Manhattan vs Iona Volleyball: Manhattan Wins 3-2 (Oct 27)

Final · 5 setsTue, Oct 27, 2026ESPN+

3:2

RallyIQ pre-match: Iona 76.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Manhattan won at Iona 3-2 (22-25, 12-25, 25-15, 25-17, 15-13) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Katie Powers led Manhattan with 15 kills; Iona's Julia Leonardo had a match-high 17.

Data through Nov 4, 3:35 PM CT · final Oct 27

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
MANHAT	22	12	25	25	15	3
IONA	25	25	15	17	13	2

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Manhattan was down 0–2 and at 5%, and won.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Manhattan's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Iona was RallyIQ's 76% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 5 · Manhattan 0–1 Iona
Down 0–1, Manhattan scored 3 straight to lead 3–1. The match swung to Manhattan.
Manhattan 31% → 55%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · Manhattan 4–3 Iona
Up 4–3, Manhattan scored 3 straight to make it 7–3.
Manhattan 50% → 77%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Manhattan 11–10 Iona
Up 11–10, Manhattan scored 3 straight to make it 14–10.
Manhattan 60% → 97%

Iona above 50Manhattan belowMax swing 24.4%

ManhattanIona

Sideout %: Manhattan 61.5·Iona 59.2
Break %: Manhattan 40.8·Iona 38.5
Hitting: Manhattan .253·Iona .213
Longest run: Manhattan 7·Iona 7

Katie Powers
15 kills on .324, 15.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Iona above 50 · Manhattan below

Biggest swing: 24.4% to Manhattan — set 5, MANHAT 15-13 IONA. Kill by Katie Powers (set by Ori Briger). IONA win probability 24% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MANHAT 26.8%73.2% IONA

Manhattan wins

3-0

4.9%

3-1

9.3%

3-2

12.7%

Iona wins

3-0

25.6%

3-1

28.0%

3-2

19.6%

MANHAT break %: 40.7% vs this opp
IONA break %: 45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Katie PowersKill+24.4%
Kill by Katie Powers (set by Ori Briger)
Set 5 · MANHAT 15-13 IONA · MANHAT 76% → 100%
02
Julia LeonardoAttack error+14.5%
Attack error by Julia Leonardo
Set 5 · MANHAT 13-10 IONA · MANHAT 73% → 88%
03
Julia LeonardoKill+13.1%
Kill by Julia Leonardo (set by Jaylyn Simon)
Set 5 · MANHAT 14-13 IONA · IONA 11% → 24%
04
Lyla AuthKill+13.1%
Kill by Lyla Auth (set by Ori Briger)
Set 5 · MANHAT 12-10 IONA · MANHAT 60% → 73%
05
Emma FrancesconiKill+13.0%
Kill by Emma Francesconi (set by Julia Pfleger)
Set 5 · MANHAT 11-8 IONA · MANHAT 67% → 80%
06
Julia LeonardoKill+12.5%
Kill by Julia Leonardo (set by Jaylyn Simon)
Set 5 · MANHAT 11-10 IONA · IONA 27% → 40%
07
Abby MorrealeKill+10.8%
Kill by Abby Morreale (set by Emilia Kuzniar)
Set 5 · MANHAT 10-8 IONA · MANHAT 56% → 67%
08
Buse TinazAce+10.6%
Ace by Buse Tinaz on Anna Duncan
Set 5 · MANHAT 8-7 IONA · IONA 35% → 46%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Manhattanaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Abby MorrealeMB	5	11	3	27	.296	0	0	4	4	0	3	4	5	16
6Katie PowersOH	5	15	4	34	.324	1	0	0	10	2	0	1	0.5	15.5
8Emma FrancesconiOH	5	10	3	31	.226	1	2	0	12	2	0	2	1	13
10Ori BrigerS	5	3	1	7	.286	32	3	1	12	0	0	0	0	6
88Laura HernandezMB	2	6	0	14	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
16Mikalah CurranOH	2	5	5	18	.000	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	5
28Hanna KaczynskaOH	5	8	2	22	.273	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
4Emilia KuzniarS	5	0	0	2	.000	23	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
15Anna DuncanDS	5	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	12	4	0	0	0	0
3Julia PflegerL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	0
12Helenn MontillaMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
5Lyla AuthMB	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
9Kaitlyn DoyleL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
2Karsyn HarrisOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		67	21	182	.253	62	5	6	81	9	4	14	11	99

Ionahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Julia LeonardoOH	5	17	3	50	.280	0	3	2	9	3	0	2	1	21
11Kari SmithOH	5	14	5	33	.273	0	2	1	12	0	1	0	1	17
4Buse TinazMB	5	9	5	23	.174	0	1	1	3	0	0	5	2.5	12.5
14Katherine FerngOH	5	7	4	28	.107	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	9
18Ezzie ThompsonMB	5	4	3	16	.063	1	0	0	1	0	1	6	4	8
15Jaylyn SimonS	5	0	0	0	–	28	2	0	7	0	0	0	0	2
8Emma KocejaOH	5	6	1	18	.278	0	0	0	3	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
2Sanem BasOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Avery GaumeL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	5	0	0	24	1	0	0	0	0
3Grace DanielsS	5	0	0	1	.000	21	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
23Alex PatsosOH	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	2
Team totals		59	22	174	.213	55	9	4	74	5	2	22	13	95

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Manhattan vs Iona

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Tue, Sep 29, 2026Iona at Manhattan · Iona won 3-0Result →
Tue, Oct 27, 2026Manhattan at Iona · Manhattan won 3-2This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MANHAT · IONA 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 MANHATIONA 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 3 MANHATIONA 7

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 7 MANHATIONA 2

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 MANHATIONA 3

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 3 MANHATIONA 3

Bars above the line = Iona leads, below = Manhattan leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Manhattan

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	77%10/13	61%11/18
2	56%10/18	38%6/16
3	89%8/9	20%2/10
4	89%8/9	47%7/15
5	62%8/13	11%1/9
6	70%7/10	53%9/17
All	71%51/72	42%36/85

Iona

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%10/18	33%5/15
2	73%8/11	41%7/17
3	53%8/15	20%2/10
4	80%8/10	11%1/9
5	67%8/12	27%3/11
6	37%7/19	30%3/10
All	58%49/85	29%21/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

