Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on ESPN+

LMU (CA) def. Santa Clara 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: LMU (CA) 70.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LMU (CA) beat visiting Santa Clara 3-1 (25-19, 25-17, 20-25, 25-21) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. LMU (CA)'s Maria Tabacuks led with 23 kills, and Gabriella Cascione added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set1234Sets
STCLAR191725211
LMU252520253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: LMU (CA) won all four.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.1 points. Santa Clara peaked at 28% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. LMU (CA) went in as RallyIQ's 70% pick.

Santa ClaraLMU (CA)
  • Break %+8.2 pts
    38.646.8

    44 of 94 on serve vs 32 of 83, so Santa Clara's sideout was 53.2%.

  • Hitting+.084
    .155.239

    50 K / 17 E against 51 K / 28 E.

LMU (CA) above 50Santa Clara belowMax swing 3.1%

Santa ClaraLMU (CA)

Aces
Santa Clara 2·LMU (CA) 4
Serve err
Santa Clara 10·LMU (CA) 12
Blocks
Santa Clara 5·LMU (CA) 121 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Santa Clara 65·LMU (CA) 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

LMU (CA) above 50 · Santa Clara below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.1% LMUrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.1% to LMU (CA) — set 4, STCLAR 6-7 LMU. Cate Shanahan stuffed by Nicole Schuetz & Zaria Thornton. LMU win probability 83% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STCLAR 29.6%70.4% LMU

Santa Clara wins

3-0
5.6%
3-1
10.4%
3-2
13.6%

LMU (CA) wins

3-0
23.5%
3-1
27.0%
3-2
19.9%
STCLAR break %
37.8% vs this opp
LMU break %
41.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Cate Shanahan stuffed by Nicole Schuetz & Zaria Thornton

    Set 4 · STCLAR 6-7 LMU · LMU 83% → 86%

  2. 02

    Maria Tabacuks stuffed by Allison Dzieciuch & Cate Shanahan

    Set 4 · STCLAR 4-1 LMU · STCLAR 21% → 24%

  3. 03

    Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Delfina Schuh)

    Set 4 · STCLAR 5-5 LMU · LMU 80% → 83%

  4. 04
    Anya SantracAce+3.0%

    Ace by Anya Santrac on Tia Kapihe

    Set 4 · STCLAR 5-4 LMU · LMU 77% → 80%

  5. 05
    Morgan HayesKill+3.0%

    Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 4 · STCLAR 5-1 LMU · STCLAR 24% → 27%

  6. 06
    Cate ShanahanKill+3.0%

    Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Lexi Trapani)

    Set 4 · STCLAR 2-0 LMU · STCLAR 18% → 21%

  7. 07
    Cate ShanahanAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Cate Shanahan

    Set 4 · STCLAR 6-8 LMU · LMU 86% → 89%

  8. 08

    Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Delfina Schuh)

    Set 4 · STCLAR 5-3 LMU · LMU 74% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416428.42900240111.517.5
413847.106001110010.513.5
43615-.20010030031.54.5
4117.00039001200212
41011.000015400002
1126-.167000200001
4002.0005111300001
41011.0000011110001
33311.00000000010.53.5
29015.600000100009
23415-.067100400003
Team totals5128148.1554621065418582
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
423548.37501482010.524.5
413432.28101113012216
48432.12500350031.59.5
4427.286000101437
4117.00000000153.54.5
41111.0004102120031.52.5
4000–021100002
4001.0004012000000
2000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5017138.239454126123181295

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Santa Clara vs LMU (CA)

Season series · LMU (CA) leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 STCLAR · LMU 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 STCLARLMU 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 STCLARLMU 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 STCLARLMU 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 STCLARLMU 4

Bars above the line = LMU (CA) leads, below = Santa Clara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Santa Clara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
50%7/14
2
47%7/15
38%5/13
3
50%6/12
36%4/11
4
55%6/11
25%2/8
5
100%6/6
33%3/9
6
55%6/11
33%3/9
All
57%39/69
38%24/64

LMU (CA)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
57%8/14
2
73%8/11
20%2/10
3
58%7/12
59%10/17
4
86%6/7
50%6/12
5
55%6/11
33%3/9
6
63%5/8
14%1/7
All
63%40/64
43%30/69

