Portland State def. Montana State 3-0 Volleyball (Nov 5)

FinalThu, Nov 5, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Montana St. 66.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Portland St. won at Montana St. 3-0 (25-16, 25-21, 25-22) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. Portland St.'s Alivia Eikenberg led with 13 kills, and Paige Stepaniuk added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT · final Nov 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PORTST	25	25	25	3
MONTST	16	21	22	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Portland St. 33%. Portland St. won anyway.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Portland St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Montana St. was RallyIQ's 67% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Portland St. 19–20 Montana St.
Portland St. scored 5 straight to turn a 19–20 deficit into a 24–20 lead.
Portland St. 51% → 79%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Portland St. 16–17 Montana St.
Portland St. scored 4 straight to turn a 16–17 deficit into a 20–17 lead.
Portland St. 77% → 93%

Montana St. above 50Portland St. belowMax swing 7.1%

Portland St.Montana St.

Sideout %: Portland St. 67.2·Montana St. 53.4
Break %: Portland St. 46.6·Montana St. 32.8
Hitting: Portland St. .305·Montana St. .165
Longest run: Portland St. 5·Montana St. 5

Alivia Eikenberg
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 13 K, .290, 18 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Montana St. above 50 · Portland St. below

Biggest swing: 7.1% to Portland St. — set 2, PORTST 22-20 MONTST . Attack error by Lauren Greeny. MONTST win probability 38% → 31%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PORTST 41.1%58.9% MONTST

Portland St. wins

3-0

9.1%

3-1

15.0%

3-2

16.9%

Montana St. wins

3-0

16.7%

3-1

22.5%

3-2

19.8%

PORTST break %: 40.3% vs this opp
MONTST break %: 42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lauren GreenyAttack error+7.1%
Attack error by Lauren Greeny
Set 2 · PORTST 22-20 MONTST · PORTST 62% → 69%
02
Elli TuftoAttack error+7.0%
Attack error by Elli Tufto
Set 2 · PORTST 21-20 MONTST · PORTST 55% → 62%
03
Alivia EikenbergBlock+5.8%
Joelie Spelts stuffed by Alivia Eikenberg
Set 2 · PORTST 23-20 MONTST · PORTST 69% → 75%
04
Willow Watson&Reese BiesemeyerBlock+4.8%
Karli Heidemann stuffed by Willow Watson & Reese Biesemeyer
Set 2 · PORTST 17-17 MONTST · PORTST 50% → 55%
05
Alivia EikenbergKill+4.5%
Kill by Alivia Eikenberg (set by Jessica Truong)
Set 3 · PORTST 19-17 MONTST · PORTST 84% → 89%
06
Lauren GreenyAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Lauren Greeny
Set 3 · PORTST 18-17 MONTST · PORTST 80% → 84%
07
Ashley RepettiKill+4.2%
Kill by Ashley Repetti (set by Paige Stepaniuk)
Set 2 · PORTST 20-20 MONTST · PORTST 51% → 55%
08
Lauren GreenyKill+4.2%
Kill by Lauren Greeny (set by Teagan Jaynes)
Set 2 · PORTST 19-20 MONTST · MONTST 45% → 49%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Portland St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Alivia EikenbergOH	3	13	4	31	.290	1	2	2	9	0	3	0	3	18
19Ashley RepettiOH	3	10	3	26	.269	2	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	10
21Reese BiesemeyerMB	3	5	1	11	.364	0	1	0	3	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
3Brenna CoffmanMB	3	5	1	13	.308	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
23Ava BlascziekS	3	3	0	6	.500	33	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Jessica TruongL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
20Willow WatsonMB	3	7	2	17	.294	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	9
2Paige StepaniukL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	1	0	12	3	0	0	0	1
1Alyssandra OrdonaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	11	105	.305	42	4	3	45	4	3	11	8.5	75

Montana St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Joelie SpeltsMB	3	9	4	19	.263	0	0	1	3	0	2	3	3.5	12.5
2Lauren GreenyOH	3	9	3	26	.231	1	1	1	4	0	0	2	1	11
18Karli HeidemannOH	3	6	8	24	-.083	0	2	2	6	0	0	0	0	8
17Alice StemanMB	3	7	1	13	.462	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
6Teagan JaynesS	3	1	0	4	.250	35	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
12Afton ThomsenDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
11Elli EskoOH	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6
23Elli TuftoOH	3	3	3	12	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	4
45Nicolette NobleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	11	1	0	0	0	1
9Maggie RhewS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Taylor McDonaldOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	22	115	.165	38	4	6	41	4	2	8	6	59

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Portland St. vs Montana St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Sat, Oct 10, 2026Montana St. at Portland St. · Montana St. won 3-0Result →
Thu, Nov 5, 2026Portland St. at Montana St. · Portland St. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PORTST · MONTST 5

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 PORTSTMONTST 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 PORTSTMONTST 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 PORTSTMONTST 2

