Central Ark. def. Tarleton State 3-2 Volleyball (Oct 17)

Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026ESPN+

2:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Tarleton St. 54.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Central Ark. beat visiting Tarleton St. 3-2 (23-25, 25-20, 25-16, 19-25, 15-8) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Central Ark.'s Karlyn Frazier and Sarah Carnathan led with 13 kills each, and Trinity Hamilton added 19 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 7:55 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
TARLET	25	20	16	25	8	2
C ARK	23	25	25	19	15	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ella Chaney served 9 aces, and Central Ark. needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Central Ark.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Tarleton St. at 54% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Tarleton St. 16–20 Central Ark.
Tarleton St. scored 5 straight to turn a 16–20 deficit into a 21–20 lead. The match swung to Tarleton St.
Central Ark. 61% → 41%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Tarleton St. 15–16 Central Ark.
Central Ark. scored 7 straight to stretch a 16–15 lead to 23–15.
Central Ark. 53% → 73%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Tarleton St. 0–0 Central Ark.
Central Ark. scored 8 straight to open the set 8–0. The match swung to Central Ark.
Central Ark. 49% → 97%

Central Ark. above 50Tarleton St. belowMax swing 9.7%

Tarleton St.Central Ark.

Sideout %: Tarleton St. 50.9·Central Ark. 57.9
Break %: Tarleton St. 42.1·Central Ark. 49.1
Hitting: Tarleton St. .180·Central Ark. .212
Longest run: Tarleton St. 6·Central Ark. 8

Greyson Button
11 kills on .526, 12.5 points; 7 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Central Ark. above 50 · Tarleton St. below

Biggest swing: 9.7% to Tarleton St. — set 1, TARLET 25-23 C ARK. Attack error by Nicole Sargent. C ARK win probability 38% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TARLET 47.9%52.1% C ARK

Tarleton St. wins

3-0

11.6%

3-1

17.9%

3-2

18.4%

Central Ark. wins

3-0

13.4%

3-1

19.6%

3-2

19.1%

TARLET break %: 43.7% vs this opp
C ARK break %: 44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Nicole SargentAttack error+9.7%
Attack error by Nicole Sargent
Set 1 · TARLET 25-23 C ARK · TARLET 62% → 72%
02
Greyson ButtonKill+8.6%
Kill by Greyson Button
Set 5 · TARLET 0-2 C ARK · C ARK 56% → 64%
03
Sarah CarnathanKill+8.3%
Kill by Sarah Carnathan (set by Tatelyn Brandsma)
Set 5 · TARLET 0-3 C ARK · C ARK 64% → 73%
04
Tatelyn BrandsmaService error+7.5%
Service error by Tatelyn Brandsma
Set 1 · TARLET 24-23 C ARK · TARLET 55% → 62%
05
Ella ChaneyAce+7.5%
Ace by Ella Chaney on Alexa Earle
Set 5 · TARLET 0-4 C ARK · C ARK 73% → 80%
06
Tatelyn BrandsmaAce+7.4%
Ace by Tatelyn Brandsma
Set 1 · TARLET 23-23 C ARK · C ARK 38% → 45%
07
Greyson ButtonKill+6.6%
Kill by Greyson Button (set by Tatelyn Brandsma)
Set 5 · TARLET 0-1 C ARK · C ARK 49% → 56%
08
Madison Natori Rice-LocketAttack error+6.3%
Attack error by Madison Natori Rice-Locket
Set 5 · TARLET 0-5 C ARK · C ARK 80% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tarleton St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Madison FrankMB	5	10	4	20	.300	0	0	4	0	0	6	3	13
3LaNeah LaraOH	5	12	4	34	.235	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	12.5
21Madison Natori Rice-LocketOH	5	8	3	38	.132	2	1	0	11	3	2	1	10
23Alyssa DinhMB	5	5	2	18	.167	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
18Peyton FadalS	5	1	0	3	.333	21	3	0	9	0	0	0	4
11Onita DavisMB	5	3	4	15	-.067	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Breannah PetersonOPP	5	11	3	24	.333	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
8Leddy Rae GuinnDS	5	1	0	4	.250	4	3	2	20	2	0	0	4
5Alexis MasseyS	5	0	0	0	–	17	1	2	7	0	0	0	1
19Alexa EarleL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	10	1	0	0	1
1Aubrey AchesonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0
7Taylynn BiggsMB	1	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	22	161	.180	44	9	9	69	14	14	7	94

