Final · 5 setsTue, Oct 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

ETSU def. UNC Greensboro 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: ETSU 54.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

ETSU beat visiting UNC Greensboro 3-2 (25-20, 17-25, 25-22, 19-25, 15-10) on Tue, Oct 6, 2026. Karis Chatfield led ETSU with 22 kills; UNC Greensboro's Allie Sweet had a match-high 26.

Data through · final Oct 6

Set12345Sets
UNC G20252225102
ETSU25172519153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.400 on 45 swings: Karis Chatfield and ETSU edged UNC Greensboro.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows ETSU's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave ETSU 55% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · UNC Greensboro 7–6 ETSU

    Up 7–6, UNC Greensboro scored 6 straight to make it 13–6.

    ETSU 73% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · UNC Greensboro 1–1 ETSU

    UNC Greensboro scored 3 straight to go from 1–1 to a 4–1 lead. The match swung to UNC Greensboro.

    ETSU 51% → 26%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · UNC Greensboro 8–8 ETSU

    From 8–8, ETSU scored 6 straight to lead 14–8.

    ETSU 53% → >99%

ETSU above 50UNC Greensboro belowMax swing 12.6%

UNC GreensboroETSU

Sideout %
UNC Greensboro 58.4·ETSU 57.8
Break %
UNC Greensboro 42.2·ETSU 41.6
Hitting
UNC Greensboro .192·ETSU .213
Longest run
UNC Greensboro 6·ETSU 6

Karis Chatfield
2 kills inside the turning points, 22 K and .400 for the match (23 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

ETSU above 50 · UNC Greensboro below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+12.6% ETSUrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.6% to ETSU — set 5, UNC G 8-10 ETSU. Attack error by Allie Sweet. ETSU win probability 63% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC G 47.3%52.7% ETSU

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0
11.4%
3-1
17.6%
3-2
18.3%

ETSU wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
19.9%
3-2
19.2%
UNC G break %
42.3% vs this opp
ETSU break %
42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Allie SweetAttack error+12.6%

    Attack error by Allie Sweet

    Set 5 · UNC G 8-10 ETSU · ETSU 63% → 75%

  2. 02
    Karis ChatfieldKill+12.0%

    Kill by Karis Chatfield (set by Ryan Jomo)

    Set 5 · UNC G 7-8 ETSU · ETSU 50% → 62%

  3. 03

    Allie Sweet stuffed by Gianna Blair & Sophia Davis

    Set 5 · UNC G 8-11 ETSU · ETSU 75% → 86%

  4. 04

    Kill by Elizabeth Aylward (set by Alex Kreutzmann)

    Set 5 · UNC G 5-5 ETSU · ETSU 40% → 50%

  5. 05

    Kill by Karis Chatfield (set by Makayla Bays)

    Set 5 · UNC G 8-9 ETSU · ETSU 53% → 63%

  6. 06

    Sophia Davis stuffed by Allie Sweet & Connore' Siler-Nixon

    Set 5 · UNC G 3-1 ETSU · UNC G 56% → 65%

  7. 07
    Connore' Siler-NixonAttack error+8.8%

    Attack error by Connore' Siler-Nixon

    Set 5 · UNC G 4-3 ETSU · ETSU 32% → 41%

  8. 08

    Kill by Hailey Clifton (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 5 · UNC G 8-8 ETSU · UNC G 38% → 47%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5261167.22401215002128
519436.41700000010.519.5
56420.1000023024410
5002.0005111110010.51.5
5105.200000000001
5000–000900000
59847.0211125000010
5000–0301300003
5000–8202400002
Team totals6127177.1926087803286102
ETSUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
522445.40001211000023
519957.175202146010.519.5
55315.1330000026510
57324.16700030052.59.5
5102.50031101000002
2016-.16700000010.50.5
57326.15400030031.58.5
5000–2210600001
5001.0004012120000
5000–101300000
3327.143000000214
Team totals6425183.213603671821811101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNC Greensboro vs ETSU

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UNC G · ETSU 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 UNC GETSU 4

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 UNC GETSU 2

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 UNC GETSU 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 6 UNC GETSU 3

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 3 UNC GETSU 6

Bars above the line = ETSU leads, below = UNC Greensboro leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNC Greensboro

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%14/26
35%6/17
2
56%9/16
50%12/24
3
60%9/15
47%8/17
4
60%9/15
50%9/18
5
69%9/13
10%1/10
6
56%9/16
44%7/16
All
58%59/101
42%43/102

ETSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%14/26
56%15/27
2
47%9/19
42%8/19
3
75%9/12
31%4/13
4
50%9/18
36%5/14
5
90%9/10
44%7/16
6
53%9/17
25%3/12
All
58%59/102
42%42/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#UNC G-ETSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ETSUETSU×4KillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+2.5
20-2ETSUETSU×4KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.4
30-3ETSUETSU×4KillBailey Gohlkeset Makayla Bays+2.3
40-4ETSUETSU×4KillSophia Davis+2.2
51-4ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.4
62-4UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.2
72-5UNC GETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
82-6ETSUETSUBlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair+2.2
93-6ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.5
104-6UNC GUNC GAceUNC Greensboroaced Melanie Morris+2.3
114-7UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
125-7ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.7
136-7UNC GUNC GBad setBailey Gohlke+2.6
146-8UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.0
157-8ETSUUNC GAttack errMakayla Bays+2.0
168-8UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+2.9
178-9UNC GETSU×4Attack errKendall Lanclos+2.2
188-10ETSUETSU×4KillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+3.0
198-11ETSUETSU×4KillKaris Chatfield+2.8
208-12ETSUETSU×4BlockedKendall Lanclosblk Elizabeth Aylward, Emma MacFerran+2.5
219-12ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.6
229-13UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+1.9
2310-13ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.6
2410-14UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+1.9
2511-14ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.6
2612-14UNC GUNC GAttack errSophia Davis+2.7
2712-15UNC GETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.3
2812-16ETSUETSUAttack errAllie Sweet+2.7
2913-16ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.6
3013-17UNC GETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+2.0
3114-17ETSUUNC GServe errETSU+1.6
3214-18UNC GETSUServe errUNC Greensboro+2.1
3315-18ETSUUNC GBlockedMakayla Baysblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg+1.6
3415-19UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+2.1
3515-20ETSUETSUAttack errKendall Lanclos+2.1
3616-20ETSUUNC GKillAkila Hardieset Izora Gragg+1.0
3716-21UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+1.4
3817-21ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.8
3917-22UNC GETSUBlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair, Elizabeth Aylward+1.3
4018-22ETSUUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.7
4119-22UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.6
4220-22UNC GUNC G×3BlockedSophia Davisblk Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.8
4320-23UNC GETSU×3Attack errAllie Sweet+3.2
4420-24ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.4
4520-25ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+0.7
Set 2
10-1UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+1.7
21-1ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.7
31-2UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
42-2ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+1.8
52-3UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
63-3ETSUUNC G×3Attack errMakayla Bays+1.8
74-3UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.6
85-3UNC GUNC G×3Attack errElizabeth Aylward+2.6
95-4UNC GETSUAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+1.8
105-5ETSUETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Melanie Morris+2.6
116-5ETSUUNC GServe errETSU+2.0
126-6UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+1.9
137-6ETSUUNC GAttack errKaris Chatfield+2.0
148-6UNC GUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.8
158-7UNC GETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+1.9
169-7ETSUUNC GAttack errGianna Blair+2.1
1710-7UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.7
1810-8UNC GETSUServe errUNC Greensboro+1.8
1911-8ETSUUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.1
2012-8UNC GUNC G×3BlockedGianna Blairblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Allie Sweet+2.6
2113-8UNC GUNC G×3AceUNC Greensboroaced Makayla Bays+2.2
2213-9UNC GETSUAttack errHailey Clifton+1.3
2314-9ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.7
2414-10UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.3
2514-11ETSUETSUAceETSU+2.2
2615-11ETSUUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.0
2716-11UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.3
2817-11UNC GUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.7
2918-11UNC GUNC G×4Attack errEmma MacFerran+1.2
3018-12UNC GETSUAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+0.5
3118-13ETSUETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+1.1
3219-13ETSUUNC GServe errETSU+1.2
3319-14UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+0.7
3420-14ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.1
3520-15UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+0.6
3620-16ETSUETSUAttack errKendall Lanclos+1.4
3721-16ETSUUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.5
3822-16UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.2
3923-16UNC GUNC G×3AceUNC Greensboroaced Makayla Bays+0.5
4023-17UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+0.1
4124-17ETSUUNC GAttack errMakayla Bays+0.3
4225-17UNC GUNC GAceUNC Greensboroaced Makayla Bays+0.1
Set 3
10-1ETSUETSUAceETSU+3.3
20-2ETSUETSUBlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis+3.2
31-2ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.3
41-3UNC GETSU×4KillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+2.4
51-4ETSUETSU×4AceETSU+3.2
61-5ETSUETSU×4BlockedConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Gianna Blair+2.9
71-6ETSUETSU×4BlockedHailey Cliftonblk Gianna Blair, Makayla Bays+2.6
82-6ETSUUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+1.7
93-6UNC GUNC G×4Attack errGianna Blair+2.7
104-6UNC GUNC G×4AceUNC Greensboroaced Makayla Bays+3.1
115-6UNC GUNC G×4AceUNC Greensboroaced Melanie Morris+3.4
125-7UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.7
135-8ETSUETSUAttack errAllie Sweet+3.4
146-8ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.3
156-9UNC GETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.6
166-10ETSUETSUAttack errKendall Lanclos+3.2
