Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Illinois St. def. Indiana St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Illinois St. 78.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Illinois St. won at Indiana St. 3-1 (25-15, 25-17, 23-25, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Illinois St.'s Jillian Ferrill led with 17 kills, and Samantha Bunch added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
ILL ST252523253
IND ST151725181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, Illinois St. won 51 of 97 points.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.8 points, and Indiana St.'s high was 25% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Illinois St. went in as RallyIQ's 79% pick.

Illinois St.Indiana St.
  • Break %+14.4 pts
    52.638.2

    51 of 97 on serve vs 29 of 76, so Indiana St.'s sideout was 47.4%.

  • Hitting+.103
    .228.125

    51 K / 18 E against 46 K / 26 E.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    Illinois St. scored 6 straight in the first set to turn a 2–4 deficit into an 8–4 lead. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Indiana St. above 50Illinois St. belowMax swing 3.8%

Illinois St.Indiana St.

Aces
Illinois St. 6·Indiana St. 4
Serve err
Illinois St. 7·Indiana St. 13
Blocks
Illinois St. 7·Indiana St. 91 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Illinois St. 74·Indiana St. 64

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Indiana St. above 50 · Illinois St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.8% IND STrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Indiana St. — set 3, ILL ST 23-25 IND ST. Kill by Curry Kendall. IND ST win probability 8% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL ST 76.9%23.1% IND ST

Illinois St. wins

3-0
28.7%
3-1
29.3%
3-2
19.0%

Indiana St. wins

3-0
4.0%
3-1
7.8%
3-2
11.3%
ILL ST break %
44.4% vs this opp
IND ST break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Curry KendallKill+3.8%

    Kill by Curry Kendall

    Set 3 · ILL ST 23-25 IND ST · IND ST 8% → 12%

  2. 02
    Oliwia CaputaAttack error+3.3%

    Attack error by Oliwia Caputa

    Set 3 · ILL ST 23-24 IND ST · IND ST 5% → 8%

  3. 03
    Kira HollandKill+3.2%

    Kill by Kira Holland (set by Avery Hales)

    Set 4 · ILL ST 18-17 IND ST · IND ST 7% → 10%

  4. 04

    Kill by Samantha Bunch (set by Avery Hales)

    Set 4 · ILL ST 20-17 IND ST · ILL ST 93% → 96%

  5. 05

    Abby Reck stuffed by Corinne Knapp & Lily Mueller

    Set 4 · ILL ST 11-11 IND ST · IND ST 10% → 13%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jillian Ferrill (set by Hadley Hardersen)

    Set 4 · ILL ST 13-11 IND ST · ILL ST 89% → 92%

  7. 07

    Jillian Ferrill stuffed by Corinne Knapp & Ella Scott

    Set 4 · ILL ST 14-13 IND ST · IND ST 7% → 10%

  8. 08
    Ella ScottService error+2.6%

    Service error by Ella Scott

    Set 4 · ILL ST 19-17 IND ST · ILL ST 90% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411326.30800070052.513.5
412535.2000019202113
44214.14311050132.57.5
4319.222000300214
4002.0001801500000
31314-.143012100002
417230.5000002000017
41011.0006212010003
4000–1812600001
4000–0001100000
22112.083010310003
1012-.500000100000
1000–100000000
1000–000100000
Team totals5118145.2284467744112798
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413541.195003101010.513.5
48114.50000010132.510.5
46319.1580120014310
48636.05610290010.58.5
44620-.100012800427
4015-.2002200800000
4000–4001720000
34113.231151230010.55.5
3000–200520000
3000–001000000
2139-.222011000002
1203.667000000002
11Emmy SherL/DS
1000–000300000
Team totals4626160.12544413646214975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Illinois St. vs Indiana St.

Season series · Illinois St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ILL ST · IND ST 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 6 ILL STIND ST 2

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 6 ILL STIND ST 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 ILL STIND ST 5

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 4 ILL STIND ST 3

Bars above the line = Indiana St. leads, below = Illinois St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
50%8/16
2
67%8/12
60%12/20
3
62%8/13
60%12/20
4
47%8/17
33%4/12
5
88%7/8
59%10/17
6
64%7/11
42%5/12
All
62%47/76
53%51/97

