Northern Colo. def. Montana State 3-0 Volleyball (Sep 26)

FinalSat, Sep 26, 2026ESPN+

0:3

Northern Colo. beat visiting Montana St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-16, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Northern Colo.'s Gillian Walton led with 12 kills, and Bella LePore added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 26

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MONTST	21	16	23	0
N COLO	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Northern Colo. above 50 · Montana St. below

Biggest swing: 3.5% to Northern Colo. — set 1, MONTST 21-23 N COLO. Kill by Maddie Rink (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge). N COLO win probability 78% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MONTST 25.8%74.2% N COLO

Montana St. wins

3-0

4.6%

3-1

8.9%

3-2

12.3%

Northern Colo. wins

3-0

26.4%

3-1

28.4%

3-2

19.4%

MONTST break %: 39.5% vs this opp
N COLO break %: 44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Maddie RinkKill+3.5%
Kill by Maddie Rink (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 1 · MONTST 21-23 N COLO · N COLO 78% → 81%
02
Kylie CackovicAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Kylie Cackovic
Set 1 · MONTST 21-22 N COLO · MONTST 19% → 22%
03
Alayna TessenaKill+3.3%
Kill by Alayna Tessena (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 1 · MONTST 21-24 N COLO · N COLO 81% → 84%
04
Montana St.Service error+2.3%
Montana St. service error
Set 3 · MONTST 23-25 N COLO · N COLO 98% → 100%
05
Montana St.Ace+2.2%
Montana St. ace on Bella LePore
Set 1 · MONTST 3-2 N COLO · MONTST 26% → 28%
06
Gillian WaltonKill+2.2%
Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 1 · MONTST 19-22 N COLO · N COLO 80% → 83%
07
Gillian WaltonAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Gillian Walton
Set 1 · MONTST 19-21 N COLO · MONTST 17% → 20%
08
Lauren GreenyKill+2.1%
Kill by Lauren Greeny (set by Teagan Jaynes)
Set 1 · MONTST 1-0 N COLO · MONTST 26% → 28%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Montana St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Karli HeidemannOH	3	11	4	32	.219	0	0	2	2	2	0	1	0.5	11.5
22Joelie SpeltsMB	3	4	2	19	.105	1	1	1	4	0	1	2	2	7
7Lauren SchloeMB	3	3	0	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	6
6Teagan JaynesS	3	2	1	6	.167	18	1	2	7	0	0	0	0	3
2Lauren GreenyOH	3	2	1	8	.125	2	0	3	9	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
12Afton ThomsenDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
23Elli TuftoOH	3	5	3	15	.133	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
14Taylor McDonaldOH	3	2	3	10	-.100	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
45Nicolette NobleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
5Keely CullerOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Maggie RhewS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	14	103	.146	24	3	10	41	5	4	8	8	60

Northern Colo.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Gillian WaltonOH	3	12	6	26	.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12
11Alayna TessenaOH	3	7	4	24	.125	1	3	2	7	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
14Maddie RinkMB	3	6	2	15	.267	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
13Summer SneadMB	3	6	2	14	.286	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	8
4Kylie CackovicOH	3	5	3	20	.100	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
3Nerea Alvarez-JorgeS	3	3	0	5	.600	30	1	1	9	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
16Bella LePoreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	16	1	0	0	0	1
6Julia AngertDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Leila BallardOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	0
15Jasmine OgrenDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
2Jenna BallerDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	17	104	.212	33	5	9	47	3	3	6	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Montana St. vs Northern Colo.

Season series · Northern Colo. leads 1-0

Sat, Sep 26, 2026Montana St. at Northern Colo. · Northern Colo. won 3-0This match
Wed, Nov 18, 2026Northern Colo. at Montana St.Preview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MONTST · N COLO 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 2 MONTST N COLO 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 MONTST N COLO 7

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 MONTST N COLO 3

Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = Montana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Montana St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	38%3/8
2	36%5/14	17%1/6
3	100%5/5	38%3/8
4	50%4/8	38%3/8
5	44%4/9	0%0/4
6	67%4/6	0%0/4
All	55%27/49	26%10/38

