Tennessee Tech vs Mercer Volleyball: Mercer Wins 3-0 (Oct 9)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee Tech 58.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Mercer beat visiting Tennessee Tech 3-0 (25-22, 25-21, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Mercer's Lara Matta led with 13 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 8:35 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TNTECH	22	21	17	0
MERCER	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.319 to .131: Mercer outhit Tennessee Tech.

No single rally moved win probability more than 7.1 points. Tennessee Tech peaked at 56% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, Tennessee Tech was RallyIQ's 58% pick.

Tennessee TechMercer

Break %+11.7 pts
41.052.7
On serve: 39/74 against 25/61 (Tennessee Tech sideout 47.3%).
Hitting+.188
.131.319
Kills and errors: 44–15 vs 31–18.
Longest run+2
46
6 straight Mercer points in the second set turned a 19–21 deficit into a 25–21 lead. That set ended 25–21.

Mercer above 50Tennessee Tech belowMax swing 7.1%

Tennessee TechMercer

Aces: Tennessee Tech 9·Mercer 5
Serve err: Tennessee Tech 6·Mercer 4
Blocks: Tennessee Tech 2·Mercer 40 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Tennessee Tech 28·Mercer 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Mercer above 50 · Tennessee Tech below

Biggest swing: 7.1% to Mercer — set 2, TNTECH 21-22 MERCER. Kill by Joselynn Sanjurjo (set by Sammi Bergjans). MERCER win probability 62% → 69%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TNTECH 42.2%57.8% MERCER

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0

9.5%

3-1

15.5%

3-2

17.2%

Mercer wins

3-0

16.1%

3-1

22.0%

3-2

19.7%

TNTECH break %: 43.2% vs this opp
MERCER break %: 44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Joselynn SanjurjoKill+7.1%
Kill by Joselynn Sanjurjo (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 2 · TNTECH 21-22 MERCER · MERCER 62% → 69%
02
Joselynn SanjurjoKill+7.1%
Kill by Joselynn Sanjurjo
Set 2 · TNTECH 21-23 MERCER · MERCER 69% → 76%
03
MercerAce+6.0%
Mercer ace on Audrey Berkebile
Set 2 · TNTECH 21-21 MERCER · MERCER 56% → 62%
04
Taylor TimkoKill+5.3%
Kill by Taylor Timko (set by Lara Matta)
Set 2 · TNTECH 21-24 MERCER · MERCER 76% → 82%
05
Alayna PierceKill+5.3%
Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)
Set 2 · TNTECH 21-19 MERCER · TNTECH 42% → 47%
06
Ashlyn GambleKill+5.0%
Kill by Ashlyn Gamble (set by Shelby Hannah)
Set 2 · TNTECH 19-18 MERCER · TNTECH 37% → 42%
07
Sammi BergjansBad set+4.7%
Bad set by Sammi Bergjans
Set 2 · TNTECH 18-18 MERCER · TNTECH 32% → 37%
08
Alayna PierceKill+4.3%
Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)
Set 2 · TNTECH 20-19 MERCER · TNTECH 38% → 42%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tennessee Techaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
24Alayna PierceOH	3	11	5	30	.200	0	1	2	3	2	2	1	13
14Ashlyn GambleOH	3	5	3	17	.118	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
12Jordyn MilhouseMB	3	4	0	11	.364	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
11Morgan PetelinS	3	1	1	2	.000	23	0	0	5	0	0	0	1
8Mallory JenkinsMB	2	1	0	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
4Bella PotempaOH	1	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
7Audrey BerkebileOH	3	8	6	21	.095	0	5	1	4	2	0	0	13
6Ella WatfordL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
22Shelby HannahL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	12	1	0	0	0
21Tuva FalkMB	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	2	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Ava SchubertOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		31	18	99	.131	29	9	6	28	5	4	2	60

Mercerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Joselynn SanjurjoMB	3	12	2	19	.526	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	14
20Lara MattaOH	3	13	4	28	.321	1	0	0	15	2	1	0.5	13.5
15Brooklyn PalmerOH	3	8	4	19	.211	0	2	0	9	0	2	1	11
8Sammi BergjansS	3	1	0	2	.500	34	0	2	3	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Bella PonsMB	3	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
21Sarah FragerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	5	4	0	0	1
19Taylor TimkoOH	3	9	2	16	.438	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9
9Aubri MartinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	8	2	0	0	1
11Emily MatiasOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
Team totals		44	15	91	.319	40	5	4	44	9	8	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tennessee Tech vs Mercer

