CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsWed, Sep 16, 2026
3:2
Nicholls logo

HomeSOUTHLAND

Grambling def. Nicholls 32

(25-27, 22-25, 25-16, 25-20, 15-12)
Set12345Sets
GRAMB25222525153
NICHST27251620122

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NICHST above 50 · GRAMB below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100NICHSTGRAMBBiggest swing +11.7% GRAMB · S5 15-12rally 212 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.7% to Grambling — set 5, GRAMB 15-12 NICHST. Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Reece Cook). NICHST win probability 12%0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GRAMB 23.6%76.4% NICHST

Grambling wins

3-0
4.1%
3-1
8.0%
3-2
11.5%

Nicholls wins

3-0
28.2%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
19.1%
GRAMB break %
41.5% vs this opp
NICHST break %
47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Kenya LucasKill+11.7%

    Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 5 · GRAMB 15-12 NICHST · GRAMB 88%100%

  2. 02
    Maya SchirmerAttack error+11.6%

    Attack error by Maya Schirmer

    Set 5 · GRAMB 13-10 NICHST · GRAMB 76%88%

  3. 03

    Kill by Angelique Pena (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 5 · GRAMB 5-2 NICHST · GRAMB 56%66%

  4. 04
    Zahahrah Edwards-WyllieAttack error+9.4%

    Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie stuffed by Amaris Marks & Rihianna Brown

    Set 5 · GRAMB 7-3 NICHST · GRAMB 68%77%

  5. 05
    Amelie ShalfoonBad set+9.3%

    Bad set by Amelie Shalfoon

    Set 5 · GRAMB 3-1 NICHST · GRAMB 46%55%

  6. 06
    Kenya LucasKill+9.2%

    Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 5 · GRAMB 14-10 NICHST · GRAMB 88%97%

  7. 07
    Kenya LucasAttack error+9.1%

    Attack error by Kenya Lucas

    Set 5 · GRAMB 12-10 NICHST · NICHST 15%24%

  8. 08

    Kill by Angelique Pena (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 5 · GRAMB 6-3 NICHST · GRAMB 59%68%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518449.28600091010.518.5
59113.61500220174.513.5
58119.368000100219
50002901900000
4104.250002800001
1024-.500000000000
511327.29600070153.514.5
59327.22210010010.59.5
50008312410003
500022111000001
34116.188000120215
3000010300001
1113.000000000001
Team totals6116162.278605775521811112
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521653.2830005002122
515943.14000250010.515.5
5121033.06131019100013
58416.2500000022311
56114.357020200219
5305.600390580010.53.5
5001.0003132240001
5000010900001
5001.0002100500000
44519-.053000200004
11011.000000000001
1001.000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals7035187.18766510775286100

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 GRAMB · NICHST 5

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 7 GRAMBNICHST 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 GRAMBNICHST 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 GRAMBNICHST 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 GRAMBNICHST 2

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 3 GRAMBNICHST 3

Bars above the line = Nicholls leads, below = Grambling leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Grambling

SlotSideout %Break %
1
72%13/18
33%5/15
2
57%13/23
43%10/23
3
61%11/18
37%7/19
4
71%10/14
31%5/16
5
53%9/17
36%5/14
6
73%8/11
67%16/24
All
63%64/101
43%48/111

Nicholls

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%13/21
31%5/16
2
62%13/21
38%8/21
3
63%12/19
35%7/20
4
56%9/16
38%6/16
5
42%8/19
47%8/17
6
53%8/15
27%3/11
All
57%63/111
37%37/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

