Final · 5 setsTue, Oct 27, 2026

UNC Greensboro def. ETSU 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: UNC Greensboro 60.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNC Greensboro beat visiting ETSU 3-2 (25-18, 16-25, 25-15, 23-25, 15-12) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. UNC Greensboro's Allie Sweet led with 24 kills, and Chloe Nussbaum added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 27

Set12345Sets
ETSU18251525122
UNC G25162523153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Izora Gragg had 50 assists, and UNC Greensboro outlasted ETSU.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows UNC Greensboro's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UNC Greensboro at 61%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · ETSU 2–3 UNC Greensboro

    Down 2–3, ETSU scored 4 straight to lead 6–3. The match swung to ETSU.

    UNC Greensboro 62% → 26%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · ETSU 9–7 UNC Greensboro

    Down 7–9, UNC Greensboro scored 4 straight to lead 11–9. The match swung to UNC Greensboro.

    UNC Greensboro 30% → 79%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · ETSU 11–12 UNC Greensboro

    UNC Greensboro closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 15–12 and win the match 3–2.

    UNC Greensboro 68% → >99%

UNC Greensboro above 50ETSU belowMax swing 16.5%

ETSUUNC Greensboro

Sideout %
ETSU 54.4·UNC Greensboro 59.4
Break %
ETSU 40.6·UNC Greensboro 45.6
Hitting
ETSU .170·UNC Greensboro .271
Longest run
ETSU 6·UNC Greensboro 6

Kendall Lanclos
3 kills inside the turning points, 16 K and .244 for the match (19 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNC Greensboro above 50 · ETSU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+16.5% UNC Grally 199 · set 5

Biggest swing: 16.5% to UNC Greensboro — set 5, ETSU 11-13 UNC G. Kill by Connore' Siler-Nixon (set by Izora Gragg). UNC G win probability 68% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ETSU 37.8%62.2% UNC G

ETSU wins

3-0
8.0%
3-1
13.7%
3-2
16.1%

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0
18.4%
3-1
23.8%
3-2
20.0%
ETSU break %
41.3% vs this opp
UNC G break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Connore' Siler-Nixon (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 5 · ETSU 11-13 UNC G · UNC G 68% → 84%

  2. 02

    Kendall Lanclos stuffed by Phoenix Fogel & Sophia Davis

    Set 5 · ETSU 11-11 UNC G · ETSU 30% → 45%

  3. 03
    Kendall LanclosKill+14.0%

    Kill by Kendall Lanclos (set by Chloe Nussbaum)

    Set 5 · ETSU 9-10 UNC G · UNC G 51% → 65%

  4. 04

    Elizabeth Aylward stuffed by Siena Smiejek & Hailey Clifton

    Set 5 · ETSU 9-11 UNC G · UNC G 65% → 79%

  5. 05
    Kendall LanclosKill+12.9%

    Kill by Kendall Lanclos (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 5 · ETSU 9-9 UNC G · UNC G 38% → 51%

  6. 06
    Siena SmiejekKill+12.8%

    Kill by Siena Smiejek (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 5 · ETSU 11-12 UNC G · UNC G 55% → 68%

  7. 07
    Hailey CliftonAttack error+12.5%

    Attack error by Hailey Clifton

    Set 5 · ETSU 9-7 UNC G · ETSU 57% → 70%

  8. 08

    Connore' Siler-Nixon stuffed by Elizabeth Aylward & Gianna Blair

    Set 4 · ETSU 24-23 UNC G · ETSU 20% → 32%

Box score

Official NCAA box

ETSUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517444.29501342010.518.5
57521.09500010073.510.5
5000–2202500000
34310.100100000637
3317.286011000215
1046-.667000300000
514837.162052100010.519.5
5000–5111510001
5001.0002300400000
4608.750000000217
43413-.077000400214
4000–000000000
2000–00010010.50.5
Team totals5429147.17051894730221195
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
524943.349200133132.526.5
516641.2441234202119
512326.34600040073.515.5
55010.500013200639
5001.000500160052.52.5
2000–000420000
54519-.05300010052.56.5
5000–5012010000
3000–001100000
Team totals6123140.271583955812815104

