FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeSOUTHLAND

McNeese def. Grambling 3–0

(25-19, 25-22, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
GRAMB	19	22	20	0
MCNEES	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MCNEES above 50 · GRAMB below

Biggest swing: 2.8% to McNeese — set 2, GRAMB 21-22 MCNEES. Amaris Marks stuffed by Gabbie Maldonado & Maleah Mutterback. MCNEES win probability 90% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GRAMB 14.4%85.6% MCNEES

Grambling wins

3-0

2.1%

3-1

4.6%

3-2

7.7%

McNeese wins

3-0

37.9%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.3%

GRAMB break %: 40.5% vs this opp
MCNEES break %: 48.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Amaris MarksAttack error+2.8%
Amaris Marks stuffed by Gabbie Maldonado & Maleah Mutterback
Set 2 · GRAMB 21-22 MCNEES · MCNEES 90% → 93%
02
Amaris MarksAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Amaris Marks
Set 2 · GRAMB 21-21 MCNEES · MCNEES 87% → 90%
03
Bailey HollisAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Bailey Hollis
Set 2 · GRAMB 21-23 MCNEES · MCNEES 93% → 95%
04
Kenya LucasKill+2.3%
Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Bailey Hollis)
Set 2 · GRAMB 19-17 MCNEES · GRAMB 11% → 13%
05
Kenya LucasKill+2.3%
Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Rihianna Brown)
Set 2 · GRAMB 21-19 MCNEES · GRAMB 12% → 14%
06
Maleah MutterbackKill+2.2%
Kill by Maleah Mutterback (set by Megan Grose)
Set 2 · GRAMB 22-24 MCNEES · MCNEES 94% → 96%
07
Amaris MarksKill+2.1%
Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Bailey Hollis)
Set 2 · GRAMB 20-18 MCNEES · GRAMB 12% → 14%
08
Kayla WilsonAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Kayla Wilson
Set 1 · GRAMB 9-5 MCNEES · GRAMB 20% → 22%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Gramblingaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Lyric JordanOH	3	9	1	35	.229	0	0	0	3	2	2	1	10
8Angelique PenaMB	3	4	0	10	.400	1	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
11Rihianna BrownMB	3	3	0	12	.250	1	1	2	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
10Piper NelsonOH	3	0	0	1	.000	1	3	1	6	2	0	0	3
21Lainy EvansOH	2	2	3	11	-.091	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
18Alayna HowardS	2	1	0	1	1.000	7	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
0Kenya LucasOH	3	8	5	20	.150	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
14Amaris MarksOH	3	6	5	27	.037	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	6
1Asialin PowellL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	2	15	1	0	0	1
2Bailey HollisS	2	2	1	8	.125	10	1	2	7	0	0	0	3
20Avri Solik-FifarekOH	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
3Reece CookDS	2	0	0	1	.000	9	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
9Hailey BotelloL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
25Jazmine BinionOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	15	129	.155	31	6	7	50	8	8	4	61

McNeesehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Gabbie MaldonadoOPP	3	12	3	31	.290	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
23Ava HenryMB	3	10	2	20	.400	0	1	0	2	0	2	1	12
5Maleah MutterbackMB	3	4	1	14	.214	1	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
4Carli BanksOH	3	2	4	16	-.125	2	1	0	8	2	0	0	3
10Megan GroseS	3	1	1	7	.000	24	2	0	13	0	0	0	3
14Gaby SantiagoOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	1	7	3	0	0	2
21Kayla WilsonOH	3	9	1	17	.471	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	10
9Harmony JacksonOH	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	5
8Sophia TocmoL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	7	2	3	20	0	0	0	2
3Corynne HauslerS	3	0	0	3	.000	9	1	0	5	0	0	0	1
7Bailey FoolkesL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	14	123	.244	43	8	4	63	6	6	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 GRAMB · MCNEES 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 GRAMBMCNEES 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 GRAMBMCNEES 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 GRAMBMCNEES 4

Bars above the line = McNeese leads, below = Grambling leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Grambling

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	46%6/13
2	46%6/13	36%4/11
3	55%6/11	50%6/12
4	86%6/7	25%2/8
5	50%6/12	33%3/9
6	32%6/19	33%3/9
All	50%37/74	39%24/62

