Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 2, 2026

Grambling def. Nicholls 3–1

Grambling beat visiting Nicholls 3-1 (14-25, 25-23, 25-22, 25-19) on Wed, Sep 2, 2026. Lyric Jordan led Grambling with 12 kills; Nicholls' Kera Arrington had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 2

Set1234Sets
NICHST252322191
GRAMB142525253

Win probability

Grambling above 50 · Nicholls below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.1% GRAMBrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.1% to Grambling — set 2, NICHST 23-25 GRAMB. Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Reece Cook). GRAMB win probability 45% → 53%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NICHST 46.4%53.6% GRAMB

Nicholls wins

3-0
11.1%
3-1
17.2%
3-2
18.1%

Grambling wins

3-0
14.1%
3-1
20.3%
3-2
19.3%
NICHST break %
44.7% vs this opp
GRAMB break %
45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Amaris MarksKill+8.1%

    Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 2 · NICHST 23-25 GRAMB · GRAMB 45% → 53%

  2. 02
    GramblingAce+6.6%

    Grambling ace on Mckenzie Mitchell

    Set 3 · NICHST 19-21 GRAMB · GRAMB 59% → 65%

  3. 03
    Amaris MarksKill+6.2%

    Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Alayna Howard)

    Set 3 · NICHST 18-19 GRAMB · GRAMB 52% → 58%

  4. 04
    Amaris MarksKill+5.9%

    Kill by Amaris Marks (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 3 · NICHST 20-22 GRAMB · GRAMB 61% → 67%

  5. 05
    Kera ArringtonAttack error+5.8%

    Attack error by Kera Arrington

    Set 3 · NICHST 20-23 GRAMB · GRAMB 67% → 72%

  6. 06
    NichollsService error+5.5%

    Nicholls service error

    Set 3 · NICHST 19-20 GRAMB · GRAMB 53% → 59%

  7. 07
    Jaida GrayKill+5.4%

    Kill by Jaida Gray (set by Alayna Howard)

    Set 3 · NICHST 17-17 GRAMB · GRAMB 47% → 52%

  8. 08
    Harper HoldenKill+5.0%

    Kill by Harper Holden (set by Isabella Padilla)

    Set 3 · NICHST 19-19 GRAMB · NICHST 42% → 47%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416931.2260003102117
411837.08113110400014
49319.31601120111.511.5
4329.111370270010.53.5
4000–100300000
2114.00000000010.51.5
47110.60001001010.58.5
42718-.278000100002
4001.000423300002
4000–020400002
4000–2211510002
1011-1.000000000000
1000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4932130.1314511948916489
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412134.3240104210114
44315.067000201226
4329.111000110214
4001.0001810600001
4012-.5001011000000
1246-.33300100010.52.5
48217.353000110008
4406.66700110010.54.5
4000–1441300004
3327.143100001225
3015-.200002300000
3000–101800000
2044-1.000030500003
2116.000000030001
Team totals3721112.1433597441138789

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Nicholls vs Grambling

Season series · Grambling leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NICHST · GRAMB 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 5 NICHSTGRAMB 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 NICHSTGRAMB 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 NICHSTGRAMB 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 NICHSTGRAMB 4

Bars above the line = Grambling leads, below = Nicholls leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nicholls

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
47%7/15
2
47%8/17
38%6/16
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
50%8/16
53%9/17
5
47%7/15
53%8/15
6
60%6/10
53%8/15
All
53%47/88
47%42/90

