Central Conn. State def. Mercyhurst 3-1 Volleyball (Oct 24)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026PSAC Sports Digital Network

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: Mercyhurst 62.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Central Conn. St. won at Mercyhurst 3-1 (25-20, 17-25, 25-22, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Central Conn. St.'s Olivia Keckler led with 17 kills, and Gabriella Burdier added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 6:30 PM CT · final Oct 24

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
C CONN	25	17	25	25	3
MERCYH	20	25	22	19	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Central Conn. St. held off Mercyhurst.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Central Conn. St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had Mercyhurst at 63% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Central Conn. St. 18–18 Mercyhurst
From 18–18, Central Conn. St. scored 4 straight to lead 22–18. The match swung to Central Conn. St.
Central Conn. St. 39% → 55%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Central Conn. St. 13–12 Mercyhurst
4 straight Mercyhurst points turned a 12–13 deficit into a 16–13 lead.
Central Conn. St. 45% → 29%
Turning point 3: Set 3 · Central Conn. St. 22–21 Mercyhurst
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Central Conn. St., enough to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1. The match swung to Central Conn. St.
Central Conn. St. 49% → 68%

Mercyhurst above 50Central Conn. St. belowMax swing 8.7%

Central Conn. St.Mercyhurst

Sideout %: Central Conn. St. 58.6·Mercyhurst 54.9
Break %: Central Conn. St. 45.1·Mercyhurst 41.4
Hitting: Central Conn. St. .257·Mercyhurst .168
Longest run: Central Conn. St. 8·Mercyhurst 8

Olivia Keckler
4 of her kills came in the stretches above. 17 K, .262, 19.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Mercyhurst above 50 · Central Conn. St. below

Biggest swing: 8.7% to Central Conn. St. — set 3, C CONN 23-21 MERCYH. Kill by Olivia Keckler (set by Anja Milosevic). MERCYH win probability 51% → 42%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C CONN 36.7%63.3% MERCYH

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0

7.7%

3-1

13.2%

3-2

15.8%

Mercyhurst wins

3-0

19.0%

3-1

24.2%

3-2

20.0%

C CONN break %: 43.2% vs this opp
MERCYH break %: 45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Olivia KecklerKill+8.7%
Kill by Olivia Keckler (set by Anja Milosevic)
Set 3 · C CONN 23-21 MERCYH · C CONN 49% → 58%
02
Breanna GinleyKill+8.6%
Kill by Breanna Ginley (set by Anja Milosevic)
Set 3 · C CONN 22-21 MERCYH · C CONN 41% → 49%
03
Olivia KecklerKill+6.7%
Kill by Olivia Keckler (set by Anja Milosevic)
Set 3 · C CONN 24-21 MERCYH · C CONN 58% → 65%
04
Gabriella BurdierAce+6.5%
Ace by Gabriella Burdier on Anna Logan
Set 3 · C CONN 20-20 MERCYH · C CONN 34% → 41%
05
Olivia KecklerKill+5.9%
Kill by Olivia Keckler (set by Gabriella Burdier)
Set 3 · C CONN 21-21 MERCYH · C CONN 35% → 41%
06
Gabriella BurdierService error+5.8%
Service error by Gabriella Burdier
Set 3 · C CONN 20-21 MERCYH · MERCYH 59% → 65%
07
Mya ComerBad set+5.4%
Bad set by Mya Comer
Set 4 · C CONN 15-13 MERCYH · C CONN 74% → 79%
08
Olivia KecklerKill+5.2%
Kill by Olivia Keckler (set by Gabriella Burdier)
Set 3 · C CONN 25-22 MERCYH · C CONN 63% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Central Conn. St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Olivia KecklerOPP	4	17	6	42	.262	0	1	4	4	2	0	3	1.5	19.5
2Breanna GinleyMB	4	5	4	17	.059	2	1	3	0	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
21Isabella Aviles	4	7	1	14	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
11Cullen WinterMB	4	2	5	11	-.273	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	5.5
10Anja MilosevicS	4	2	0	8	.250	34	0	0	12	0	0	2	1	3
6Meg BerklandL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	3	2	9	0	0	0	0	3
9Hanley SchmidtOH	4	15	3	20	.600	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	16
1Annabelle DenommeL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	11	3	0	0	0	2
4Gabriella BurdierDS	4	0	0	0	–	8	2	5	13	2	0	0	0	2
Team totals		48	19	113	.257	46	9	16	51	11	3	16	11	92

Mercyhursthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Mia MattinglyMB	4	5	1	16	.250	0	4	3	1	0	4	2	11
8Madison MinerOH	4	8	3	23	.217	0	0	2	10	1	1	0.5	8.5
14Julia ShepherdOPP	4	7	4	20	.150	1	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	7.5
26Anna LoganDS	4	3	1	8	.250	1	4	2	4	1	0	0	7
23Ava CarneyMB	4	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	5
21Alyssa KrauseDS	4	0	0	2	.000	18	1	3	4	0	0	0	1
1Roslyn GuerraOH	4	5	4	17	.059	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
10Mya ComerS	4	0	0	1	.000	10	2	2	4	0	0	0	2
22Sydney ForchtL/DS	4	0	1	2	-.500	1	0	3	6	3	0	0	0
11Kelsie Gaiter-DavisDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
2Erin RobbinsMB	3	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
9Payton MelinOPP	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
Team totals		33	16	101	.168	32	11	15	42	9	16	8	86

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Central Conn. St. vs Mercyhurst

Season series · Central Conn. St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 23, 2026Central Conn. St. at Mercyhurst · Central Conn. St. won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 24, 2026Central Conn. St. at Mercyhurst · Central Conn. St. won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 C CONN · MERCYH 8

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 C CONNMERCYH 3

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 8 C CONNMERCYH 8

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 C CONNMERCYH 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 C CONNMERCYH 2

Bars above the line = Mercyhurst leads, below = Central Conn. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Conn. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	42%5/12
2	64%7/11	56%10/18
3	38%6/16	54%7/13
4	71%5/7	44%4/9
5	56%5/9	38%3/8
6	56%5/9	29%2/7
All	56%36/64	46%31/67

Mercyhurst

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	45%5/11
2	37%7/19	33%4/12
3	67%6/9	40%4/10
4	50%5/10	65%11/17
5	63%5/8	29%2/7
6	56%5/9	29%2/7
All	54%36/67	44%28/64

