FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

3:0

HomeSWAC

McNeese def. Grambling 3–0

(25-16, 25-20, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MCNEES	25	25	26	3
GRAMB	16	20	24	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

GRAMB above 50 · MCNEES below

Biggest swing: 3.3% to McNeese — set 3, MCNEES 24-23 GRAMB. McNeese ace on Jazmine Binion. GRAMB win probability 6% → 3%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MCNEES 76.0%24.0% GRAMB

McNeese wins

3-0

27.9%

3-1

29.0%

3-2

19.1%

Grambling wins

3-0

4.2%

3-1

8.2%

3-2

11.6%

MCNEES break %: 47.3% vs this opp
GRAMB break %: 41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
MCNEES serverAce+3.3%
McNeese ace on Jazmine Binion
Set 3 · MCNEES 24-23 GRAMB · MCNEES 94% → 97%
02
Angelique PenaAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Angelique Pena
Set 3 · MCNEES 26-24 GRAMB · MCNEES 97% → 100%
03
Lyric JordanKill+2.6%
Kill by Lyric Jordan (set by Alayna Howard)
Set 3 · MCNEES 24-24 GRAMB · GRAMB 3% → 6%
04
GRAMB serverService error+2.6%
Grambling service error
Set 3 · MCNEES 25-24 GRAMB · MCNEES 94% → 97%
05
Kenya LucasKill+2.3%
Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Alayna Howard)
Set 3 · MCNEES 22-23 GRAMB · GRAMB 6% → 8%
06
Ava HenryKill+2.3%
Kill by Ava Henry
Set 3 · MCNEES 22-22 GRAMB · MCNEES 92% → 94%
07
Ava HenryKill+2.2%
Kill by Ava Henry (set by Megan Grose)
Set 3 · MCNEES 23-23 GRAMB · MCNEES 92% → 94%
08
Angelique PenaKill+2.1%
Kill by Angelique Pena (set by Reece Cook)
Set 1 · MCNEES 6-6 GRAMB · GRAMB 22% → 24%

Official NCAA box

Box score

McNeeseaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Gabbie MaldonadoOPP	3	13	1	32	.375	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
23Ava HenryMB	3	9	1	19	.421	0	2	3	2	0	1	3	2.5	13.5
2Harmony SolesMB	3	5	1	17	.235	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
4Carli BanksOH	3	2	0	12	.167	2	0	2	11	1	0	4	2	4
14Gaby SantiagoOH	3	1	0	5	.200	0	1	0	12	0	0	0	0	2
10Megan GroseS	3	1	0	4	.250	20	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
21Kayla WilsonOH	3	13	1	25	.480	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	13
3Corynne HauslerS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
11Mary-Alice DohmannOH	3	0	3	8	-.375	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Bailey FoolkesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Sophia TocmoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	20	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	7	123	.301	42	5	6	63	3	1	12	7	76

Gramblinghome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Lyric JordanOH	3	15	2	36	.361	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
0Kenya LucasOH	3	11	4	30	.233	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	11
8Angelique PenaMB	3	7	3	17	.235	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8
10Piper NelsonOH	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	3	8	0	0	0	0	0
18Alayna HowardS	3	0	0	0	–	23	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0
11Rihianna BrownMB	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	3	2	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
3Reece CookDS	3	0	0	0	–	15	2	1	6	0	0	0	0	2
1Asialin PowellL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	4	1	1	22	1	0	0	0	1
25Jazmine BinionOH	2	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	5
21Lainy EvansOH	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3
20Avri Solik-FifarekOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
9Hailey BotelloL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
14Amaris MarksOH	1	2	2	10	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2
6Jaida GrayOH	1	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Nile JohnsonMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	16	130	.215	43	3	10	65	5	2	2	3	60

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MCNEES · GRAMB 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 MCNEESGRAMB 2

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 MCNEESGRAMB 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 5 MCNEESGRAMB 4

Bars above the line = Grambling leads, below = McNeese leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

McNeese

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	54%7/13
2	67%8/12	56%10/18
3	62%8/13	43%6/14
4	75%6/8	33%3/9
5	56%5/9	50%5/10
6	71%5/7	50%5/10
All	65%40/62	49%36/74

