FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Montana St. def. Portland St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Montana St. 52.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 8:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Montana St. won at Portland St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-19, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Montana St.'s Karli Heidemann led with 14 kills, and Nicolette Noble added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set123Sets
MONTST 2525253
PORTST2319220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Karli Heidemann needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. Montana St. swept Portland St.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.6 points, and Portland St.'s high was 48% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. RallyIQ gave Montana St. 52% before first serve.

Montana St.Portland St.
  • Break %+8.7 pts
    46.637.9

    34 of 73 on serve vs 25 of 66, so Portland St.'s sideout was 53.4%.

  • Hitting+.135
    .284.149

    49 K / 16 E against 32 K / 17 E.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    6 straight Montana St. points in the second set broke an 8–8 tie and made it 14–8. Final score of the set: 25–19.

Portland St. above 50Montana St. belowMax swing 7.6%

Montana St.Portland St.

Aces
Montana St. 4·Portland St. 3
Serve err
Montana St. 13·Portland St. 5
Blocks
Montana St. 5.5·Portland St. 40 BS · 11 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Montana St. 45·Portland St. 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Portland St. above 50 · Montana St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.6% MONTST rally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Montana St. — set 1, MONTST 24-22 PORTST. Kill by Lauren Schloe (set by Alivia Eikenberg). PORTST win probability 42% → 34%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MONTST 51.9%48.1% PORTST

Montana St. wins

3-0
13.3%
3-1
19.5%
3-2
19.0%

Portland St. wins

3-0
11.7%
3-1
18.0%
3-2
18.4%
MONTST break %
41.5% vs this opp
PORTST break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lauren SchloeKill+7.6%

    Kill by Lauren Schloe (set by Alivia Eikenberg)

    Set 1 · MONTST 24-22 PORTST · MONTST 58% → 66%

  2. 02
    Elli EskoKill+7.0%

    Kill by Elli Esko (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 1 · MONTST 25-23 PORTST · MONTST 63% → 70%

  3. 03

    Kill by Alivia Eikenberg

    Set 1 · MONTST 21-21 PORTST · PORTST 42% → 48%

  4. 04

    Kill by Karli Heidemann (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 1 · MONTST 23-22 PORTST · MONTST 53% → 58%

  5. 05
    Portland St.Service error+4.8%

    Portland St. service error

    Set 1 · MONTST 22-21 PORTST · MONTST 52% → 57%

  6. 06

    Kill by Alivia Eikenberg (set by Xanthe Ocampo)

    Set 1 · MONTST 22-22 PORTST · PORTST 43% → 47%

  7. 07
    Willow WatsonKill+4.3%

    Kill by Willow Watson (set by Ava Blascziek)

    Set 1 · MONTST 21-20 PORTST · PORTST 37% → 42%

  8. 08
    Willow WatsonAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Willow Watson

    Set 3 · MONTST 21-19 PORTST · MONTST 91% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314538.2372029102115
39522.18221210202111
310316.4380022002111
3218.12500010031.53.5
3307.429410260010.53.5
3000–111300001
311225.36000020010.511.5
3000–2131200001
1000–011000001
Team totals4916116.284484134530115.575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37521.09500080010.57.5
36215.267100000217
36314.21400030010.56.5
3319.222000000214
33318.000101400003
3106.1672013500002
3000–3011110000
24312.08301040010.55.5
2205.40000000010.52.5
2000–110110001
2001.000300200000
2000–000000000
2000–100320000
Team totals3217101.149303541408464

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Montana St. vs Portland St.

Season series · Montana St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MONTST · PORTST 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 MONTST PORTST 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 MONTST PORTST 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 MONTST PORTST 5

Bars above the line = Portland St. leads, below = Montana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Montana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
33%3/9
2
50%8/16
50%8/16
3
73%8/11
27%3/11
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
50%5/10
58%7/12
6
100%5/5
64%9/14
All
62%41/66
47%34/73

Portland St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
22%2/9
2
62%8/13
43%6/14
3
70%7/10
47%7/15
4
46%6/13
42%5/12
5
45%5/11
45%5/11
6
45%5/11
0%0/5
All
53%39/73
38%25/66