194 rallies

#	MANHAT-IONA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IONA	MANHAT	Serve err	Kari Smith		+1.5
2	1-1	MANHAT	IONA×3	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.5
3	1-2	IONA	IONA×3	Blocked	Katie Powers	blk Buse Tinaz, Julia Leonardo	+1.8
4	1-3	IONA	IONA×3	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Katherine Ferng, Buse Tinaz	+1.7
5	2-3	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	+1.4
6	2-4	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.3
7	3-4	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Ori Briger	+1.4
8	3-5	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Grace Daniels	+1.4
9	4-5	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.4
10	4-6	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Grace Daniels	+1.4
11	4-7	IONA	IONA	Attack err	Hanna Kaczynska		+1.7
12	5-7	IONA	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Ezzie Thompson		+1.3
13	6-7	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Blocked	Ezzie Thompson	blk Abby Morreale	+1.9
14	7-7	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Kari Smith		+2.2
15	7-8	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Grace Daniels	+1.7
16	8-8	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.8
17	8-9	MANHAT	IONA	Attack err	Emma Francesconi		+1.7
18	9-9	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+1.8
19	9-10	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Avery Gaume	+1.8
20	10-10	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+1.9
21	10-11	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.8
22	11-11	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Laura Hernandez	set Ori Briger	+1.9
23	11-12	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Grace Daniels	+1.9
24	12-12	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Laura Hernandez	set Mikalah Curran	+2.0
25	13-12	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Laura Hernandez	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.9
26	13-13	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Grace Daniels	+2.1
27	14-13	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.4
28	15-13	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+3.2
29	15-14	MANHAT	IONA	Blocked	Emma Francesconi	blk Emma Koceja, Ezzie Thompson	+2.2
30	15-15	IONA	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+3.1
31	16-15	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.6
32	16-16	MANHAT	IONA	Attack err	Mikalah Curran		+2.5
33	16-17	IONA	IONA	Ace	Kari Smith	aced Anna Duncan	+3.2
34	17-17	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	+2.6
35	17-18	MANHAT	IONA×4	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+2.6
36	17-19	IONA	IONA×4	Blocked	Katie Powers	blk Buse Tinaz, Julia Leonardo	+3.2
37	17-20	IONA	IONA×4	Ace	Sanem Bas	aced Anna Duncan	+2.7
38	17-21	IONA	IONA×4	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Buse Tinaz, Katherine Ferng	+1.9
39	18-21	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Ori Briger	+1.0
40	18-22	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.5
41	19-22	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	+0.9
42	20-22	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.0
43	20-23	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Grace Daniels	+2.3
44	21-23	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.4
45	21-24	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Grace Daniels	+2.4
46	22-24	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Laura Hernandez		+1.0
47	22-25	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Emma Koceja	set Grace Daniels	+2.2
Set 2
1	0-1	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.1
2	1-1	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+1.1
3	1-2	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.1
4	2-2	IONA	MANHAT	Attack err	Buse Tinaz		+1.2
5	2-3	MANHAT	IONA×5	Serve err	Abby Morreale		+1.1
6	2-4	IONA	IONA×5	Ace	Julia Leonardo	aced Emma Francesconi	+1.4
7	2-5	IONA	IONA×5	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Ori Briger	+1.3
8	2-6	IONA	IONA×5	Kill	Buse Tinaz		+1.1
9	2-7	IONA	IONA×5	Ace	Julia Leonardo	aced Mikalah Curran	+0.9
10	3-7	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Laura Hernandez	set Ori Briger	+0.7
11	3-8	MANHAT	IONA×3	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Grace Daniels	+0.7
12	3-9	IONA	IONA×3	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Ezzie Thompson, Emma Koceja	+0.8
13	3-10	IONA	IONA×3	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Emma Koceja, Ezzie Thompson	+0.6
14	4-10	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Laura Hernandez	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.4
15	5-10		MANHAT	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
16	5-11	MANHAT	IONA×7	Kill	Kari Smith	set Grace Daniels	+0.6
17	5-12	IONA	IONA×7	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Avery Gaume	+0.6
18	5-13	IONA	IONA×7	Blocked	Hanna Kaczynska	blk Kari Smith	+0.4
19	5-14	IONA	IONA×7	Ace	Jaylyn Simon	aced Anna Duncan	+0.3
20	5-15	IONA	IONA×7	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.2
21	5-16	IONA	IONA×7	Kill	Kari Smith	set Katie Powers	+0.1
22	5-17	IONA	IONA×7	Ace	Jaylyn Simon	aced Katie Powers	+0.1
23	6-17	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	·
24	7-17	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	·
25	7-18	MANHAT	IONA×4	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.1
26	7-19	IONA	IONA×4	Blocked	Abby Morreale	blk Katherine Ferng, Ezzie Thompson	·
27	7-20	IONA	IONA×4	Blocked	Ori Briger	blk Ezzie Thompson	·
28	7-21	IONA	IONA×4	Kill	Ezzie Thompson	set Jaylyn Simon	·
29	8-21	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	·
30	8-22	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	·
31	9-22	IONA	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Katherine Ferng		·
32	10-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Buse Tinaz		·
33	11-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Buse Tinaz		·
34	11-23	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Jaylyn Simon	·
35	12-23	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	·
36	12-24	MANHAT	IONA	Serve err	Abby Morreale		·
37	12-25	IONA	IONA	Ace	Julia Leonardo	aced Emma Francesconi	·
Set 3
1	1-0	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	+0.6
2	1-1	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.6
3	2-1	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.7
4	3-1	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Buse Tinaz		+0.9
5	3-2	MANHAT	IONA	Serve err	Abby Morreale		+0.6
6	4-2	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emma Francesconi	+0.7
7	4-3	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Grace Daniels	+0.6
8	5-3	IONA	MANHAT	Serve err	Julia Leonardo		+0.7
9	5-4	MANHAT	IONA	Blocked	Helenn Montilla	blk Buse Tinaz, Emma Koceja	+0.7
10	5-5	IONA	IONA	Blocked	Emma Francesconi	blk Emma Koceja, Ezzie Thompson	+0.9
11	6-5	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Hanna Kaczynska	+0.7
12	7-5	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Anna Duncan	+1.0
13	7-6	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Ezzie Thompson	set Grace Daniels	+0.7
14	8-6	IONA	MANHAT×7	Bad set	Jaylyn Simon		+0.8