Bars above the line = Montana St. leads, below = Portland St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Portland St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	45%5/11
2	70%7/10	53%8/15
3	70%7/10	53%8/15
4	54%7/13	59%10/17
5	75%6/8	25%2/8
6	75%6/8	14%1/7
All	67%41/61	47%34/73

Montana St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	30%3/10
2	54%7/13	33%4/12
3	44%7/16	22%2/9
4	50%6/12	53%8/15
5	86%6/7	0%0/6
6	83%5/6	33%3/9
All	53%39/73	33%20/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#	PORTST-MONTST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MONTST	PORTST×3	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+1.7
2	2-0	PORTST	PORTST×3	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+2.5
3	3-0	PORTST	PORTST×3	Ace	Paige Stepaniuk		+2.5
4	3-1	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.6
5	3-2	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.4
6	4-2	MONTST	PORTST	Attack err	Alice Steman		+1.8
7	5-2	PORTST	PORTST	Blocked	Karli Heidemann	blk Willow Watson, Reese Biesemeyer	+2.6
8	5-3	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.7
9	6-3	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Ava Blascziek	+1.9
10	7-3	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Alivia Eikenberg	+2.6
11	7-4	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.6
12	8-4	MONTST	PORTST×3	Serve err	Karli Heidemann		+1.9
13	9-4	PORTST	PORTST×3	Ace	Reese Biesemeyer	aced Nicolette Noble	+2.4
14	10-4	PORTST	PORTST×3	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+2.1
15	10-5	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.1
16	11-5	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+1.5
17	11-6	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.1
18	11-7	MONTST	MONTST	Ace	Lauren Greeny	aced Paige Stepaniuk	+2.0
19	12-7	MONTST	PORTST	Serve err	Lauren Greeny		+1.8
20	12-8	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.4
21	13-8	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Ava Blascziek	+1.8
22	14-8	PORTST	PORTST	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+2.1
23	14-9	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Teagan Jaynes	set Afton Thomsen	+1.1
24	15-9	MONTST	PORTST×5	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Ava Blascziek	+1.5
25	16-9	PORTST	PORTST×5	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+1.6
26	17-9	PORTST	PORTST×5	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+1.1
27	18-9	PORTST	PORTST×5	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+0.7
28	19-9	PORTST	PORTST×5	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer		+0.4
29	19-10	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.1
30	19-11	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.3
31	20-11	MONTST	PORTST×5	Serve err	Teagan Jaynes		+0.3
32	21-11	PORTST	PORTST×5	Blocked	Lauren Greeny	blk Willow Watson, Reese Biesemeyer	+0.2
33	22-11	PORTST	PORTST×5	Blocked	Elli Esko	blk Reese Biesemeyer, Willow Watson	+0.1
34	23-11	PORTST	PORTST×5	Ace	Alivia Eikenberg	aced Elli Esko	·
35	24-11	PORTST	PORTST×5	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ashley Repetti	·
36	24-12	PORTST	MONTST ×5	Serve err	Alivia Eikenberg		·
37	24-13	MONTST	MONTST ×5	Attack err	Ashley Repetti		·
38	24-14	MONTST	MONTST ×5	Kill	Alice Steman		·
39	24-15	MONTST	MONTST ×5	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	·
40	24-16	MONTST	MONTST ×5	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	·
41	25-16	MONTST	PORTST	Blocked	Elli Tufto	blk Reese Biesemeyer, Willow Watson	·
Set 2
1	0-1	PORTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.9
2	0-2	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.6
3	0-3	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Blocked	Brenna Coffman	blk Joelie Spelts, Elli Tufto	+2.4
4	1-3	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Ava Blascziek	+1.7
5	2-3	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+2.6
6	2-4	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.9
7	2-5	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.5
8	3-5	MONTST	PORTST	Serve err	Afton Thomsen		+1.7
9	4-5	PORTST	PORTST	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+2.7
10	4-6	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.0
11	5-6	MONTST	PORTST×3	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+2.0
12	6-6	PORTST	PORTST×3	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Ava Blascziek	+3.1
13	7-6	PORTST	PORTST×3	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Ava Blascziek	+3.4
14	7-7	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Ava Blascziek	+2.3
15	8-7	MONTST	PORTST	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+2.5
16	8-8	PORTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.4
17	8-9	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Blocked	Willow Watson	blk Alice Steman, Elli Tufto	+3.4
18	8-10	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Ace	Karli Heidemann	aced Ashley Repetti	+3.2
19	9-10	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Paige Stepaniuk	+2.2
20	9-11	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.3
21	9-12	MONTST	MONTST	Blocked	Ashley Repetti	blk Lauren Greeny, Joelie Spelts	+3.0
22	10-12	MONTST	PORTST	Attack err	Joelie Spelts		+2.0
23	10-13	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.2
