVANSAttack errKamryn Behrns+2.1
32-1EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.4
43-1DRAKEEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.7
53-2EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.5
63-3DRAKEDRAKEAceDrake+1.8
74-3DRAKEEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+1.6
84-4EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.4
95-4DRAKEEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.7
105-5EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.5
115-6DRAKEDRAKEAceDrake+1.7
126-6DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.5
136-7EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.4
147-7DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.6
157-8EVANSDRAKE×3Serve errEvansville+1.4
167-9DRAKEDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smith+1.6
177-10DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedLyla Fisherblk Aniyah Davis, Kamryn Behrns+1.3
188-10DRAKEEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.1
199-10EVANSEVANS×3Attack errCaroline Smith+1.8
2010-10EVANSEVANS×3BlockedCaroline Smithblk McKenzie Laubach, Ryan Scheu+2.2
2110-11EVANSDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.6
2210-12DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.9
2311-12DRAKEEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.5
2411-13EVANSDRAKE×4KillKatie Quickset Jasmine Dulan+1.5
2511-14DRAKEDRAKE×4KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.6
2611-15DRAKEDRAKE×4KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.2
2711-16DRAKEDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Jasmine Dulan+0.9
2812-16DRAKEEVANSBlockedBliss Beckblk Lyla Fisher+0.6
2912-17EVANSDRAKE×4Serve errEvansville+0.7
3012-18DRAKEDRAKE×4AceDrake+0.6
3112-19DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errWren Jones+0.3
3212-20DRAKEDRAKE×4KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.2
3313-20DRAKEEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
3413-21EVANSDRAKEServe errEvansville+0.1
3513-22DRAKEDRAKEAceDrake+0.1
3614-22DRAKEEVANSServe errDrake·
3714-23EVANSDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick·
3814-24DRAKEDRAKE×3Attack errWren Jones·
3914-25DRAKEDRAKE×3KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick·
Set 3
11-0DRAKEEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.2
22-0EVANSEVANSAttack errCaroline Smith+1.8
32-1EVANSDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.2
42-2DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errWren Jones+1.5
52-3DRAKEDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Jasmine Dulan+1.3
62-4DRAKEDRAKE×4BlockedSavannah Gogelblk Aniyah Davis+1.1
73-4DRAKEEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
83-5EVANSDRAKEAttack errWren Jones+0.9
94-5DRAKEEVANSServe errDrake+1.0
105-5EVANSEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Wren Jones+1.5
115-6EVANSDRAKE×5KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.1
125-7DRAKEDRAKE×5KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.3
135-8DRAKEDRAKE×5AceDrake+1.1
145-9DRAKEDRAKE×5KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.8
155-10DRAKEDRAKE×5Attack errSavannah Gogel+0.6
166-10DRAKEEVANSAttack errShay McMillen+0.5
176-11EVANSDRAKEServe errEvansville+0.5
187-11DRAKEEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
198-11EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
209-11EVANSEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.2
219-12EVANSDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.9
229-13DRAKEDRAKEAttack errRyan Scheu+1.0
2310-13DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.7
2410-14EVANSDRAKEBlockedWren Jonesblk Katie Quick, Aniyah Davis+0.8
2510-15DRAKEDRAKEBlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Aniyah Davis, Kamryn Behrns+0.7
2611-15DRAKEEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
2711-16EVANSDRAKEServe errEvansville+0.6
2811-17DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.5
2912-17DRAKEEVANSBlockedAniyah Davisblk Savannah Gogel+0.3
3012-18EVANSDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+0.4
3113-18DRAKEEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
3214-18EVANSEVANSAceWren Jones+0.6
3314-19EVANSDRAKEBlockedSavannah Gogelblk Shay McMillen, Bliss Beck+0.6
3415-19DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
3515-20EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.6
3616-20DRAKEEVANS×4KillCarsyn Kelley+0.4
3717-20EVANSEVANS×4KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
3818-20EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.6
3919-20EVANSEVANS×4KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+2.5
4019-21EVANSDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+2.2
4120-21DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+2.1
4220-22EVANSDRAKE×4KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+2.5
