Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Indiana St. def. Valparaiso 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Valparaiso 72.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Indiana St. won at Valparaiso 3-2 (25-22, 4-25, 23-25, 25-21, 15-13) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Indiana St.'s Kira Holland led with 15 kills.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set12345Sets
IND ST2542325153
VALPO22252521132

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Corinne Knapp, and Indiana St. needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Indiana St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Valparaiso was RallyIQ's 72% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Indiana St. 0–0 Valparaiso

    From here Indiana St. won 25 of 46 rallies to take the set 25–21.

    Indiana St. 15% → 41%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Indiana St. 12–7 Valparaiso

    Down 7–12, Valparaiso scored 5 straight to tie it at 12. The match swung to Valparaiso.

    Indiana St. 95% → 48%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Indiana St. 12–12 Valparaiso

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Indiana St., enough to take the set 15–13 and win the match 3–2.

    Indiana St. 48% → >99%

Valparaiso above 50Indiana St. belowMax swing 22.7%

Indiana St.Valparaiso

Sideout %
Indiana St. 48.6·Valparaiso 56.0
Break %
Indiana St. 44.0·Valparaiso 51.4
Hitting
Indiana St. .117·Valparaiso .223
Longest run
Indiana St. 5·Valparaiso 17

Ella Scott
4 kills inside the turning points, 8 K and .238 for the match (10 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Valparaiso above 50 · Indiana St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+22.7% IND STrally 198 · set 5

Biggest swing: 22.7% to Indiana St. — set 5, IND ST 14-12 VALPO. Jordyn Gove stuffed by Ella Scott & Taylor Knuth. VALPO win probability 36% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IND ST 24.9%75.1% VALPO

Indiana St. wins

3-0
4.4%
3-1
8.5%
3-2
12.0%

Valparaiso wins

3-0
27.1%
3-1
28.7%
3-2
19.3%
IND ST break %
39.4% vs this opp
VALPO break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Jordyn Gove stuffed by Ella Scott & Taylor Knuth

    Set 5 · IND ST 14-12 VALPO · IND ST 64% → 86%

  2. 02
    Ella ScottKill+22.5%

    Kill by Ella Scott (set by Hadley Hardersen)

    Set 5 · IND ST 15-13 VALPO · IND ST 77% → 100%

  3. 03
    Jordyn GoveKill+17.8%

    Kill by Jordyn Gove (set by Olivia Wagner)

    Set 5 · IND ST 12-12 VALPO · VALPO 35% → 52%

  4. 04
    Kyla BellichAttack error+16.1%

    Attack error by Kyla Bellich

    Set 5 · IND ST 13-12 VALPO · IND ST 48% → 64%

  5. 05
    Corinne KnappAttack error+13.1%

    Attack error by Corinne Knapp

    Set 5 · IND ST 12-11 VALPO · VALPO 21% → 35%

  6. 06

    Kira Holland stuffed by Ava Helming & Maddie Steele

    Set 3 · IND ST 23-25 VALPO · VALPO 75% → 85%

  7. 07

    Ava Helming stuffed by Lily Mueller & Kira Holland

    Set 5 · IND ST 7-4 VALPO · IND ST 61% → 72%

  8. 08
    Jessica PickettAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Jessica Pickett

    Set 5 · IND ST 10-6 VALPO · IND ST 76% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515444.25031013202117
58933-.0301442302113
5101127-.03711311002112
59420.2500003006312
58321.2380002004210
52112.0833712700425
5000–000910000
5000–100000000
5000–102910000
3114.000000000001
3000–300100000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals5334163.117477115780201092
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5151054.0933309102119
514223.5220000004216
510428.214102141111.511.5
4125-.20010220010.51.5
1325.200001100003
1001.000210100001
57218.27814250010.511.5
5204.500300140031.53.5
51011.0002001400001
4000–000210000
4000–2001010000
3000–600100000
3000–000000000
2000–001100211
1000–000100000
Team totals5322139.22348896571148106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Indiana St. vs Valparaiso

Season series · Indiana St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 IND ST · VALPO 17

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 IND STVALPO 3

Set 2

4-25

Longest run 2 IND STVALPO 17

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 IND STVALPO 6

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 5 IND STVALPO 4

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 4 IND STVALPO 5

Bars above the line = Valparaiso leads, below = Indiana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Indiana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%12/16
44%7/16
2
67%10/15
50%10/20
3
50%9/18
31%4/13
4
23%7/31
36%5/14
5
47%7/15
56%9/16
6
58%7/12
42%5/12
All
49%52/107
44%40/91