Central Ark.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Ella ChaneyOH	5	7	7	32	.000	1	9	3	13	1	0	5	2.5	18.5
3Karlyn FrazierMB	5	13	1	20	.600	0	0	0	3	0	2	3	3.5	16.5
12Sarah CarnathanOH	5	13	8	51	.098	0	0	2	11	1	1	3	2.5	15.5
16Tatelyn BrandsmaS	5	3	1	8	.250	51	2	2	10	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
6Nicole SargentOPP	3	3	4	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
8McKinzee HaasMB	2	1	2	9	-.111	0	1	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	4.5
1Annie HopkinsOH	5	11	2	22	.409	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
5Olivia KremerL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	3	1	0	18	3	0	0	0	1
2Trinity HamiltonOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	19	0	0	0	0	1
18Berkley BatesL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Greyson ButtonMB	3	11	1	19	.526	1	0	1	4	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
23Sophie SkinnerS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		62	26	170	.212	58	14	8	80	9	3	23	14.5	107

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tarleton St. vs Central Ark.

Season series · Central Ark. leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 8, 2026Central Ark. at Tarleton St. · Central Ark. won 3-2Result →
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Tarleton St. at Central Ark. · Central Ark. won 3-2This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TARLET · C ARK 8

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 6 TARLETC ARK 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 TARLETC ARK 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 TARLETC ARK 7

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 6 TARLETC ARK 3

Set 5

8-15

Longest run 3 TARLETC ARK 8

Bars above the line = Central Ark. leads, below = Tarleton St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tarleton St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%9/19	47%7/15
2	57%8/14	27%3/11
3	58%7/12	20%2/10
4	39%7/18	30%3/10
5	55%6/11	59%10/17
6	63%5/8	25%2/8
All	51%42/82	38%27/71

Central Ark.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	33%3/9
2	80%8/10	55%11/20
3	67%8/12	53%9/17
4	88%7/8	53%8/15
5	35%6/17	54%7/13
6	67%6/9	25%2/8
All	62%44/71	49%40/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

