Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Illinois St. def. Valparaiso 3–2

Illinois St. won at Valparaiso 3-2 (25-17, 18-25, 14-25, 25-15, 15-10) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Ruth Ziegler led Illinois St. with 16 kills; Valparaiso's Ava Helming had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set12345Sets
ILL ST25181425153
VALPO17252515102

Win probability

Valparaiso above 50 · Illinois St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+8.3% ILL STrally 189 · set 5

Biggest swing: 8.3% to Illinois St. — set 5, ILL ST 3-1 VALPO. Kill by Abby Reck (set by Ella Craggs). VALPO win probability 38% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL ST 60.9%39.1% VALPO

Illinois St. wins

3-0
17.7%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
19.9%

Valparaiso wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
16.4%
ILL ST break %
44.5% vs this opp
VALPO break %
42.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Abby ReckKill+8.3%

    Kill by Abby Reck (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 3-1 VALPO · ILL ST 62% → 71%

  2. 02
    Illinois St.Ace+7.7%

    Illinois St. ace

    Set 5 · ILL ST 4-1 VALPO · ILL ST 71% → 78%

  3. 03
    Abby ReckKill+6.6%

    Kill by Abby Reck (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 5-1 VALPO · ILL ST 78% → 85%

  4. 04
    Ruth ZieglerKill+6.6%

    Kill by Ruth Ziegler (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 2-1 VALPO · ILL ST 56% → 62%

  5. 05
    Ava HelmingKill+6.4%

    Kill by Ava Helming (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 1-1 VALPO · VALPO 38% → 44%

  6. 06
    Ruth ZieglerKill+6.3%

    Kill by Ruth Ziegler (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 1-0 VALPO · ILL ST 56% → 62%

  7. 07
    Abby ReckKill+5.3%

    Kill by Abby Reck (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 6-1 VALPO · ILL ST 85% → 90%

  8. 08
    Oliwia CaputaKill+4.0%

    Kill by Oliwia Caputa (set by Ruth Ziegler)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 7-1 VALPO · ILL ST 90% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516434.3532322100019
512534.20620251031.513.5
58119.368000200219
55011.45510030031.56.5
52021.0002300700002
35523.00000170111.56.5
51011.0009331620004
5000–1001100000
34210.20000020010.54.5
3104.250030100004
3102.500000100212
3000–611600001
3000–1001400000
1206.333100130002
Team totals5717146.274551010687112797
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521447.362211130010.522.5
517226.5770024200017
58217.35300000010.58.5
55635-.0293131000217
5307.429000200425
4105.200180120010.51.5
5206.3332622800004
5000–022400002
5000–212620001
5000–1011220000
4000–100320000
1104.25000001010.51.5
Team totals5814147.299537146410010592

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Illinois St. vs Valparaiso

Season series · Illinois St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 ILL ST · VALPO 5

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 ILL STVALPO 2

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 6 ILL STVALPO 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 ILL STVALPO 4

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 5 ILL STVALPO 4

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 9 ILL STVALPO 3

Bars above the line = Valparaiso leads, below = Illinois St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
30%3/10
2
50%9/18
44%7/16
3
64%9/14
65%17/26
4
64%9/14
31%4/13
5
44%8/18
50%9/18
6
47%7/15
46%6/13
All
55%51/93
48%46/96

