Northwestern St. def. Grambling 3–1
(25-15, 25-19, 22-25, 26-24)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRAMB | 15 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 1 |
| NW ST | 25 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.3% to Northwestern St. — set 4, GRAMB 24-26 NW ST. Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad). NW ST win probability 90% → 100%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Grambling wins
Northwestern St. wins
- GRAMB break %
- 41.7% vs this opp
- NW ST break %
- 44.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Elsie SanchezKill+10.3%
Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 4 · GRAMB 24-26 NW ST · NW ST 90% → 100%
- 02Elsie SanchezAttack error+8.3%
Attack error by Elsie Sanchez
Set 4 · GRAMB 23-23 NW ST · GRAMB 10% → 19%
- 03Lyric JordanAttack error+8.3%
Lyric Jordan stuffed by Olivia Nzioki
Set 4 · GRAMB 23-24 NW ST · NW ST 81% → 90%
- 04Bailey HollisKill+8.3%
Kill by Bailey Hollis (set by Asialin Powell)
Set 4 · GRAMB 24-24 NW ST · GRAMB 10% → 19%
- 05Elsie SanchezKill+8.3%
Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 4 · GRAMB 24-25 NW ST · NW ST 81% → 90%
- 06Elsie SanchezKill+6.4%
Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Anna Claire Hebert)
Set 4 · GRAMB 20-21 NW ST · NW ST 80% → 86%
- 07Gillian WolfAttack error+6.1%
Attack error by Gillian Wolf
Set 4 · GRAMB 20-19 NW ST · GRAMB 19% → 25%
- 08Olivia NziokiKill+6.0%
Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 4 · GRAMB 20-22 NW ST · NW ST 86% → 92%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 4 | 34 | .265 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 15 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | .188 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | .043 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | .357 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -.143 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 40 | 21 | 145 | .131 | 39 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 83 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 4 | 30 | .267 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 15 | 5 | 37 | .270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 27 | .222 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 17 | .412 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | .300 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 33 | .273 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 22 | 163 | .258 | 58 | 7 | 12 | 69 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 98 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
15-25
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
25-22
Set 4
24-26
Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = Grambling leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Grambling
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42%11/26 | 53%10/19 |
| 2 | 67%10/15 | 29%4/14 |
| 3 | 69%9/13 | 17%2/12 |
| 4 | 45%9/20 | 18%2/11 |
| 5 | 73%8/11 | 47%8/17 |
| 6 | 58%7/12 | 27%3/11 |
| All | 56%54/97 | 35%29/84 |
Northwestern St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48%11/23 | 47%8/17 |
| 2 | 83%10/12 | 45%9/20 |
| 3 | 75%9/12 | 40%6/15 |
| 4 | 69%9/13 | 47%8/17 |
| 5 | 64%9/14 | 36%5/14 |
| 6 | 70%7/10 | 50%7/14 |
| All | 65%55/84 | 44%43/97 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
181 rallies
Rally log
| # | GRAMB-NW ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | GRAMB | NW ST×5 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Emmarie McFarland | +1.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Attack err | Bailey Hollis | +2.1 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Bad set | Alayna Howard | +2.0 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 5 | 0-5 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.6 |
| 6 | 1-5 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +1.1 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Bad set | Jade Longlad | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Emmarie McFarland | +1.4 |
| 9 | 2-7 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Rihianna Brown | blk Olivia Nzioki | +1.6 |
| 10 | 3-7 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +1.1 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Alayna Howard | +1.1 |
| 13 | 4-9 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.2 |
| 14 | 5-9 | NW ST | GRAMB | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | blk Lyric Jordan | +1.1 |
| 15 | 5-10 | GRAMB | NW ST | Attack err | Amaris Marks | blk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig | +1.3 |
| 16 | 5-11 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | NW ST | GRAMB×3 | Kill | Angelique Pena | set Reece Cook | +0.9 |
| 18 | 7-11 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Ace | GRAMB server | aced Gillian Wolf | +1.4 |
| 19 | 8-11 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Kenadii Winfrey | blk Kenya Lucas | +1.8 |
| 20 | 8-12 | GRAMB | NW ST | Bad set | Lyric Jordan | +1.6 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.7 |
| 22 | 9-13 | NW ST | GRAMB×3 | Kill | Rihianna Brown | set Reece Cook | +1.1 |
| 23 | 10-13 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Bad set | Jade Longlad | +1.8 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Kill | Avri Solik-Fifarek | set Bailey Hollis | +2.3 |
| 25 | 11-14 | GRAMB | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +2.0 |
| 26 | 11-15 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Avri Solik-Fifarek | +2.2 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 28 | 12-16 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Bailey Hollis | set Alayna Howard | +1.1 |
| 29 | 12-17 | GRAMB | NW ST×3 | Serve err | GRAMB server | +1.3 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.3 |