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#MONTST -PORTSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PORTSTMONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
22-0MONTST MONTST ×3KillTeagan Jaynesset Lauren Greeny+2.5
33-0MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errWillow Watson+2.4
43-1MONTST PORTSTBlockedKarli Heidemannblk Willow Watson, Reese Biesemeyer+1.6
54-1PORTSTMONTST Attack errAlivia Eikenberg+1.7
64-2MONTST PORTSTAttack errLauren Schloe+1.6
74-3PORTSTPORTSTAttack errLauren Greeny+2.5
85-3PORTSTMONTST BlockedWillow Watsonblk Lauren Schloe, Karli Heidemann+1.9
95-4MONTST PORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Ava Blascziek+1.8
106-4PORTSTMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
117-4MONTST MONTST Attack errAlivia Eikenberg+2.6
127-5MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+1.7
138-5PORTSTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
149-5MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.aced Jessica Truong+2.5
159-6MONTST PORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Ava Blascziek+1.5
1610-6PORTSTMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Nicolette Noble+1.8
1710-7MONTST PORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+1.5
1811-7PORTSTMONTST Serve errPortland St.+1.8
1911-8MONTST PORTSTKillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+1.5
2012-8PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
2112-9MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+1.6
2213-9PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
2313-10MONTST PORTST×3Serve errMontana St.+1.6
2413-11PORTSTPORTST×3Attack errElli Esko+2.7
2513-12PORTSTPORTST×3AcePortland St.aced Karli Heidemann+3.2
2614-12PORTSTMONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Karli Heidemann+2.5
2715-12MONTST MONTST ×3BlockedBrenna Coffmanblk Elli Esko, Joelie Spelts+3.3
2816-12MONTST MONTST ×3AceMontana St.aced Xanthe Ocampo+2.8
2916-13MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+1.6
3016-14PORTSTPORTSTAttack errLauren Greeny+2.9
3117-14PORTSTMONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.5
3218-14MONTST MONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.9
3319-14MONTST MONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.2
3419-15MONTST PORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Ava Blascziek+1.0
3520-15PORTSTMONTST Serve errPortland St.+1.5
3620-16MONTST PORTST×3KillAva Blascziekset Jessica Truong+0.9
3720-17PORTSTPORTST×3AcePortland St.aced Lauren Greeny+2.0
3820-18PORTSTPORTST×3KillWillow Watsonset Paige Stepaniuk+3.0
3921-18PORTSTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.9
4021-19MONTST PORTST×3Serve errMontana St.+2.1
4121-20PORTSTPORTST×3KillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+4.3
4221-21PORTSTPORTST×3KillAlivia Eikenberg+5.8
4322-21PORTSTMONTST Serve errPortland St.+4.8
4422-22MONTST PORTSTKillAlivia Eikenbergset Xanthe Ocampo+4.6
4523-22PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+5.7
4624-22MONTST MONTST KillLauren Schloeset Alivia Eikenberg+7.6
4724-23MONTST PORTSTKillAlivia Eikenbergset Ava Blascziek+2.9
4825-23PORTSTMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+7.0
Set 2
11-0MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.5
21-1MONTST PORTST×3KillMaryn Hallset Ava Blascziek+1.8
31-2PORTSTPORTST×3KillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+2.6
41-3PORTSTPORTST×3KillAlivia Eikenbergset Ava Blascziek+2.6
52-3PORTSTMONTST Serve errPortland St.+1.7
62-4MONTST PORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Paige Stepaniuk+1.8
72-5PORTSTPORTSTAttack errKarli Heidemann+2.5
83-5PORTSTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.6
94-5MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.aced Xanthe Ocampo+2.6
104-6MONTST PORTSTKillAlivia Eikenbergset Ava Blascziek+1.9
115-6PORTSTMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Afton Thomsen+1.8
126-6MONTST MONTST Attack errAlivia Eikenberg+2.8
136-7MONTST PORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Ava Blascziek+2.0
147-7PORTSTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.0
158-7MONTST MONTST KillLauren Schloeset Teagan Jaynes+3.0
168-8MONTST PORTSTKillAlivia Eikenbergset Ava Blascziek+2.1
179-8PORTSTMONTST ×6KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.1
1810-8MONTST MONTST ×6BlockedMaryn Hallblk Lauren Greeny, Joelie Spelts+3.0
1911-8MONTST MONTST ×6KillElli Eskoset Karli Heidemann+2.8
2012-8MONTST MONTST ×6KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.5