212 rallies

Rally log

#GRAMB-NICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.6
21-1GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+1.5
31-2NICHSTNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Mckenzie Mitchell+1.8
42-2NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.5
52-3GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.4
63-3NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+1.5
73-4GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.5
84-4NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMaya Schirmer+1.6
95-4GRAMBGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Reece Cook+2.1
105-5GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.6
116-5NICHSTGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.8
126-6GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+1.7
137-6NICHSTGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Asialin Powell+1.8
148-6GRAMBGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Asialin Powell+2.4
158-7GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.8
169-7NICHSTGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.0
179-8GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+1.8
189-9NICHSTNICHSTAttack errBailey Hollis+2.3
1910-9NICHSTGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.0
2010-10GRAMBNICHSTAttack errBailey Hollisblk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington+1.9
2111-10NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.1
2211-11GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.0
2312-11NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+2.2
2413-11GRAMBGRAMBAttack errMaya Schirmer+2.9
2513-12GRAMBNICHST×5KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.1
2613-13NICHSTNICHST×5Attack errKenya Lucas+2.7
2713-14NICHSTNICHST×5KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.7
2813-15NICHSTNICHST×5KillIsabella Padillaset Natalia Navarro+2.5
2913-16NICHSTNICHST×5KillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+2.2
3014-16NICHSTGRAMB×7KillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+1.6
3115-16GRAMBGRAMB×7KillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+2.5
3216-16GRAMBGRAMB×7Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+3.1
3317-16GRAMBGRAMB×7Attack errMckenzie Mitchellblk Kenya Lucas, Rihianna Brown+3.5
3418-16GRAMBGRAMB×7AceGRAMB serveraced Mckenzie Mitchell+3.7
3519-16GRAMBGRAMB×7Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+3.6
3620-16GRAMBGRAMB×7Attack errMckenzie Mitchellblk Rihianna Brown, Kenya Lucas+3.2
3720-17GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Asialin Powell+1.7
3820-18NICHSTNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+2.9
3921-18NICHSTGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+3.2
4021-19GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+2.3
4121-20NICHSTNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+3.9
4222-20NICHSTGRAMBAttack errKera Arrington+4.2
4323-20GRAMBGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+4.5
4423-21GRAMBNICHST×4KillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+2.0
4523-22NICHSTNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+4.3
4623-23NICHSTNICHST×4AceNICHST serveraced Asialin Powell+6.4
4723-24NICHSTNICHST×4KillMadison Smithset Mckenzie Mitchell+7.7
4824-24NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+6.1
4924-25GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+6.1
5025-25NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+6.1
5125-26GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+6.1
5225-27NICHSTNICHSTKillMaya Schirmer+6.8
Set 2
10-1GRAMBNICHSTAttack errRihianna Brown+1.1
21-1NICHSTGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+1.1
32-1GRAMBGRAMBAttack errHarper Holden+1.6
42-2GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+1.2
53-2NICHSTGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+1.3
63-3GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+1.2
74-3NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+1.3
84-4GRAMBNICHSTAttack errLainy Evans+1.2
95-4NICHSTGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+1.4
105-5GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+1.3
115-6NICHSTNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+1.6
126-6NICHSTGRAMB×3Serve errNICHST server+1.3
137-6GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+1.8
148-6GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+1.9
158-7GRAMBNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Mckenzie Mitchell+1.4
168-8NICHSTNICHSTAttack errJazmine Binionblk Harper Holden, Isabella Padilla+1.8
179-8NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+1.5
1810-8GRAMBGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieblk Rihianna Brown+2.0
1910-9GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.5
2010-10NICHSTNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+1.9
2111-10NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.6
2212-10GRAMBGRAMBAttack errMadison Smithblk Lyric Jordan, Angelique Pena+2.2
2312-11GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+1.6
2412-12NICHSTNICHSTAttack errLyric Jordanblk Maya Schirmer+2.0
2513-12NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.8
2614-12GRAMBGRAMBAttack errKera Arrington+2.4
2714-13GRAMBNICHST×3KillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+1.7
2814-14NICHSTNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Natalia Navarro+2.2
2914-15NICHSTNICHST×3Bad setReece Cook+2.2
3015-15NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Asialin Powell+1.8
3115-16GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+1.8
3215-17NICHSTNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.2
3316-17NICHSTGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.6
3416-18GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+1.8
3517-18NICHSTGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Reece Cook+1.7
3617-19GRAMBNICHSTAttack errLainy Evansblk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie, Harper Holden+1.9
3718-19NICHSTGRAMBKillJazmine Binionset Lainy Evans+1.8
3819-19GRAMBGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.9
3919-20GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+2.4
4020-20NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.5
4120-21GRAMBNICHST×3KillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+2.7
4220-22NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errLyric Jordan+3.2
4320-23NICHSTNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Jenna Cicherski+2.4
4421-23NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMadison Smith+1.1
4522-23GRAMBGRAMBKillPiper Nelsonset Asialin Powell+2.7
4622-24GRAMBNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Jenna Cicherski+3.3
4722-25NICHSTNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+2.2
Set 3
11-0NICHSTGRAMB×3Attack errKera Arrington+0.6
22-0GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+0.8
33-0GRAMBGRAMB×3KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+0.9
43-1GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+0.6
53-2NICHSTNICHSTAceNICHST serveraced Team+0.8
64-2NICHSTGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+0.7
75-2GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+0.9
86-2GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+0.9
96-3GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+0.6