Northern Colo.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	20%1/5
2	63%5/8	64%9/14
3	71%5/7	17%1/6
4	71%5/7	0%0/5
5	100%4/4	60%6/10
6	80%4/5	56%5/9
All	74%28/38	45%22/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	MONTST -N COLO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.1
2	1-1	MONTST	N COLO	Attack err	Teagan Jaynes		+1.5
3	1-2	N COLO	N COLO	Ace	Northern Colo.		+2.0
4	2-2	N COLO	MONTST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+1.5
5	3-2	MONTST	MONTST	Ace	Montana St.	aced Bella LePore	+2.2
6	3-3	MONTST	N COLO	Attack err	Summer Snead		+1.5
7	3-4	N COLO	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+2.1
8	4-4	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.6
9	4-5	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.5
10	5-5	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.6
11	5-6	MONTST	N COLO	Serve err	Montana St.		+1.6
12	5-7	N COLO	N COLO	Blocked	Taylor McDonald	blk Maddie Rink, Alayna Tessena	+2.1
13	6-7	N COLO	MONTST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+1.5
14	6-8	MONTST	N COLO×4	Serve err	Montana St.		+1.5
15	6-9	N COLO	N COLO×4	Blocked	Elli Tufto	blk Summer Snead	+1.9
16	6-10	N COLO	N COLO×4	Bad set	Teagan Jaynes		+1.7
17	6-11	N COLO	N COLO×4	Blocked	Joelie Spelts	blk Summer Snead	+1.4
18	7-11	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.8
19	7-12	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
20	8-12	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.8
21	8-13	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
22	9-13	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Joelie Spelts	+0.8
23	9-14	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
24	10-14	N COLO	MONTST	Blocked	Maddie Rink	blk Lauren Schloe	+0.8
25	10-15	MONTST	N COLO	Attack err	Taylor McDonald		+1.0
26	11-15	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.8
27	12-15	MONTST	MONTST	Bad set	Bella LePore		+1.5
28	12-16	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Kylie Cackovic	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.3
29	12-17	N COLO	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.4
30	13-17	N COLO	MONTST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.8
31	13-18	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
32	14-18	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Julia Angert	+0.7
33	14-19	MONTST	N COLO	Serve err	Montana St.		+1.0
34	15-19	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Teagan Jaynes	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.7
35	16-19	MONTST	MONTST	Bad set	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge		+1.5
36	16-20	MONTST	N COLO	Serve err	Montana St.		+1.4
37	17-20	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.0
38	17-21	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Kylie Cackovic	set Alayna Tessena	+1.4
39	18-21	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Schloe	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.0
40	19-21	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Gillian Walton		+2.2
41	19-22	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+2.2
42	20-22	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Taylor McDonald	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.5
43	21-22	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Kylie Cackovic		+3.5
44	21-23	MONTST	N COLO×3	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+3.5
45	21-24	N COLO	N COLO×3	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+3.3
46	21-25	N COLO	N COLO×3	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+1.2
Set 2
1	1-0	N COLO	MONTST	Attack err	Kylie Cackovic		+1.2
2	1-1	MONTST	N COLO×7	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.2
3	1-2	N COLO	N COLO×7	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Bella LePore	+1.6
4	1-3	N COLO	N COLO×7	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+1.5
5	1-4	N COLO	N COLO×7	Attack err	Joelie Spelts		+1.4
6	1-5	N COLO	N COLO×7	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+1.2
7	1-6	N COLO	N COLO×7	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
8	1-7	N COLO	N COLO×7	Kill	Kylie Cackovic		+0.8
9	2-7	N COLO	MONTST ×3	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Lauren Greeny	+0.5
10	3-7	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Attack err	Gillian Walton		+0.9
11	4-7	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Blocked	Gillian Walton	blk Karli Heidemann, Lauren Schloe	+1.1
12	4-8	MONTST	N COLO	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.9
13	5-8	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.8
14	6-8	MONTST	MONTST	Ace	Montana St.		+1.4
15	6-9	MONTST	N COLO	Blocked	Karli Heidemann	blk Maddie Rink	+1.1
16	7-9	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Nicolette Noble	+1.1
17	7-10	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.1
18	8-10	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Schloe	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.1
19	8-11	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge		+1.1
20	8-12	N COLO	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton		+1.4
21	9-12	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Lauren Greeny	+0.9