Valparaiso

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
47%7/15
2
35%9/26
53%10/19
3
69%9/13
31%4/13
4
53%9/17
36%5/14
5
73%8/11
53%10/19
6
46%6/13
46%6/13
All
52%50/96
45%42/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#ILL ST-VALPOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.8
20-2VALPOVALPOBlockedJillian Ferrillblk Ava Helming, Maddie Steele+2.4
31-2VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+1.8
41-3ILL STVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Jordyn Gove+1.9
51-4VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Samantha Bunch+2.5
62-4VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+1.8
73-4ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Maggie Uhwat+2.4
83-5ILL STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+2.0
94-5VALPOILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+1.9
105-5ILL STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Kohnen+2.6
115-6ILL STVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+2.1
125-7VALPOVALPOBlockedOliwia Caputablk Sarah Pippin, Jessica Pickett+2.8
136-7VALPOILL ST×4Serve errValparaiso+2.0
147-7ILL STILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+2.7
158-7ILL STILL ST×4Attack errJessica Pickett+2.7
169-7ILL STILL ST×4KillSidney Wright+2.7
179-8ILL STVALPOAttack errJillian Ferrill+2.0
1810-8VALPOILL ST×6KillLogan Grevengoedset Samantha Bunch+2.1
1911-8ILL STILL ST×6KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Kohnen+2.5
2012-8ILL STILL ST×6Attack errMaggie Uhwat+2.3
2113-8ILL STILL ST×6AceIllinois St.aced Maggie Uhwat+1.9
2214-8ILL STILL ST×6AceIllinois St.aced Sarah Pippin+1.5
2315-8ILL STILL ST×6KillSidney Wrightset Ella Kohnen+1.1
2415-9ILL STVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.6
2515-10VALPOVALPOKillMaddie Steele+1.1
2616-10VALPOILL ST×3Serve errValparaiso+1.1
2717-10ILL STILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch+1.0
2818-10ILL STILL ST×3BlockedAva Helmingblk Jillian Ferrill, Abby Reck+0.7
2918-11ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.3
3019-11VALPOILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+0.5
3119-12ILL STVALPOAttack errOliwia Caputa+0.3
3220-12VALPOILL STKillAbby Reckset Lindley Martin+0.4
3320-13ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.+0.2
3421-13VALPOILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+0.3
3522-13ILL STILL STBad setOlivia Wagner+0.2
3622-14ILL STVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+0.1
3723-14VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+0.1
3823-15ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner·
3924-15VALPOILL STKillSidney Wrightset Ella Kohnen+0.1
4024-16ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.·
4124-17VALPOVALPOKillAva Helmingset Jordyn Gove·
4225-17VALPOILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen·
Set 2
10-1VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Samantha Bunch+2.2
20-2VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Emilija Arsic+2.2
31-2VALPOILL ST×6BlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Logan Grevengoed, Sidney Wright+1.6
42-2ILL STILL ST×6KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+2.2
53-2ILL STILL ST×6Attack errAva Helming+2.2
64-2ILL STILL ST×6KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.1
75-2ILL STILL ST×6AceIllinois St.aced Rylee Bumgardner+2.0
86-2ILL STILL ST×6Bad setMia McCall+1.8
96-3ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.+1.3
106-4VALPOVALPOAttack errJillian Ferrill+1.9
117-4VALPOILL STAttack errJordyn Gove+1.6
127-5ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+1.5
137-6VALPOVALPOAttack errJillian Ferrill+2.2
148-6VALPOILL STKillElla Craggsset Emilija Arsic+1.8
159-6ILL STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Samantha Bunch+2.2
169-7ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+1.6
1710-7VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+1.7
1810-8ILL STVALPO×5KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+1.6
1910-9VALPOVALPO×5KillOlivia Wagnerset Ava Helming+2.4
2010-10VALPOVALPO×5AceValparaisoaced Emilija Arsic+2.6
2110-11VALPOVALPO×5KillJessica Pickett+2.8
2210-12VALPOVALPO×5KillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+2.9
2311-12VALPOILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+2.1
2411-13ILL STVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+2.3
2512-13VALPOILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Kohnen+2.1
2612-14ILL STVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+2.4
2713-14VALPOILL STKillSidney Wrightset Ella Kohnen+2.2
2813-15ILL STVALPO×4KillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+2.5
2913-16VALPOVALPO×4BlockedSidney Wrightblk Maddie Steele, Jordyn Gove+3.1
3013-17VALPOVALPO×4AceValparaisoaced Ruth Ziegler+2.7
3113-18VALPOVALPO×4Attack errRuth Ziegler+2.2
3214-18VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+1.2
3314-19ILL STVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.7
3414-20VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Emilija Arsic+1.6
3515-20VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.7
3615-21ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+1.1
3716-21VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.6
3816-22ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.+1.0
3917-22VALPOILL STBlockedJessica Pickettblk Abby Reck, Oliwia Caputa+0.4
4017-23ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.8
4117-24VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+0.4
4218-24VALPOILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Kohnen+0.1
4318-25ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.+0.1
Set 3
10-1ILL STVALPO×3Attack errRuth Ziegler+2.5
20-2VALPOVALPO×3KillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+3.3
30-3VALPOVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+3.3
41-3VALPOILL STBlockedJordyn Goveblk Jillian Ferrill+2.3
52-3ILL STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+3.2
62-4ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Danica Goch+2.7
72-5VALPOVALPOKillJessica Pickett+3.4
83-5VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+2.4
94-5ILL STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+3.4