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

ETSU vs UNC Greensboro

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ETSU · UNC G 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 ETSUUNC G 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 4 ETSUUNC G 3

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 2 ETSUUNC G 6

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 6 ETSUUNC G 3

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 4 ETSUUNC G 4

Bars above the line = UNC Greensboro leads, below = ETSU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

ETSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%12/26
39%7/18
2
64%9/14
52%11/21
3
64%9/14
31%4/13
4
60%9/15
44%7/16
5
43%9/21
47%8/17
6
62%8/13
18%2/11
All
54%56/103
41%39/96

UNC Greensboro

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
50%9/18
2
47%9/19
39%7/18
3
64%9/14
36%5/14
4
60%9/15
25%3/12
5
56%9/16
59%13/22
6
69%9/13
53%10/19
All
59%57/96
46%47/103

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#ETSU-UNC GSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UNC GETSUAttack errAllie Sweet+1.8
22-0ETSUETSUBlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair, Chloe Smith+2.5
32-1ETSUUNC GBlockedMakayla Baysblk Izora Gragg, Allie Sweet+1.7
43-1UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Gianna Blair+1.9
53-2ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+1.8
64-2UNC GETSUKillChloe Smithset Bailey Gohlke+1.9
75-2ETSUETSUAttack errHailey Clifton+2.6
85-3ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.7
96-3UNC GETSUKillRaegan Wallerset Alex Kreutzmann+1.9
106-4ETSUUNC GAttack errKaris Chatfield+1.8
117-4UNC GETSUServe errSiena Smiejek+2.0
127-5ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.8
138-5UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+2.0
149-5ETSUETSUAttack errKendall Lanclos+2.6
159-6ETSUUNC G×5KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.7
169-7UNC GUNC G×5Attack errGianna Blair+2.6
179-8UNC GUNC G×5Attack errGianna Blair+2.8
189-9UNC GUNC G×5Attack errGianna Blair+3.0
199-10UNC GUNC G×5BlockedKaris Chatfieldblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon+3.0
2010-10UNC GETSUKillChloe Smithset Bailey Gohlke+2.2
2110-11ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.3
2210-12UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.0
2311-12UNC GETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+2.1
2412-12ETSUETSUBlockedAllie Sweetblk Chloe Smith, Raegan Waller+3.2
2512-13ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.4
2613-13UNC GETSUServe errIzora Gragg+2.5
2713-14ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.5
2814-14UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+2.6
2914-15ETSUUNC G×4BlockedKaris Chatfieldblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+2.7
3014-16UNC GUNC G×4AceSiena Smiejekaced Melanie Morris+3.5
3114-17UNC GUNC G×4Attack errKaris Chatfield+3.2
3214-18UNC GUNC G×4KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.6
3315-18UNC GETSUServe errSiena Smiejek+1.5
3415-19ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.9
3516-19UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+1.4
3616-20ETSUUNC G×4KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.9
3716-21UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+1.8
3816-22UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.0
3916-23UNC GUNC G×4AceKendall Lanclosaced Makayla Bays+0.4
4017-23UNC GETSUAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+0.1
4118-23ETSUETSUKillMakayla Bays+0.3
4218-24ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.4
4318-25UNC GUNC GBad setBailey Gohlke+0.1
Set 2
10-1ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Allie Sweet+1.6
21-1UNC GETSU×3Serve errKendall Lanclos+1.6
32-1ETSUETSU×3Attack errAllie Sweet+2.3
43-1ETSUETSU×3AceElizabeth Aylwardaced Mia Nicklas+2.3
53-2ETSUUNC GServe errElizabeth Aylward+1.6
63-3UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.3
74-3UNC GETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Bailey Gohlke+1.7
84-4ETSUUNC GServe errMelanie Morris+1.7
95-4UNC GETSU×3KillRaegan Wallerset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
106-4ETSUETSU×3KillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+2.5
117-4ETSUETSU×3KillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+2.4
127-5ETSUUNC GAttack errMakayla Bays+1.6
138-5UNC GETSUBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Sophia Davis, Raegan Waller+1.8
148-6ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+1.7
159-6UNC GETSUKillRaegan Wallerset Alex Kreutzmann+1.9
