Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

Eastern Ill. def. Santa Clara 3–2

Eastern Ill. beat Santa Clara 3-2 (13-25, 18-25, 25-18, 25-22, 15-9) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. Katie Kopshever led Eastern Ill. with 18 kills; Santa Clara's Morgan Hayes had a match-high 27.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set12345Sets
E ILL13182525153
STCLAR2525182292

Win probability

Santa Clara above 50 · Eastern Ill. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+12.4% E ILLrally 195 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.4% to Eastern Ill. — set 5, E ILL 8-5 STCLAR. Point Eastern Ill. (not logged in NCAA feed). STCLAR win probability 46% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E ILL 11.4%88.6% STCLAR

Eastern Ill. wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
6.3%

Santa Clara wins

3-0
42.1%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.9%
E ILL break %
36.7% vs this opp
STCLAR break %
45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+12.4%

    Point Eastern Ill. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · E ILL 8-5 STCLAR · E ILL 54% → 67%

  2. 02
    Anaya RawlinsonKill+11.5%

    Kill by Anaya Rawlinson (set by Peyton Castillo)

    Set 5 · E ILL 9-5 STCLAR · E ILL 67% → 78%

  3. 03
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+11.4%

    Point Eastern Ill. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · E ILL 6-4 STCLAR · E ILL 41% → 53%

  4. 04

    Kill by Katie Kopshever (set by Peyton Castillo)

    Set 5 · E ILL 4-3 STCLAR · E ILL 30% → 40%

  5. 05
    Morgan HayesAttack error+9.3%

    Attack error by Morgan Hayes

    Set 5 · E ILL 10-5 STCLAR · E ILL 78% → 88%

  6. 06
    Santa ClaraService error+8.8%

    Santa Clara service error

    Set 5 · E ILL 7-5 STCLAR · E ILL 46% → 54%

  7. 07
    Abana TeranKill+8.8%

    Kill by Abana Teran (set by Peyton Castillo)

    Set 5 · E ILL 2-1 STCLAR · E ILL 29% → 38%

  8. 08
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+8.6%

    Point Eastern Ill. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · E ILL 12-8 STCLAR · E ILL 80% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518645.26713011002122
57214.3570000006310
58521.143100200219
57314.28600010010.57.5
5217.1433911700214
35316.12500042010.55.5
5012-.5005221620002
5000–001000000
5000–101600000
49122.364002800009
Team totals5622141.2414767557014796
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
527945.40001070031.529.5
516644.22701251031.518.5
57421.1430326102111
55317.118000000427
54418.000001100426
5002.00054001600000
5000–3211110002
5000–000010000
5000–001500000
21011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals6026148.2305777516016899

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 E ILL · STCLAR 6

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 E ILLSTCLAR 6

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 5 E ILLSTCLAR 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 7 E ILLSTCLAR 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 5 E ILLSTCLAR 3

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 5 E ILLSTCLAR 3

Bars above the line = Santa Clara leads, below = Eastern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Ill.

No clean sets to split.

