Illinois St. def. Valparaiso 3–2
Illinois St. won at Valparaiso 3-2 (25-17, 18-25, 14-25, 25-15, 15-10) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Ruth Ziegler led Illinois St. with 16 kills; Valparaiso's Ava Helming had a match-high 21.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL ST | 25 | 18 | 14 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| VALPO | 17 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.3% to Illinois St. — set 5, ILL ST 3-1 VALPO. Kill by Abby Reck (set by Ella Craggs). VALPO win probability 38% → 29%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Illinois St. wins
Valparaiso wins
- ILL ST break %
- 44.5% vs this opp
- VALPO break %
- 42.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02Illinois St.Ace+7.7%
Illinois St. ace
Set 5 · ILL ST 4-1 VALPO · ILL ST 71% → 78%
- 03
- 04Ruth ZieglerKill+6.6%
Kill by Ruth Ziegler (set by Ella Craggs)
Set 5 · ILL ST 2-1 VALPO · ILL ST 56% → 62%
- 05Ava HelmingKill+6.4%
Kill by Ava Helming (set by Mia McCall)
Set 5 · ILL ST 1-1 VALPO · VALPO 38% → 44%
- 06Ruth ZieglerKill+6.3%
Kill by Ruth Ziegler (set by Ella Craggs)
Set 5 · ILL ST 1-0 VALPO · ILL ST 56% → 62%
- 07
- 08Oliwia CaputaKill+4.0%
Kill by Oliwia Caputa (set by Ruth Ziegler)
Set 5 · ILL ST 7-1 VALPO · ILL ST 90% → 94%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 4 | 34 | .353 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 34 | .206 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 1 | 19 | .368 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 | .455 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 23 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 17 | 146 | .274 | 55 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 97 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 21 | 4 | 47 | .362 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 22.5 | |
| 5 | 17 | 2 | 26 | .577 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
| 5 | 8 | 2 | 17 | .353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 6 | 35 | -.029 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .200 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| Team totals | 58 | 14 | 147 | .299 | 53 | 7 | 14 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 92 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Illinois St. vs Valparaiso
Season series · Illinois St. leads 2-0
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026Illinois St. at Valparaiso · Illinois St. won 3-2This match
- Fri, Oct 30, 2026Valparaiso at Illinois St. · Illinois St. won 3-1Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-17
Set 2
18-25
Set 3
14-25
Set 4
25-15
Set 5
15-10
Bars above the line = Valparaiso leads, below = Illinois St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Illinois St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64%9/14 | 30%3/10 |
| 2 | 50%9/18 | 44%7/16 |
| 3 | 64%9/14 | 65%17/26 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 31%4/13 |
| 5 | 44%8/18 | 50%9/18 |
| 6 | 47%7/15 | 46%6/13 |
| All | 55%51/93 | 48%46/96 |
Valparaiso
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%9/16 | 47%7/15 |
| 2 | 35%9/26 | 53%10/19 |
| 3 | 69%9/13 | 31%4/13 |
| 4 | 53%9/17 | 36%5/14 |
| 5 | 73%8/11 | 53%10/19 |
| 6 | 46%6/13 | 46%6/13 |
| All | 52%50/96 | 45%42/93 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
189 rallies
| # | ILL ST-VALPO | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +1.8 |
| 2 | 0-2 | VALPO | VALPO | Blocked | Jillian Ferrill | blk Ava Helming, Maddie Steele | +2.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Jordyn Gove | +1.9 |
| 5 | 1-4 | VALPO | VALPO | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Samantha Bunch | +2.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Maggie Uhwat | +2.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Olivia Wagner | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Logan Grevengoed | set Ella Craggs | +1.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ella Kohnen | +2.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Mia McCall | +2.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | VALPO | VALPO | Blocked | Oliwia Caputa | blk Sarah Pippin, Jessica Pickett | +2.8 |
| 13 | 6-7 | VALPO | ILL ST×4 | Serve err | Valparaiso | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | ILL ST | ILL ST×4 | Kill | Jillian Ferrill | set Samantha Bunch | +2.7 |
| 15 | 8-7 | ILL ST | ILL ST×4 | Attack err | Jessica Pickett | +2.7 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | ILL ST | ILL ST×4 | Kill | Sidney Wright | +2.7 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | ILL ST | VALPO | Attack err | Jillian Ferrill | +2.0 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | VALPO | ILL ST×6 | Kill | Logan Grevengoed | set Samantha Bunch | +2.1 |
| 19 | 11-8 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Kohnen | +2.5 |
| 20 | 12-8 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Attack err | Maggie Uhwat | +2.3 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Maggie Uhwat | +1.9 |
