Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Illinois St. def. Indiana St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Illinois St. 88.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Illinois St. beat visiting Indiana St. 3-1 (25-20, 25-10, 18-25, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Illinois St.'s Jillian Ferrill led with 15 kills, and Samantha Bunch added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
IND ST201025231
ILL ST252518253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Illinois St. won 46 of 92 points on its own serve.

Win probability never moved more than 4.0 points on one rally; Indiana St. topped out at 14% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Illinois St. at 88%.

Indiana St.Illinois St.
  • Break %+9.5 pts
    40.550.0

    Points won on own serve: 46 of 92 vs 32 of 79. Indiana St. sided out 50.0% of the time.

  • Longest run+3
    58

    8 straight Illinois St. points in the second set stretched a 16–8 lead to 24–8. The set finished 25–10.

Illinois St. above 50Indiana St. belowMax swing 4.0%

Indiana St.Illinois St.

Hitting
Indiana St. .190·Illinois St. .264
Aces
Indiana St. 6·Illinois St. 7
Serve err
Indiana St. 12·Illinois St. 11
Blocks
Indiana St. 8·Illinois St. 50 BS · 16 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Indiana St. 67·Illinois St. 70

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Illinois St. above 50 · Indiana St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.0% ILL STrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Illinois St. — set 4, IND ST 23-25 ILL ST. Kill by Jillian Ferrill (set by Oliwia Caputa). ILL ST win probability 96% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IND ST 12.6%87.4% ILL ST

Indiana St. wins

3-0
1.8%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
6.8%

Illinois St. wins

3-0
40.4%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.5%
IND ST break %
37.2% vs this opp
ILL ST break %
45.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Jillian Ferrill (set by Oliwia Caputa)

    Set 4 · IND ST 23-25 ILL ST · ILL ST 96% → 100%

  2. 02
    Indiana St.Ace+2.9%

    Indiana St. ace

    Set 4 · IND ST 21-22 ILL ST · IND ST 3% → 6%

  3. 03
    Oliwia CaputaKill+2.8%

    Kill by Oliwia Caputa (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 4 · IND ST 21-23 ILL ST · ILL ST 94% → 97%

  4. 04
    Jillian FerrillAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Jillian Ferrill

    Set 4 · IND ST 23-24 ILL ST · IND ST 1% → 4%

  5. 05

    Kill by Jillian Ferrill (set by Ella Kohnen)

    Set 4 · IND ST 21-24 ILL ST · ILL ST 97% → 99%

  6. 06
    Kira HollandKill+1.9%

    Kill by Kira Holland (set by Macy Lengacher)

    Set 1 · IND ST 11-10 ILL ST · IND ST 12% → 14%

  7. 07
    Jillian GregoryAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Jillian Gregory

    Set 4 · IND ST 1-0 ILL ST · IND ST 7% → 9%

  8. 08
    Curry KendallAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Curry Kendall

    Set 1 · IND ST 11-12 ILL ST · ILL ST 87% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414642.190213180052.517.5
414655.14530091010.514.5
4206.33334111200214
43110.20010000010.53.5
11Emmy SherL/DS
4000–0001130000
2033-1.00000000010.50.5
413327.3700134100014
4103.333100100634
4000–024200002
4001.0006111000001
Team totals4719147.19047612677016878
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411228.3210002000011
48323.21701171010.59.5
47529.069114910008
46019.31600130031.57.5
4000–2112600001
33110.20000010111.54.5
415329.41400010031.516.5
4102.5003232310003
4000–2320700002
4000–0001110000
1102.500000000001
1002.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5214144.2644871170618593

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Indiana St. vs Illinois St.

Season series · Illinois St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 IND ST · ILL ST 8

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 IND STILL ST 4

Set 2

10-25

Longest run 2 IND STILL ST 8

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 IND STILL ST 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 IND STILL ST 4

Bars above the line = Illinois St. leads, below = Indiana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Indiana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
27%3/11
2
39%9/23
31%4/13
3
50%7/14
59%13/22
4
54%7/13
22%2/9
5
50%7/14
46%6/13
6
50%6/12
36%4/11
All
50%46/92
41%32/79