201 rallies

#	TARLET-C ARK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0		TARLET	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.8
2	1-1	TARLET	C ARK	Blocked	Madison Frank	blk McKinzee Haas, Ella Chaney	+1.9
3	2-1	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Peyton Fadal	+1.9
4	2-2	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.9
5	3-2	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Peyton Fadal	+1.9
6	4-2	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+2.5
7	4-3	TARLET	C ARK×5	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.8
8	4-4	C ARK	C ARK×5	Ace	Central Ark.		+2.6
9	4-5	C ARK	C ARK×5	Ace	Central Ark.		+2.7
10	4-6	C ARK	C ARK×5	Blocked	Onita Davis	blk Karlyn Frazier, Sarah Carnathan	+2.7
11	4-7	C ARK	C ARK×5	Blocked	Onita Davis	blk Karlyn Frazier, Sarah Carnathan	+2.6
12	5-7	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Peyton Fadal	+1.8
13	5-8	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.1
14	6-8	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+1.9
15	7-8	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		+2.7
16	7-9	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.2
17	7-10	C ARK	C ARK	Ace	Central Ark.		+2.8
18	8-10	C ARK	TARLET×6	Serve err	Central Ark.		+2.0
19	9-10	TARLET	TARLET×6	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+2.9
20	10-10	TARLET	TARLET×6	Ace	Peyton Fadal		+3.1
21	11-10	TARLET	TARLET×6	Kill	Madison Frank		+3.2
22	12-10	TARLET	TARLET×6	Blocked	Sarah Carnathan	blk Madison Frank, Breannah Peterson	+3.1
23	13-10	TARLET	TARLET×6	Attack err	Nicole Sargent		+2.9
24	13-11	TARLET	C ARK	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+2.0
25	13-12	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Nicole Sargent	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.1
26	14-12	C ARK	TARLET	Serve err	Central Ark.		+2.5
27	14-13	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Nicole Sargent	set Olivia Kremer	+2.4
28	14-14	C ARK	C ARK	Ace	Central Ark.	aced Aubrey Acheson	+3.6
29	15-14	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Peyton Fadal	+2.8
30	15-15	TARLET	C ARK×3	Blocked	Madison Frank	blk Karlyn Frazier	+2.8
31	15-16	C ARK	C ARK×3	Ace	Central Ark.		+4.0
32	15-17	C ARK	C ARK×3	Blocked	LaNeah Lara	blk Karlyn Frazier, Tatelyn Brandsma	+4.0
33	16-17	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Peyton Fadal	+2.8
34	16-18	TARLET	C ARK×3	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+3.2
35	16-19	C ARK	C ARK×3	Ace	Central Ark.	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+3.8
36	16-20	C ARK	C ARK×3	Ace	Central Ark.	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+3.1
37	17-20	C ARK	TARLET×5	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Peyton Fadal	+1.7
38	18-20	TARLET	TARLET×5	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		+3.1
39	19-20	TARLET	TARLET×5	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+4.2
40	20-20	TARLET	TARLET×5	Ace	Tarleton St.		+5.2
41	21-20	TARLET	TARLET×5	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+5.8
42	21-21	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Sophie Skinner	+4.3
43	22-21	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+5.0
44	23-21	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	McKinzee Haas		+6.3
45	23-22	TARLET	C ARK	Blocked	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Annie Hopkins, McKinzee Haas	+3.5
46	23-23	C ARK	C ARK	Ace	Tatelyn Brandsma		+7.4
47	24-23	C ARK	TARLET	Serve err	Tatelyn Brandsma		+7.5
48	25-23	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Nicole Sargent		+9.7
Set 2
1	0-1	TARLET	C ARK×3	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.8
2	0-2	C ARK	C ARK×3	Ace	Ella Chaney	aced Leddy Rae Guinn	+2.4
3	0-3	C ARK	C ARK×3	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.3
4	1-3	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Peyton Fadal	+1.6
5	1-4	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.8
6	2-4	C ARK	TARLET	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+1.7
7	2-5	TARLET	C ARK	Blocked	Onita Davis	blk Sarah Carnathan, McKinzee Haas	+1.8
8	3-5	C ARK	TARLET	Attack err	Nicole Sargent		+1.7
9	3-6	TARLET	C ARK	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+1.9
10	3-7	C ARK	C ARK	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+2.3
11	4-7	C ARK	TARLET	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+1.6
12	4-8	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Nicole Sargent	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.8
13	4-9	C ARK	C ARK	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+2.1
14	5-9	C ARK	TARLET	Attack err	Nicole Sargent		+1.4
15	6-9	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+2.1
16	6-10	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.9
17	7-10	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Alexis Massey	+1.6
18	8-10	TARLET	TARLET	Blocked	Karlyn Frazier	blk Madison Natori Rice-Locket, Madison Frank	+2.5
19	8-11	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.1
20	9-11	C ARK	TARLET	Blocked	Sarah Carnathan	blk Breannah Peterson, Madison Frank	+1.9
