CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 2, 2026
Nicholls logo

AwaySOUTHLAND

1:3

Grambling def. Nicholls 31

(14-25, 25-23, 25-22, 25-19)
Set1234Sets
NICHST252322191
GRAMB142525253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

GRAMB above 50 · NICHST below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100GRAMBNICHSTBiggest swing +7.1% GRAMB · S2 23-25rally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.1% to Grambling — set 2, NICHST 23-25 GRAMB. Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Reece Cook). GRAMB win probability 32%39%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NICHST 64.3%35.7% GRAMB

Nicholls wins

3-0
19.6%
3-1
24.7%
3-2
20.0%

Grambling wins

3-0
7.4%
3-1
12.8%
3-2
15.5%
NICHST break %
45.6% vs this opp
GRAMB break %
42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Amaris MarksKill+7.1%

    Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 2 · NICHST 23-25 GRAMB · GRAMB 32%39%

  2. 02
    GRAMB serverAce+7.0%

    Grambling ace on Mckenzie Mitchell

    Set 3 · NICHST 19-21 GRAMB · GRAMB 47%54%

  3. 03
    Kera ArringtonAttack error+6.5%

    Attack error by Kera Arrington

    Set 3 · NICHST 20-23 GRAMB · GRAMB 56%62%

  4. 04
    Amaris MarksKill+6.3%

    Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Alayna Howard)

    Set 3 · NICHST 18-19 GRAMB · GRAMB 40%47%

  5. 05
    Amaris MarksKill+6.2%

    Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 3 · NICHST 20-22 GRAMB · GRAMB 50%56%

  6. 06

    Kill by Angelique Pena

    Set 4 · NICHST 15-17 GRAMB · GRAMB 74%80%

  7. 07
    Kera ArringtonAttack error+5.8%

    Attack error by Kera Arrington

    Set 4 · NICHST 15-18 GRAMB · GRAMB 80%86%

  8. 08
    Jaida GrayAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Jaida Gray

    Set 4 · NICHST 15-15 GRAMB · NICHST 25%31%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416931.2260003102117
411837.08113110400014
49319.31601120111.511.5
4329.111370270010.53.5
4000100300000
2114.00000000010.51.5
47110.60001001010.58.5
42718-.278000100002
4001.000423300002
4000020400002
40002211510002
1011-1.000000000000
1000001000000
1000000000000
Team totals4932130.1314511948916489
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412134.3240104210114
44315.067000201226
4329.111000110214
4001.0001810600001
4012-.5001011000000
1246-.33300100010.52.5
48217.353000110008
4406.66700110010.54.5
40001441300004
3327.143100001225
3015-.200002300000
3000101800000
2044-1.000030500003
2116.000000030001
Team totals3721112.1433597441138789

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 NICHST · GRAMB 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 5 NICHSTGRAMB 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 NICHSTGRAMB 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 NICHSTGRAMB 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 NICHSTGRAMB 4

Bars above the line = Grambling leads, below = Nicholls leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Nicholls

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
47%7/15
2
47%8/17
38%6/16
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
50%8/16
53%9/17
5
47%7/15
53%8/15
6
60%6/10
53%8/15
All
53%47/88
47%42/90

Grambling

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
27%3/11
2
60%9/15
40%6/15
3
73%8/11
47%7/15
4
39%7/18
56%10/18
5
54%7/13
36%4/11
6
41%7/17
61%11/18
All
53%48/90
47%41/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