Illinois St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
47%7/15
2
47%9/19
36%5/14
3
67%8/12
65%15/23
4
64%7/11
50%7/14
5
54%7/13
50%7/14
6
64%7/11
42%5/12
All
59%47/79
50%46/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#IND ST-ILL STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+1.0
21-1IND STILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+0.9
32-1ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+1.0
42-2IND STILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.9
52-3ILL STILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch+1.2
62-4ILL STILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+1.1
73-4ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.8
83-5IND STILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+0.8
93-6ILL STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Kohnen+1.0
104-6ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.7
114-7IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.7
125-7ILL STIND ST×3KillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.7
136-7IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.+1.2
147-7IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+1.5
157-8IND STILL STBlockedSydney Kingblk Jillian Ferrill, Abby Reck+1.0
167-9ILL STILL STAttack errSydney King+1.3
178-9ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.9
189-9IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Lily Mueller+1.6
199-10IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+1.1
2010-10ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+1.2
2111-10IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+1.9
2211-11IND STILL ST×3Serve errIndiana St.+1.2
2311-12ILL STILL ST×3Attack errCurry Kendall+1.7
2411-13ILL STILL ST×3Attack errKira Holland+1.5
2512-13ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+1.1
2612-14IND STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+1.1
2713-14ILL STIND STKillAvery Halesset Kira Holland+1.1
2813-15IND STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+1.1
2913-16ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Corinne Knapp+1.4
3014-16ILL STIND STBlockedOliwia Caputablk Avery Hales, Sydney King+0.9
3114-17IND STILL ST×4KillOliwia Caputaset Ella Kohnen+1.0
3214-18ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.+1.1
3314-19ILL STILL ST×4KillJillian Gregory+0.7
3414-20ILL STILL ST×4KillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+0.4
3515-20ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+0.2
3615-21IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.3
3716-21ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.1
3816-22IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.2
3917-22ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+0.1
4017-23IND STILL STAttack errKira Holland+0.2
4118-23ILL STIND ST×3KillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.1
4219-23IND STIND ST×3Attack errAyla Klingenberg+0.2
4320-23IND STIND ST×3KillCorinne Knappset Kira Holland+0.5
4420-24IND STILL STKillAyla Klingenbergset Ella Craggs+0.6
4520-25ILL STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+0.2
Set 2
10-1IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.6
20-2ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Emmy Sher+0.7
31-2ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+0.5
42-2IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.9
52-3IND STILL ST×3KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+0.6
62-4ILL STILL ST×3Attack errKira Holland+0.8
72-5ILL STILL ST×3BlockedKira Hollandblk Jillian Ferrill, Abby Reck+0.7
83-5ILL STIND STKillLily Muellerset Avery Hales+0.5
93-6IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.5
103-7ILL STILL STBlockedCorinne Knappblk Jillian Ferrill, Abby Reck+0.6
114-7ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+0.4
124-8IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.4
135-8ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.4
145-9IND STILL STKillAyla Klingenbergset Ella Kohnen+0.4
155-10ILL STILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Samantha Bunch+0.5
166-10ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.3
176-11IND STILL ST×4KillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+0.3
186-12ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.+0.4
196-13ILL STILL ST×4KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.2
206-14ILL STILL ST×4BlockedSydney Kingblk Ayla Klingenberg+0.2
217-14ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.1
227-15IND STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Avery Hales+0.1
237-16ILL STILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+0.1
248-16ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.·
258-17IND STILL ST×8Serve errIndiana St.+0.1
268-18ILL STILL ST×8KillOliwia Caputaset Ella Kohnen·
278-19ILL STILL ST×8Attack errCurry Kendall·
288-20ILL STILL ST×8Attack errCurry Kendall·
298-21ILL STILL ST×8Attack errLily Mueller·
308-22ILL STILL ST×8Bad setAvery Hales·
318-23ILL STILL ST×8KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen·
328-24ILL STILL ST×8AceIllinois St.aced Emmy Sher·
339-24ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales·
3410-24IND STIND STAttack errJillian Ferrill·
3510-25IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen·
Set 3
11-0ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.3
21-1IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.3
32-1ILL STIND ST×4KillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.3
43-1IND STIND ST×4BlockedOliwia Caputablk Curry Kendall, Ella Scott+0.5
54-1IND STIND ST×4KillCorinne Knappset Macy Lengacher+0.5