24	11-13	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+2.0
25	11-14	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.2
26	12-14	MONTST	PORTST×3	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Ava Blascziek	+2.0
27	13-14	PORTST	PORTST×3	Blocked	Joelie Spelts	blk Alivia Eikenberg	+3.5
28	14-14	PORTST	PORTST×3	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+4.1
29	14-15	PORTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+3.0
30	14-16	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Karli Heidemann	set Lauren Greeny	+4.1
31	14-17	MONTST	MONTST ×3	Kill	Alice Steman		+3.6
32	15-17	MONTST	PORTST×3	Attack err	Karli Heidemann		+2.2
33	16-17	PORTST	PORTST×3	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Ava Blascziek	+3.9
34	17-17	PORTST	PORTST×3	Blocked	Karli Heidemann	blk Willow Watson, Reese Biesemeyer	+4.8
35	17-18	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Nicolette Noble	+3.6
36	18-18	MONTST	PORTST	Attack err	Elli Esko		+3.6
37	18-19	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+3.8
38	19-19	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+3.9
39	19-20	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+4.2
40	20-20	MONTST	PORTST×5	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Paige Stepaniuk	+4.2
41	21-20	PORTST	PORTST×5	Attack err	Elli Tufto		+7.0
42	22-20	PORTST	PORTST×5	Attack err	Lauren Greeny		+7.1
43	23-20	PORTST	PORTST×5	Blocked	Joelie Spelts	blk Alivia Eikenberg	+5.8
44	24-20	PORTST	PORTST×5	Blocked	Joelie Spelts	blk Alivia Eikenberg	+3.4
45	24-21	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Tufto	set Teagan Jaynes	+0.7
46	25-21	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+1.7
Set 3
1	0-1	MONTST	MONTST	Attack err	Alivia Eikenberg		+2.2
2	0-2	MONTST	MONTST	Ace	Karli Heidemann	aced Paige Stepaniuk	+2.1
3	1-2	MONTST	PORTST	Serve err	Karli Heidemann		+1.5
4	2-2	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Ava Blascziek	+2.3
5	2-3	PORTST	MONTST	Attack err	Alivia Eikenberg		+1.6
6	3-3	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Ava Blascziek	set Ashley Repetti	+1.7
7	3-4	PORTST	MONTST	Serve err	Ava Blascziek		+1.7
8	4-4	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+1.7
9	5-4	PORTST	PORTST	Ace	Alivia Eikenberg		+2.6
10	5-5	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.8
11	5-6	MONTST	MONTST	Blocked	Reese Biesemeyer	blk Joelie Spelts	+2.5
12	6-6	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Ava Blascziek	+1.8
13	6-7	PORTST	MONTST	Attack err	Willow Watson		+1.8
14	7-7	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Ava Blascziek	+1.9
15	7-8	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.9
16	8-8	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Ava Blascziek	+1.9
17	8-9	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.9
18	9-9	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Ava Blascziek	set Jessica Truong	+2.0
19	9-10	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.0
20	9-11	MONTST	MONTST	Ace	Nicolette Noble	aced Paige Stepaniuk	+2.7
21	10-11	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+1.9
22	10-12	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.0
23	11-12	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Paige Stepaniuk	+1.9
24	11-13	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.0
25	11-14	MONTST	MONTST	Kill	Joelie Spelts	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.6
26	12-14	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+1.7
27	12-15	PORTST	MONTST	Blocked	Ashley Repetti	blk Joelie Spelts	+1.9
28	13-15	MONTST	PORTST	Serve err	Joelie Spelts		+1.7
29	14-15	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Ava Blascziek	+3.0
30	14-16	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Alice Steman	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.3
31	15-16	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Ava Blascziek	+2.2
32	16-16	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Ava Blascziek	set Jessica Truong	+3.7
33	16-17	PORTST	MONTST	Attack err	Alivia Eikenberg		+2.7
34	17-17	MONTST	PORTST×4	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Ava Blascziek	+2.8
35	18-17	PORTST	PORTST×4	Attack err	Lauren Greeny		+4.4
36	19-17	PORTST	PORTST×4	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Jessica Truong	+4.5
37	20-17	PORTST	PORTST×4	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+4.1
38	20-18	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Lauren Greeny	set Teagan Jaynes	+2.2
39	21-18	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+3.1
40	21-19	PORTST	MONTST	Blocked	Alivia Eikenberg	blk Joelie Spelts, Lauren Greeny	+2.1
41	22-19	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+3.2
42	22-20	PORTST	MONTST	Serve err	Alivia Eikenberg		+2.0
43	23-20	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+3.4
44	23-21	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.8
45	24-21	MONTST	PORTST	Kill	Ashley Repetti	set Ava Blascziek	+3.5
46	24-22	PORTST	MONTST	Kill	Elli Esko	set Teagan Jaynes	+1.3
47	25-22	MONTST	PORTST	Blocked	Elli Esko	blk Ava Blascziek, Brenna Coffman	+3.2

Score shown after each rally, Portland St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Portland St. def. Montana St. 3–0

RallyIQ gave Portland St. 33%. Portland St. won anyway.