Santa Clara def. Cal Poly 3–2
Santa Clara won at Cal Poly 3-2 (23-25, 23-25, 25-20, 29-27, 15-13) on Thu, Sep 17, 2026. Santa Clara's Cate Shanahan led with 26 kills, and Lexi Trapani added 21 digs.
Data through · final Sep 17
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STCLAR | 23 | 23 | 25 | 29 | 15 | 3 |
| CALPLY | 25 | 25 | 20 | 27 | 13 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 23.7% to Santa Clara — set 5, STCLAR 15-13 CALPLY. Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw). CALPLY win probability 24% → 0%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Santa Clara wins
Cal Poly wins
- STCLAR break %
- 34.3% vs this opp
- CALPLY break %
- 43.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Cate ShanahanKill+23.7%
Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 5 · STCLAR 15-13 CALPLY · STCLAR 76% → 100%
- 02Emma FredrickAttack error+17.2%
Attack error by Emma Fredrick
Set 5 · STCLAR 11-9 CALPLY · STCLAR 49% → 66%
- 03Emma FredrickAttack error+17.0%
Attack error by Emma Fredrick
Set 5 · STCLAR 14-12 CALPLY · STCLAR 67% → 84%
- 04Kendall BeshearAttack error+15.9%
Attack error by Kendall Beshear
Set 5 · STCLAR 12-9 CALPLY · STCLAR 66% → 82%
- 05Cal PolyAce+14.4%
Cal Poly ace on Kaia Grieve
Set 5 · STCLAR 12-11 CALPLY · CALPLY 24% → 38%
- 06Cal PolyService error+14.3%
Cal Poly service error
Set 5 · STCLAR 13-11 CALPLY · STCLAR 62% → 76%
- 07Kaia GrieveBlock+14.1%
Charlotte Kelly stuffed by Kaia Grieve
Set 5 · STCLAR 9-8 CALPLY · STCLAR 33% → 47%
- 08Cate ShanahanKill+12.5%
Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Morgan Hayes)
Set 4 · STCLAR 29-27 CALPLY · STCLAR 19% → 32%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 26 | 2 | 43 | .558 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 26.5 | |
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 50 | .220 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 23.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 23 | .304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 15 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 0 | 21 | .381 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 73 | 19 | 154 | .351 | 70 | 6 | 10 | 68 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 115 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 61 | .246 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | |
| 5 | 14 | 3 | 42 | .262 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 0 | 17 | .765 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 2 | 17 | .353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 29 | .310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 74 | 19 | 169 | .325 | 67 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 110 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
23-25
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
29-27
Set 5
15-13
Bars above the line = Cal Poly leads, below = Santa Clara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Santa Clara
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%14/28 | 8%1/12 |
| 2 | 81%13/16 | 41%9/22 |
| 3 | 67%12/18 | 43%9/21 |
| 4 | 80%12/15 | 54%14/26 |
| 5 | 52%11/21 | 29%5/17 |
| 6 | 77%10/13 | 31%5/16 |
| All | 65%72/111 | 38%43/114 |
Cal Poly
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%14/20 | 48%11/23 |
| 2 | 55%12/22 | 30%6/20 |
| 3 | 46%12/26 | 20%3/15 |
| 4 | 75%12/16 | 25%4/16 |
| 5 | 63%12/19 | 25%4/16 |
| 6 | 82%9/11 | 52%11/21 |
| All | 62%71/114 | 35%39/111 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
225 rallies
| # | STCLAR-CALPLY | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Elif Hurriyet | +1.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +1.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +0.7 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.7 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.8 |
| 10 | 4-6 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.8 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.5 |
| 13 | 6-7 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +0.9 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +1.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.8 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | STCLAR | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +0.8 |
| 17 | 7-10 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +1.1 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.5 |
| 20 | 9-11 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Ace | Santa Clara | aced Kendall Beshear | +1.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +0.7 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Blocked | Kayla Murdoch | blk Cate Shanahan, Grace Flanagan | +1.5 |
| 24 | 11-13 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +1.0 |
| 25 | 12-13 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Lexi Trapani | +1.0 |
| 26 | 13-13 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.9 |
| 27 | 13-14 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +1.2 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.3 |
| 29 | 14-15 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Kendall Beshear | +1.3 |
| 30 | 15-15 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.4 |
| 31 | 15-16 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +1.4 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.5 |
| 33 | 16-17 | STCLAR | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.4 |
| 34 | 16-18 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | +2.1 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | +1.6 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Attack err | Allison Dzieciuch | +1.1 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.5 |
| 38 | 17-21 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +0.7 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.4 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.6 |
| 41 | 19-22 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +0.4 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Grace Flanagan | +1.1 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Kayla Murdoch | +2.2 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +1.9 |
| 45 | 22-23 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.4 |
| 46 | 22-24 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +2.2 |