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#	C CONN-MERCYH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Anna Logan	set Alyssa Krause	+2.2
2	1-1	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Anja Milosevic	+1.8
3	2-1	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Anna Logan		+2.4
4	2-2	C CONN	MERCYH	Bad set	Anja Milosevic		+1.9
5	3-2	MERCYH	C CONN	Attack err	Breanna Ginley		+2.0
6	4-2	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Annabelle Denomme		+2.5
7	4-3	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+1.9
8	5-3	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Meg Berkland	+2.1
9	5-4	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Olivia Keckler		+1.9
10	6-4	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Breanna Ginley	+2.1
11	7-4	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Mia Mattingly		+2.6
12	7-5	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Anna Logan	+1.9
13	8-5	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+2.2
14	8-6	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+1.9
15	9-6	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+2.2
16	9-7	C CONN	MERCYH	Blocked	Cullen Winter	blk Ava Carney, Roslyn Guerra	+2.0
17	10-7	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Anja Milosevic	+2.3
18	11-7	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Gabriella Burdier	+2.6
19	11-8	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Sydney Forcht	+1.8
20	11-9	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Olivia Keckler	+2.6
21	12-9	MERCYH	C CONN×3	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+2.4
22	13-9	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Annabelle Denomme		+2.8
23	14-9	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Olivia Keckler, Breanna Ginley	+2.4
24	14-10	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Annabelle Denomme		+1.6
25	14-11	MERCYH	MERCYH	Bad set	Olivia Keckler		+2.4
26	15-11	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+2.4
27	15-12	C CONN	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Hanley Schmidt	blk Julia Shepherd, Mia Mattingly	+1.9
28	15-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Blocked	Breanna Ginley	blk Mia Mattingly, Payton Melin	+2.8
29	15-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Annabelle Denomme	+3.2
30	16-14	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+3.0
31	16-15	C CONN	MERCYH×3	Serve err	Breanna Ginley		+2.7
32	16-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+3.7
33	16-17	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+3.8
34	17-17	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+3.1
35	18-17	C CONN	C CONN	Blocked	Payton Melin	blk Hanley Schmidt	+4.3
36	18-18	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Gabriella Burdier	+3.3
37	19-18	MERCYH	C CONN×4	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+3.7
38	20-18	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Cullen Winter	+4.7
39	21-18	C CONN	C CONN×4	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Cullen Winter, Isabella Aviles	+4.2
40	22-18	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Gabriella Burdier	+3.3
41	22-19	C CONN	MERCYH	Blocked	Olivia Keckler	blk Payton Melin, Ava Carney	+1.6
42	23-19	MERCYH	C CONN	Attack err	Julia Shepherd		+2.6
43	23-20	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Gabriella Burdier		+1.3
44	24-20	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+2.4
45	25-20	C CONN	C CONN	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk Breanna Ginley	+1.0
Set 2
1	0-1	C CONN	MERCYH×4	Kill	Anna Logan	set Alyssa Krause	+2.1
2	0-2	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.5
3	0-3	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Gabriella Burdier	+2.3
4	0-4	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Hanley Schmidt	+2.1
5	1-4	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Gabriella Burdier	+1.6
6	1-5	C CONN	MERCYH	Attack err	Isabella Aviles		+1.8
7	2-5	MERCYH	C CONN	Attack err	Sydney Forcht		+1.6
8	3-5	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Gabriella Burdier	aced Sydney Forcht	+2.3
9	3-6	C CONN	MERCYH×8	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.0
10	3-7	MERCYH	MERCYH×8	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+2.3
11	3-8	MERCYH	MERCYH×8	Kill	Madison Miner	set Kelsie Gaiter-Davis	+2.0
12	3-9	MERCYH	MERCYH×8	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer	+1.7
13	3-10	MERCYH	MERCYH×8	Kill	Madison Miner	set Mya Comer	+1.4
14	3-11	MERCYH	MERCYH×8	Blocked	Isabella Aviles	blk Madison Miner, Mia Mattingly	+1.1
15	3-12	MERCYH	MERCYH×8	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.8
16	3-13	MERCYH	MERCYH×8	Ace	Mercyhurst		+0.5
17	4-13	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.3
18	4-14	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Annabelle Denomme		+0.4
19	5-14	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.3
20	6-14	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
21	6-15	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Olivia Keckler		+0.5
22	6-16	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Annabelle Denomme	+0.4
23	7-16	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+0.2
24	8-16	C CONN	C CONN	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Anja Milosevic, Cullen Winter	+0.4
25	8-17	C CONN	MERCYH×5	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+0.5
26	8-18	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Julia Shepherd	+0.3
27	8-19	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Bad set	Annabelle Denomme		+0.2
28	8-20	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Ace	Mercyhurst		+0.1
29	8-21	MERCYH	MERCYH×5	Attack err	Cullen Winter		·
30	9-21	MERCYH	C CONN	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Cullen Winter, Anja Milosevic	·
31	9-22	C CONN	MERCYH	Attack err	Alyssa Krause		·
32	10-22	MERCYH	C CONN×8	Serve err	Mercyhurst		·
33	11-22	C CONN	C CONN×8	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	·
34	12-22	C CONN	C CONN×8	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Gabriella Burdier	·
35	13-22	C CONN	C CONN×8	Ace	Meg Berkland	aced Sydney Forcht	·
36	14-22	C CONN	C CONN×8	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
37	15-22	C CONN	C CONN×8	Attack err	Madison Miner		+0.2
38	16-22	C CONN	C CONN×8	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+0.3
39	17-22	C CONN	C CONN×8	Blocked	Ava Carney	blk Cullen Winter	+0.6
40	17-23	C CONN	MERCYH×3	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+0.8
41	17-24	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+0.4
42	17-25	MERCYH	MERCYH×3	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+3.0
2	1-1	MERCYH	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+2.5
3	2-1	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Madison Miner	blk Isabella Aviles, Breanna Ginley	+3.2