| 31 | 12-19 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Rihianna Brown | +0.8 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +0.4 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Jade Longlad | set Elsie Sanchez | +0.6 |
| 34 | 13-21 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Emmarie McFarland | +0.4 |
| 35 | 14-21 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | GRAMB | NW ST | Attack err | Kenya Lucas | blk Elsie Sanchez | +0.2 |
| 37 | 15-22 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | GRAMB | NW ST×3 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.2 |
| 39 | 15-24 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Ace | NW ST server | aced Team | +0.1 |
| 40 | 15-25 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Emmarie McFarland | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Kenya Lucas | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Reece Cook | +1.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Asialin Powell | +1.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NW ST | GRAMB | Attack err | Gillian Wolf | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +2.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | GRAMB | NW ST | Attack err | Lyric Jordan | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Avri Solik-Fifarek | set Reece Cook | +1.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | GRAMB | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NW ST | GRAMB×3 | Serve err | NW ST server | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +2.2 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Ace | GRAMB server | aced Emmarie McFarland | +2.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Nile Johnson | set Alayna Howard | +1.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Bailey Hollis | set Alayna Howard | +1.9 |
| 20 | 11-9 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Attack err | Amber Craig | +2.6 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | GRAMB | NW ST | Attack err | Lyric Jordan | +1.8 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.1 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 24 | 13-11 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Angelique Pena | set Reece Cook | +2.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +2.0 |
| 26 | 13-13 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Kenya Lucas | blk Gillian Wolf, Olivia Nzioki | +2.8 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NW ST | GRAMB | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +2.3 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.2 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.4 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Nile Johnson | set Alayna Howard | +2.5 |
| 32 | 16-16 | GRAMB | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.4 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Lyric Jordan | blk Kenadii Winfrey | +3.3 |
| 34 | 16-18 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Angelique Pena | blk Kenadii Winfrey | +3.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Alayna Howard | +2.2 |
| 36 | 17-19 | GRAMB | NW ST×5 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.5 |
| 37 | 17-20 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Ace | NW ST server | aced Team | +2.8 |
| 38 | 17-21 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | +2.1 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Gillian Wolf | +1.3 |
| 40 | 17-23 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Attack err | Angelique Pena | +0.6 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +0.2 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.3 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Avri Solik-Fifarek | set Angelique Pena | +0.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Ace | GRAMB server | aced Gillian Wolf | +1.2 |
| 2 | 2-0 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Gillian Wolf | +1.2 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Amber Craig | +1.2 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | GRAMB | NW ST | Serve err | GRAMB server | +0.9 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Reece Cook | +1.0 |
| 6 | 4-2 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Anna Claire Hebert | +0.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | NW ST server | aced Avri Solik-Fifarek | +1.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Angelique Pena | set Reece Cook | +1.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +0.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Kenadii Winfrey | +1.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Nile Johnson | set Reece Cook | +1.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Bailey Hollis | set Alayna Howard | +1.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | blk Bailey Hollis, Nile Johnson | +1.4 |
| 15 | 8-7 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NW ST | GRAMB | Bad set | Elsie Sanchez | +1.1 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NW ST | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Amber Craig | blk Lyric Jordan | +1.1 |
| 19 | 11-8 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +1.5 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Amber Craig | +1.4 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | GRAMB | NW ST | Serve err | GRAMB server | +0.9 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.3 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Angelique Pena | set Reece Cook | +1.2 |
| 24 | 13-11 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Jade Longlad | +1.0 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Angelique Pena | set Reece Cook | +1.2 |
| 26 | 15-11 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Kill | Nile Johnson | set Reece Cook | +1.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Elsie Sanchez | +0.9 |
| 28 | 16-12 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lainy Evans | set Hailey Botello | +1.2 |