| 47 | 23-24 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Bad set | Alexis Haury | +1.2 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Emma Fredrick | +2.7 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Lexi Trapani | +0.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +1.2 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Morgan Hayes | +0.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Ace | Cal Poly | +1.1 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +0.8 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | STCLAR | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +1.1 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.6 |
| 16 | 8-8 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.8 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.4 |
| 22 | 11-11 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.8 |
| 23 | 12-11 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.0 |
| 24 | 12-12 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.9 |
| 25 | 12-13 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Blocked | Morgan Hayes | blk Emma Fredrick, Breklyn Pulling | +1.4 |
| 26 | 13-13 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.9 |
| 27 | 13-14 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.9 |
| 29 | 15-14 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.7 |
| 30 | 16-14 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Ace | Santa Clara | aced Emma Fredrick | +1.9 |
| 31 | 16-15 | STCLAR | CALPLY×5 | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +1.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CALPLY | CALPLY×5 | Attack err | Macy Hinshaw | +1.8 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | CALPLY | CALPLY×5 | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Cate Shanahan | +1.7 |
| 34 | 16-18 | CALPLY | CALPLY×5 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +1.5 |
| 35 | 16-19 | CALPLY | CALPLY×5 | Blocked | Morgan Hayes | blk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly | +1.1 |
| 36 | 17-19 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.6 |
| 37 | 18-19 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | +1.4 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +1.0 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.9 |
| 40 | 19-21 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +1.1 |
| 41 | 20-21 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +1.0 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +1.2 |
| 43 | 21-22 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.0 |
| 44 | 21-23 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +1.4 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.0 |
| 46 | 22-24 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +1.5 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.8 |
| 48 | 23-25 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +1.9 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Bad set | Alexis Haury | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Blocked | Kendall Beshear | blk Allison Dzieciuch, Morgan Hayes | +0.5 |
| 3 | 3-0 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Blocked | Kendall Beshear | blk Morgan Hayes, Allison Dzieciuch | +0.6 |
| 4 | 3-1 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +0.3 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.4 |
| 6 | 5-1 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | STCLAR | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.3 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | +0.5 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Cate Shanahan | +0.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.4 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +0.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Blocked | Morgan Hayes | blk Breklyn Pulling, Kendall Beshear | +0.5 |
| 18 | 9-9 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.3 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | STCLAR | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.3 |
| 20 | 9-11 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +0.5 |
| 21 | 9-12 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | +0.4 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.2 |
| 23 | 10-13 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +0.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.2 |
| 25 | 12-13 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Kayla Murdoch | +0.5 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Ace | Santa Clara | aced Kendall Beshear | +0.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.4 |
| 28 | 13-15 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +0.6 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | CALPLY | STCLAR×9 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.4 |
| 30 | 15-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR×9 | Ace | Santa Clara | aced Kendall Beshear | +0.7 |
| 31 | 16-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR×9 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.8 |
| 32 | 17-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR×9 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.9 |
| 33 | 18-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR×9 | Blocked | Charlotte Kelly | blk Grace Flanagan | +1.0 |
| 34 | 19-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR×9 | Blocked | Emma Fredrick | blk Grace Flanagan, Morgan Hayes | +0.9 |
| 35 | 20-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR×9 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +0.7 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR×9 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.4 |
| 37 | 22-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR×9 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.2 |
| 38 | 22-16 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | · |
| 39 | 23-16 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.1 |
| 40 | 23-17 | STCLAR | CALPLY×3 | Serve err | Santa Clara | · | |
| 41 | 23-18 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Blocked | Grace Flanagan | blk Emma Fredrick, Breklyn Pulling | +0.1 |
| 42 | 23-19 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | +0.2 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.3 |