Indiana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
25%3/12
2
47%8/17
38%5/13
3
47%8/17
43%6/14
4
41%7/17
47%7/15
5
58%7/12
36%4/11
6
44%7/16
36%4/11
All
47%46/97
38%29/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#ILL ST-IND STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ILL STILL STAttack errCorinne Knapp+1.7
21-1ILL STIND STBlockedAyla Klingenbergblk Ella Scott+1.3
31-2IND STIND STAttack errJillian Gregory+2.0
42-2IND STILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+1.3
52-3ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+1.5
62-4IND STIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+2.2
73-4IND STILL ST×6KillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+1.4
84-4ILL STILL ST×6BlockedCurry Kendallblk Emilija Arsic, Abby Reck+2.0
95-4ILL STILL ST×6KillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+1.9
106-4ILL STILL ST×6Attack errElla Scott+1.8
117-4ILL STILL ST×6Attack errCurry Kendall+1.6
128-4ILL STILL ST×6KillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+1.4
138-5ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+0.9
149-5IND STILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+1.0
1510-5ILL STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Samantha Bunch+1.1
1610-6ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.7
1711-6IND STILL ST×3Serve errIndiana St.+0.8
1812-6ILL STILL ST×3Attack errCurry Kendall+0.9
1913-6ILL STILL ST×3KillEmilija Arsicset Ella Kohnen+0.6
2013-7ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.3
2114-7IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.4
2214-8ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.3
2315-8IND STILL STAttack errCorinne Knapp+0.4
2415-9ILL STIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+0.3
2516-9IND STILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+0.4
2617-9ILL STILL ST×3BlockedCorinne Knappblk Logan Grevengoed, Ayla Klingenberg+0.4
2718-9ILL STILL ST×3AceJillian Gregory+0.2
2818-10ILL STIND STServe errJillian Gregory+0.1
2918-11IND STIND STAceAva Robartaced Emilija Arsic+0.2
3019-11IND STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+0.2
3119-12ILL STIND STAttack errLogan Grevengoed+0.1
3220-12IND STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ellie Burr+0.2
3320-13ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+0.1
3421-13IND STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Kohnen+0.1
3521-14ILL STIND STBlockedAlaina Kraemerblk Lily Mueller, Kira Holland+0.1
3622-14IND STILL ST×3Attack errKira Holland+0.1
3723-14ILL STILL ST×3Attack errAvery Hales+0.1
3824-14ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen·
3924-15ILL STIND STAttack errJillian Gregory·
4025-15IND STILL STAttack errAva Robart·
Set 2
11-0IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+0.9
21-1ILL STIND STServe errIllinois St.+1.0
32-1IND STILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Abby Reck+1.0
42-2ILL STIND STKillLily Muellerset Avery Hales+1.0
53-2IND STILL STServe errIndiana St.+1.0
63-3ILL STIND STKillLily Muellerset Avery Hales+1.0
73-4IND STIND STAttack errJillian Gregory+1.6
84-4IND STILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+1.1
95-4ILL STILL ST×4Attack errAva Robart+1.5
106-4ILL STILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+1.4
117-4ILL STILL ST×4Attack errCurry Kendall+1.2
127-5ILL STIND STKillLily Muellerset Avery Hales+0.8
138-5IND STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.9
149-5ILL STILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+1.1
1510-5ILL STILL ST×3KillAyla Klingenberg+0.9
1610-6ILL STIND STKillAva Robartset Avery Hales+0.5
1711-6IND STILL ST×4KillAyla Klingenbergset Ella Craggs+0.6
1812-6ILL STILL ST×4Attack errAva Robart+0.7
1913-6ILL STILL ST×4KillEmilija Arsicset Samantha Bunch+0.5
2014-6ILL STILL ST×4KillAyla Klingenbergset Ella Craggs+0.3
2114-7ILL STIND ST×3KillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.2
2214-8IND STIND ST×3KillCurry Kendallset Avery Hales+0.3
2314-9IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.5
2415-9IND STILL ST×6KillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+0.5
2516-9ILL STILL ST×6AceSamantha Bunchaced Chloe Gilley+0.4
2617-9ILL STILL ST×6BlockedKira Hollandblk Logan Grevengoed, Abby Reck+0.3
2718-9ILL STILL ST×6KillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+0.2
2819-9ILL STILL ST×6BlockedCurry Kendallblk Emilija Arsic, Logan Grevengoed+0.1
2920-9ILL STILL ST×6KillEmilija Arsicset Samantha Bunch·
3020-10ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Chloe Gilley·
3121-10IND STILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs·
3221-11ILL STIND STAttack errEmilija Arsic·
3321-12IND STIND STKillDylann Logginsset Hadley Hardersen·
3422-12IND STILL STServe errHadley Hardersen·
3522-13ILL STIND ST×5KillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen·
3622-14IND STIND ST×5KillDylann Logginsset Hadley Hardersen·
3722-15IND STIND ST×5KillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen·
3822-16IND STIND ST×5BlockedAbby Reckblk Lily Mueller+0.1
3922-17IND STIND ST×5Attack errJillian Ferrill+0.2
4023-17IND STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+0.2
4124-17ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Dylann Loggins+0.1
4225-17ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen·
Set 3
10-1ILL STIND STServe errElla Craggs+0.5
21-1IND STILL STBad setHadley Hardersen+0.5
31-2ILL STIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+0.6