1610-6ETSUETSUAceRaegan Walleraced Allie Sweet+2.4
1710-7ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.5
1811-7UNC GETSU×4KillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+1.8
1912-7ETSUETSU×4KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.2
2013-7ETSUETSU×4KillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
2114-7ETSUETSU×4BlockedKendall Lanclosblk Chloe Smith, Phoenix Fogel+1.4
2214-8ETSUUNC GAttack errChloe Smith+0.7
2315-8UNC GETSUKillChloe Smithset Bailey Gohlke+1.0
2416-8ETSUETSUAceElizabeth Aylwardaced Kendall Lanclos+1.0
2516-9ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.5
2617-9UNC GETSUKillChloe Smithset Melanie Morris+0.7
2718-9ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+0.6
2818-10ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.2
2919-10UNC GETSUKillChloe Smithset Bailey Gohlke+0.4
3019-11ETSUUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.2
3119-12UNC GUNC G×3BlockedSophia Davisblk Siena Smiejek, Kendall Lanclos+0.4
3219-13UNC GUNC G×3Attack errRaegan Waller+0.6
3320-13UNC GETSUBad setIzora Gragg+0.8
3421-13ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+0.6
3521-14ETSUUNC GServe errMakayla Bays+0.2
3622-14UNC GETSUServe errSiena Smiejek+0.3
3722-15ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.1
3823-15UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+0.2
3923-16ETSUUNC GServe errBailey Gohlke+0.1
4024-16UNC GETSUServe errKendall Lanclos+0.1
4125-16ETSUETSUAceElizabeth Aylwardaced Mia Nicklas·
Set 3
10-1UNC GUNC GBlockedChloe Smithblk Allie Sweet, Connore' Siler-Nixon+3.2
21-1UNC GETSUServe errKendall Lanclos+2.4
31-2ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.4
42-2UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.4
52-3ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.4
63-3UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.5
73-4ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.5
84-4UNC GETSUAttack errHailey Clifton+2.5
95-4ETSUETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+3.6
105-5ETSUUNC GServe errMakayla Bays+2.6
115-6UNC GUNC GAttack errMakayla Bays+3.6
126-6UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Melanie Morris+2.7
136-7ETSUUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.7
147-7UNC GETSUServe errElla Burd+2.7
157-8ETSUUNC GBlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.8
168-8UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+2.8
178-9ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.9
189-9UNC GETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Bailey Gohlke+2.9
199-10ETSUUNC G×3KillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.9
209-11UNC GUNC G×3BlockedChloe Smithblk Allie Sweet, Siena Smiejek+3.9
219-12UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+3.6
2210-12UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.4
2311-12ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+3.9
2411-13ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.1
2512-13UNC GETSUAttack errHailey Clifton+2.9
2612-14ETSUUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+3.2
2712-15UNC GUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+4.0
2812-16UNC GUNC G×4KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+3.4
2912-17UNC GUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclos+2.6
3013-17UNC GETSUServe errChloe Nussbaum+1.4
3113-18ETSUUNC G×6Serve errRaegan Waller+1.9
3213-19UNC GUNC G×6Attack errElizabeth Aylward+1.8
3313-20UNC GUNC G×6BlockedSophia Davisblk Kendall Lanclos, Connore' Siler-Nixon+1.1
3413-21UNC GUNC G×6BlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon+0.6
3513-22UNC GUNC G×6KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.2
3613-23UNC GUNC G×6KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.1
3714-23UNC GETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann·
3815-23ETSUETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Melanie Morris·
3915-24ETSUUNC GServe errBailey Gohlke+0.1
4015-25UNC GUNC GBlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon·
Set 4
10-1ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+2.1
20-2UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.9
31-2UNC GETSUKillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+2.1
41-3ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.1
52-3UNC GETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+2.1
63-3ETSUETSUAceMelanie Morrisaced Chloe Nussbaum+3.1
73-4ETSUUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.3
83-5UNC GUNC GAttack errElizabeth Aylward+3.1
94-5UNC GETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+2.2