| 22 | 14-8 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Sarah Pippin | +1.5 |
| 23 | 15-8 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Kill | Sidney Wright | set Ella Kohnen | +1.1 |
| 24 | 15-9 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Sarah Pippin | set Mia McCall | +0.6 |
| 25 | 15-10 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Maddie Steele | +1.1 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | VALPO | ILL ST×3 | Serve err | Valparaiso | +1.1 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | ILL ST | ILL ST×3 | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Samantha Bunch | +1.0 |
| 28 | 18-10 | ILL ST | ILL ST×3 | Blocked | Ava Helming | blk Jillian Ferrill, Abby Reck | +0.7 |
| 29 | 18-11 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +0.3 |
| 30 | 19-11 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Jillian Ferrill | set Ella Craggs | +0.5 |
| 31 | 19-12 | ILL ST | VALPO | Attack err | Oliwia Caputa | +0.3 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Abby Reck | set Lindley Martin | +0.4 |
| 33 | 20-13 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | +0.2 | |
| 34 | 21-13 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ella Craggs | +0.3 |
| 35 | 22-13 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Bad set | Olivia Wagner | +0.2 | |
| 36 | 22-14 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +0.1 |
| 37 | 23-14 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 23-15 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Sidney Wright | set Ella Kohnen | +0.1 |
| 40 | 24-16 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | · | |
| 41 | 24-17 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Jordyn Gove | · |
| 42 | 25-17 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Jillian Ferrill | set Ella Kohnen | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | VALPO | VALPO | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Samantha Bunch | +2.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | VALPO | VALPO | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Emilija Arsic | +2.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | VALPO | ILL ST×6 | Blocked | Maggie Uhwat | blk Logan Grevengoed, Sidney Wright | +1.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Kill | Jillian Ferrill | set Samantha Bunch | +2.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Attack err | Ava Helming | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Kill | Jillian Ferrill | set Ella Kohnen | +2.1 |
| 7 | 5-2 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Rylee Bumgardner | +2.0 |
| 8 | 6-2 | ILL ST | ILL ST×6 | Bad set | Mia McCall | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | +1.3 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | VALPO | VALPO | Attack err | Jillian Ferrill | +1.9 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | VALPO | ILL ST | Attack err | Jordyn Gove | +1.6 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +1.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | VALPO | VALPO | Attack err | Jillian Ferrill | +2.2 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ella Craggs | set Emilija Arsic | +1.8 |
| 15 | 9-6 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Kill | Emilija Arsic | set Samantha Bunch | +2.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +1.6 |
| 17 | 10-7 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +1.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | ILL ST | VALPO×5 | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Olivia Wagner | +1.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Olivia Wagner | set Ava Helming | +2.4 |
| 20 | 10-10 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Emilija Arsic | +2.6 |
| 21 | 10-11 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Jessica Pickett | +2.8 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | VALPO | VALPO×5 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +2.9 |
| 23 | 11-12 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Abby Reck | set Ella Craggs | +2.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +2.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Emilija Arsic | set Ella Kohnen | +2.1 |
| 26 | 12-14 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +2.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Sidney Wright | set Ella Kohnen | +2.2 |
| 28 | 13-15 | ILL ST | VALPO×4 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Mia McCall | +2.5 |
| 29 | 13-16 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Blocked | Sidney Wright | blk Maddie Steele, Jordyn Gove | +3.1 |
| 30 | 13-17 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Ruth Ziegler | +2.7 |
| 31 | 13-18 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Attack err | Ruth Ziegler | +2.2 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +1.2 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Mia McCall | +1.7 |