21	9-12	TARLET	C ARK×3	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.2
22	9-13	C ARK	C ARK×3	Attack err	Taylynn Biggs		+2.6
23	9-14	C ARK	C ARK×3	Blocked	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	blk Tatelyn Brandsma, McKinzee Haas	+2.2
24	10-14	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Peyton Fadal	+1.4
25	10-15	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.7
26	11-15	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Peyton Fadal	+1.3
27	11-16	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	McKinzee Haas	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.7
28	11-17	C ARK	C ARK	Blocked	Taylynn Biggs	blk McKinzee Haas, Ella Chaney	+1.8
29	12-17	C ARK	TARLET×3	Serve err	Sarah Carnathan		+0.9
30	13-17	TARLET	TARLET×3	Attack err	Annie Hopkins		+1.7
31	14-17	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+2.2
32	14-18	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Olivia Kremer	+2.2
33	15-18	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+1.7
34	15-19	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.3
35	16-19	C ARK	TARLET	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+1.6
36	16-20	TARLET	C ARK	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+2.3
37	16-21	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.1
38	17-21	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+0.9
39	18-21	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Tatelyn Brandsma		+2.0
40	18-22	TARLET	C ARK×3	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.3
41	18-23	C ARK	C ARK×3	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.8
42	18-24	C ARK	C ARK×3	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+0.7
43	19-24	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Peyton Fadal	+0.1
44	20-24	TARLET	TARLET	Blocked	McKinzee Haas	blk Madison Frank, LaNeah Lara	+0.3
45	20-25	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+0.6
Set 3
1	1-0	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Peyton Fadal	+2.5
2	1-1	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.5
3	1-2	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier		+3.4
4	2-2	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Peyton Fadal	+2.5
5	2-3	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.6
6	2-4	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.5
7	3-4	C ARK	TARLET×3	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Peyton Fadal	+2.5
8	4-4	TARLET	TARLET×3	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+3.5
9	5-4	TARLET	TARLET×3	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+3.6
10	5-5	TARLET	C ARK	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+2.7
11	5-6	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Tatelyn Brandsma	set Greyson Button	+3.7
12	6-6	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Peyton Fadal	+2.8
13	6-7	TARLET	C ARK×3	Blocked	Breannah Peterson	blk Ella Chaney, Greyson Button	+2.9
14	6-8	C ARK	C ARK×3	Ace	Ella Chaney	aced Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+3.8
15	6-9	C ARK	C ARK×3	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.7
16	7-9	C ARK	TARLET	Serve err	Ella Chaney		+2.6
17	8-9	TARLET	TARLET	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		+3.7
18	8-10	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.1
19	9-10	C ARK	TARLET×3	Serve err	Greyson Button		+2.9
20	10-10	TARLET	TARLET×3	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		+4.1
21	11-10	TARLET	TARLET×3	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Olivia Kremer	+4.2
22	11-11	TARLET	C ARK	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+3.2
23	12-11	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Alexis Massey	+3.3
24	13-11	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Olivia Kremer	+4.3
25	13-12	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.1
26	14-12	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Peyton Fadal	+3.4
27	14-13	TARLET	C ARK×4	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.2
28	14-14	C ARK	C ARK×4	Attack err	LaNeah Lara		+4.7
29	14-15	C ARK	C ARK×4	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+5.1
30	14-16	C ARK	C ARK×4	Blocked	Onita Davis	blk Ella Chaney, Greyson Button	+5.1
31	15-16	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Peyton Fadal	+3.5
32	15-17	TARLET	C ARK×7	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+4.1
33	15-18	C ARK	C ARK×7	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+4.9
34	15-19	C ARK	C ARK×7	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+4.1
35	15-20	C ARK	C ARK×7	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.1
36	15-21	C ARK	C ARK×7	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Olivia Kremer	+2.0
37	15-22	C ARK	C ARK×7	Attack err	Alyssa Dinh		+1.1
38	15-23	C ARK	C ARK×7	Blocked	Alyssa Dinh	blk Ella Chaney, Greyson Button, Tatelyn Brandsma	+0.4
39	16-23	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Leddy Rae Guinn	+0.1
40	16-24	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Tatelyn Brandsma		+0.2
41	16-25	C ARK	C ARK	Ace	Ella Chaney	aced Aubrey Acheson	·