2113-8MONTST MONTST ×6KillLauren Greenyset Nicolette Noble+2.1
2214-8MONTST MONTST ×6KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
2314-9MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+0.9
2415-9PORTSTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.2
2516-9MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.2
2616-10MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+0.6
2716-11PORTSTPORTSTAttack errElli Esko+1.2
2817-11PORTSTMONTST ×4KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.1
2918-11MONTST MONTST ×4BlockedMaryn Hallblk Joelie Spelts, Teagan Jaynes+1.1
3019-11MONTST MONTST ×4KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.6
3120-11MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errReese Biesemeyer+0.3
3220-12MONTST PORTST×5Serve errMontana St.+0.1
3320-13PORTSTPORTST×5BlockedJoelie Speltsblk Alivia Eikenberg, Reese Biesemeyer+0.3
3420-14PORTSTPORTST×5Attack errJoelie Spelts+0.5
3520-15PORTSTPORTST×5KillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+0.8
3620-16PORTSTPORTST×5AcePortland St.aced Lauren Greeny+1.3
3721-16PORTSTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
3821-17MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+0.8
3921-18PORTSTPORTSTAttack errKarli Heidemann+1.8
4022-18PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.0
4123-18MONTST MONTST Attack errBrenna Coffman+1.6
4223-19MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+0.4
4324-19PORTSTMONTST Attack errAlivia Eikenberg+0.9
4425-19MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.3
Set 3
11-0PORTSTMONTST Serve errPortland St.+1.2
21-1MONTST PORTSTKillAlivia Eikenbergset Ava Blascziek+1.2
32-1PORTSTMONTST Attack errAshley Repetti+1.2
42-2MONTST PORTSTKillReese Biesemeyerset Ava Blascziek+1.2
52-3PORTSTPORTSTBlockedJoelie Speltsblk Ashley Repetti, Brenna Coffman+1.8
63-3PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.2
74-3MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
84-4MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+1.2
94-5PORTSTPORTSTKillBrenna Coffman+1.8
105-5PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.3
115-6MONTST PORTST×5KillKatelyn Daveyset Brenna Coffman+1.3
125-7PORTSTPORTST×5Attack errKarli Heidemann+1.9
135-8PORTSTPORTST×5BlockedKarli Heidemannblk Katelyn Davey, Brenna Coffman+1.8
145-9PORTSTPORTST×5KillAshley Repettiset Asya Akbulut+1.7
155-10PORTSTPORTST×5Attack errLauren Greeny+1.5
166-10PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Lauren Greeny+0.9
176-11MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+1.0
187-11PORTSTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.8
198-11MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.5
208-12MONTST PORTSTAttack errLauren Greeny+1.2
219-12PORTSTMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.0
2210-12MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
2310-13MONTST PORTSTKillWillow Watsonset Ava Blascziek+1.4
2411-13PORTSTMONTST Attack errAshley Repetti+1.3
2512-13MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.aced Paige Stepaniuk+2.1
2612-14MONTST PORTSTKillAshley Repettiset Paige Stepaniuk+1.7
2713-14PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.5
2813-15MONTST PORTSTKillBrenna Coffmanset Ava Blascziek+1.7
2913-16PORTSTPORTSTAttack errLauren Greeny+2.3
3014-16PORTSTMONTST ×3KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
3115-16MONTST MONTST ×3BlockedAshley Repettiblk Lauren Schloe, Karli Heidemann+2.3
3216-16MONTST MONTST ×3KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.7
3316-17MONTST PORTSTKillAshley Repettiset Asya Akbulut+2.0
3417-17PORTSTMONTST Attack errAlivia Eikenberg+2.0
3518-17MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+3.0
3618-18MONTST PORTSTKillAshley Repettiset Maryn Hall+2.1
3719-18PORTSTMONTST BlockedMaryn Hallblk Lauren Greeny, Lauren Schloe+2.3
3819-19MONTST PORTSTKillKatelyn Daveyset Asya Akbulut+2.3
3920-19PORTSTMONTST ×3KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.5
4021-19MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errWillow Watson+3.4
4122-19MONTST MONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.8
4222-20MONTST PORTSTServe errMontana St.+1.3
4322-21PORTSTPORTSTKillReese Biesemeyerset Ava Blascziek+3.0
4423-21PORTSTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+3.0
4524-21MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+3.0
4624-22MONTST PORTSTKillReese Biesemeyerset Ava Blascziek+0.8
4725-22PORTSTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.9

Score shown after each rally, Montana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).