Valparaiso

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
23%3/13
2
56%9/16
31%5/16
3
64%9/14
25%3/12
4
57%8/14
60%12/20
5
44%7/16
79%26/33
6
64%7/11
46%6/13
All
56%51/91
51%55/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#IND ST-VALPOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0VALPOIND STServe errSarah Pippin+1.6
22-0IND STIND STBlockedKyla Bellichblk Corinne Knapp, Ella Scott+2.3
32-1IND STVALPOAttack errCorinne Knapp+1.6
43-1VALPOIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+1.7
54-1IND STIND STBlockedJordyn Goveblk Taylor Knuth, Ella Scott+2.4
64-2IND STVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+1.6
74-3VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Corinne Knapp+2.3
85-3VALPOIND STKillCorinne Knappset Kira Holland+1.8
95-4IND STVALPOServe errCorinne Knapp+1.7
105-5VALPOVALPOAttack errKira Holland+2.4
116-5VALPOIND STKillKira Hollandset Mia McCall+1.8
127-5IND STIND STKillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+2.6
137-6IND STVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Keira Lucas+1.7
147-7VALPOVALPOAttack errTaylor Knuth+2.5
158-7VALPOIND ST×3KillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+1.9
169-7IND STIND ST×3KillLily Mueller+2.8
1710-7IND STIND ST×3KillKira Holland+2.8
1810-8IND STVALPOServe errTaylor Knuth+1.8
1911-8VALPOIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+2.1
2011-9IND STVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Olivia Wagner+1.8
2112-9VALPOIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+2.2
2212-10IND STVALPOServe errMacy Lengacher+1.8
2312-11VALPOVALPOKillJessica Pickett+2.8
2413-11VALPOIND STServe errKyla Bellich+2.3
2513-12IND STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+2.1
2614-12VALPOIND STKillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+2.4
2714-13IND STVALPO×3Attack errCorinne Knapp+2.2
2814-14VALPOVALPO×3KillJessica Pickett+3.2
2914-15VALPOVALPO×3Attack errHadley Hardersen+3.2
3015-15VALPOIND ST×3KillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+2.4
3116-15IND STIND ST×3Attack errSarah Pippin+3.7
3217-15IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Kennedy Glasgow+3.8
3317-16IND STVALPOAttack errTaylor Knuth+2.4
3418-16VALPOIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+3.0
3519-16IND STIND STAttack errAva Helming+3.9
3619-17IND STVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+2.1
3720-17VALPOIND ST×3KillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+3.0
3821-17IND STIND ST×3BlockedSarah Pippinblk Lily Mueller, Hadley Hardersen+3.3
3922-17IND STIND ST×3KillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+2.2
4022-18IND STVALPO×3KillOlivia Wagnerset Ava Helming+0.8
4122-19VALPOVALPO×3Attack errTaylor Knuth+1.8
4222-20VALPOVALPO×3Attack errLily Mueller+2.9
4323-20VALPOIND STAttack errAva Helming+3.4
4423-21IND STVALPOKillKyla Bellichset Olivia Wagner+1.8
4523-22VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Rylee Bumgardner+4.5
4624-22VALPOIND STServe errKyla Bellich+5.5
4725-22IND STIND STKillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+4.5
Set 2
10-1IND STVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mara Thomas+1.9
21-1VALPOIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+2.0
32-1IND STIND STAttack errMaggie Uhwat+3.0
42-2IND STVALPOAttack errTaylor Knuth+2.1
53-2VALPOIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+2.2
63-3IND STVALPO×6KillJessica Pickettset Mara Thomas+2.1
73-4VALPOVALPO×6AceValparaisoaced Corinne Knapp+2.9
83-5VALPOVALPO×6BlockedCorinne Knappblk Jessica Pickett, Olivia Wagner+2.7
93-6VALPOVALPO×6BlockedLily Muellerblk Maggie Uhwat, Jessica Pickett+2.5
103-7VALPOVALPO×6KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+2.2
113-8VALPOVALPO×6AceValparaisoaced Kira Holland+1.8
124-8VALPOIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+1.2
134-9IND STVALPO×17KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.3
144-10VALPOVALPO×17Attack errElla Scott+1.5
154-11VALPOVALPO×17KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+1.1
164-12VALPOVALPO×17Attack errTaylor Knuth+0.8