Grambling

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	30%3/10
2	53%8/15	33%4/12
3	58%7/12	47%7/15
4	56%5/9	22%2/9
5	50%5/10	38%3/8
6	50%5/10	38%3/8
All	51%38/74	35%22/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	MCNEES-GRAMB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+2.0
2	1-1	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.5
3	2-1	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Rihianna Brown		+1.8
4	2-2	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+1.5
5	2-3	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Gabbie Maldonado		+2.1
6	3-3	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.6
7	4-3	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Lyric Jordan		+1.9
8	5-3	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Kenya Lucas	blk Carli Banks, Ava Henry	+1.8
9	5-4	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Alayna Howard	+1.5
10	6-4	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+1.5
11	6-5	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+1.5
12	6-6	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Reece Cook	+2.1
13	7-6	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+1.7
14	8-6	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Amaris Marks	+2.0
15	9-6	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+1.8
16	9-7	MCNEES	GRAMB	Serve err	MCNEES server		+1.4
17	9-8	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Reece Cook	+2.0
18	10-8	GRAMB	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Amaris Marks		+1.6
19	11-8	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Jaida Gray	+1.9
20	12-8	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Jaida Gray	blk Harmony Soles, Mary-Alice Dohmann	+1.6
21	13-8	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Avri Solik-Fifarek	+1.3
22	13-9	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Reece Cook	+0.9
23	13-10	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Mary-Alice Dohmann		+1.5
24	14-10	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Megan Grose	set Sophia Tocmo	+1.3
25	15-10	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Amaris Marks	blk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles	+1.3
26	16-10	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Carli Banks	+1.0
27	16-11	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Alayna Howard	+0.6
28	16-12	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Harmony Soles	blk Lyric Jordan, Rihianna Brown	+1.1
29	17-12	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.1
30	18-12	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.0
31	18-13	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Alayna Howard	+0.5
32	19-13	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.7
33	19-14	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Alayna Howard	+0.5
34	19-15	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Reece Cook	+1.0
35	20-15	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.1
36	21-15	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.8
37	22-15	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.4
38	22-16	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+0.1
39	23-16	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.3
40	24-16	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.1
41	25-16	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Mary-Alice Dohmann	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Lyric Jordan		+1.4
2	1-1	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+1.2
3	2-1	GRAMB	MCNEES×4	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.1
4	3-1	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+1.3
5	4-1	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Angelique Pena		+1.2
6	5-1	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Kenya Lucas	blk Carli Banks, Ava Henry	+1.1
7	5-2	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+0.8
8	5-3	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Ava Henry	blk Angelique Pena	+1.2
9	6-3	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.0
10	7-3	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Bad set	Reece Cook		+1.1
11	8-3	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Angelique Pena	blk Ava Henry	+0.9
12	8-4	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+0.7
13	9-4	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Kayla Wilson	+0.8
14	9-5	MCNEES	GRAMB	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.7
15	10-5	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.8
16	11-5	MCNEES	MCNEES	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Avri Solik-Fifarek	+0.8
17	11-6	MCNEES	GRAMB	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.5
18	11-7	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Mary-Alice Dohmann		+0.9
19	12-7	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.8
20	12-8	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Alayna Howard	+0.7
21	13-8	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+0.8
22	13-9	MCNEES	GRAMB×3	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Alayna Howard	+0.7
23	13-10	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Alayna Howard	+1.1
24	13-11	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Piper Nelson	+1.4
25	14-11	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.3
26	14-12	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Alayna Howard	+1.2
27	15-12	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+1.3
28	15-13	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+1.2
29	16-13	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Carli Banks	set Corynne Hausler	+1.4
30	16-14	MCNEES	GRAMB	Serve err	MCNEES server		+1.3
31	17-14	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.4
32	17-15	MCNEES	GRAMB	Serve err	MCNEES server		+1.3
33	18-15	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+1.5
34	19-15	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Megan Grose	+1.5
35	19-16	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Alayna Howard	+0.9
36	20-16	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.2
37	21-16	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Kenya Lucas	blk Carli Banks, Harmony Soles	+1.0
38	22-16	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.6
39	22-17	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+0.2
40	23-17	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+0.4
41	23-18	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+0.1
42	23-19	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+0.4
43	24-19	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+0.5
44	24-20	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Alayna Howard	+0.1
45	25-20	GRAMB	MCNEES	Attack err	Jazmine Binion		+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Alayna Howard	+0.8
2	1-1	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.6
3	1-2	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+0.7
4	2-2	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.6
5	3-2	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.8
6	3-3	MCNEES	GRAMB×4	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.7
7	3-4	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Attack err	Kayla Wilson	blk Lainy Evans	+0.9
8	3-5	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Sophia Tocmo	+0.9
9	3-6	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Asialin Powell	+1.0
10	4-6	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.7
11	4-7	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+0.8
12	5-7	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.7
13	5-8	MCNEES	GRAMB	Attack err	Mary-Alice Dohmann		+0.8
14	6-8	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Corynne Hausler	+0.7
15	6-9	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Reece Cook	+0.9
16	6-10	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Alayna Howard	+1.0
17	7-10	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Megan Grose	+0.7
18	7-11	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Alayna Howard	+0.9
19	8-11	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.7
20	9-11	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Carli Banks	set Megan Grose	+1.0
21	9-12	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+0.9
22	9-13	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Alayna Howard	+1.1
23	10-13	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.7
24	10-14	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+0.9
25	10-15	GRAMB	GRAMB	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Carli Banks	+1.0
26	11-15	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.6
27	11-16	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+0.9
28	11-17	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Reece Cook	+0.9
29	12-17	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.5
30	12-18	MCNEES	GRAMB×3	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Reece Cook	+0.7
31	12-19	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Reece Cook	+0.6
32	12-20	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Team	+0.4
33	13-20	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Carli Banks	+0.2
34	14-20	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Lainy Evans		+0.3
35	14-21	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Reece Cook	+0.4
36	15-21	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gaby Santiago	set Megan Grose	+0.2
37	16-21	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Jazmine Binion		+0.4
38	17-21	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Asialin Powell	+0.6
39	17-22	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Carli Banks	+0.8
40	18-22	GRAMB	MCNEES×5	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.4
41	19-22	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Attack err	Kenya Lucas	blk Carli Banks, Ava Henry	+0.8
42	20-22	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.2
43	21-22	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+1.7
44	22-22	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Kill	Ava Henry		+2.3
45	22-23	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Alayna Howard	+2.3
46	23-23	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+2.2
47	24-23	MCNEES	MCNEES	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Jazmine Binion	+3.3
48	24-24	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+2.6
49	25-24	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+2.6
50	26-24	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Angelique Pena		+2.9

Score shown after each rally, McNeese first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.