McNeese

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	42%5/12
2	67%6/9	63%10/16
3	60%6/10	33%3/9
4	60%6/10	33%3/9
5	67%6/9	25%2/8
6	100%6/6	70%14/20
All	61%38/62	50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	GRAMB-MCNEES	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Alayna Howard	+1.2
2	1-1	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Carli Banks	set Sophia Tocmo	+1.1
3	2-1	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+1.2
4	2-2	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+1.1
5	2-3	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Kenya Lucas		+1.3
6	3-3	MCNEES	GRAMB	Attack err	Carli Banks		+1.1
7	3-4	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+1.1
8	4-4	MCNEES	GRAMB×3	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Reece Cook	+1.2
9	5-4	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Reece Cook	+1.6
10	6-4	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Team	+1.8
11	6-5	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.3
12	7-5	MCNEES	GRAMB×3	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Reece Cook	+1.5
13	8-5	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Alayna Howard	+2.0
14	9-5	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Attack err	Kayla Wilson		+2.0
15	9-6	GRAMB	MCNEES×6	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+1.3
16	9-7	MCNEES	MCNEES×6	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Asialin Powell	+1.8
17	9-8	MCNEES	MCNEES×6	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.8
18	9-9	MCNEES	MCNEES×6	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.8
19	9-10	MCNEES	MCNEES×6	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Sophia Tocmo	+1.7
20	9-11	MCNEES	MCNEES×6	Attack err	Lainy Evans		+1.5
21	10-11	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Alayna Howard	+1.2
22	10-12	GRAMB	MCNEES	Attack err	Lainy Evans		+1.2
23	10-13	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.4
24	11-13	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+1.1
25	12-13	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Megan Grose		+1.6
26	12-14	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.4
27	12-15	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gaby Santiago	set Megan Grose	+1.5
28	12-16	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Team	+1.2
29	13-16	MCNEES	GRAMB	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.8
30	14-16	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+1.4
31	14-17	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Sophia Tocmo	+1.3
32	14-18	MCNEES	MCNEES	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Lyric Jordan	+1.3
33	15-18	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+0.8
34	16-18	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Reece Cook	+1.5
35	16-19	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+1.4
36	17-19	MCNEES	GRAMB	Attack err	Harmony Jackson	blk Angelique Pena, Kenya Lucas	+1.2
37	17-20	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Sophia Tocmo	+1.5
38	18-20	MCNEES	GRAMB	Bad set	Ava Henry		+1.3
39	18-21	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+1.5
40	18-22	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Megan Grose	+1.3
41	18-23	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Lyric Jordan	+0.7
42	19-23	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Alayna Howard	+0.3
43	19-24	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.4
44	19-25	MCNEES	MCNEES	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Team	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Gabbie Maldonado	blk Lyric Jordan, Rihianna Brown	+1.0
2	2-0	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Maleah Mutterback		+1.1
3	2-1	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Carli Banks	set Megan Grose	+0.8
4	3-1	MCNEES	GRAMB	Serve err	MCNEES server		+1.0
5	3-2	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+0.9
6	4-2	MCNEES	GRAMB	Attack err	Ava Henry	blk Angelique Pena, Lyric Jordan	+1.0
7	4-3	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.9
8	4-4	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Kenya Lucas		+1.1
9	4-5	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Piper Nelson	+1.0
10	5-5	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Reece Cook	+0.9
11	5-6	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.8
12	6-6	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Reece Cook	+0.9
13	6-7	GRAMB	MCNEES×5	Kill	Maleah Mutterback	set Corynne Hausler	+0.8
14	6-8	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Attack err	Amaris Marks		+1.0
15	6-9	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.9
16	6-10	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Kill	Maleah Mutterback	set Megan Grose	+0.7
17	6-11	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Attack err	Kenya Lucas		+0.6
18	7-11	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+0.4
19	7-12	GRAMB	MCNEES	Attack err	Amaris Marks		+0.5
20	8-12	MCNEES	GRAMB×5	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.4
21	9-12	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Alayna Howard	+0.7
22	10-12	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Carli Banks	+0.9
23	11-12	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Attack err	Gabbie Maldonado		+1.1