Grambling

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
27%3/11
2
60%9/15
40%6/15
3
73%8/11
47%7/15
4
39%7/18
56%10/18
5
54%7/13
36%4/11
6
41%7/17
61%11/18
All
53%48/90
47%41/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#NICHST-GRAMBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GRAMBGRAMBKillBailey Hollisset Hailey Botello+2.3
21-1GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.9
31-2NICHSTGRAMBKillNile Johnsonset Alayna Howard+2.0
41-3GRAMBGRAMBBlockedKera Arringtonblk Bailey Hollis, Nile Johnson+2.4
52-3GRAMBNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Ava-Claire Calais+1.9
63-3NICHSTNICHSTAttack errNile Johnson+2.5
73-4NICHSTGRAMBServe errNicholls+2.0
84-4GRAMBNICHSTServe errGrambling+2.1
94-5NICHSTGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.1
104-6GRAMBGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.5
115-6GRAMBNICHST×5KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.0
126-6NICHSTNICHST×5KillMckenzie Mitchellset Natalia Navarro+2.6
137-6NICHSTNICHST×5AceNichollsaced Amaris Marks+2.7
148-6NICHSTNICHST×5Attack errAngelique Pena+2.8
159-6NICHSTNICHST×5AceNichollsaced Angelique Pena+2.7
169-7NICHSTGRAMBServe errNicholls+2.0
1710-7GRAMBNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.2
1811-7NICHSTNICHST×4AceNichollsaced Lyric Jordan+2.5
1912-7NICHSTNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+2.3
2013-7NICHSTNICHST×4Bad setReece Cook+1.9
2113-8NICHSTGRAMB×3Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+1.2
2213-9GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGramblingaced Harper Holden+1.9
2313-10GRAMBGRAMB×3KillNile Johnsonset Reece Cook+2.3
2414-10GRAMBNICHST×4Attack errLainy Evans+2.2
2515-10NICHSTNICHST×4BlockedHailey Botelloblk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington+2.3
2616-10NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errNile Johnson+1.9
2717-10NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errNile Johnson+1.4
2817-11NICHSTGRAMBAttack errHarper Holden+0.8
2918-11GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+1.1
3018-12NICHSTGRAMBServe errNicholls+0.7
3119-12GRAMBNICHSTBlockedNile Johnsonblk Beryn Hyland, Kera Arrington+1.0
3219-13NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+0.6
3320-13GRAMBNICHST×4Serve errGrambling+0.9
3421-13NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errAmaris Marks+0.6
3522-13NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errBailey Hollis+0.3
3623-13NICHSTNICHST×4KillMckenzie Mitchell+0.1
3723-14NICHSTGRAMBAttack errSydney Valentine·
3824-14GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3925-14NICHSTNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
Set 2
10-1NICHSTGRAMBKillBailey Hollisset Alayna Howard+2.0
21-1GRAMBNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.0
32-1NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errBailey Hollis+2.5
43-1NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Jazmine Binion+2.5
53-2NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.0
63-3GRAMBGRAMBAttack errKera Arrington+2.6
74-3GRAMBNICHSTKillBeryn Hylandset Isabella Padilla+2.2
84-4NICHSTGRAMB×4KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.1
94-5GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGramblingaced Kera Arrington+2.7
104-6GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errKera Arrington+2.6
114-7GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGramblingaced Mckenzie Mitchell+2.5
125-7GRAMBNICHSTServe errGrambling+1.9
136-7NICHSTNICHSTAceNicholls+2.6
146-8NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.3
157-8GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.2
167-9NICHSTGRAMB×4KillJazmine Binionset Reece Cook+2.3
177-10GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errMaya Schirmer+2.7
187-11GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+2.5
197-12GRAMBGRAMB×4BlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Angelique Pena, Jaida Gray+2.2
208-12GRAMBNICHST×3Attack errJaida Gray+1.5
219-12NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Jazmine Binion+2.2
2210-12NICHSTNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.6
2310-13NICHSTGRAMBServe errNicholls+2.4
2411-13GRAMBNICHST×3Attack errJazmine Binion+2.2
2512-13NICHSTNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+3.1
2613-13NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Jazmine Binion+3.4
2713-14NICHSTGRAMB×4Serve errNicholls+2.9
2813-15GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGramblingaced Mckenzie Mitchell+3.5
2913-16GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGramblingaced Natalia Navarro+3.3
3013-17GRAMBGRAMB×4BlockedKera Arringtonblk Bailey Hollis, Angelique Pena+2.8
3114-17GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+1.9
3214-18NICHSTGRAMBKillBailey Hollisset Alayna Howard+2.4
3314-19GRAMBGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.3
3415-19GRAMBNICHSTServe errGrambling+1.3
3515-20NICHSTGRAMBServe errNicholls+1.8
3615-21GRAMBGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+1.5
3716-21GRAMBNICHSTAttack errAvri Solik-Fifarek+0.7
3817-21NICHSTNICHSTAceNicholls+1.3
3917-22NICHSTGRAMBAttack errBeryn Hyland+1.7
4018-22GRAMBNICHSTServe errGrambling+0.9
4119-22NICHSTNICHSTBlockedAvri Solik-Fifarekblk Maya Schirmer+1.9
4219-23NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+2.4
4319-24GRAMBGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+1.5
4420-24GRAMBNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.3
4521-24NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errAvri Solik-Fifarek+0.9
4622-24NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errAvri Solik-Fifarek+2.0
4723-24NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errAngelique Pena+4.5
4823-25NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+8.1
Set 3
11-0GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.6