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#STCLAR-LMUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LMULMU×3BlockedDanielle Brownblk Zaria Thornton+2.2
20-2LMULMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Gabriella Cascione+2.1
30-3LMULMU×3KillMaria Tabacuks+1.9
41-3LMUSTCLARAttack errMaria Tabacuks+1.2
52-3STCLARSTCLARAttack errCamille Pomeroy+2.1
62-4STCLARLMUKillDelfina Schuh+1.4
72-5LMULMUKillNicole Schuetzset Kaia Grieve+2.0
83-5STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
93-6STCLARLMU×5KillNicole Schuetz+1.3
103-7LMULMU×5Bad setLexi Trapani+1.8
113-8LMULMU×5BlockedKaia Grieveblk Camille Pomeroy, Nicole Schuetz+1.5
123-9LMU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
133-10LMULMU×5KillCamille Pomeroyset Delfina Schuh+0.9
144-10LMUSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Kaia Grieve+0.5
154-11STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+0.6
165-11LMUSTCLARServe errKayla Lopez+0.5
175-12STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+0.6
186-12LMUSTCLARServe errNicole Schuetz+0.4
197-12STCLARSTCLARAttack errMaria Tabacuks+0.9
207-13STCLARLMU×4BlockedGrace Flanaganblk Anya Santrac, Zaria Thornton+0.8
21–237-16LMU 3
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
248-16LMUSTCLAR×4KillCate Shanahan+0.1
259-16STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
2610-16STCLARSTCLAR×4Serve errSanta Clara+0.5
2711-16STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
2811-17STCLARLMUAttack errDanielle Brown+0.7
2912-17LMUSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
3013-17STCLARSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.1
3113-18STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.0
3214-18LMUSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
3315-18STCLARSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuch+1.6
3415-19STCLARLMUServe errSanta Clara+1.5
3516-19LMUSTCLARAttack errAnya Santrac+1.1
3617-19STCLARSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Macy Hinshaw+2.4
3717-20STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+2.1
3818-20LMUSTCLARBlockedAnya Santracblk Macy Hinshaw, Allison Dzieciuch+1.6
3918-21STCLARLMUServe errSanta Clara+2.1
4018-22LMULMUAttack errCate Shanahan+2.2
4119-22LMUSTCLARServe errNicole Schuetz+0.8
4219-23STCLARLMU×3KillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+1.3
4319-24LMULMU×3Attack errCate Shanahan+0.8
4419-25LMULMU×3Attack errGrace Flanagan+0.2
Set 2
10-1STCLARLMUBlockedMacy Hinshawblk Camille Pomeroy, Delfina Schuh+1.2
21-1LMUSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
31-2STCLARLMU×4KillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.2
41-3LMULMU×4BlockedKaia Grieveblk Camille Pomeroy, Nicole Schuetz+1.8
51-4LMULMU×4Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+1.6
61-5LMULMU×4Attack errMorgan Hayes+1.4
72-5LMUSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
82-6STCLARLMUKillCamille Pomeroyset Delfina Schuh+1.0
93-6LMUSTCLARServe errMaria Tabacuks+0.9
103-7STCLARLMUAttack errAllison Dzieciuch+1.0
114-7LMUSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
125-7STCLARSTCLARAttack errZaria Thornton+1.6
135-8STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+1.2
146-8LMUSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.1
156-9STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+1.2
167-9LMUSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.1
177-10STCLARLMUBlockedMorgan Hayesblk Maria Tabacuks, Zaria Thornton+1.2
188-10LMUSTCLARServe errGabriella Cascione+1.2
198-11STCLARLMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.3
208-12LMULMU×3Attack errKaia Grieve+1.6
218-13LMULMU×3Attack errKaia Grieve+1.3
229-13LMUSTCLARAttack errCamille Pomeroy+0.7
2310-13STCLARSTCLARBlockedNicole Schuetzblk Macy Hinshaw, Allison Dzieciuch+1.4
2410-14STCLARLMU×3KillCamille Pomeroyset Delfina Schuh+1.1
2510-15LMULMU×3KillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+1.3
2610-16LMULMU×3Attack errDelfina Schuh+0.9
2711-16LMUSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
2811-17STCLARLMU×3Serve errSanta Clara+0.6
2911-18LMULMU×3AceMaria Tabacuks+0.6
3011-19LMULMU×3BlockedAllison Dzieciuchblk Anya Santrac+0.3
3112-19LMUSTCLARAttack errAnya Santrac+0.1
3213-19STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
3313-20STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+0.3
3414-20LMUSTCLARServe errNicole Schuetz+0.2
3514-21STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Gabriella Cascione+0.3
3614-22LMULMUAttack errCate Shanahan+0.2
3715-22LMUSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw·
3816-22STCLARSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3916-23STCLARLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+0.2
4016-24LMULMUAttack errMorgan Hayes+0.1
4117-24LMUSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw·
4217-25STCLARLMUKillCamille Pomeroyset Delfina Schuh·
Set 3
10-1LMULMU×4KillMaria Tabacuksset Gabriella Cascione+1.0
20-2LMULMU×4Bad setMacy Hinshaw+0.9
30-3LMULMU×4Attack errGrace Flanagan+0.9
40-4LMULMU×4BlockedGrace Flanaganblk Camille Pomeroy+0.8
51-4LMUSTCLARKillTia Kapiheset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
61-5STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+0.5
72-5LMUSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