24	12-12	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Gaby Santiago	+1.4
25	12-13	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Lainy Evans		+1.1
26	12-14	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+1.2
27	12-15	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+1.1
28	13-15	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Reece Cook	+0.8
29	13-16	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+0.9
30	14-16	MCNEES	GRAMB×4	Kill	Alayna Howard	set Angelique Pena	+0.8
31	15-16	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Gaby Santiago	+1.3
32	16-16	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+1.7
33	17-16	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Attack err	Carli Banks	blk Angelique Pena, Kenya Lucas	+2.0
34	17-17	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.5
35	18-17	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Bailey Hollis	+1.7
36	19-17	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Bailey Hollis	+2.3
37	19-18	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+1.6
38	20-18	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Bailey Hollis	+2.1
39	20-19	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+1.7
40	21-19	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Rihianna Brown	+2.3
41	21-20	GRAMB	MCNEES×4	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Megan Grose	+1.8
42	21-21	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Amaris Marks		+2.7
43	21-22	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Amaris Marks	blk Gabbie Maldonado, Maleah Mutterback	+2.8
44	21-23	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Bailey Hollis		+2.4
45	22-23	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Bailey Hollis	+1.5
46	22-24	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Maleah Mutterback	set Megan Grose	+2.2
47	22-25	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+1.5
Set 3
1	1-0	MCNEES	GRAMB×4	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Bailey Hollis	+0.4
2	2-0	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Attack err	Gabbie Maldonado		+0.6
3	3-0	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Piper Nelson	+0.6
4	4-0	GRAMB	GRAMB×4	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Gaby Santiago	+0.6
5	4-1	GRAMB	MCNEES×4	Serve err	GRAMB server		+0.4
6	4-2	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+0.5
7	4-3	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+0.5
8	4-4	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.5
9	5-4	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Bailey Hollis		+0.5
10	6-4	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Carli Banks		+0.6
11	6-5	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+0.4
12	7-5	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Bailey Hollis		+0.5
13	7-6	GRAMB	MCNEES	Attack err	Kenya Lucas	blk Ava Henry, Kayla Wilson	+0.5
14	8-6	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Bailey Hollis	+0.5
15	8-7	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.5
16	8-8	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Kenya Lucas		+0.6
17	8-9	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Hailey Botello	+0.6
18	9-9	MCNEES	GRAMB	Bad set	Maleah Mutterback		+0.5
19	10-9	GRAMB	GRAMB	Ace	GRAMB server	aced Carli Banks	+0.7
20	10-10	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+0.5
21	10-11	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Carli Banks	+0.6
22	11-11	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Bailey Hollis	+0.5
23	11-12	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Maleah Mutterback	+0.5
24	12-12	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Bailey Hollis	+0.5
25	12-13	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.5
26	13-13	MCNEES	GRAMB	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.6
27	14-13	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Bailey Hollis	+0.8
28	14-14	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Megan Grose	set Asialin Powell	+0.6
29	14-15	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Lyric Jordan	blk Ava Henry, Kayla Wilson	+0.7
30	15-15	MCNEES	GRAMB	Attack err	Ava Henry		+0.6
31	15-16	GRAMB	MCNEES	Serve err	GRAMB server		+0.6
32	15-17	MCNEES	MCNEES	Bad set	Lyric Jordan		+0.7
33	16-17	MCNEES	GRAMB	Attack err	Harmony Jackson		+0.6
34	17-17	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Bailey Hollis	+0.9
35	17-18	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.7
36	18-18	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Corynne Hausler	+0.8
37	18-19	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.8
38	18-20	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Amaris Marks		+0.9
39	18-21	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.7
40	19-21	MCNEES	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Bailey Hollis	+0.4
41	19-22	GRAMB	MCNEES	Kill	Maleah Mutterback	set Megan Grose	+0.6
42	20-22	MCNEES	GRAMB	Attack err	Carli Banks		+0.4
43	20-23	GRAMB	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.6
44	20-24	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Piper Nelson	+0.4
45	20-25	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Carli Banks	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Grambling first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.