21-1NICHSTGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.6
31-2GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+3.2
41-3GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errMaya Schirmer+3.2
52-3GRAMBNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.5
63-3NICHSTNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.3
74-3NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errBailey Hollis+3.4
85-3NICHSTNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Hailey Botello+3.4
95-4NICHSTGRAMBKillBailey Hollisset Reece Cook+2.7
106-4GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+2.9
116-5NICHSTGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.7
126-6GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGramblingaced Mckenzie Mitchell+3.5
136-7GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+3.6
147-7GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+3.0
157-8NICHSTGRAMBBlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Rihianna Brown, Jaida Gray+3.0
168-8GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+3.0
178-9NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Asialin Powell+3.1
188-10GRAMBGRAMBAttack errIsabella Padilla+3.8
199-10GRAMBNICHST×3BlockedAmaris Marksblk Isabella Padilla, Harper Holden+3.0
2010-10NICHSTNICHST×3KillIsabella Padilla+4.0
2111-10NICHSTNICHST×3AceNicholls+4.1
2211-11NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+3.4
2312-11GRAMBNICHST×4KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+3.5
2413-11NICHSTNICHST×4KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+4.3
2514-11NICHSTNICHST×4AceNichollsaced Lyric Jordan+4.1
2615-11NICHSTNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.7
2715-12NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.5
2816-12GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.1
2916-13NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.5
3016-14GRAMBGRAMBAceGrambling+3.8
3117-14GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.8
3217-15NICHSTGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+3.2
3317-16GRAMBGRAMB×3KillRihianna Brown+4.7
3417-17GRAMBGRAMB×3KillJaida Grayset Alayna Howard+5.4
3518-17GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Natalia Navarro+4.7
3618-18NICHSTGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+4.7
3718-19GRAMBGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+6.2
3819-19GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+5.0
3919-20NICHSTGRAMBServe errNicholls+5.5
4019-21GRAMBGRAMBAceGramblingaced Mckenzie Mitchell+6.6
4120-21GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+4.6
4220-22NICHSTGRAMB×3KillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+5.9
4320-23GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+5.8
4420-24GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+3.5
4521-24GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+0.9
4622-24NICHSTNICHSTAttack errLyric Jordan+2.6
4722-25NICHSTGRAMBServe errNicholls+4.7
Set 4
10-1NICHSTGRAMBBlockedIsabella Padillablk Lyric Jordan+2.5
21-1GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.5
31-2NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+2.5
42-2GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.6
52-3NICHSTGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.6
63-3GRAMBNICHSTServe errGrambling+2.6
74-3NICHSTNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.3
84-4NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+2.7
94-5GRAMBGRAMBAttack errIsabella Padilla+3.3
105-5GRAMBNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.7
116-5NICHSTNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.5
127-5NICHSTNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.5
137-6NICHSTGRAMBKillJaida Grayset Alayna Howard+2.7
147-7GRAMBGRAMBAceGrambling+3.5
158-7GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.0
168-8NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+3.0
179-8GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchell+3.1
189-9NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+3.0
1910-9GRAMBNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Mckenzie Mitchell+3.2
2010-10NICHSTGRAMB×4BlockedMaya Schirmerblk Bailey Hollis+3.1
2110-11GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+4.0
2210-12GRAMBGRAMB×4KillLyric Jordanset Jaida Gray+3.9
2310-13GRAMBGRAMB×4KillJaida Grayset Alayna Howard+3.7
2411-13GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.7
2511-14NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+3.1
2611-15GRAMBGRAMBBlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Jaida Gray+3.4
2712-15GRAMBNICHST×4Serve errGrambling+2.3
2813-15NICHSTNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.5
2914-15NICHSTNICHST×4AceNicholls+4.1
3015-15NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errJaida Gray+4.7
3115-16NICHSTGRAMB×3KillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+4.0
3215-17GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAngelique Pena+4.8
3315-18GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+4.4
3416-18GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+3.1
3516-19NICHSTGRAMB×3KillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+3.8
3616-20GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+3.8
3716-21GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+2.7
3817-21GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.3
3917-22NICHSTGRAMBServe errNicholls+2.1
4018-22GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+1.1
4118-23NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+1.9
4219-23GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.8
4319-24NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+1.5
4419-25GRAMBGRAMBBad setIsabella Padilla+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Nicholls first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).