22	9-13	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
23	9-14	N COLO	N COLO	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+1.1
24	10-14	N COLO	MONTST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.7
25	10-15	MONTST	N COLO×3	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.8
26	10-16	N COLO	N COLO×3	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+0.8
27	10-17	N COLO	N COLO×3	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Bella LePore	+0.5
28	11-17	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Lauren Greeny	+0.3
29	11-18	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge		+0.4
30	12-18	N COLO	MONTST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.2
31	12-19	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Kylie Cackovic	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.3
32	13-19	N COLO	MONTST	Attack err	Alayna Tessena		+0.2
33	13-20	MONTST	N COLO×3	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.3
34	13-21	N COLO	N COLO×3	Attack err	Lauren Greeny		+0.2
35	13-22	N COLO	N COLO×3	Attack err	Lauren Greeny		+0.1
36	14-22	N COLO	MONTST	Blocked	Alayna Tessena	blk Lauren Schloe, Lauren Greeny	·
37	14-23	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	·
38	14-24	N COLO	N COLO	Ace	Northern Colo.		·
39	15-24	N COLO	MONTST	Blocked	Summer Snead	blk Joelie Spelts	·
40	16-24	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Gillian Walton		·
41	16-25	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	·
Set 3
1	0-1	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.6
2	1-1	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Schloe	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.6
3	1-2	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Kylie Cackovic	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.6
4	2-2	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.7
5	2-3	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.6
6	3-3	N COLO	MONTST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.7
7	4-3	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Alayna Tessena		+1.0
8	4-4	MONTST	N COLO	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.7
9	5-4	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.8
10	5-5	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.7
11	6-5	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.8
12	6-6	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge		+0.7
13	6-7	N COLO	N COLO	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
14	7-7	N COLO	MONTST ×3	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.8
15	8-7	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Blocked	Alayna Tessena	blk Lauren Schloe	+1.1
16	9-7	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Blocked	Gillian Walton	blk Taylor McDonald	+1.2
17	9-8	MONTST	N COLO	Serve err	Montana St.		+0.8
18	10-8	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Nicolette Noble	+0.9
19	10-9	MONTST	N COLO×3	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.8
20	10-10	N COLO	N COLO×3	Ace	Northern Colo.	aced Karli Heidemann	+1.2
21	10-11	N COLO	N COLO×3	Bad set	Teagan Jaynes		+1.1
22	11-11	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Taylor McDonald	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.9
23	12-11	MONTST	MONTST	Blocked	Gillian Walton	blk Joelie Spelts, Elli Tufto	+1.3
24	12-12	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.9
25	13-12	N COLO	MONTST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+1.0
26	13-13	MONTST	N COLO×3	Blocked	Elli Tufto	blk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge, Maddie Rink	+0.9
27	13-14	N COLO	N COLO×3	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.3
28	13-15	N COLO	N COLO×3	Attack err	Alayna Tessena		+1.2
29	14-15	N COLO	MONTST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.8
30	15-15	MONTST	MONTST	Ace	Montana St.		+1.4
31	15-16	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
32	16-16	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.1
33	16-17	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.1
34	17-17	N COLO	MONTST	Attack err	Summer Snead		+1.1
35	17-18	MONTST	N COLO×3	Serve err	Montana St.		+1.2
36	17-19		N COLO	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.5
37	17-20	N COLO	N COLO×3	Ace	Northern Colo.	aced Karli Heidemann	+1.2
38	18-20	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Maggie Rhew	+0.7
39	18-21	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.9
40	18-22	N COLO	N COLO	Bad set	Maggie Rhew		+0.9
41	19-22	N COLO	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.4
42	19-23	MONTST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.6
43	19-24	N COLO	N COLO	Blocked	Taylor McDonald	blk Kylie Cackovic, Maddie Rink	+0.4
44	20-24	N COLO	MONTST ×4	Blocked	Kylie Cackovic	blk Joelie Spelts, Taylor McDonald	+0.1
45	21-24	MONTST	MONTST ×4	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.2
46	22-24	MONTST	MONTST ×4	Kill	Teagan Jaynes	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.5
47	23-24	MONTST	MONTST ×4	Attack err	Maddie Rink		+1.4
48	23-25	MONTST	N COLO	Serve err	Montana St.		+2.3

Score shown after each rally, Montana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northern Colo. def. Montana St. 3–0