Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayHORIZON

3:1

HomeMVC

Purdue Fort Wayne def. Evansville 3–1

(25-16, 25-18, 24-26, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
IPFW	25	25	24	25	3
EVANS	16	18	26	15	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

EVANS above 50 · IPFW below

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Evansville — set 3, IPFW 24-26 EVANS. Evansville ace on Riley Rosneck. EVANS win probability 6% → 9%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IPFW 85.4%14.6% EVANS

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0

37.6%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.4%

Evansville wins

3-0

2.2%

3-1

4.7%

3-2

7.8%

IPFW break %: 45.7% vs this opp
EVANS break %: 37.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
EVANS serverAce+3.0%
Evansville ace on Riley Rosneck
Set 3 · IPFW 24-26 EVANS · EVANS 6% → 9%
02
Miona DimitricKill+2.6%
Kill by Miona Dimitric (set by Lili Smith)
Set 3 · IPFW 24-24 EVANS · IPFW 93% → 96%
03
Miona DimitricAttack error+1.8%
Miona Dimitric stuffed by Sabrina Ripple & Carsyn Kelley
Set 3 · IPFW 24-25 EVANS · EVANS 4% → 6%
04
Ryan ScheuKill+1.6%
Kill by Ryan Scheu (set by Carsyn Kelley)
Set 1 · IPFW 2-3 EVANS · EVANS 14% → 16%
05
Wren JonesAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Wren Jones
Set 4 · IPFW 2-0 EVANS · IPFW 92% → 94%
06
IPFW serverAce+1.5%
Purdue Fort Wayne ace on Brooke Herdes
Set 1 · IPFW 5-4 EVANS · IPFW 85% → 86%
07
Miona DimitricAttack error+1.5%
Miona Dimitric stuffed by Carsyn Kelley & Makenzie Miller
Set 1 · IPFW 17-15 EVANS · EVANS 10% → 12%
08
Miona DimitricAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Miona Dimitric
Set 4 · IPFW 6-4 EVANS · EVANS 4% → 6%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Purdue Fort Wayneaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Riley RosneckOH	4	20	3	49	.347	0	4	1	10	2	0	2	1	25
9Trinity RyeOH	4	14	10	34	.118	0	1	1	6	0	1	2	2	17
5Mya PlemonsMB	4	7	0	14	.500	1	0	0	1	0	4	4	6	13
15Bella DiBuonoMB	4	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
1Lili SmithS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	44	1	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Stephani WinzelerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
19Miona DimitricOH	4	6	6	20	.000	0	1	2	6	3	0	2	1	8
3Becky BarrettDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	11	2	0	0	0	1
2Ava TesterS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	21	127	.236	46	8	5	45	8	6	14	13	99

Evansvillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Lyla FisherOH	4	12	4	38	.211	0	1	0	6	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
17Ryan ScheuOH	4	8	3	16	.313	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
3Wren JonesOH	4	7	11	32	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
4Sabrina RippleMB	4	3	2	10	.100	0	3	2	2	1	0	5	2.5	8.5
18Makenzie MillerMB	4	3	4	13	-.077	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
2Carsyn KelleyS	4	2	1	5	.200	29	2	2	8	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
6Lexi OwenS	4	0	0	1	.000	3	2	2	8	0	0	0	0	2
15Brooke HerdesOH	4	0	2	2	-1.000	1	0	1	5	3	0	0	0	0
20Kendall AglerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	13	0	0	0	0	0
1Carlotta Pascual CentellesOH	1	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
5Angelica Gonzalez MaltesOH	1	1	3	8	-.250	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
10Aubry DowlingL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	31	130	.062	38	8	9	47	8	2	16	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 IPFW · EVANS 6

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 7 IPFWEVANS 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 IPFWEVANS 5

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 5 IPFWEVANS 6

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 4 IPFWEVANS 3

Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = Purdue Fort Wayne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Purdue Fort Wayne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	56%9/16
2	53%8/15	53%10/19
3	53%8/15	53%9/17
4	53%8/15	38%5/13
5	70%7/10	67%14/21
6	100%6/6	50%6/12
All	61%46/76	54%53/98

Evansville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	45%9/20	13%1/8
2	43%9/21	47%8/17
3	67%8/12	50%8/16
4	67%8/12	38%5/13
5	27%6/22	47%7/15
6	45%5/11	14%1/7
All	46%45/98	39%30/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