177-10ETSUUNC GAttack errMakayla Bays+2.1
187-11UNC GETSUServe errUNC Greensboro+2.4
198-11ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+2.1
208-12UNC GETSU×3KillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+2.4
218-13ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+2.8
228-14ETSUETSU×3KillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+2.2
239-14ETSUUNC GServe errETSU+1.2
249-15UNC GETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+1.6
2510-15ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.2
2610-16UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+1.6
2711-16ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.2
2811-17UNC GETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.6
2911-18ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.4
3011-19ETSUETSU×3BlockedAllie Sweetblk Sophia Davis, Phoenix Fogel+0.9
3112-19ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.3
3212-20UNC GETSUServe errUNC Greensboro+0.6
3312-21ETSUETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+0.4
3413-21ETSUUNC GAttack errMakayla Bays+0.1
3513-22UNC GETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+0.2
3614-22ETSUUNC GAttack errElizabeth Aylward+0.1
3715-22UNC GUNC GAceUNC Greensboroaced Makayla Bays+0.2
3815-23UNC GETSUServe errUNC Greensboro+0.2
3916-23ETSUUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.1
4017-23UNC GUNC G×3Attack errKaris Chatfield+0.2
4118-23UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.4
4218-24UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+0.6
4319-24ETSUUNC G×4KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.1
4420-24UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.4
4521-24UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.0
4622-24UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+2.3
4722-25UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Izora Gragg+4.0
Set 4
10-1UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+2.3
21-1ETSUUNC GServe errETSU+2.3
32-1UNC GUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Chloe Nussbaum+3.3
42-2UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Melanie Morris+2.4
53-2ETSUUNC GBlockedMakayla Baysblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Hailey Clifton+2.5
63-3UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.4
74-3ETSUUNC G×3Attack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.5
85-3UNC GUNC G×3AceUNC Greensboroaced Makayla Bays+3.5
96-3UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+3.4
106-4UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+2.3
116-5ETSUETSUAttack errKendall Lanclos+3.4
127-5ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.7
137-6UNC GETSUBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Elizabeth Aylward, Phoenix Fogel+2.5
148-6ETSUUNC G×6KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+2.7
159-6UNC GUNC G×6KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+3.6
1610-6UNC GUNC G×6KillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+3.3
1711-6UNC GUNC G×6KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.9
1812-6UNC GUNC G×6Attack errKaris Chatfield+2.5
1913-6UNC GUNC G×6Attack errElizabeth Aylward+2.0
2013-7UNC GETSU×3KillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+1.0
2113-8ETSUETSU×3KillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+1.9
2213-9ETSUETSU×3BlockedKendall Lanclosblk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis+2.4
2314-9ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.2
2414-10UNC GETSUServe errUNC Greensboro+1.7
2514-11ETSUETSUAttack errHailey Clifton+3.0
2615-11ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.7
2715-12UNC GETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.2
2816-12ETSUUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.8
2917-12UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.1
3018-12UNC GUNC G×3Attack errMakayla Bays+2.3
3118-13UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.1
3218-14ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+2.1
3319-14ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.2
3420-14UNC GUNC GBlockedPhoenix Fogelblk Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.0
3520-15UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+0.9
3621-15ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.4
3721-16UNC GETSUServe errUNC Greensboro+0.7
3822-16ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Kendall Lanclos+1.2
3922-17UNC GETSUAttack errHailey Clifton+0.5
4022-18ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.3
4123-18ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Chloe Nussbaum+1.7
4224-18UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.9
4324-19UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+0.1
4425-19ETSUUNC GServe errETSU+1.5
Set 5
11-0ETSUUNC GAttack errKaris Chatfield+6.4
21-1UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+6.3
32-1ETSUUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+6.7
43-1UNC GUNC G×3BlockedSophia Davisblk Allie Sweet, Connore' Siler-Nixon+9.1
54-1UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+8.6
64-2UNC GETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+5.6
74-3ETSUETSUAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+8.8
85-3ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+7.3
95-4UNC GETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+6.7
105-5ETSUETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+10.2
116-5ETSUUNC GAttack errMakayla Bays+8.0
126-6UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+7.8
137-6ETSUUNC GAttack errPhoenix Fogel+8.4
147-7UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+8.3
157-8ETSUETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Ryan Jomo+12.0
168-8ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+8.8
178-9UNC GETSU×6KillKaris Chatfieldset Makayla Bays+9.5
188-10ETSUETSU×6Attack errAllie Sweet+12.6
198-11ETSUETSU×6BlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis+10.7
208-12ETSUETSU×6BlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis+7.7
218-13ETSUETSU×6KillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+4.3
228-14ETSUETSU×6Attack errAllie Sweet+1.7
239-14ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.3
2410-14UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.8
2510-15UNC GETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+1.4

Score shown after each rally, UNC Greensboro first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).