Santa Clara

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

195 rallies

#E ILL-STCLARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1STCLARSTCLARBlockedAbana Teranblk Cate Shanahan, Bryn Shankle+1.1
21-1STCLARE ILLAttack errMorgan Hayes+0.8
31-2E ILLSTCLARServe errEastern Ill.+0.8
41-3STCLARSTCLARAttack errAriadna Pereles+1.0
52-3STCLARE ILLServe errSanta Clara+0.8
62-4STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
72-5STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errKatie Kopshever+0.9
82-6STCLARSTCLAR×4KillGrace Flanagan+0.8
9–103-7E ILL · STCLAR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
113-8E ILLSTCLARKillGrace Flanagan+0.4
12–134-9E ILL · STCLAR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
145-9E ILLE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+0.6
155-10E ILLSTCLAR×4KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
165-11STCLARSTCLAR×4Bad setPeyton Castillo+0.5
175-12STCLARSTCLAR×4Bad setPeyton Castillo+0.3
185-13STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errMcKenna Morton+0.2
196-13STCLARE ILLServe errSanta Clara+0.1
206-14STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
217-14STCLARE ILLAttack errMorgan Hayes+0.1
227-15E ILLSTCLAR×6KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
237-16STCLARSTCLAR×6Attack errAbana Teran+0.1
247-17STCLARSTCLAR×6AceSanta Clara+0.1
257-18STCLARSTCLAR×6Attack errKatie Kopshever·
267-19STCLARSTCLAR×6Serve errSanta Clara·
277-20STCLARSTCLAR×6Serve errSanta Clara·
288-20E ILL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
299-20E ILLE ILLKillPeyton Castillo·
309-21E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw·
319-22STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3210-22STCLARE ILLKillEmma Hansonset Peyton Castillo·
3310-23E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw·
3411-23E ILL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3511-24E ILLSTCLARKillCate Shanahan·
3612-24STCLARE ILLAttack errCate Shanahan·
3713-24E ILLE ILLAttack errSelin Aslayan·
3813-25E ILLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw·
Set 2
10-1E ILLSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayan+0.5
20-2STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSanta Claraaced McKenna Morton+0.7
30-3STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSanta Claraaced McKenna Morton+0.6
41-3STCLARE ILL×3KillAbana Teranset Peyton Castillo+0.4
52-3E ILLE ILL×3KillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+0.7
63-3E ILLE ILL×3BlockedMorgan Hayesblk Katie Kopshever, Emma Hanson+0.9
73-4E ILLSTCLAR×4Serve errEastern Ill.+0.6
83-5STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errKatie Kopshever+0.8
93-6STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Ariadna Pereles+0.7
103-7STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
114-7STCLARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Peyton Castillo+0.4
124-8E ILLSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayan+0.4
134-9STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSanta Claraaced Ariadna Pereles+0.4
144-10STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errMcKenna Morton+0.3
155-10STCLARE ILLKillEmma Hansonset Peyton Castillo+0.2
165-11E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayes+0.2
17–186-12E ILL · STCLAR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
197-12E ILLE ILL×5KillMcKenna Mortonset Peyton Castillo+0.3
208-12E ILLE ILL×5Serve errEastern Ill.+0.4
219-12E ILLE ILL×5Serve errEastern Ill.+0.6
2210-12E ILL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
2310-13E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
2411-13STCLARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+0.6
2511-14E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
2611-15STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
2712-15STCLARE ILLServe errSanta Clara+0.4
2812-16E ILLSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
2913-16STCLARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Ariadna Pereles+0.4
3013-17E ILLSTCLARBlockedEmma Hansonblk Grace Flanagan, Selin Aslayan+0.5
3113-18STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
3214-18STCLARE ILLKillPeyton Castillo+0.3
3314-19E ILLSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
3414-20STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errKatie Kopshever+0.3
3514-21STCLARSTCLAR×3Serve errSanta Clara+0.1
3615-21E ILL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3716-21E ILLE ILLAttack errCate Shanahan+0.1
3816-22E ILLSTCLARKillBryn Shankleset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
3916-23STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4017-23STCLARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo·
4117-24E ILLSTCLARKillBryn Shankleset Macy Hinshaw·
4218-24STCLARE ILLAttack errMorgan Hayes·
4318-25E ILLSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw·
Set 3
10-1STCLARSTCLARAttack errAbana Teran+0.4
20-2STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
31-2STCLARE ILL×7KillAnaya Rawlinsonset Peyton Castillo+0.2
42-2E ILLE ILL×7AceEastern Ill.+0.4
5–64-2E ILL 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
75-2E ILLE ILL×7KillKatie Kopshever+0.6
86-2E ILLE ILL×7Attack errBryn Shankle+0.6
97-2E ILLE ILL×7KillEmma Hanson+0.6
