Le Moyne vs Mercyhurst Volleyball: Mercyhurst Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026PSAC Sports Digital Network

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Mercyhurst 97.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Mercyhurst beat visiting Le Moyne 3-0 (26-24, 25-18, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Erin Robbins led Mercyhurst with 7 kills; Le Moyne's Jazmin Rodriguez had a match-high 10.

Data through Nov 3, 8:35 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LEMOYN	24	18	20	0
MERCYH	26	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Le Moyne hit .094. Mercyhurst held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 1.9 points on one rally; Le Moyne topped out at 6% in Set 1. Mercyhurst went in as RallyIQ's 98% pick.

Le MoyneMercyhurst

Break %+9.9 pts
46.956.8
On serve: 42/74 against 30/64 (Le Moyne sideout 43.2%).
Longest run+2
46
Mercyhurst scored 6 straight in the second set to turn a 1–2 deficit into a 7–2 lead. That set ended 25–18.

Mercyhurst above 50Le Moyne belowMax swing 1.9%

Le MoyneMercyhurst

Hitting: Le Moyne .094·Mercyhurst .125
Aces: Le Moyne 4·Mercyhurst 9
Serve err: Le Moyne 8·Mercyhurst 6
Blocks: Le Moyne 7·Mercyhurst 50 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs: Le Moyne 34·Mercyhurst 30

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Mercyhurst above 50 · Le Moyne below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Le Moyne — set 1, LEMOYN 24-24 MERCYH. Le Moyne ace. MERCYH win probability 98% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LEMOYN 3.2%96.8% MERCYH

Le Moyne wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.0%

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

61.3%

3-1

27.7%

3-2

7.7%

LEMOYN break %: 39.8% vs this opp
MERCYH break %: 54.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Le MoyneAce+1.9%
Le Moyne ace
Set 1 · LEMOYN 24-24 MERCYH · LEMOYN 2% → 4%
02
Payton MelinKill+1.7%
Kill by Payton Melin (set by Roslyn Guerra)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 24-25 MERCYH · MERCYH 96% → 97%
03
Ava Carney&Julia ShepherdBlock+1.5%
Avery Stromberg stuffed by Ava Carney & Julia Shepherd
Set 1 · LEMOYN 24-26 MERCYH · MERCYH 97% → 99%
04
Madison MinerAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Madison Miner
Set 1 · LEMOYN 18-16 MERCYH · LEMOYN 4% → 6%
05
Eiley SchneiderKill+1.1%
Kill by Eiley Schneider (set by Skylar Jehlen)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 20-19 MERCYH · LEMOYN 4% → 5%
06
Payton MelinKill+1.1%
Kill by Payton Melin (set by Mya Comer)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 20-21 MERCYH · MERCYH 96% → 97%
07
Jazmin RodriguezKill+1.1%
Kill by Jazmin Rodriguez (set by Katie Barbour)
Set 1 · LEMOYN 19-17 MERCYH · LEMOYN 5% → 6%
08
Skylar JehlenBad set+1.0%
Bad set by Skylar Jehlen
Set 1 · LEMOYN 21-22 MERCYH · MERCYH 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Le Moyneaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Jazmin RodriguezOH	3	10	9	28	.036	1	0	2	1	1	1	0.5	10.5
2Branwyn LuptonOH	3	6	3	14	.214	2	0	0	2	0	4	2	8
22Alise EvansMB	3	4	1	10	.300	0	1	1	2	0	5	2.5	7.5
7Avery Stromberg	3	4	4	15	.000	1	1	1	8	2	0	0	5
11Eiley SchneiderMB	3	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	3
4Katie Barbour	3	0	0	5	.000	12	1	2	5	0	0	0	1
18Gabriella Schemidt	3	4	3	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
3Skylar JehlenS	3	0	0	5	.000	10	1	2	3	0	0	0	1
13Cami ZajacL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
10Haley BuescherL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0
15Piper HooeyOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
20Alana Surigao	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	21	96	.094	26	4	8	34	9	14	7	62

Mercyhursthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Madison MinerOH	3	5	3	11	.182	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	6
13Mia MattinglyMB	3	5	0	7	.714	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	5
21Alyssa KrauseDS	3	1	0	4	.250	13	2	1	1	0	0	0	3
26Anna LoganDS	3	1	4	7	-.429	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	2
23Ava CarneyMB	2	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
14Julia ShepherdOPP	2	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	4
9Payton MelinOPP	3	5	2	11	.273	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	5.5
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	1
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
2Erin RobbinsMB	2	7	0	12	.583	0	1	2	1	0	2	1	9
16Sarah BarnumMB	2	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2
10Mya ComerS	2	0	0	3	.000	8	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
1Roslyn GuerraOH	2	1	3	15	-.133	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
27Sarina NotaroL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Kalyani OliveOH	2	0	3	4	-.750	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Camryn KetronDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
4Aliyah AngeliciS	1	0	0	2	.000	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	20	104	.125	28	9	6	30	4	10	5	76

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Le Moyne vs Mercyhurst

Season series · Mercyhurst leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Le Moyne at Mercyhurst · Mercyhurst won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Le Moyne at Mercyhurst · Mercyhurst won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 LEMOYN · MERCYH 6

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 LEMOYNMERCYH 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 LEMOYNMERCYH 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 LEMOYNMERCYH 4

Bars above the line = Mercyhurst leads, below = Le Moyne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Le Moyne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%6/17	56%9/16
2	43%6/14	60%9/15
3	56%5/9	50%6/12
4	50%5/10	38%3/8
5	38%5/13	0%0/5
6	45%5/11	38%3/8
All	43%32/74	47%30/64