178 rallies

Rally log

#NICHST-GRAMBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GRAMBGRAMBKillBailey Hollisset Hailey Botello+2.3
21-1GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.8
31-2NICHSTGRAMBKillNile Johnsonset Alayna Howard+1.9
41-3GRAMBGRAMBAttack errKera Arringtonblk Bailey Hollis, Nile Johnson+2.4
52-3GRAMBNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Ava-Claire Calais+1.8
63-3NICHSTNICHSTAttack errNile Johnson+2.4
73-4NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+2.0
84-4GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+1.9
94-5NICHSTGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.0
104-6GRAMBGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.6
115-6GRAMBNICHST×5KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.0
126-6NICHSTNICHST×5KillMckenzie Mitchellset Natalia Navarro+2.6
137-6NICHSTNICHST×5AceNICHST serveraced Amaris Marks+2.5
148-6NICHSTNICHST×5Attack errAngelique Pena+2.5
159-6NICHSTNICHST×5AceNICHST serveraced Angelique Pena+2.3
169-7NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+1.7
1710-7GRAMBNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+1.8
1811-7NICHSTNICHST×4AceNICHST serveraced Lyric Jordan+2.1
1912-7NICHSTNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+1.8
2013-7NICHSTNICHST×4Bad setReece Cook+1.4
2113-8NICHSTGRAMB×3Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+0.9
2213-9GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGRAMB serveraced Harper Holden+1.5
2313-10GRAMBGRAMB×3KillNile Johnsonset Reece Cook+1.9
2414-10GRAMBNICHST×4Attack errLainy Evans+1.7
2515-10NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errHailey Botelloblk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington+1.8
2616-10NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errNile Johnson+1.4
2717-10NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errNile Johnson+1.0
2817-11NICHSTGRAMBAttack errHarper Holden+0.5
2918-11GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+0.7
3018-12NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+0.5
3119-12GRAMBNICHSTAttack errNile Johnsonblk Beryn Hyland, Kera Arrington+0.7
3219-13NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+0.4
3320-13GRAMBNICHST×4Serve errGRAMB server+0.6
3421-13NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errAmaris Marks+0.4
3522-13NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errBailey Hollis+0.2
3623-13NICHSTNICHST×4KillMckenzie Mitchell+0.1
3723-14NICHSTGRAMBAttack errSydney Valentine+0.0
3824-14GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.0
3925-14NICHSTNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.0
Set 2
10-1NICHSTGRAMBKillBailey Hollisset Alayna Howard+1.6
21-1GRAMBNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+1.6
32-1NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errBailey Hollis+2.0
43-1NICHSTNICHST×3AceNICHST serveraced Jazmine Binion+1.9
53-2NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.5
63-3GRAMBGRAMBAttack errKera Arrington+2.0
74-3GRAMBNICHSTKillBeryn Hylandset Isabella Padilla+1.6
84-4NICHSTGRAMB×4KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.7
94-5GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGRAMB serveraced Kera Arrington+2.2
104-6GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errKera Arrington+2.3
114-7GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGRAMB serveraced Mckenzie Mitchell+2.3
125-7GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+1.6
136-7NICHSTNICHSTAceNICHST serveraced Team+2.2
146-8NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+1.9
157-8GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.8
167-9NICHSTGRAMB×4KillJazmine Binionset Reece Cook+2.0
177-10GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errMaya Schirmer+2.4
187-11GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.3
197-12GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errMckenzie Mitchellblk Angelique Pena, Jaida Gray+2.1
208-12GRAMBNICHST×3Attack errJaida Gray+1.4
219-12NICHSTNICHST×3AceNICHST serveraced Jazmine Binion+2.0
2210-12NICHSTNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.3
2310-13NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+2.1
2411-13GRAMBNICHST×3Attack errJazmine Binion+1.9
2512-13NICHSTNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+2.6
2613-13NICHSTNICHST×3AceNICHST serveraced Jazmine Binion+2.8
2713-14NICHSTGRAMB×4Serve errNICHST server+2.4
2813-15GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGRAMB serveraced Mckenzie Mitchell+3.1
2913-16GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGRAMB serveraced Natalia Navarro+3.0
3013-17GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errKera Arringtonblk Bailey Hollis, Angelique Pena+2.7
3114-17GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+1.6
3214-18NICHSTGRAMBKillBailey Hollisset Alayna Howard+2.2
3314-19GRAMBGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.2
3415-19GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+1.2
3515-20NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+1.7
3615-21GRAMBGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+1.5
3716-21GRAMBNICHSTAttack errAvri Solik-Fifarek+0.6
3817-21NICHSTNICHSTAceNICHST serveraced Team+1.2
3917-22NICHSTGRAMBAttack errBeryn Hyland+1.6
4018-22GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+0.8
4119-22NICHSTNICHSTAttack errAvri Solik-Fifarekblk Maya Schirmer+1.7
4219-23NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+2.2
4319-24GRAMBGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+1.4
4420-24GRAMBNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.3
4521-24NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errAvri Solik-Fifarek+0.8
4622-24NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errAvri Solik-Fifarek+1.8
4723-24NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errAngelique Pena+3.9
4823-25NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+7.1
Set 3
11-0GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.4