174 rallies

Rally log

#	IPFW-EVANS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+1.3
2	1-1	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.0
3	2-1	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+1.0
4	2-2	IPFW	EVANS	Attack err	Miona Dimitric	blk Ryan Scheu, Sabrina Ripple	+1.1
5	2-3	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.6
6	3-3	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+1.1
7	3-4	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.2
8	4-4	EVANS	IPFW	Serve err	EVANS server		+1.1
9	5-4	IPFW	IPFW	Ace	IPFW server	aced Brooke Herdes	+1.5
10	5-5	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.1
11	6-5	EVANS	IPFW×6	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.1
12	7-5	IPFW	IPFW×6	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.4
13	8-5	IPFW	IPFW×6	Attack err	Makenzie Miller		+1.2
14	9-5	IPFW	IPFW×6	Attack err	Wren Jones	blk Mya Plemons	+1.0
15	10-5	IPFW	IPFW×6	Attack err	Makenzie Miller	blk Mya Plemons, Riley Rosneck	+0.8
16	11-5	IPFW	IPFW×6	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.6
17	11-6	IPFW	EVANS	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.4
18	11-7	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.7
19	12-7	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.6
20	13-7	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Sabrina Ripple		+0.6
21	13-8	IPFW	EVANS	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+0.4
22	14-8	EVANS	IPFW	Attack err	Ryan Scheu		+0.4
23	15-8	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.4
24	15-9	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
25	16-9	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.3
26	16-10	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
27	16-11	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Miona Dimitric	+0.4
28	17-11	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.4
29	17-12	IPFW	EVANS×4	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
30	17-13	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+0.7
31	17-14	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+1.0
32	17-15	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Miona Dimitric	blk Carsyn Kelley, Makenzie Miller	+1.5
33	18-15	EVANS	IPFW	Attack err	Carsyn Kelley	blk Mya Plemons	+1.2
34	18-16	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+1.1
35	19-16	EVANS	IPFW×7	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+1.3
36	20-16	IPFW	IPFW×7	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+1.3
37	21-16	IPFW	IPFW×7	Kill	Riley Rosneck		+0.8
38	22-16	IPFW	IPFW×7	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.4
39	23-16	IPFW	IPFW×7	Ace	IPFW server	aced Aubry Dowling	+0.2
40	24-16	IPFW	IPFW×7	Attack err	Makenzie Miller	blk Riley Rosneck, Mya Plemons	+0.0
41	25-16	IPFW	IPFW×7	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	EVANS	IPFW×5	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.7
2	2-0	IPFW	IPFW×5	Attack err	Brooke Herdes		+0.9
3	3-0	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.8
4	4-0	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.7
5	5-0	IPFW	IPFW×5	Ace	IPFW server	aced Brooke Herdes	+0.5
6	5-1	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
7	6-1	EVANS	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.4
8	7-1	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.4
9	8-1	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	IPFW server	aced Brooke Herdes	+0.3
10	8-2	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.2
11	9-2	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+0.2
12	9-3	IPFW	EVANS	Bad set	Becky Barrett		+0.2
13	9-4	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Becky Barrett	+0.4
14	10-4	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+0.3
15	10-5	IPFW	EVANS	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.3
16	11-5	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+0.3
17	11-6	IPFW	EVANS	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.3
18	12-6	EVANS	IPFW×5	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.3
19	13-6	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Lili Smith	+0.3
20	14-6	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Bella DiBuono		+0.2
21	15-6	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.1
22	16-6	IPFW	IPFW×5	Attack err	Angelica Gonzalez Maltes	blk Bella DiBuono	+0.1
23	16-7	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
24	17-7	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.0
25	18-7	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Bella DiBuono, Trinity Rye	+0.0
26	18-8	IPFW	EVANS×4	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Kendall Agler	+0.0
27	18-9	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.0
28	18-10	EVANS	EVANS×4	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Angelica Gonzalez Maltes	+0.1
29	18-11	EVANS	EVANS×4	Ace	EVANS server	aced Team	+0.1
30	19-11	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.1
31	20-11	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.1
32	20-12	IPFW	EVANS×5	Attack err	Trinity Rye	blk Lyla Fisher, Makenzie Miller	+0.0
33	20-13	EVANS	EVANS×5	Kill	Carlotta Pascual Centelles	set Kendall Agler	+0.1
34	20-14	EVANS	EVANS×5	Ace	EVANS server	aced Becky Barrett	+0.1
35	20-15	EVANS	EVANS×5	Kill	Carlotta Pascual Centelles	set Lexi Owen	+0.2
36	20-16	EVANS	EVANS×5	Ace	EVANS server	aced Miona Dimitric	+0.4
37	21-16	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.4
38	22-16	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Angelica Gonzalez Maltes		+0.3
39	22-17	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Carlotta Pascual Centelles	set Lexi Owen	+0.1
40	23-17	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.2
41	23-18	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Angelica Gonzalez Maltes	set Lexi Owen	+0.1
42	24-18	EVANS	IPFW	Attack err	Angelica Gonzalez Maltes		+0.1
43	25-18	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Carlotta Pascual Centelles		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
2	0-2	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
3	1-2	EVANS	IPFW	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.4
4	1-3	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
5	1-4	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Riley Rosneck	+0.6
6	2-4	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.4