174-13VALPOVALPO×17AceValparaisoaced Corinne Knapp+0.6
184-14VALPOVALPO×17KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.3
194-15VALPOVALPO×17KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+0.2
204-16VALPOVALPO×17KillJessica Pickett+0.1
214-17VALPOVALPO×17Attack errAva Robart+0.1
224-18VALPOVALPO×17AceValparaiso·
234-19VALPOVALPO×17KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner·
244-20VALPOVALPO×17Attack errTaylor Knuth·
254-21VALPOVALPO×17Attack errElla Scott·
264-22VALPOVALPO×17AceValparaisoaced Kira Holland·
274-23VALPOVALPO×17KillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner·
284-24VALPOVALPO×17BlockedCurry Kendallblk Jordyn Gove·
294-25VALPOVALPO×17KillJordyn Goveset Maggie Uhwat·
Set 3
10-1VALPOVALPOAttack errTaylor Knuth+2.9
21-1VALPOIND ST×3Serve errMaggie Uhwat+2.2
32-1IND STIND ST×3AceCorinne Knappaced Rylee Bumgardner+3.2
43-1IND STIND ST×3KillTaylor Knuthset Macy Lengacher+3.4
53-2IND STVALPOServe errCorinne Knapp+2.3
64-2VALPOIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+2.5
74-3IND STVALPOBlockedTaylor Knuthblk Ava Helming, Jessica Pickett+2.3
85-3VALPOIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+2.6
95-4IND STVALPOServe errTaylor Knuth+2.4
106-4VALPOIND STAttack errAva Helming+2.7
116-5IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+2.4
126-6VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Keira Lucas+3.5
137-6VALPOIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+2.7
148-6IND STIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+3.9
158-7IND STVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+2.6
169-7VALPOIND STKillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+2.9
1710-7IND STIND STAceHadley Hardersenaced Ava Helming+4.0
1810-8IND STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+2.5
1911-8VALPOIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+3.0
2011-9IND STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+2.6
2112-9VALPOIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+3.1
2213-9IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+4.0
2313-10IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Rylee Bumgardner+2.4
2413-11VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mara Thomas+3.8
2514-11VALPOIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+3.3
2615-11IND STIND STAceTaylor Knuth+4.2
2715-12IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+2.4
2816-12VALPOIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+3.1
2916-13IND STVALPO×6Attack errCorinne Knapp+2.4
3016-14VALPOVALPO×6Attack errCorinne Knapp+4.1
3116-15VALPOVALPO×6KillOlivia Wagnerset Jordyn Gove+4.7
3216-16VALPOVALPO×6KillMaggie Uhwatset Kyla Bellich+5.1
3316-17VALPOVALPO×6KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+5.1
3416-18VALPOVALPO×6KillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+4.8
3517-18VALPOIND STKillLily Muellerset Avery Hales+3.2
3618-18IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+5.5
3718-19IND STVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+4.2
3818-20VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+5.5
3919-20VALPOIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+3.5
4019-21IND STVALPOAttack errCorinne Knapp+4.2
4120-21VALPOIND STKillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+3.6
4220-22IND STVALPOServe errCorinne Knapp+4.6
4321-22VALPOIND STKillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+3.8
4421-23IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+5.2
4522-23VALPOIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+3.8
4623-23IND STIND STBlockedAva Helmingblk Lily Mueller, Hadley Hardersen+9.2
4723-24IND STVALPOServe errTaylor Knuth+8.6
4823-25VALPOVALPOBlockedKira Hollandblk Ava Helming, Maddie Steele+10.9
Set 4
11-0IND STIND STAttack errAva Helming+2.7
21-1IND STVALPOServe errHadley Hardersen+1.8
32-1VALPOIND ST×3KillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+2.0
43-1IND STIND ST×3KillElla Scott+2.9
54-1IND STIND ST×3AceCorinne Knapp+2.9
64-2IND STVALPOServe errCorinne Knapp+1.9
75-2VALPOIND STServe errMaddie Steele+2.2