21-1NICHSTGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.4
31-2GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+3.2
41-3GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errMaya Schirmer+3.3
52-3GRAMBNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.5
63-3NICHSTNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.2
74-3NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errBailey Hollis+3.2
85-3NICHSTNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Hailey Botello+3.1
95-4NICHSTGRAMBKillBailey Hollisset Reece Cook+2.4
106-4GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+2.5
116-5NICHSTGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.5
126-6GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGRAMB serveraced Mckenzie Mitchell+3.4
136-7GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+3.7
147-7GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.8
157-8NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchellblk Rihianna Brown, Jaida Gray+3.0
168-8GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.9
178-9NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Asialin Powell+3.1
188-10GRAMBGRAMBAttack errIsabella Padilla+4.0
199-10GRAMBNICHST×3Attack errAmaris Marksblk Isabella Padilla, Harper Holden+3.0
2010-10NICHSTNICHST×3KillIsabella Padilla+3.9
2111-10NICHSTNICHST×3AceNICHST serveraced Team+4.0
2211-11NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+3.2
2312-11GRAMBNICHST×4KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+3.2
2413-11NICHSTNICHST×4KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+3.9
2514-11NICHSTNICHST×4AceNICHST serveraced Lyric Jordan+3.6
2615-11NICHSTNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.1
2715-12NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.1
2816-12GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.5
2916-13NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.1
3016-14GRAMBGRAMBAceGRAMB serveraced Team+3.4
3117-14GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.2
3217-15NICHSTGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.8
3317-16GRAMBGRAMB×3KillRihianna Brown+4.4
3417-17GRAMBGRAMB×3KillJaida Grayset Alayna Howard+5.3
3518-17GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Natalia Navarro+4.4
3618-18NICHSTGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+4.5
3718-19GRAMBGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+6.3
3819-19GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+4.8
3919-20NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+5.5
4019-21GRAMBGRAMBAceGRAMB serveraced Mckenzie Mitchell+7.0
4120-21GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+4.6
4220-22NICHSTGRAMB×3KillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+6.2
4320-23GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+6.5
4420-24GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+4.0
4521-24GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.0
4622-24NICHSTNICHSTAttack errLyric Jordan+2.8
4722-25NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+5.1
Set 4
10-1NICHSTGRAMBAttack errIsabella Padillablk Lyric Jordan+2.9
21-1GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.8
31-2NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+3.0
42-2GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.9
52-3NICHSTGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+3.0
63-3GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+2.9
74-3NICHSTNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.7
84-4NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+3.0
94-5GRAMBGRAMBAttack errIsabella Padilla+4.0
105-5GRAMBNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.1
116-5NICHSTNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.9
127-5NICHSTNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.8
137-6NICHSTGRAMBKillJaida Grayset Alayna Howard+2.9
147-7GRAMBGRAMBAceGRAMB serveraced Team+4.1
158-7GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.2
168-8NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+3.3
179-8GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchell+3.3
189-9NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+3.4
1910-9GRAMBNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Mckenzie Mitchell+3.5
2010-10NICHSTGRAMB×4Attack errMaya Schirmerblk Bailey Hollis+3.5
2110-11GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+4.8
2210-12GRAMBGRAMB×4KillLyric Jordanset Jaida Gray+4.9
2310-13GRAMBGRAMB×4KillJaida Grayset Alayna Howard+4.8
2411-13GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+3.4
2511-14NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+4.0
2611-15GRAMBGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchellblk Jaida Gray+4.6
2712-15GRAMBNICHST×4Serve errGRAMB server+3.0
2813-15NICHSTNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+4.5
2914-15NICHSTNICHST×4AceNICHST serveraced Team+5.1
3015-15NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errJaida Gray+5.5
3115-16NICHSTGRAMB×3KillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+4.7
3215-17GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAngelique Pena+6.1
3315-18GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+5.8
3416-18GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+3.8
3516-19NICHSTGRAMB×3KillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+4.9
3616-20GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+5.1
3716-21GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+3.8
3817-21GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.7
3917-22NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+2.8
4018-22GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+1.4
4118-23NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.6
4219-23GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.0
4319-24NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.1
4419-25GRAMBGRAMBBad setIsabella Padilla+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Nicholls first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.