15	9-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Blocked	Katherine Ferng	blk Emma Francesconi, Abby Morreale	+1.0
16	10-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	+1.0
17	11-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Kill	Lyla Auth	set Ori Briger	+1.0
18	12-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Blocked	Katherine Ferng	blk Abby Morreale, Emma Francesconi	+0.9
19	13-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Kill	Abby Morreale		+0.7
20	14-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×7	Ace	Manhattan	aced Alex Patsos	+0.6
21	14-7	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.3
22	15-7	IONA	MANHAT	Blocked	Ezzie Thompson	blk Abby Morreale	+0.4
23	15-8	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Avery Gaume	+0.3
24	16-8	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.4
25	16-9	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.3
26	16-10	IONA	IONA	Attack err	Lyla Auth		+0.5
27	17-10	IONA	MANHAT×4	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+0.5
28	18-10	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Blocked	Emma Koceja	blk Helenn Montilla, Hanna Kaczynska	+0.5
29	19-10	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.3
30	20-10	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.2
31	20-11	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Grace Daniels	+0.1
32	21-11	IONA	MANHAT	Serve err	Julia Leonardo		+0.1
33	21-12	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Grace Daniels	·
34	22-12	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.1
35	22-13	MANHAT	IONA	Serve err	Anna Duncan		·
36	23-13	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	·
37	23-14	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	·
38	24-14	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Ori Briger	set Emma Francesconi	·
39	24-15	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Jaylyn Simon	·
40	25-15	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	·
Set 4
1	1-0	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	+2.4
2	2-0	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	Manhattan	aced Julia Leonardo	+2.5
3	2-1	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.8
4	3-1	IONA	MANHAT×3	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	+2.0
5	4-1	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Ace	Manhattan	aced Julia Leonardo	+2.7
6	5-1	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Ace	Manhattan	aced Julia Leonardo	+2.7
7	5-2	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.8
8	6-2	IONA	MANHAT	Blocked	Buse Tinaz	blk Abby Morreale	+2.2
9	7-2	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Ori Briger	set Katie Powers	+2.7
10	7-3	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Emma Koceja	set Grace Daniels	+1.7
11	8-3	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Lyla Auth	set Ori Briger	+2.1
12	8-4	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Grace Daniels	+1.7
13	9-4	IONA	MANHAT	Serve err	Buse Tinaz		+2.1
14	9-5	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Emma Koceja	set Grace Daniels	+1.7
15	10-5	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.2
16	11-5	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.5
17	11-6	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Alex Patsos	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.5
18	12-6	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.0
19	13-6	MANHAT	MANHAT	Blocked	Alex Patsos	blk Abby Morreale, Lyla Auth	+2.1
20	13-7	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Ezzie Thompson	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.2
21	14-7	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Lyla Auth	set Ori Briger	+1.6
22	14-8	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+1.1
23	14-9	IONA	IONA	Kill	Alex Patsos	set Grace Daniels	+1.9
24	15-9	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	+2.0
25	15-10	MANHAT	IONA	Serve err	Abby Morreale		+1.4
26	16-10	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+2.0
27	17-10	MANHAT	MANHAT	Blocked	Kari Smith	blk Hanna Kaczynska, Helenn Montilla	+1.9
28	17-11	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Emma Koceja	set Grace Daniels	+0.9
29	18-11	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.4
30	18-12	MANHAT	IONA×3	Kill	Kari Smith	set Avery Gaume	+0.9
31	18-13	IONA	IONA×3	Kill	Ezzie Thompson		+1.6
32	18-14	IONA	IONA×3	Attack err	Helenn Montilla		+2.1
33	19-14	IONA	MANHAT×5	Blocked	Katherine Ferng	blk Helenn Montilla	+2.4
34	20-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Attack err	Kari Smith		+2.2
35	21-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.4
36	22-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.7
37	23-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×5	Blocked	Kari Smith	blk Hanna Kaczynska, Abby Morreale	+0.3
38	23-15	MANHAT	IONA×3	Kill	Kari Smith	set Ezzie Thompson	+0.1
39	23-16	IONA	IONA×3	Attack err	Abby Morreale		+0.1
40	23-17	IONA	IONA×3	Blocked	Abby Morreale	blk Ezzie Thompson, Katherine Ferng	+0.3
41	24-17	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.5
42	25-17	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	Manhattan	aced Avery Gaume	+1.0
Set 5
1	0-1	IONA	IONA	Ace	Kari Smith	aced Katie Powers	+7.7
2	1-1	IONA	MANHAT×3	Kill	Ori Briger	set Anna Duncan	+6.2
3	2-1	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Julia Leonardo		+8.8
4	3-1	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+9.4
5	3-2	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+6.5
6	4-2	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+7.7
7	4-3	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+6.8
8	5-3	IONA	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Julia Leonardo		+8.0
9	6-3	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emilia Kuzniar	+10.2
10	7-3	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Katie Powers	set Emilia Kuzniar	+9.4
11	7-4	MANHAT	IONA	Attack err	Katie Powers		+5.6
12	7-5	IONA	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Avery Gaume	+8.8
13	8-5	IONA	MANHAT	Blocked	Kari Smith	blk Katie Powers, Helenn Montilla	+8.7
14	8-6	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Emma Koceja	set Grace Daniels	+6.9
15	8-7	IONA	IONA	Ace	Buse Tinaz	aced Anna Duncan	+10.6
16	9-7	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emilia Kuzniar	+10.1
17	9-8	MANHAT	IONA	Kill	Emma Koceja	set Grace Daniels	+8.5
18	10-8	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	+10.8
19	11-8	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Julia Pfleger	+13.0
20	11-9	MANHAT	IONA	Serve err	Ori Briger		+7.1
21	11-10	IONA	IONA	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+12.5
22	12-10	IONA	MANHAT×3	Kill	Lyla Auth	set Ori Briger	+13.1
23	13-10	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Julia Leonardo		+14.5
24	14-10	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+9.1
25	14-11	MANHAT	IONA×3	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+2.1
26	14-12	IONA	IONA×3	Attack err	Katie Powers		+6.1
27	14-13	IONA	IONA×3	Kill	Julia Leonardo	set Jaylyn Simon	+13.1
28	15-13	IONA	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+24.4

Score shown after each rally, Manhattan first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Manhattan def. Iona 3–2

Manhattan was down 0–2 and at 5%, and won.