105-5ETSUETSUAttack errAllie Sweet+3.2
115-6ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.4
126-6UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+2.5
136-7ETSUUNC GAttack errSophia Davis+2.5
146-8UNC GUNC GAttack errSophia Davis+3.3
157-8UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Melanie Morris+2.3
167-9ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+2.5
178-9UNC GETSUAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.4
188-10ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.5
198-11UNC GUNC GAceKendall Lanclosaced Makayla Bays+3.2
209-11UNC GETSUKillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+2.2
219-12ETSUUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.4
229-13UNC GUNC G×3KillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.9
239-14UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.4
2410-14UNC GETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+1.4
2511-14ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+2.5
2611-15ETSUUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.2
2712-15UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+1.8
2813-15ETSUETSUKillPhoenix Fogel+3.2
2913-16ETSUUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.8
3013-17UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+3.2
3114-17UNC GETSU×6KillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
3215-17ETSUETSU×6AceElizabeth Aylwardaced Allie Sweet+3.3
3316-17ETSUETSU×6Attack errKendall Lanclos+4.2
3417-17ETSUETSU×6AceElizabeth Aylwardaced Allie Sweet+5.0
3518-17ETSUETSU×6KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+5.6
3619-17ETSUETSU×6KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+5.7
3719-18ETSUUNC G×3Serve errElizabeth Aylward+3.6
3819-19UNC GUNC G×3Bad setBailey Gohlke+5.9
3919-20UNC GUNC G×3BlockedMakayla Baysblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Hailey Clifton+6.3
4020-20UNC GETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+4.6
4121-20ETSUETSUBlockedHailey Cliftonblk Ryan Jomo, Makayla Bays+7.3
4221-21ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+5.1
4322-21UNC GETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+6.1
4422-22ETSUUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+5.8
4522-23UNC GUNC GBlockedChloe Smithblk Allie Sweet+9.5
4623-23UNC GETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+6.6
4724-23ETSUETSU×3BlockedConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Elizabeth Aylward, Gianna Blair+12.3
4825-23ETSUETSU×3BlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair, Chloe Smith+11.8
Set 5
11-0ETSUETSUBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Gianna Blair, Chloe Smith+8.8
22-0ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Melanie Morris+9.0
32-1ETSUUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+6.1
42-2UNC GUNC G×3Attack errChloe Smith+9.0
52-3UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Kendall Lanclos+9.2
63-3UNC GETSU×4BlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair, Chloe Smith+6.8
74-3ETSUETSU×4KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+9.9
85-3ETSUETSU×4AceMakayla Baysaced Kendall Lanclos+10.1
96-3ETSUETSU×4Attack errAllie Sweet+9.6
106-4ETSUUNC GServe errMakayla Bays+5.9
117-4UNC GETSUBlockedAllie Sweetblk Gianna Blair, Chloe Smith+7.3
127-5ETSUUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Phoenix Fogel+6.0
137-6UNC GUNC G×3BlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+10.0
147-7UNC GUNC G×3BlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+11.3
158-7UNC GETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+9.1
169-7ETSUETSUAttack errHailey Clifton+12.5
179-8ETSUUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+7.9
189-9UNC GUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+12.9
199-10UNC GUNC G×4KillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+14.0
209-11UNC GUNC G×4BlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+13.3
2110-11UNC GETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+8.2
2211-11ETSUETSUBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Phoenix Fogel, Sophia Davis+15.2
2311-12ETSUUNC G×3KillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+12.8
2411-13UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+16.5
2511-14UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Allie Sweet+11.4
2612-14UNC GETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+3.3
2712-15ETSUUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+7.5

Score shown after each rally, ETSU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).