| 34 | 14-20 | VALPO | VALPO | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Emilija Arsic | +1.6 |
| 35 | 15-20 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +0.7 |
| 36 | 15-21 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +1.1 |
| 37 | 16-21 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +0.6 |
| 38 | 16-22 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | +1.0 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | VALPO | ILL ST | Blocked | Jessica Pickett | blk Abby Reck, Oliwia Caputa | +0.4 |
| 40 | 17-23 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +0.8 |
| 41 | 17-24 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +0.4 |
| 42 | 18-24 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ella Kohnen | +0.1 |
| 43 | 18-25 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | +0.1 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ILL ST | VALPO×3 | Attack err | Ruth Ziegler | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Keira Lucas | +3.3 |
| 3 | 0-3 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +3.3 |
| 4 | 1-3 | VALPO | ILL ST | Blocked | Jordyn Gove | blk Jillian Ferrill | +2.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +3.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Danica Goch | +2.7 |
| 7 | 2-5 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | +3.4 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ella Craggs | +3.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | ILL ST | VALPO×3 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Olivia Wagner | +2.8 |
| 11 | 4-7 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +3.6 |
| 12 | 4-8 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Attack err | Logan Grevengoed | +3.4 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ella Craggs | +2.3 |
| 14 | 5-9 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | +2.7 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | VALPO | VALPO | Attack err | Oliwia Caputa | +3.2 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +2.0 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +2.5 |
| 18 | 6-12 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Mia McCall | +2.7 |
| 19 | 7-12 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +1.6 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Kill | Samantha Bunch | set Oliwia Caputa | +2.6 |
| 21 | 8-13 | ILL ST | VALPO×4 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Mia McCall | +2.5 |
| 22 | 8-14 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Attack err | Ruth Ziegler | +2.7 | |
| 23 | 8-15 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Attack err | Jillian Ferrill | +2.1 | |
| 24 | 8-16 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Blocked | Sidney Wright | blk Jordyn Gove, Maddie Steele | +1.6 |
| 25 | 9-16 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Kohnen | +0.8 |
| 26 | 9-17 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +1.1 |
| 27 | 10-17 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Samantha Bunch | +0.7 |
| 28 | 11-17 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +1.3 |
| 29 | 11-18 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | +1.5 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ella Craggs | +0.9 |
| 31 | 12-19 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +1.4 |
| 32 | 12-20 | VALPO | VALPO | Attack err | Oliwia Caputa | +1.1 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +0.4 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Olivia Wagner | +0.7 |
| 35 | 13-22 | VALPO | VALPO | Blocked | Oliwia Caputa | blk Olivia Wagner, Maddie Steele | +0.4 |
| 36 | 14-22 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Logan Grevengoed | set Peyton Turner | +0.1 |
| 37 | 14-23 | ILL ST | VALPO×3 | Kill | Ava Helming | set Olivia Wagner | +0.2 |
| 38 | 14-24 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 14-25 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Mia McCall | set Ava Helming | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +2.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | ILL ST | VALPO×4 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Jordyn Gove | +2.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Keira Lucas | +3.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Kill | Maddie Steele | set Mia McCall | +3.8 |
| 5 | 1-4 | VALPO | VALPO×4 | Attack err | Ruth Ziegler | +3.7 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | VALPO | ILL ST×4 | Serve err | Valparaiso | +2.6 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | ILL ST | ILL ST×4 | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Keira Lucas | +3.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ILL ST | ILL ST×4 | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Danica Goch | +3.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | ILL ST | ILL ST×4 | Attack err | Jordyn Gove | +3.8 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +3.0 |