104-6ILL STVALPO×3KillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+2.8
114-7VALPOVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+3.6
124-8VALPOVALPO×3Attack errLogan Grevengoed+3.4
135-8VALPOILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+2.3
145-9ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.+2.7
155-10VALPOVALPOAttack errOliwia Caputa+3.2
166-10VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+2.0
176-11ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+2.5
186-12VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+2.7
197-12VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+1.6
208-12ILL STILL STKillSamantha Bunchset Oliwia Caputa+2.6
218-13ILL STVALPO×4KillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+2.5
228-14VALPOVALPO×4Attack errRuth Ziegler+2.7
238-15VALPOVALPO×4Attack errJillian Ferrill+2.1
248-16VALPOVALPO×4BlockedSidney Wrightblk Jordyn Gove, Maddie Steele+1.6
259-16VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Kohnen+0.8
269-17ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+1.1
2710-17VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch+0.7
2811-17ILL STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+1.3
2911-18ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.+1.5
3012-18VALPOILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+0.9
3112-19ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.4
3212-20VALPOVALPOAttack errOliwia Caputa+1.1
3313-20VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+0.4
3413-21ILL STVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+0.7
3513-22VALPOVALPOBlockedOliwia Caputablk Olivia Wagner, Maddie Steele+0.4
3614-22VALPOILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Peyton Turner+0.1
3714-23ILL STVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.2
3814-24VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwat+0.1
3914-25VALPOVALPO×3KillMia McCallset Ava Helming·
Set 4
11-0VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+2.6
21-1ILL STVALPO×4KillMaggie Uhwatset Jordyn Gove+2.7
31-2VALPOVALPO×4KillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+3.7
41-3VALPOVALPO×4KillMaddie Steeleset Mia McCall+3.8
51-4VALPOVALPO×4Attack errRuth Ziegler+3.7
62-4VALPOILL ST×4Serve errValparaiso+2.6
73-4ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.aced Keira Lucas+3.7
84-4ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.aced Danica Goch+3.8
95-4ILL STILL ST×4Attack errJordyn Gove+3.8
105-5ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+3.0
116-5VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+3.0
127-5ILL STILL STAttack errJordyn Gove+3.8
137-6ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+2.8
148-6VALPOILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+3.0
159-6ILL STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Samantha Bunch+3.6
169-7ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.+2.6
1710-7VALPOILL STKillAddisyn Pohlset Audrey Clark+2.8
1810-8ILL STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+2.7
1911-8VALPOILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+2.9
2012-8ILL STILL STAttack errAva Helming+3.4
2112-9ILL STVALPOServe errIllinois St.+2.3
2213-9VALPOILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Audrey Clark+2.6
2313-10ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+2.3
2414-10VALPOILL ST×5KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.7
2515-10ILL STILL ST×5KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.9
2616-10ILL STILL ST×5AceIllinois St.aced Rylee Bumgardner+2.2
2717-10ILL STILL ST×5KillOliwia Caputaset Abby Reck+1.6
2818-10ILL STILL ST×5KillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+1.0
2918-11ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.5
3019-11VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+0.7
3119-12ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.4
3219-13VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Oliwia Caputa+0.8
3320-13VALPOILL ST×5KillElla Craggsset Oliwia Caputa+1.0
3421-13ILL STILL ST×5KillLogan Grevengoedset Samantha Bunch+0.7
3522-13ILL STILL ST×5AceIllinois St.aced Keira Lucas+0.3
3623-13ILL STILL ST×5BlockedJordyn Goveblk Logan Grevengoed, Addisyn Pohl+0.1
3724-13ILL STILL ST×5KillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark·
3824-14ILL STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall·
3924-15VALPOVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall·
4025-15VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+1.0
Set 5
11-0VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+6.3
21-1ILL STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+6.4
32-1VALPOILL ST×9KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+6.6
43-1ILL STILL ST×9KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+8.3
54-1ILL STILL ST×9AceIllinois St.+7.7
65-1ILL STILL ST×9KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+6.6
76-1ILL STILL ST×9KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+5.3
87-1ILL STILL ST×9KillOliwia Caputaset Ruth Ziegler+4.0
98-1ILL STILL ST×9BlockedAva Helmingblk Oliwia Caputa, Abby Reck+2.7
109-1ILL STILL ST×9KillOliwia Caputaset Ruth Ziegler+1.6
1110-1ILL STILL ST×9AceIllinois St.aced Danica Goch+0.9
1210-2ILL STVALPOKillMaddie Steeleset Mia McCall+0.3
1311-2VALPOILL STServe errValparaiso+0.5
1411-3ILL STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+0.2
1511-4VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+0.5
1612-4VALPOILL STBlockedJordyn Goveblk Oliwia Caputa, Addisyn Pohl+0.7
1713-4ILL STILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Samantha Bunch+0.3
1813-5ILL STVALPO×3Serve errIllinois St.+0.1
1913-6VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+0.2
2013-7VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+0.4
2114-7VALPOILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+0.6
2214-8ILL STVALPO×3KillMia McCallset Rylee Bumgardner+0.1
2314-9VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwat+0.4
2414-10VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+0.8
2515-10VALPOILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Audrey Clark+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Illinois St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).