Season series · Mercer leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026Tennessee Tech at Mercer · Mercer won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Tennessee Tech at Mercer · Mercer won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TNTECH · MERCER 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 TNTECHMERCER 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 TNTECHMERCER 6

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 TNTECHMERCER 5

Bars above the line = Mercer leads, below = Tennessee Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee Tech

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	44%4/9
2	60%6/10	22%2/9
3	67%6/9	25%2/8
4	86%6/7	50%6/12
5	40%6/15	45%5/11
6	27%4/15	50%6/12
All	47%35/74	41%25/61

Mercer

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	75%18/24
2	75%6/8	33%3/9
3	67%6/9	33%3/9
4	46%6/13	33%3/9
5	46%6/13	60%9/15
6	56%5/9	38%3/8
All	59%36/61	53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	TNTECH-MERCER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.4
2	0-2	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+2.4
3	0-3	MERCER	MERCER×4	Attack err	Alayna Pierce		+2.4
4	0-4	MERCER	MERCER×4	Serve err	Mercer		+2.3
5	1-4	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Shelby Hannah	+1.7
6	1-5	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
7	2-5	MERCER	TNTECH	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+1.7
8	2-6	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
9	3-6	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+1.7
10	4-6	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Lara Matta		+2.4
11	4-7	TNTECH	MERCER	Serve err	Tennessee Tech		+2.1
12	5-7	MERCER	TNTECH	Attack err	Bella Pons		+1.9
13	5-8	TNTECH	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.1
14	5-9	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.5
15	5-10	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.3
16	6-10	MERCER	TNTECH	Attack err	Taylor Timko		+1.5
17	7-10	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+2.3
18	7-11	TNTECH	MERCER	Attack err	Bella Potempa		+2.1
19	8-11	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+1.8
20	8-12	TNTECH	MERCER×3	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
21	8-13	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+2.4
22	8-14	MERCER	MERCER×3	Blocked	Ashlyn Gamble	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Lara Matta	+2.0
23	9-14	MERCER	TNTECH	Serve err	Mercer		+1.2
24	9-15	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
25	10-15	MERCER	TNTECH	Attack err	Bella Pons		+1.2
26	10-16	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
27	11-16	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Morgan Petelin	set Shelby Hannah	+1.1
28	12-16	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Lara Matta		+1.9
29	12-17	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.0
30	13-17	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+1.5
31	13-18	TNTECH	MERCER	Serve err	Tennessee Tech		+2.0
32	13-19	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+1.8
33	14-19	MERCER	TNTECH×3	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.9
34	15-19	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+1.7
35	16-19	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Shelby Hannah	+2.3
36	16-20	TNTECH	MERCER×3	Blocked	Morgan Petelin	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Brooklyn Palmer	+2.6
37	16-21	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+2.3
38	16-22	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.4
39	17-22	MERCER	TNTECH×4	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+0.5
40	18-22	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Ace	Tennessee Tech	aced Lara Matta	+1.1
41	19-22	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Ace	Tennessee Tech	aced Aubri Martin	+1.9
42	20-22	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Blocked	Brooklyn Palmer	blk Tuva Falk, Alayna Pierce	+3.0
43	20-23	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.8
44	20-24	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Alayna Pierce		+2.9
45	21-24	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.7
46	22-24	TNTECH	TNTECH	Ace	Tennessee Tech		+2.0
47	22-25	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.7
Set 2
1	0-1	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.1
2	0-2	MERCER	MERCER	Blocked	Audrey Berkebile	blk Sammi Bergjans, Joselynn Sanjurjo	+2.7
3	1-2	MERCER	TNTECH	Attack err	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+2.0
4	1-3	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
5	1-4	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+2.7
6	2-4	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+2.0
7	3-4	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse		+2.7
8	3-5	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.3
9	4-5	MERCER	TNTECH×3	Serve err	Mercer		+2.2
10	5-5	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Lara Matta		+2.8
11	6-5	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Ace	Tennessee Tech	aced Sarah Frager	+2.9
12	6-6	TNTECH	MERCER	Serve err	Tennessee Tech		+2.3
13	7-6	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+2.3
14	7-7	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.4
15	8-7	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+2.4
