North Dakota vs South Dakota State Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026Summit League NetworkMidco Sports+

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North Dakota (8-15) at South Dakota St. (13-10), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 7:00 PM CT on Summit League Network and Midco Sports+. RallyIQ gives South Dakota St. a 95% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, South Dakota St. won 3-1 on Oct 17.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

NO DAK 4.5%95.5% SDAKST

North Dakota wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.3%

3-2

2.8%

South Dakota St. wins

3-0

56.8%

3-1

29.3%

3-2

9.4%

NO DAK break %: 36.1% vs this opp
SDAKST break %: 49.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.