42-2IND STILL STBad setElla Scott+0.5
53-2ILL STILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+0.7
63-3ILL STIND STBlockedEmilija Arsicblk Ella Scott, Curry Kendall+0.5
74-3IND STILL STBlockedCorinne Knappblk Abby Reck, Logan Grevengoed+0.5
84-4ILL STIND STServe errElla Kohnen+0.5
95-4IND STILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Kohnen+0.5
105-5ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.6
115-6IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Chloe Gilley+0.9
126-6IND STILL STServe errTaylor Knuth+0.6
137-6ILL STILL STAceAbby Reckaced Chloe Gilley+0.8
147-7ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+0.6
158-7IND STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Kohnen+0.6
168-8ILL STIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+0.6
178-9IND STIND STBlockedLogan Grevengoedblk Lily Mueller, Corinne Knapp+0.9
189-9IND STILL ST×4Serve errKira Holland+0.6
1910-9ILL STILL ST×4AceOliwia Caputaaced Macy Lengacher+0.9
2011-9ILL STILL ST×4Attack errCurry Kendall+0.8
2112-9ILL STILL ST×4KillLogan Grevengoedset Samantha Bunch+0.7
2212-10ILL STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+0.5
2312-11IND STIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+0.8
2413-11IND STILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+0.6
2514-11ILL STILL ST×3KillAbby Reck+0.8
2615-11ILL STILL ST×3AceSamantha Bunchaced Kira Holland+0.6
2715-12ILL STIND ST×3KillCorinne Knappset Macy Lengacher+0.4
2815-13IND STIND ST×3Attack errEmilija Arsic+0.7
2915-14IND STIND ST×3BlockedLogan Grevengoedblk Corinne Knapp, Ella Scott+0.9
3016-14IND STILL ST×3KillEmilija Arsicset Kira Holland+0.7
3117-14ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+0.9
3218-14ILL STILL ST×3Attack errElla Scott+0.7
3318-15ILL STIND ST×5BlockedEmilija Arsicblk Hadley Hardersen, Ella Scott+0.4
3418-16IND STIND ST×5Attack errEmilija Arsic+0.7
3518-17IND STIND ST×5KillElla Scottset Avery Hales+1.0
3618-18IND STIND ST×5AceCorinne Knappaced Samantha Bunch+1.3
3718-19IND STIND ST×5KillElla Scott+1.6
3819-19IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+1.1
3920-19ILL STILL STBlockedElla Scottblk Abby Reck+1.5
4020-20ILL STIND STServe errEmilija Arsic+1.1
4121-20IND STILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Kohnen+1.2
4221-21ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+1.2
4321-22IND STIND STAceHadley Hardersenaced Emilija Arsic+2.2
4422-22IND STILL STAttack errKira Holland+1.4
4523-22ILL STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+2.3
4623-23ILL STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+1.6
4723-24IND STIND ST×3Attack errOliwia Caputa+3.3
4823-25IND STIND ST×3KillCurry Kendall+3.8
Set 4
11-0IND STILL STServe errHadley Hardersen+1.5
21-1ILL STIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+1.6
32-1IND STILL ST×3Serve errKira Holland+1.5
43-1ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.0
54-1ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+1.8
64-2ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.3
74-3IND STIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+2.0
85-3IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+1.5
95-4ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.5
106-4IND STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+1.5
117-4ILL STILL ST×3Attack errCorinne Knapp+1.9
128-4ILL STILL ST×3Attack errCorinne Knapp+1.7
138-5ILL STIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+1.1
149-5IND STILL STServe errCorinne Knapp+1.2
159-6ILL STIND ST×3KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+1.1
169-7IND STIND ST×3AceElla Scottaced Oliwia Caputa+1.9
179-8IND STIND ST×3KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+2.3
1810-8IND STILL STServe errElla Scott+1.7
1910-9ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+1.7
2011-9IND STILL STAttack errLily Mueller+1.8
2111-10ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Curry Kendall+1.8
2211-11IND STIND STBlockedAbby Reckblk Corinne Knapp, Lily Mueller+2.9
2312-11IND STILL ST×3Serve errKira Holland+2.1
2413-11ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Hadley Hardersen+2.7
2514-11ILL STILL ST×3AceElla Kohnenaced Macy Lengacher+2.4
2614-12ILL STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.6
2714-13IND STIND STBlockedJillian Ferrillblk Corinne Knapp, Ella Scott+2.7
2815-13IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.1
2916-13ILL STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+2.6
3016-14ILL STIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+1.6
3117-14IND STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Kohnen+1.9
3217-15ILL STIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+1.7
3318-15IND STILL STServe errCorinne Knapp+1.9
3418-16ILL STIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+1.7
3518-17IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+3.2
3619-17IND STILL ST×4Serve errElla Scott+2.6
3720-17ILL STILL ST×4KillSamantha Bunchset Avery Hales+3.0
3821-17ILL STILL ST×4Attack errHadley Hardersen+2.1
3922-17ILL STILL ST×4BlockedKira Hollandblk Logan Grevengoed, Ayla Klingenberg+1.2
4022-18ILL STIND STServe errJillian Gregory+0.4
4123-18IND STILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+0.7
4224-18ILL STILL ST×3Attack errKira Holland+0.4
4325-18ILL STILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Illinois St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).