65-1IND STIND ST×4BlockedOliwia Caputablk Ella Scott, Curry Kendall+0.6
75-2IND STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.3
86-2ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.4
96-3IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.3
106-4ILL STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.5
117-4ILL STIND ST×3BlockedOliwia Caputablk Ella Scott, Curry Kendall+0.4
128-4IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Oliwia Caputa+0.6
139-4IND STIND ST×3KillLily Muellerset Avery Hales+0.6
149-5IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.3
159-6ILL STILL STBad setAvery Hales+0.5
1610-6ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.5
1710-7IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.4
1811-7ILL STIND STAttack errJillian Ferrill+0.5
1912-7IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.7
2012-8IND STILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.3
2112-9ILL STILL ST×4KillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch+0.6
2212-10ILL STILL ST×4KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+0.6
2312-11ILL STILL ST×4Attack errCorinne Knapp+0.6
2413-11ILL STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.5
2514-11IND STIND ST×3KillCorinne Knappset Ella Scott+0.8
2615-11IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Jillian Gregory+0.8
2715-12IND STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.4
2816-12ILL STIND ST×5KillElla Scottset Avery Hales+0.6
2917-12IND STIND ST×5Attack errRuth Ziegler+0.7
3018-12IND STIND ST×5KillCorinne Knappset Macy Lengacher+0.6
3119-12IND STIND ST×5KillCurry Kendallset Macy Lengacher+0.4
3220-12IND STIND ST×5AceIndiana St.aced Peyton Turner+0.3
3320-13IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.1
3421-13ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Curry Kendall+0.2
3521-14IND STILL STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.1
3622-14ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.1
3722-15IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen·
3823-15ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+0.1
3923-16IND STILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen·
4023-17ILL STILL STAttack errCurry Kendall+0.1
4124-17ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+0.1
4224-18IND STILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen·
4325-18ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.·
Set 4
11-0IND STIND STAttack errJillian Gregory+1.8
21-1IND STILL STAttack errCurry Kendall+1.2
32-1ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+1.3
42-2IND STILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+1.2
52-3ILL STILL ST×4KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+1.6
62-4ILL STILL ST×4BlockedCurry Kendallblk Ayla Klingenberg, Jillian Gregory+1.5
72-5ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.aced Kira Holland+1.3
83-5ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.9
93-6IND STILL ST×4Serve errIndiana St.+0.9
103-7ILL STILL ST×4KillSamantha Bunchset Avery Hales+1.1
113-8ILL STILL ST×4KillAyla Klingenbergset Ella Craggs+0.9
123-9ILL STILL ST×4Bad setAvery Hales+0.6
134-9ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+0.4
144-10IND STILL ST×4KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.4
154-11ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.aced Emmy Sher+0.5
164-12ILL STILL ST×4KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+0.3
174-13ILL STILL ST×4KillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+0.2
185-13ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.1
196-13IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.2
206-14IND STILL STAttack errKira Holland+0.2
216-15ILL STILL STAttack errKira Holland+0.2
227-15ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.1
238-15IND STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Kira Holland+0.2
248-16IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.2
258-17ILL STILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+0.2
269-17ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+0.1
279-18IND STILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Kohnen+0.1
289-19ILL STILL STAttack errCorinne Knapp+0.1
2910-19ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales·
3010-20IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen·
3111-20ILL STIND ST×4KillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales·
3212-20IND STIND ST×4BlockedRuth Zieglerblk Ella Scott, Kira Holland·
3313-20IND STIND ST×4BlockedJillian Gregoryblk Curry Kendall, Ella Scott+0.1
3414-20IND STIND ST×4BlockedJillian Gregoryblk Ella Scott, Curry Kendall+0.2
3514-21IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.2
3615-21ILL STIND ST×3KillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.1
3716-21IND STIND ST×3KillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.3
3817-21IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Samantha Bunch+0.5
3917-22IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.6
4018-22ILL STIND ST×4KillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.3
4119-22IND STIND ST×4BlockedOliwia Caputablk Lily Mueller, Avery Hales+0.8
4220-22IND STIND ST×4KillAvery Halesset Curry Kendall+1.6
4321-22IND STIND ST×4AceIndiana St.+2.9
4421-23IND STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+2.8
4521-24ILL STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.5
4622-24ILL STIND STKillLily Muellerset Avery Hales+0.7
4723-24IND STIND STAttack errJillian Ferrill+2.5
4823-25IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Oliwia Caputa+4.0

Score shown after each rally, Indiana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).