82-6STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+0.5
92-7LMULMUAttack errCate Shanahan+0.7
103-7LMUSTCLARServe errMaria Tabacuks+0.4
114-7STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahan+0.7
124-8STCLARLMU×3Serve errSanta Clara+0.5
134-9LMULMU×3AceKayla Lopez+0.7
144-10LMULMU×3KillZaria Thornton+0.5
155-10LMUSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+0.3
165-11STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+0.4
176-11LMUSTCLAR×4KillAshlynn Reilly+0.3
187-11STCLARSTCLAR×4KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
198-11STCLARSTCLAR×4KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
209-11STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Maria Tabacuks+0.9
219-12STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+0.7
229-13LMULMUAceKayla Lopez+0.9
2310-13LMUSTCLARServe errAnya Santrac+0.5
2410-14STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+0.6
2511-14LMUSTCLAR×4KillSelin Aslayanset Lexi Trapani+0.5
2612-14STCLARSTCLAR×4KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
2713-14STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.2
2814-14STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errNicole Schuetz+1.5
2914-15STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Gabriella Cascione+1.0
3015-15LMUSTCLARServe errDelfina Schuh+1.1
3116-15STCLARSTCLARAttack errNicole Schuetz+1.7
3216-16STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.1
3316-17LMULMUAttack errAllison Dzieciuch+1.7
3417-17LMUSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.2
3518-17STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+2.0
3618-18STCLARLMUServe errSanta Clara+1.3
3719-18LMUSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.4
3820-18STCLARSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+2.2
3920-19STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+1.2
4021-19LMUSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.6
4121-20STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+1.3
4222-20LMUSTCLAR×4KillSelin Aslayanset Lexi Trapani+1.8
4323-20STCLARSTCLAR×4KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+2.1
4424-20STCLARSTCLAR×4KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.2
4525-20STCLARSTCLAR×4KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
Set 4
11-0STCLARSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+2.8
22-0STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+3.0
32-1STCLARLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+1.9
43-1LMUSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.1
54-1STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedMaria Tabacuksblk Allison Dzieciuch, Cate Shanahan+3.1
65-1STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.0
75-2STCLARLMU×4KillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.7
85-3LMULMU×4KillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+2.9
95-4LMULMU×4AceAnya Santracaced Tia Kapihe+3.0
105-5LMULMU×4KillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+3.0
116-5LMUSTCLARServe errMaria Tabacuks+2.2
126-6STCLARLMU×3Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+2.1
136-7LMULMU×3BlockedCate Shanahanblk Nicole Schuetz, Zaria Thornton+3.1
146-8LMULMU×3Attack errCate Shanahan+2.9
157-8LMUSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.9
167-9STCLARLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+2.0
177-10LMULMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+2.7
188-10LMUSTCLARKillMacy Hinshaw+1.7
198-11STCLARLMUServe errSanta Clara+1.8
209-11LMUSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.7
219-12STCLARLMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.9
229-13LMULMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+2.4
239-14LMULMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.9
2410-14LMUSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
2510-15STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.2
2610-16LMULMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+1.4
2711-16LMUSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
2811-17STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+0.9
2912-17LMUSTCLARServe errMaria Tabacuks+0.6
3012-18STCLARLMUServe errSanta Clara+0.8
3113-18LMUSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Allison Dzieciuch+0.6
3213-19STCLARLMUServe errSanta Clara+0.8
3314-19LMUSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Kyla Firestone+0.5
3414-20STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+0.7
3515-20LMUSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
3615-21STCLARLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+0.7
3715-22LMULMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Kyla Firestone+0.5
3816-22LMUSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3917-22STCLARSTCLARBlockedMaria Tabacuksblk Morgan Hayes, Grace Flanagan+0.4
4017-23STCLARLMUServe errSanta Clara+0.4
4118-23LMUSTCLARServe errDelfina Schuh+0.1
4218-24STCLARLMUServe errSanta Clara+0.3
4319-24LMUSTCLAR×3Attack errNicole Schuetz+0.1
4420-24STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSanta Claraaced Maria Tabacuks+0.2
4521-24STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errAnya Santrac+0.6
4621-25STCLARLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Santa Clara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).