7	3-4	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Ryan Scheu	blk Miona Dimitric, Mya Plemons	+0.6
8	3-5	IPFW	EVANS	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.5
9	4-5	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+0.4
10	4-6	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
11	5-6	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.4
12	6-6	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Makenzie Miller		+0.6
13	6-7	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
14	7-7	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+0.4
15	8-7	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.6
16	8-8	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
17	9-8	EVANS	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.4
18	10-8	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.5
19	11-8	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Wren Jones	blk Trinity Rye, Bella DiBuono	+0.5
20	11-9	IPFW	EVANS×4	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
21	11-10	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Riley Rosneck	blk Wren Jones, Sabrina Ripple	+0.5
22	11-11	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Trinity Rye	blk Carsyn Kelley, Sabrina Ripple	+0.7
23	11-12	EVANS	EVANS×4	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.8
24	12-12	EVANS	IPFW	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.5
25	12-13	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
26	13-13	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+0.5
27	13-14	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
28	14-14	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.6
29	15-14	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.8
30	15-15	IPFW	EVANS×6	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.6
31	15-16	EVANS	EVANS×6	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.9
32	15-17	EVANS	EVANS×6	Ace	EVANS server	aced Miona Dimitric	+1.0
33	15-18	EVANS	EVANS×6	Attack err	Lili Smith	blk Makenzie Miller	+1.1
34	15-19	EVANS	EVANS×6	Bad set	Becky Barrett		+1.0
35	15-20	EVANS	EVANS×6	Attack err	Miona Dimitric	blk Ryan Scheu	+0.8
36	16-20	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+0.3
37	16-21	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
38	17-21	EVANS	IPFW	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Lili Smith, Mya Plemons	+0.3
39	17-22	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Brooke Herdes	+0.5
40	18-22	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.2
41	19-22	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Bella DiBuono		+0.5
42	19-23	IPFW	EVANS	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.7
43	19-24	EVANS	EVANS	Kill	Carsyn Kelley	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.5
44	20-24	EVANS	IPFW×5	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.1
45	21-24	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+0.2
46	22-24	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Trinity Rye		+0.5
47	23-24	IPFW	IPFW×5	Ace	IPFW server	aced Team	+1.2
48	24-24	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+2.6
49	24-25	IPFW	EVANS	Attack err	Miona Dimitric	blk Sabrina Ripple, Carsyn Kelley	+1.8
50	24-26	EVANS	EVANS	Ace	EVANS server	aced Riley Rosneck	+3.0
Set 4
1	1-0	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Lili Smith	+1.2
2	2-0	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.6
3	2-1	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Carsyn Kelley	set Kendall Agler	+1.1
4	3-1	EVANS	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+1.1
5	4-1	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Sabrina Ripple	blk Bella DiBuono, Miona Dimitric	+1.4
6	5-1	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Wren Jones		+1.2
7	5-2	IPFW	EVANS	Attack err	Trinity Rye	blk Wren Jones, Sabrina Ripple	+0.8
8	6-2	EVANS	IPFW	Attack err	Ryan Scheu		+0.8
9	6-3	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Kendall Agler	+0.8
10	6-4	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+1.4
11	7-4	EVANS	IPFW×3	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+1.1
12	8-4	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Lyla Fisher		+1.3
13	9-4	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Lyla Fisher	blk Mya Plemons	+1.0
14	9-5	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.7
15	10-5	EVANS	IPFW×3	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.7
16	11-5	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.8
17	12-5	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+0.6
18	12-6	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
19	13-6	EVANS	IPFW	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.4
20	13-7	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Makenzie Miller	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.3
21	13-8	EVANS	EVANS	Attack err	Bella DiBuono	blk Makenzie Miller, Wren Jones	+0.6
22	14-8	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.5
23	14-9	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Wren Jones	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.4
24	15-9	EVANS	IPFW×4	Attack err	Wren Jones		+0.5
25	16-9	IPFW	IPFW×4	Ace	IPFW server	aced Sabrina Ripple	+0.5
26	17-9	IPFW	IPFW×4	Attack err	Wren Jones	blk Trinity Rye	+0.3
27	18-9	IPFW	IPFW×4	Ace	IPFW server	aced Team	+0.2
28	18-10	IPFW	EVANS	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.1
29	19-10	EVANS	IPFW×3	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.1
30	20-10	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	IPFW server	aced Lyla Fisher	+0.1
31	21-10	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Mya Plemons		+0.0
32	21-11	IPFW	EVANS	Kill	Sabrina Ripple	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
33	22-11	EVANS	IPFW	Attack err	Brooke Herdes	blk Mya Plemons	+0.0
34	22-12	IPFW	EVANS×3	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+0.0
35	22-13	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Ryan Scheu	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
36	22-14	EVANS	EVANS×3	Kill	Lyla Fisher	set Carsyn Kelley	+0.0
37	23-14	EVANS	IPFW	Serve err	EVANS server		+0.0
38	24-14	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Mya Plemons	+0.0
39	24-15	IPFW	EVANS	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.0
40	25-15	EVANS	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Purdue Fort Wayne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.