| 11 | 6-5 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +3.0 |
| 12 | 7-5 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Attack err | Jordyn Gove | +3.8 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +2.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ella Craggs | +3.0 |
| 15 | 9-6 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Samantha Bunch | +3.6 |
| 16 | 9-7 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | +2.6 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Addisyn Pohl | set Audrey Clark | +2.8 |
| 18 | 10-8 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Olivia Wagner | +2.7 |
| 19 | 11-8 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Logan Grevengoed | set Audrey Clark | +2.9 |
| 20 | 12-8 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Attack err | Ava Helming | +3.4 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | ILL ST | VALPO | Serve err | Illinois St. | +2.3 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Jillian Gregory | set Audrey Clark | +2.6 |
| 23 | 13-10 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +2.3 |
| 24 | 14-10 | VALPO | ILL ST×5 | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +2.7 |
| 25 | 15-10 | ILL ST | ILL ST×5 | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +2.9 |
| 26 | 16-10 | ILL ST | ILL ST×5 | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Rylee Bumgardner | +2.2 |
| 27 | 17-10 | ILL ST | ILL ST×5 | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Abby Reck | +1.6 |
| 28 | 18-10 | ILL ST | ILL ST×5 | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ella Craggs | +1.0 |
| 29 | 18-11 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +0.5 |
| 30 | 19-11 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +0.7 | |
| 31 | 19-12 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +0.4 |
| 32 | 19-13 | VALPO | VALPO | Ace | Valparaiso | aced Oliwia Caputa | +0.8 |
| 33 | 20-13 | VALPO | ILL ST×5 | Kill | Ella Craggs | set Oliwia Caputa | +1.0 |
| 34 | 21-13 | ILL ST | ILL ST×5 | Kill | Logan Grevengoed | set Samantha Bunch | +0.7 |
| 35 | 22-13 | ILL ST | ILL ST×5 | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Keira Lucas | +0.3 |
| 36 | 23-13 | ILL ST | ILL ST×5 | Blocked | Jordyn Gove | blk Logan Grevengoed, Addisyn Pohl | +0.1 |
| 37 | 24-13 | ILL ST | ILL ST×5 | Kill | Logan Grevengoed | set Audrey Clark | · |
| 38 | 24-14 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Mia McCall | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Mia McCall | · |
| 40 | 25-15 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +1.0 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +6.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Ava Helming | set Mia McCall | +6.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | VALPO | ILL ST×9 | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Ella Craggs | +6.6 |
| 4 | 3-1 | ILL ST | ILL ST×9 | Kill | Abby Reck | set Ella Craggs | +8.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | ILL ST | ILL ST×9 | Ace | Illinois St. | +7.7 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | ILL ST | ILL ST×9 | Kill | Abby Reck | set Ella Craggs | +6.6 |
| 7 | 6-1 | ILL ST | ILL ST×9 | Kill | Abby Reck | set Ella Craggs | +5.3 |
| 8 | 7-1 | ILL ST | ILL ST×9 | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ruth Ziegler | +4.0 |
| 9 | 8-1 | ILL ST | ILL ST×9 | Blocked | Ava Helming | blk Oliwia Caputa, Abby Reck | +2.7 |
| 10 | 9-1 | ILL ST | ILL ST×9 | Kill | Oliwia Caputa | set Ruth Ziegler | +1.6 |
| 11 | 10-1 | ILL ST | ILL ST×9 | Ace | Illinois St. | aced Danica Goch | +0.9 |
| 12 | 10-2 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Maddie Steele | set Mia McCall | +0.3 |
| 13 | 11-2 | VALPO | ILL ST | Serve err | Valparaiso | +0.5 | |
| 14 | 11-3 | ILL ST | VALPO | Kill | Jessica Pickett | set Mia McCall | +0.2 |
| 15 | 11-4 | VALPO | VALPO | Kill | Jordyn Gove | set Mia McCall | +0.5 |
| 16 | 12-4 | VALPO | ILL ST | Blocked | Jordyn Gove | blk Oliwia Caputa, Addisyn Pohl | +0.7 |
| 17 | 13-4 | ILL ST | ILL ST | Kill | Logan Grevengoed | set Samantha Bunch | +0.3 |
| 18 | 13-5 | ILL ST | VALPO×3 | Serve err | Illinois St. | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 13-6 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Mia McCall | +0.2 |
| 20 | 13-7 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Mia McCall | +0.4 |
| 21 | 14-7 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Logan Grevengoed | set Audrey Clark | +0.6 |
| 22 | 14-8 | ILL ST | VALPO×3 | Kill | Mia McCall | set Rylee Bumgardner | +0.1 |
| 23 | 14-9 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | +0.4 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | VALPO | VALPO×3 | Kill | Maggie Uhwat | set Mia McCall | +0.8 |
| 25 | 15-10 | VALPO | ILL ST | Kill | Ruth Ziegler | set Audrey Clark | +1.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Illinois St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).