16	8-8	TNTECH	MERCER×4	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.4
17	8-9	MERCER	MERCER×4	Ace	Mercer	aced Shelby Hannah	+3.2
18	8-10	MERCER	MERCER×4	Attack err	Tuva Falk		+3.2
19	8-11	MERCER	MERCER×4	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+3.2
20	9-11	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+2.3
21	10-11	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+3.2
22	10-12	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.8
23	11-12	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+2.6
24	12-12	TNTECH	TNTECH	Ace	Tennessee Tech	aced Sarah Frager	+3.5
25	12-13	TNTECH	MERCER	Serve err	Tennessee Tech		+2.9
26	12-14	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.7
27	13-14	MERCER	TNTECH	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+2.8
28	13-15	TNTECH	MERCER×3	Kill	Sammi Bergjans	set Aubri Martin	+3.1
29	13-16	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.7
30	13-17	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.3
31	14-17	MERCER	TNTECH×3	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+2.1
32	15-17	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Ace	Tennessee Tech	aced Sarah Frager	+3.3
33	16-17	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Ace	Tennessee Tech	aced Sarah Frager	+3.9
34	16-18	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.6
35	17-18	MERCER	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Lara Matta		+3.2
36	18-18	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Bad set	Sammi Bergjans		+4.7
37	19-18	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Shelby Hannah	+5.0
38	19-19	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Aubri Martin	+4.0
39	20-19	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+4.3
40	21-19	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+5.3
41	21-20	TNTECH	MERCER×6	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.6
42	21-21	MERCER	MERCER×6	Ace	Mercer	aced Audrey Berkebile	+6.0
43	21-22	MERCER	MERCER×6	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+7.1
44	21-23	MERCER	MERCER×6	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+7.1
45	21-24	MERCER	MERCER×6	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Lara Matta	+5.3
46	21-25	MERCER	MERCER×6	Attack err	Alayna Pierce		+2.3
Set 3
1	0-1	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
2	1-1	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Shelby Hannah	+1.5
3	1-2	TNTECH	MERCER	Attack err	Ashlyn Gamble		+1.5
4	1-3	MERCER	MERCER	Ace	Mercer	aced Alayna Pierce	+1.9
5	2-3	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+1.5
6	2-4	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Aubri Martin	+1.6
7	2-5	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Aubri Martin	+2.0
8	3-5	MERCER	TNTECH	Serve err	Mercer		+1.4
9	3-6	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
10	3-7	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
11	4-7	MERCER	TNTECH×3	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+1.4
12	5-7	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Mallory Jenkins	set Morgan Petelin	+1.9
13	6-7	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+2.0
14	6-8	TNTECH	MERCER×3	Serve err	Tennessee Tech		+1.8
15	6-9	MERCER	MERCER×3	Blocked	Alayna Pierce	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Brooklyn Palmer	+2.2
16	6-10	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.0
17	7-10	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+1.4
18	8-10	TNTECH	TNTECH	Ace	Tennessee Tech	aced Lara Matta	+2.0
19	8-11	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.8
20	9-11	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+1.6
21	9-12	TNTECH	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
22	9-13	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	Mercer	aced Alayna Pierce	+2.2
23	9-14	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+1.9
24	10-14	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+1.2
25	10-15	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.5
26	10-16	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Ashlyn Gamble		+1.5
27	11-16	MERCER	TNTECH	Serve err	Mercer		+0.9
28	12-16	TNTECH	TNTECH	Blocked	Bella Pons	blk Alayna Pierce, Jordyn Milhouse	+1.5
29	12-17	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.5
30	13-17	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+1.1
31	13-18	TNTECH	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.5
32	14-18	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Morgan Petelin	+1.1
33	15-18	TNTECH	TNTECH	Ace	Tennessee Tech	aced Aubri Martin	+1.9
34	15-19	TNTECH	MERCER×5	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.0
35	15-20	MERCER	MERCER×5	Attack err	Ella Watford		+1.9
36	15-21	MERCER	MERCER×5	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+1.3
37	15-22	MERCER	MERCER×5	Bad set	Morgan Petelin		+0.7
38	15-23	MERCER	MERCER×5	Ace	Mercer	aced Audrey Berkebile	+0.3
39	16-23	MERCER	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Ella Watford	+0.1
40	17-23	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Taylor Timko		+0.2
41	17-24	TNTECH	MERCER	Serve err	Tennessee Tech		+0.3
42	17-25	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Alayna Pierce		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Mercer def. Tennessee Tech 3–0

.319 to .131: Mercer outhit Tennessee Tech.