4	3-1	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+3.3
5	3-2	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Gabriella Burdier		+2.5
6	3-3	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Breanna Ginley		+3.2
7	4-3	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+2.7
8	4-4	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Mya Comer	+2.7
9	5-4	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+2.8
10	6-4	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+3.5
11	6-5	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Olivia Keckler		+2.7
12	7-5	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+3.0
13	7-6	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Mya Comer	+2.8
14	8-6	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+3.0
15	8-7	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
16	8-8		MERCYH	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.7
17	9-8	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+3.1
18	9-9	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.0
19	10-9	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+3.2
20	10-10	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.1
21	11-10	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Anja Milosevic	+3.4
22	11-11	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Mya Comer	+3.3
23	11-12	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+4.1
24	12-12	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+3.4
25	13-12	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Sydney Forcht	+4.4
26	13-13	C CONN	MERCYH×4	Serve err	Olivia Keckler		+3.5
27	13-14	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Gabriella Burdier	+4.4
28	13-15	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Annabelle Denomme	+4.3
29	13-16	MERCYH	MERCYH×4	Blocked	Breanna Ginley	blk Erin Robbins, Ava Carney	+3.9
30	14-16	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+2.8
31	15-16	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Breanna Ginley	aced Madison Miner	+4.2
32	15-17	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Breanna Ginley		+3.8
33	15-18	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+4.2
34	16-18	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+2.9
35	16-19	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+3.6
36	17-19	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+3.0
37	18-19	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Meg Berkland	aced Sydney Forcht	+4.8
38	18-20	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+4.6
39	19-20	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+4.1
40	20-20	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Gabriella Burdier	aced Anna Logan	+6.5
41	20-21	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Gabriella Burdier		+5.8
42	21-21	MERCYH	C CONN×4	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Gabriella Burdier	+5.9
43	22-21	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+8.6
44	23-21	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+8.7
45	24-21	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+6.7
46	24-22	C CONN	MERCYH	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+2.3
47	25-22	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Gabriella Burdier	+5.2
Set 4
1	0-1	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Meg Berkland		+2.7
2	1-1	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Gabriella Burdier	+2.8
3	1-2	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Ava Carney	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
4	1-3	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+3.4
5	2-3	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Anja Milosevic	+2.7
6	2-4	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Mia Mattingly	set Alyssa Krause	+2.8
7	2-5	MERCYH	MERCYH	Attack err	Breanna Ginley		+3.2
8	3-5	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles		+2.5
9	4-5	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Olivia Keckler		+3.5
10	4-6	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Erin Robbins	set Mya Comer	+2.9
11	5-6	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Gabriella Burdier	+2.9
12	6-6	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+3.9
13	6-7	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Breanna Ginley		+3.2
14	6-8	MERCYH	MERCYH	Ace	Mercyhurst	aced Olivia Keckler	+3.8
15	7-8	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+3.0
16	7-9	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Roslyn Guerra	set Mya Comer	+3.2
17	8-9	MERCYH	C CONN×3	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+3.1
18	9-9	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Roslyn Guerra	blk Isabella Aviles, Cullen Winter	+4.2
19	10-9	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	Meg Berkland		+4.5
20	10-10	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Meg Berkland		+3.6
21	11-10	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+3.8
22	11-11	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Gabriella Burdier		+3.7
23	12-11	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+3.9
24	13-11	C CONN	C CONN	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Olivia Keckler, Breanna Ginley	+5.0
25	13-12	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+3.7
26	13-13	MERCYH	MERCYH	Kill	Anna Logan	set Mya Comer	+4.9
27	14-13	MERCYH	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+4.3
28	15-13	C CONN	C CONN×3	Bad set	Mya Comer		+5.4
29	16-13	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+5.2
30	16-14	C CONN	MERCYH	Blocked	Hanley Schmidt	blk Mia Mattingly, Erin Robbins	+3.6
31	17-14	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+4.4
32	17-15	C CONN	MERCYH	Bad set	Anja Milosevic		+3.7
33	18-15	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+4.6
34	18-16	C CONN	MERCYH	Blocked	Cullen Winter	blk Ava Carney, Erin Robbins	+3.8
35	19-16	MERCYH	C CONN	Serve err	Mercyhurst		+4.8
36	19-17	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Julia Shepherd	set Alyssa Krause	+3.8
37	20-17	MERCYH	C CONN	Blocked	Julia Shepherd	blk Cullen Winter, Olivia Keckler	+5.1
38	21-17	C CONN	C CONN	Bad set	Alyssa Krause		+5.1
39	21-18	C CONN	MERCYH	Serve err	Gabriella Burdier		+2.7
40	22-18	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+4.1
41	23-18	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Breanna Ginley	+3.1
42	23-19	C CONN	MERCYH	Kill	Madison Miner	set Alyssa Krause	+1.1
43	24-19	MERCYH	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+2.1
44	25-19	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Anja Milosevic	+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Central Conn. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Central Conn. St. def. Mercyhurst 3–1

Central Conn. St. held off Mercyhurst.