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%8/21	50%6/12
2	43%6/14	71%15/21
3	50%5/10	38%3/8
4	83%5/6	58%7/12
5	83%5/6	38%3/8
6	71%5/7	62%8/13
All	53%34/64	57%42/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#	LEMOYN-MERCYH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Blocked	Anna Logan	blk Alise Evans, Branwyn Lupton	+0.4
2	2-0	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Anna Logan		+0.5
3	2-1	LEMOYN	MERCYH×5	Serve err	Le Moyne		+0.3
4	2-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.4
5	2-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Avery Stromberg	+0.3
6	2-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Madison Miner	+0.3
7	2-5	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Anna Logan		+0.2
8	3-5	MERCYH	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Avery Stromberg	set Katie Barbour	+0.2
9	4-5	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Blocked	Ava Carney	blk Alise Evans, Branwyn Lupton	+0.3
10	5-5	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Attack err	Anna Logan		+0.4
11	6-5	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Branwyn Lupton		+0.5
12	6-6	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.4
13	7-6	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.4
14	8-6	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+0.6
15	8-7	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton		+0.4
16	9-7	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Branwyn Lupton	+0.5
17	10-7	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Mia Mattingly	+0.7
18	10-8	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Serve err	Le Moyne		+0.5
19	11-8	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.7
20	11-9	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Mya Comer	+0.5
21	12-9	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.7
22	13-9	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		+0.9
23	13-10	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer	+0.6
24	14-10	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Avery Stromberg	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.8
25	14-11	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney	set Mya Comer	+0.6
26	14-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Piper Hooey	+0.7
27	14-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Alise Evans		+0.7
28	15-13	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Attack err	Madison Miner		+0.8
29	16-13	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	Le Moyne		+1.0
30	16-14	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Bad set	Branwyn Lupton		+0.7
31	16-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst		+0.8
32	16-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.8
33	17-16	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.8
34	18-16	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Madison Miner		+1.1
35	18-17	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+0.8
36	19-17	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+1.1
37	19-18	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+0.8
38	19-19	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Mia Mattingly	+1.0
39	20-19	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Eiley Schneider	set Skylar Jehlen	+1.1
40	20-20	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer	+0.9
41	20-21	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Mya Comer	+1.1
42	21-21	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+1.0
43	21-22	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Bad set	Skylar Jehlen		+1.0
44	21-23	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Payton Melin	set Mia Mattingly	+1.0
45	21-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Avery Stromberg		+0.6
46	22-24	MERCYH	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.2
47	23-24	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Ava Carney		+0.7
48	24-24	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	Le Moyne		+1.9
49	24-25	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Payton Melin	set Roslyn Guerra	+1.7
50	24-26	MERCYH	MERCYH	Blocked	Avery Stromberg	blk Ava Carney, Julia Shepherd	+1.5
Set 2
1	0-1	MERCYH	MERCYH	Blocked	Avery Stromberg	blk Julia Shepherd, Erin Robbins	+0.2
2	1-1	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.2
3	2-1	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Branwyn Lupton	+0.2
4	2-2	LEMOYN	MERCYH×6	Serve err	Le Moyne		+0.2
5	2-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.2
6	2-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Bad set	Haley Buescher		+0.2
7	2-5	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
8	2-6	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Attack err	Avery Stromberg		+0.1
9	2-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×6	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
10	3-7	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
11	3-8	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
12	4-8	MERCYH	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.1
13	5-8	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	Le Moyne	aced Anna Logan	+0.1
14	6-8	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Eiley Schneider	set Jazmin Rodriguez	+0.2
15	6-9	LEMOYN	MERCYH×5	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
16	6-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt		+0.1
17	6-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Avery Stromberg	+0.1
18	6-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.1
19	6-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Jazmin Rodriguez	·
20	7-13	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Avery Stromberg	·
21	7-14	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer	·
22	7-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Haley Buescher	·
23	7-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt		·
24	8-16	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Attack err	Roslyn Guerra		·
25	9-16	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Avery Stromberg	set Skylar Jehlen	·
26	9-17	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer	·
27	9-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt		·
28	9-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Payton Melin	set Mya Comer	·
29	10-19	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Alise Evans, Gabriella Schemidt	·
30	10-20	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Serve err	Le Moyne		·
31	10-21	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Alyssa Krause	·
32	11-21	MERCYH	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	·
33	12-21	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	·
34	13-21	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Attack err	Sarah Barnum		·
35	14-21	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	·
36	14-22	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Blocked	Jazmin Rodriguez	blk Erin Robbins, Sarah Barnum	·
37	14-23	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Haley Buescher	·
38	15-23	MERCYH	LEMOYN×4	Attack err	Kalyani Olive		·
39	16-23	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Avery Stromberg	·
40	17-23	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Branwyn Lupton	·
41	18-23	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Blocked	Kalyani Olive	blk Eiley Schneider, Branwyn Lupton	·
42	18-24	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Alyssa Krause	·
43	18-25	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		·
Set 3
1	0-1	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Alyssa Krause	set Anna Logan	+0.1
2	1-1	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.1
3	2-1	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Anna Logan		+0.1
4	2-2	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Serve err	Le Moyne		+0.1
5	3-2	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.1
6	4-2	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.1
7	4-3	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
8	4-4	MERCYH	MERCYH	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.1
9	5-4	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.1
10	5-5	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
11	6-5	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
12	6-6	LEMOYN	MERCYH×4	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.1
13	6-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton		+0.1
14	6-8	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Payton Melin	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.1
15	6-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Attack err	Branwyn Lupton		+0.1
16	7-9	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
17	8-9	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	Le Moyne		+0.1
18	8-10	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Serve err	Le Moyne		+0.1
19	8-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst		+0.1
20	8-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Bad set	Katie Barbour		+0.1
21	9-12	MERCYH	LEMOYN×3	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.1
22	10-12	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Blocked	Payton Melin	blk Jazmin Rodriguez, Eiley Schneider	+0.1
23	11-12	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Ava Carney		+0.1
24	11-13	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Blocked	Jazmin Rodriguez	blk Ava Carney, Payton Melin	+0.1
25	12-13	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.1
26	12-14	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Serve err	Le Moyne		+0.1
27	13-14	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Avery Stromberg	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.1
28	13-15	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Kill	Sarah Barnum	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
29	13-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst		+0.1
30	13-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+0.1
31	14-17	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk Gabriella Schemidt, Alise Evans	+0.1
32	14-18	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Madison Miner	+0.1
33	15-18	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
34	15-19	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Aliyah Angelici	+0.1
35	15-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.1
36	15-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		·
37	16-21	MERCYH	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Katie Barbour	·
38	16-22	LEMOYN	MERCYH	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		·
39	17-22	MERCYH	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	·
40	18-22	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Attack err	Payton Melin		·
41	19-22	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Attack err	Kalyani Olive		+0.1
42	20-22	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Attack err	Kalyani Olive		+0.1
43	20-23	LEMOYN	MERCYH×3	Serve err	Le Moyne		+0.1
44	20-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Eiley Schneider	blk Sarah Barnum, Ava Carney	+0.1
45	20-25	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Ava Carney		·

Score shown after each rally, Le Moyne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Mercyhurst def. Le Moyne 3–0

Le Moyne hit .094. Mercyhurst held them there all match.