106-4NICHSTNICHSTAttack errAngelique Penablk Maya Schirmer+0.8
117-4NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+0.8
127-5GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.7
138-5NICHSTGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+0.8
149-5GRAMBGRAMBAttack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+1.0
159-6GRAMBNICHST×3KillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.7
169-7NICHSTNICHST×3KillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.9
179-8NICHSTNICHST×3KillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.9
1810-8NICHSTGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+0.8
1911-8GRAMBGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+1.1
2011-9GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+0.7
2112-9NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchellblk Rihianna Brown, Kenya Lucas+0.9
2213-9GRAMBGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+1.1
2313-10GRAMBNICHST×3KillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+0.7
2413-11NICHSTNICHST×3AceNICHST serveraced Amaris Marks+1.0
2513-12NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errLyric Jordan+1.1
2614-12NICHSTGRAMB×3KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+1.0
2715-12GRAMBGRAMB×3KillLainy Evansset Reece Cook+1.2
2816-12GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGRAMB serveraced Natalia Navarro+1.2
2916-13GRAMBNICHSTAttack errLyric Jordan+0.7
3017-13NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.0
3117-14GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+0.7
3218-14NICHSTGRAMBAttack errKera Arrington+1.0
3319-14GRAMBGRAMBAttack errKera Arrington+1.0
3419-15GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.5
3520-15NICHSTGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+0.8
3620-16GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.5
3721-16NICHSTGRAMB×5KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+0.8
3822-16GRAMBGRAMB×5KillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+0.6
3923-16GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errMckenzie Mitchellblk Kenya Lucas+0.3
4024-16GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieblk Rihianna Brown, Amaris Marks+0.1
4125-16GRAMBGRAMB×5AceGRAMB serveraced Natalia Navarro+0.0
Set 4
11-0GRAMBGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+2.3
21-1GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.8
31-2NICHSTNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.2
42-2NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.8
52-3GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.7
62-4NICHSTNICHSTBad setReece Cook+2.1
73-4NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+1.7
83-5GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+1.7
93-6NICHSTNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.9
104-6NICHSTGRAMB×3KillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+1.5
115-6GRAMBGRAMB×3KillKenya Lucasset Isabella Padilla+2.2
126-6GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGRAMB serveraced Natalia Navarro+2.5
136-7GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.0
147-7NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+2.1
157-8GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+2.0
168-8NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+2.1
178-9GRAMBNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.1
188-10NICHSTNICHSTAttack errLainy Evans+2.5
199-10NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+2.0
209-11GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+2.0
2110-11NICHSTGRAMB×4KillLainy Evansset Asialin Powell+2.0
2211-11GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGRAMB serveraced Natalia Navarro+2.9
2312-11GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errKera Arringtonblk Kenya Lucas, Angelique Pena+3.3
2413-11GRAMBGRAMB×4KillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+3.5
2513-12GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+2.5
2614-12NICHSTGRAMB×3KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.9
2715-12GRAMBGRAMB×3KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+3.7
2816-12GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+3.4
2916-13GRAMBNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.1
3017-13NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMaya Schirmer+2.8
3117-14GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+2.1
3217-15NICHSTNICHSTAceNICHST serveraced Amaris Marks+3.3
3318-15NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+3.3
3418-16GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.6
3518-17NICHSTNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+3.9
3619-17NICHSTGRAMB×4Attack errMadison Smithblk Lainy Evans, Rihianna Brown+3.8
3720-17GRAMBGRAMB×4KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+4.6
3821-17GRAMBGRAMB×4KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+3.9
3922-17GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errMadison Smith+2.8
4022-18GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Jenna Cicherski+1.1
4123-18NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMadison Smith+2.0
4223-19GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+0.8
4324-19NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.6
4424-20GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+0.4
4525-20NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+1.8
Set 5
11-0NICHSTGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+6.7
21-1GRAMBNICHSTServe errGRAMB server+6.3
32-1NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+7.0
43-1GRAMBGRAMBBad setAmelie Shalfoon+9.3
53-2GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+6.6
64-2NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+7.8
75-2GRAMBGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+9.7
85-3GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+6.5
96-3NICHSTGRAMB×3KillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+8.1
107-3GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieblk Amaris Marks, Rihianna Brown+9.4
118-3GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errMckenzie Mitchellblk Kenya Lucas, Rihianna Brown+8.1
128-4GRAMBNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Asialin Powell+4.4
139-4NICHSTGRAMBServe errNICHST server+6.5
149-5GRAMBNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Isabella Padilla+4.2
1510-5NICHSTGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+6.4
1610-6GRAMBNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Jenna Cicherski+3.9
1711-6NICHSTGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+6.2
1811-7GRAMBNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Natalia Navarro+3.5
1912-7NICHSTGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+5.9
2012-8GRAMBNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+2.9
2112-9NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errKenya Lucas+6.0
2212-10NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errKenya Lucas+9.1
2313-10NICHSTGRAMBAttack errMaya Schirmer+11.6
2414-10GRAMBGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+9.2
2514-11GRAMBNICHSTAttack errAmaris Marksblk Maya Schirmer, Kera Arrington+2.3
2614-12NICHSTNICHSTAceNICHST serveraced Lyric Jordan+6.2
2715-12NICHSTGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+11.7

Score shown after each rally, Grambling first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.