86-2IND STIND STAttack errJessica Pickett+2.9
96-3IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mara Thomas+1.8
107-3VALPOIND STKillTaylor Knuthset Hadley Hardersen+2.2
117-4IND STVALPO×4KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+1.8
127-5VALPOVALPO×4KillJordyn Goveset Ava Helming+2.8
137-6VALPOVALPO×4Attack errLily Mueller+3.0
147-7VALPOVALPO×4AceValparaisoaced Chloe Gilley+3.0
158-7VALPOIND ST×5KillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+2.3
169-7IND STIND ST×5Attack errAva Helming+3.4
1710-7IND STIND ST×5Attack errJordyn Gove+3.4
1811-7IND STIND ST×5KillHadley Hardersenset Kira Holland+3.2
1912-7IND STIND ST×5AceKira Hollandaced Danica Goch+3.0
2012-8IND STVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+1.7
2113-8VALPOIND STAttack errJordyn Gove+2.2
2213-9IND STVALPOBlockedCorinne Knappblk Olivia Wagner, Maddie Steele+1.7
2314-9VALPOIND ST×3KillCorinne Knappset Kira Holland+2.2
2415-9IND STIND ST×3BlockedAva Helmingblk Ella Scott, Corinne Knapp+2.5
2516-9IND STIND ST×3Bad setMara Thomas+1.9
2616-10IND STVALPOServe errHadley Hardersen+0.9
2717-10VALPOIND STServe errJordyn Gove+1.4
2818-10IND STIND STAceCorinne Knappaced Jordyn Gove+1.3
2918-11IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.5
3018-12VALPOVALPOAttack errKira Holland+1.0
3119-12VALPOIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+1.2
3219-13IND STVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.6
3319-14VALPOVALPO×3KillJessica Pickett+1.4
3419-15VALPOVALPO×3Attack errTaylor Knuth+2.0
3520-15VALPOIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+2.2
3621-15IND STIND STBlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Lily Mueller, Hadley Hardersen+2.0
3721-16IND STVALPOBlockedKira Hollandblk Olivia Wagner, Jessica Pickett+0.7
3822-16VALPOIND STServe errMaggie Uhwat+1.3
3922-17IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.5
4022-18VALPOVALPOAttack errLily Mueller+1.3
4123-18VALPOIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+1.7
4223-19IND STVALPOServe errMacy Lengacher+0.6
4324-19VALPOIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+1.3
4424-20IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+0.3
4524-21VALPOVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+1.0
4625-21VALPOIND STServe errJordyn Gove+2.9
Set 5
11-0VALPOIND ST×4Serve errOlivia Wagner+6.4
22-0IND STIND ST×4KillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+9.3
33-0IND STIND ST×4Attack errAva Helming+9.2
44-0IND STIND ST×4AceCorinne Knapp+8.7
54-1IND STVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+5.0
64-2VALPOVALPO×3Attack errTaylor Knuth+8.2
74-3VALPOVALPO×3Attack errTaylor Knuth+9.2
85-3VALPOIND STAttack errAva Helming+7.7
95-4IND STVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+6.7
106-4VALPOIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+8.0
117-4IND STIND ST×3BlockedAva Helmingblk Lily Mueller, Kira Holland+10.7
128-4IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+9.5
138-5IND STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+5.0
148-6VALPOVALPOAceValparaisoaced Macy Lengacher+9.0
159-6VALPOIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Taylor Knuth+8.5
1610-6IND STIND ST×3Attack errJessica Pickett+9.8
1711-6IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+7.2
1811-7IND STVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner+2.8
1912-7VALPOIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Corinne Knapp+4.9
2012-8IND STVALPO×5KillKeira Lucasset Ava Helming+2.3
2112-9VALPOVALPO×5BlockedElla Scottblk Kyla Bellich, Jordyn Gove+5.4
2212-10VALPOVALPO×5Attack errCorinne Knapp+8.8
2312-11VALPOVALPO×5Attack errCorinne Knapp+13.1
2412-12VALPOVALPO×5KillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+17.8
2513-12VALPOIND STAttack errKyla Bellich+16.1
2614-12IND STIND STBlockedJordyn Goveblk Ella Scott, Taylor Knuth+22.7
2714-13IND STVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+8.9
2815-13VALPOIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+22.5

Score shown after each rally, Indiana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).