4320-23DRAKEDRAKE×4KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.2
4420-24DRAKEDRAKE×4AceDrake+1.1
4520-25DRAKEDRAKE×4KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+0.3
Set 4
11-0EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Lexi Owen+1.1
22-0EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
33-0EVANSEVANS×4AceWren Jones+1.4
44-0EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.6
54-1EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.0
65-1DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Brooke Herdes+1.3
75-2EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.0
85-3DRAKEDRAKEKillBliss Beck+1.4
96-3DRAKEEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
107-3EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.8
118-3EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.9
128-4EVANSDRAKE×7KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.1
138-5DRAKEDRAKE×7KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.5
148-6DRAKEDRAKE×7BlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Shay McMillen, Bliss Beck+1.5
158-7DRAKEDRAKE×7Attack errLyla Fisher+1.5
168-8DRAKEDRAKE×7KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.3
178-9DRAKEDRAKE×7KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.2
188-10DRAKEDRAKE×7BlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Bliss Beck+1.0
199-10DRAKEEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.9
209-11EVANSDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.8
2110-11DRAKEEVANS×6Serve errDrake+0.9
2211-11EVANSEVANS×6KillSavannah Gogel+1.4
2312-11EVANSEVANS×6KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+1.8
2413-11EVANSEVANS×6KillRyan Scheuset McKenzie Laubach+2.1
2514-11EVANSEVANS×6BlockedKatie Quickblk Savannah Gogel, Ryan Scheu+2.3
2615-11EVANSEVANS×6KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.4
2715-12EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.4
2816-12DRAKEEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.0
2916-13EVANSDRAKEAttack errWren Jones+1.4
3017-13DRAKEEVANSKillSavannah Gogelset Carsyn Kelley+2.1
3117-14EVANSDRAKEAttack errSavannah Gogel+1.5
3218-14DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+2.2
3318-15EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.5
3419-15DRAKEEVANSServe errDrake+2.3
3519-16EVANSDRAKEKillLisa Melencianoset Katie Quick+1.5
3620-16DRAKEEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubach+2.4
3720-17EVANSDRAKEAttack errMcKenzie Laubach+1.5
3821-17DRAKEEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.4
3921-18EVANSDRAKEAttack errWren Jones+1.4
4022-18DRAKEEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+2.5
4122-19EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.3
4223-19DRAKEEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+2.5
4323-20EVANSDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.1
4423-21DRAKEDRAKEBlockedSavannah Gogelblk Aniyah Davis, Shay McMillen+2.3
4524-21DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Lexi Owen+3.5
4624-22EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+1.3
4724-23DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+3.5
4825-23DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+7.7
Set 5
11-0DRAKEEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+5.8
21-1EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+5.1
31-2DRAKEDRAKEBlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Caroline Smith, Aniyah Davis+6.1
42-2DRAKEEVANSServe errDrake+5.3
52-3EVANSDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+4.8
63-3DRAKEEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+5.6
73-4EVANSDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+5.1
84-4DRAKEEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+5.9
94-5EVANSDRAKE×7Attack errSavannah Gogel+5.5
104-6DRAKEDRAKE×7KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+6.2
114-7DRAKEDRAKE×7Attack errWren Jones+5.0
124-8DRAKEDRAKE×7KillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+3.6
134-9DRAKEDRAKE×7KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+2.4
144-10DRAKEDRAKE×7AceDrakeaced Kendall Agler+1.4
154-11DRAKEDRAKE×7BlockedRyan Scheublk Shay McMillen, Bliss Beck+0.7
165-11DRAKEEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
175-12EVANSDRAKEAttack errWren Jones+0.4
185-13DRAKEDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.2
196-13DRAKEEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
207-13EVANSEVANSBlockedAniyah Davisblk Savannah Gogel+0.2
217-14EVANSDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.2
228-14DRAKEEVANSBlockedShay McMillenblk Carsyn Kelley, Savannah Gogel·
239-14EVANSEVANSBlockedShay McMillenblk McKenzie Laubach, Carsyn Kelley+0.2
249-15EVANSDRAKEServe errEvansville+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Evansville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).