107-3E ILLSTCLARKillCate Shanahan+0.3
118-3STCLARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Peyton Castillo+0.4
129-3E ILLE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+0.6
139-4E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayes+0.3
1410-4STCLARE ILLAttack errMorgan Hayes+0.4
1510-5E ILLSTCLAR×3KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
1610-6STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
1710-7STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedEmma Hansonblk Morgan Hayes, Grace Flanagan+0.5
1811-7STCLARE ILLServe errSanta Clara+0.5
19–2011-9STCLAR 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
2111-10STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSanta Clara+0.6
2212-10STCLARE ILL×3Serve errSanta Clara+0.5
2313-10E ILLE ILL×3KillAbana Teranset Ariadna Pereles+0.7
2414-10E ILLE ILL×3KillAnaya Rawlinsonset Peyton Castillo+0.7
2514-11E ILLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
2615-11STCLARE ILLKillAbana Teranset Peyton Castillo+0.5
2715-12E ILLSTCLARServe errEastern Ill.+0.4
2815-13STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Peyton Castillo+0.7
2916-13STCLARE ILL×4KillAbana Teranset Peyton Castillo+0.6
3017-13E ILLE ILL×4KillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+0.8
3118-13E ILLE ILL×4KillEmma Hansonset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
3219-13E ILLE ILL×4KillKatie Kopshever+0.5
3319-14E ILLSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
3419-15STCLARSTCLARBlockedKatie Kopsheverblk Morgan Hayes, Bryn Shankle+0.4
3520-15STCLARE ILLServe errSanta Clara+0.5
3620-16E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
3721-16STCLARE ILLAttack errMorgan Hayes+0.5
38–4224-18E ILL 3 · STCLAR 2
NCAA feed gap5 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
4325-18E ILLE ILL×4AceEastern Ill.aced Alyssa Eimer+0.1
Set 4
10-1E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayes+1.0
20-2STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Lexi Trapani+1.3
31-2STCLARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Abana Teran+1.0
41-3E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
52-3STCLARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+1.0
62-4E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
72-5STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
83-5STCLARE ILL×5KillKaeden Foxxset Peyton Castillo+0.9
94-5E ILL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
105-5E ILLE ILL×5AceEastern Ill.aced Selin Aslayan+1.8
116-5E ILLE ILL×5KillKaeden Foxx+2.1
127-5E ILLE ILL×5KillKaeden Foxxset Ariadna Pereles+2.3
137-6E ILLSTCLARKillCate Shanahan+1.4
148-6STCLARE ILLKillKaeden Foxx+1.7
158-7E ILLSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayes+1.5
168-8STCLARSTCLAR×3Serve errSanta Clara+2.1
178-9STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.0
189-9STCLARE ILLKillAnaya Rawlinson+1.5
199-10E ILLSTCLARAttack errAnaya Rawlinson+1.4
2010-10STCLARE ILLServe errSanta Clara+1.5
2111-10E ILLE ILLAttack errBryn Shankle+2.5
2211-11E ILLSTCLAR×3Serve errEastern Ill.+1.6
2311-12STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
2411-13STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.0
2512-13STCLARE ILLKillAnaya Rawlinsonset Peyton Castillo+1.4
2613-13E ILLE ILLKillKaeden Foxx+2.4
2713-14E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayes+1.7
2814-14STCLARE ILLAttack errSelin Aslayan+1.8
2914-15E ILLSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.8
30–3116-15E ILL 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+5.2
3217-15E ILLE ILL×5KillKaeden Foxxset Peyton Castillo+3.6
3318-15E ILLE ILL×5AceEastern Ill.aced Cate Shanahan+3.7
3419-15E ILLE ILL×5KillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+3.4
3519-16E ILLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.6
3620-16E ILL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
3720-17E ILLSTCLAR×3KillBryn Shankle+1.6
3820-18STCLARSTCLAR×3Serve errSanta Clara+3.0
3920-19STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+3.7
4021-19STCLARE ILLKillKaeden Foxx+3.6
41–4524-21E ILL 3 · STCLAR 2
NCAA feed gap5 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+8.1
4624-22E ILLSTCLARKillMorgan Hayes+1.3
4725-22STCLARE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+4.7
Set 5
10-1STCLAR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+7.2
21-1STCLARE ILLKillKatie Kopshever+5.4
32-1E ILLE ILLKillAbana Teranset Peyton Castillo+8.8
4–63-3E ILL · STCLAR 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+7.7
74-3E ILLE ILLKillKatie Kopsheverset Peyton Castillo+9.7
8–106-4E ILL 2 · STCLAR
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+12.5
116-5E ILLSTCLARKillSelin Aslayan+6.9
127-5STCLARE ILL×5Serve errSanta Clara+8.8
138-5E ILL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+12.4
149-5E ILLE ILL×5KillAnaya Rawlinsonset Peyton Castillo+11.5
1510-5E ILLE ILL×5Attack errMorgan Hayes+9.3
1611-5E ILLE ILL×5Attack errSelin Aslayan+6.5
1711-6E ILLSTCLAR×3Serve errEastern Ill.+2.1
18–2012-8E ILL · STCLAR 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.5
2113-8E ILLE ILLAttack errCate Shanahan+7.5
2213-9E ILLSTCLARKillCate Shanahan+1.9
2314-9STCLARE ILLKillAnaya Rawlinson+4.3
2415-9E ILLE ILLAttack errMorgan Hayes+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).