| 29 | 16-13 | GRAMB | NW ST×6 | Kill | Jade Longlad | +0.9 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Attack err | Avri Solik-Fifarek | +1.5 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Attack err | Nile Johnson | +1.7 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Ace | NW ST server | aced Asialin Powell | +1.9 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 34 | 16-18 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NW ST | GRAMB×4 | Kill | Bailey Hollis | set Asialin Powell | +1.3 |
| 36 | 18-18 | GRAMB | GRAMB×4 | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +2.1 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | GRAMB | GRAMB×4 | Kill | Bailey Hollis | set Asialin Powell | +2.3 |
| 38 | 20-18 | GRAMB | GRAMB×4 | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +2.4 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.6 |
| 40 | 21-19 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Alayna Howard | +2.0 |
| 41 | 21-20 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.6 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NW ST | GRAMB×3 | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Alayna Howard | +2.2 |
| 43 | 23-20 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Amber Craig | +2.4 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Reece Cook | +1.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | GRAMB | NW ST | Attack err | Angelique Pena | blk Olivia Nzioki | +0.3 |
| 46 | 24-22 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | NW ST server | aced Asialin Powell | +1.0 |
| 47 | 25-22 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Reece Cook | +1.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NW ST | GRAMB×3 | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Reece Cook | +2.2 |
| 2 | 2-0 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Ace | GRAMB server | aced Gillian Wolf | +2.9 |
| 3 | 3-0 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Bad set | Kenadii Winfrey | +2.9 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +2.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Avri Solik-Fifarek | +2.8 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Nile Johnson | set Reece Cook | +2.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +2.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lainy Evans | set Reece Cook | +2.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | GRAMB | NW ST | Attack err | Nile Johnson | blk Olivia Nzioki | +2.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Bailey Hollis | +3.0 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | NW ST | GRAMB | Attack err | Harper Cauley | blk Nile Johnson, Bailey Hollis | +2.4 |
| 12 | 6-6 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.5 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Attack err | Kenadii Winfrey | +3.4 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +2.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | NW ST server | aced Team | +3.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Alayna Howard | +2.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.7 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +2.6 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Angelique Pena | set Reece Cook | +2.8 |
| 22 | 11-11 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Emmarie McFarland | +2.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +3.6 |
| 24 | 12-12 | NW ST | GRAMB | Serve err | NW ST server | +2.8 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Attack err | Gillian Wolf | +4.0 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +2.9 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Nile Johnson | set Alayna Howard | +3.2 |
| 28 | 14-14 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Anna Claire Hebert | +3.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Alayna Howard | +3.4 |
| 30 | 15-15 | GRAMB | NW ST | Serve err | GRAMB server | +3.2 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Bailey Hollis | set Asialin Powell | +3.5 |
| 32 | 16-16 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +3.4 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +4.6 |
| 34 | 17-17 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Lyric Jordan | set Asialin Powell | +3.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | GRAMB | NW ST | Attack err | Asialin Powell | +3.7 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Avri Solik-Fifarek | set Reece Cook | +3.8 |
| 37 | 18-19 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Wolf | set Emmarie McFarland | +4.0 |
| 38 | 19-19 | NW ST | GRAMB | Bad set | Jade Longlad | +4.1 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | GRAMB | GRAMB | Attack err | Gillian Wolf | +6.1 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | GRAMB | NW ST×4 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +4.5 |
| 41 | 20-21 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Anna Claire Hebert | +6.4 |
| 42 | 20-22 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +6.0 |
| 43 | 20-23 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Ace | NW ST server | aced Team | +4.6 |
| 44 | 21-23 | NW ST | GRAMB×3 | Kill | Nile Johnson | set Alayna Howard | +2.0 |
| 45 | 22-23 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +4.9 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | GRAMB | GRAMB×3 | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +8.3 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | GRAMB | NW ST | Attack err | Lyric Jordan | blk Olivia Nzioki | +8.3 |
| 48 | 24-24 | NW ST | GRAMB | Kill | Bailey Hollis | set Asialin Powell | +8.3 |
| 49 | 24-25 | GRAMB | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +8.3 |
| 50 | 24-26 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +10.3 |
Score shown after each rally, Grambling first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.