| 44 | 24-20 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | · |
| 45 | 25-20 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.1 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Attack err | Allison Dzieciuch | +1.0 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Cate Shanahan | +1.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.9 |
| 4 | 1-3 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | +0.9 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +1.0 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +1.8 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Kendall Beshear | +1.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Elif Hurriyet | +1.1 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.2 |
| 11 | 6-5 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Cate Shanahan | +2.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Blocked | Emma Fredrick | blk Grace Flanagan, Macy Hinshaw | +2.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Elif Hurriyet | +1.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +1.7 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Serve err | Santa Clara | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +1.5 |
| 18 | 9-9 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +2.4 |
| 19 | 10-9 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +1.5 |
| 21 | 11-10 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.8 |
| 22 | 12-10 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +3.0 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Bad set | Alexis Haury | +3.2 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +1.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.1 |
| 26 | 15-11 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +1.5 |
| 28 | 15-13 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +2.8 |
| 29 | 16-13 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | STCLAR | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +1.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Blocked | Grace Flanagan | blk Breklyn Pulling, Kendall Beshear | +3.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | +3.3 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.4 |
| 34 | 17-17 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +2.1 |
| 35 | 18-17 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.6 |
| 36 | 18-18 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Alexis Haury | set Alexis Haury | +2.3 |
| 37 | 18-19 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Blocked | Allison Dzieciuch | blk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch | +3.7 |
| 38 | 19-19 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.4 |
| 39 | 19-20 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +2.4 |
| 40 | 20-20 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +2.6 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | STCLAR | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +2.7 |
| 42 | 20-22 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +3.8 | |
| 43 | 20-23 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +2.5 |
| 44 | 21-23 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.8 |
| 45 | 22-23 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +2.8 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Ace | Santa Clara | aced Kendall Beshear | +5.6 |
| 47 | 23-24 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +4.5 |
| 48 | 24-24 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +4.5 |
| 49 | 24-25 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +4.5 |
| 50 | 25-25 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +4.5 |
| 51 | 25-26 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +4.5 |
| 52 | 26-26 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +4.5 |
| 53 | 26-27 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +4.5 |
| 54 | 27-27 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +4.5 |
| 55 | 28-27 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Ace | Santa Clara | aced Kendall Beshear | +8.7 |
| 56 | 29-27 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Morgan Hayes | +12.5 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +7.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +6.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +4.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +8.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +9.7 |
| 6 | 3-3 | STCLAR | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +5.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Attack err | Allison Dzieciuch | +8.8 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Elif Hurriyet | +7.7 |
| 9 | 3-6 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +6.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.5 |
| 11 | 5-6 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +7.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +9.9 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +6.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +6.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +6.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +7.4 |
| 17 | 9-8 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Blocked | Charlotte Kelly | blk Kaia Grieve | +14.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +8.2 |
| 19 | 10-9 | CALPLY | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +10.2 |
| 20 | 11-9 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +17.2 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Kendall Beshear | +15.9 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +5.8 |
| 23 | 12-11 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Kaia Grieve | +14.4 |
| 24 | 13-11 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Serve err | Cal Poly | +14.3 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +8.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +17.0 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | STCLAR | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +8.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | CALPLY | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +23.7 |
Score shown after each rally, Santa Clara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).