Set 4
1	1-0	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Alexis Massey	+3.4
2	2-0	TARLET	TARLET×4	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Ella Chaney	+3.3
3	3-0	TARLET	TARLET×4	Blocked	Sarah Carnathan	blk Breannah Peterson, Madison Frank	+3.2
4	4-0	TARLET	TARLET×4	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+3.0
5	4-1	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.1
6	5-1	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+2.3
7	5-2	TARLET	C ARK	Attack err	Breannah Peterson		+2.1
8	6-2	C ARK	TARLET	Attack err	Annie Hopkins		+2.3
9	6-3	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.1
10	6-4	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.2
11	7-4	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Peyton Fadal	set Olivia Kremer	+2.6
12	7-5	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.5
13	7-6	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.6
14	8-6	C ARK	TARLET	Serve err	Ella Chaney		+2.9
15	9-6	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.6
16	9-7	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.6
17	10-7	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Peyton Fadal	+2.8
18	10-8	TARLET	C ARK	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+2.6
19	10-9	C ARK	C ARK	Blocked	Madison Frank	blk Sarah Carnathan	+3.9
20	11-9	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Alexis Massey	+3.2
21	11-10	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.0
22	12-10	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+3.3
23	12-11	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.1
24	12-12	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+4.6
25	13-12	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+3.6
26	14-12	TARLET	TARLET	Ace	Tarleton St.		+4.7
27	14-13	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.3
28	15-13	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Peyton Fadal	+3.7
29	16-13	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Onita Davis	set Madison Natori Rice-Locket	+4.5
30	16-14	TARLET	C ARK	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+3.0
31	17-14	C ARK	TARLET×6	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Peyton Fadal	+3.5
32	18-14	TARLET	TARLET×6	Kill	Madison Frank	set Peyton Fadal	+3.9
33	19-14	TARLET	TARLET×6	Blocked	Greyson Button	blk Madison Natori Rice-Locket, Madison Frank	+3.0
34	20-14	TARLET	TARLET×6	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Olivia Kremer	+2.0
35	21-14	TARLET	TARLET×6	Kill	Madison Frank		+1.1
36	22-14	TARLET	TARLET×6	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		+0.5
37	22-15	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Sophie Skinner	+0.2
38	23-15	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Natori Rice-Locket	set Peyton Fadal	+0.3
39	23-16	TARLET	C ARK×3	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+0.1
40	23-17	C ARK	C ARK×3	Blocked	Madison Frank	blk Karlyn Frazier	+0.2
41	23-18	C ARK	C ARK×3	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+0.5
42	24-18	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+0.7
43	24-19	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+0.1
44	25-19	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Madison Frank	set Alexis Massey	+0.7
Set 5
1	0-1	TARLET	C ARK×8	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+6.6
2	0-2	C ARK	C ARK×8	Kill	Greyson Button		+8.6
3	0-3	C ARK	C ARK×8	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+8.3
4	0-4	C ARK	C ARK×8	Ace	Ella Chaney	aced Alexa Earle	+7.5
5	0-5	C ARK	C ARK×8	Attack err	Madison Natori Rice-Locket		+6.3
6	0-6	C ARK	C ARK×8	Ace	Ella Chaney	aced Aubrey Acheson	+5.0
7	0-7	C ARK	C ARK×8	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+3.6
8	0-8	C ARK	C ARK×8	Kill	Greyson Button		+2.4
9	1-8	C ARK	TARLET	Serve err	Ella Chaney		+1.1
10	2-8	TARLET	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+2.1
11	2-9	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Tatelyn Brandsma	set Ella Chaney	+2.4
12	3-9	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	Breannah Peterson	set Alexis Massey	+1.4
13	3-10	TARLET	C ARK	Serve err	Tarleton St.		+2.2
14	4-10	C ARK	TARLET	Kill	LaNeah Lara	set Alexis Massey	+1.2
15	4-11	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Karlyn Frazier	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.9
16	4-12	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+1.2
17	5-12	C ARK	TARLET×3	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Peyton Fadal	+0.3
18	6-12	TARLET	TARLET×3	Ace	Tarleton St.	aced Sarah Carnathan	+0.9
19	7-12	TARLET	TARLET×3	Kill	Alyssa Dinh	set Peyton Fadal	+1.6
20	7-13	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+2.2
21	7-14	C ARK	C ARK	Ace	Olivia Kremer	aced Leddy Rae Guinn	+1.0
22	8-14	C ARK	TARLET	Blocked	Ella Chaney	blk Onita Davis, Alyssa Dinh	+0.1
23	8-15	TARLET	C ARK	Kill	Annie Hopkins	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Tarleton St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Central Ark. def. Tarleton St. 3–2

Ella Chaney served 9 aces, and Central Ark. needed every one.