Ark.-Monticello vs Grambling Volleyball: Grambling Wins 3-0

FinalTue, Oct 20, 2026

A-

AwayGAC

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Ark.-Monticello 94.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 20, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Grambling beat visiting Ark.-Monticello 3-0 (25-20, 25-13, 25-14) on Tue, Oct 20, 2026. Grambling's Kenya Lucas led with 11 kills, and Asialin Powell added 14 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 10:10 PM CT · final Oct 20

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ARKMON	20	13	14	0
GRAMB	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

The upset: Grambling, a 5% pick, over Ark.-Monticello.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Grambling's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Ark.-Monticello went in at 95% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Ark.-Monticello 8–10 Grambling
Up 10–8, Grambling scored 5 straight to make it 15–8.
Grambling 25% → 41%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Ark.-Monticello 8–10 Grambling
5 straight Grambling points stretched a 10–8 lead to 15–8.
Grambling 62% → 88%

Grambling above 50Ark.-Monticello belowMax swing 5.8%

Ark.-MonticelloGrambling

Sideout %: Ark.-Monticello 44.6·Grambling 70.8
Break %: Ark.-Monticello 29.2·Grambling 55.4
Hitting: Ark.-Monticello .096·Grambling .358
Longest run: Ark.-Monticello 4·Grambling 6

Kenya Lucas
11 kills on .409, 12 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Grambling above 50 · Ark.-Monticello below

Biggest swing: 5.8% to Grambling — set 3, ARKMON 8-13 GRAMB. Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Asialin Powell). GRAMB win probability 72% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARKMON 46.6%53.4% GRAMB

Ark.-Monticello wins

3-0

11.1%

3-1

17.3%

3-2

18.1%

Grambling wins

3-0

14.0%

3-1

20.2%

3-2

19.3%

ARKMON break %: 44.4% vs this opp
GRAMB break %: 45.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kenya LucasKill+5.8%
Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Asialin Powell)
Set 3 · ARKMON 8-13 GRAMB · GRAMB 72% → 77%
02
Kenya LucasKill+5.7%
Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Reece Cook)
Set 3 · ARKMON 8-12 GRAMB · GRAMB 66% → 72%
03
Nile JohnsonKill+5.6%
Kill by Nile Johnson (set by Reece Cook)
Set 3 · ARKMON 11-17 GRAMB · GRAMB 82% → 88%
04
Avri Solik-FifarekKill+5.5%
Kill by Avri Solik-Fifarek (set by Reece Cook)
Set 3 · ARKMON 8-14 GRAMB · GRAMB 77% → 83%
05
Lainy EvansKill+5.5%
Kill by Lainy Evans (set by Reece Cook)
Set 3 · ARKMON 13-19 GRAMB · GRAMB 86% → 91%
06
Lainy EvansKill+5.2%
Kill by Lainy Evans (set by Reece Cook)
Set 3 · ARKMON 13-18 GRAMB · GRAMB 80% → 86%
07
Avri Solik-FifarekKill+5.1%
Kill by Avri Solik-Fifarek (set by Alayna Howard)
Set 3 · ARKMON 7-10 GRAMB · GRAMB 60% → 65%
08
Kenya LucasKill+5.0%
Kill by Kenya Lucas (set by Asialin Powell)
Set 3 · ARKMON 11-16 GRAMB · GRAMB 77% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ark.-Monticelloaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Sophia GrubbsOH	3	10	3	28	.250	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	11
25Isabella GarciaOH	3	9	4	33	.152	3	0	0	9	2	0	0	9
18Ella ClineS	3	3	1	9	.222	13	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Kylie MillerMB	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	1	2	1	1	0.5	1.5
15Summer StephensMB	3	1	1	7	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
3Jalen ScrogginsOPP	2	3	3	12	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
19Allyson RosaDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	11	1	0	0	0
5Maelie CookeDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
12Evalyn DangOH	2	1	4	9	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
22Shayla LacamientoS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	0.5
8Ja'Miah ThomasMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Hannah HubbardS	1	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	18	104	.096	27	1	3	42	4	4	2	47

Gramblinghome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Kenya LucasOH	3	11	2	22	.409	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	12
4Angelique PenaMB	3	5	0	12	.417	0	1	1	1	0	1	5	3.5	9.5
22Lyric JordanOH	3	5	1	13	.308	0	0	0	5	0	0	2	1	6
3Reece CookDS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	1
14Amaris MarksOH	2	4	2	9	.222	0	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
11Rihianna BrownMB	2	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
20Avri Solik-FifarekOH	3	3	0	4	.750	1	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	3
1Asialin PowellL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	8	1	1	14	1	0	0	0	1
18Alayna HowardS	3	0	0	2	.000	21	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
25Jazmine BinionOH	2	5	1	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
5Nile JohnsonMB	2	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
10Piper NelsonOH	2	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21Lainy EvansOH	1	6	0	8	.750	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
12Jocelyn PargasOH	1	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
24Chiara MearelliMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
9Hailey BotelloL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
6Jaida GrayOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	10	106	.358	46	4	7	54	1	1	16	9	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ARKMON · GRAMB 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 ARKMONGRAMB 5

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 ARKMONGRAMB 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 ARKMONGRAMB 6

Bars above the line = Grambling leads, below = Ark.-Monticello leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ark.-Monticello

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	38%3/8
2	64%7/11	36%4/11
3	43%6/14	30%3/10
4	31%5/16	25%2/8
5	57%4/7	29%2/7
6	50%4/8	0%0/4
All	45%33/74	29%14/48

Grambling

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	57%8/14
2	70%7/10	46%6/13
3	100%6/6	57%8/14
4	63%5/8	67%10/15
5	83%5/6	44%4/9
6	57%4/7	56%5/9
All	71%34/48	55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#	ARKMON-GRAMB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Ella Cline	+0.4
2	2-0	ARKMON	ARKMON	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Ella Cline	+0.5
3	2-1	ARKMON	GRAMB	Serve err	Maelie Cooke		+0.4
4	3-1	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Ella Cline	+0.4
5	3-2	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Reece Cook	+0.4
6	4-2	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Summer Stephens	set Ella Cline	+0.4
7	4-3	ARKMON	GRAMB	Serve err	Shayla Lacamiento		+0.5
8	4-4	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Alayna Howard	+0.7
9	5-4	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Shayla Lacamiento	+0.5
10	5-5	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Alayna Howard	+0.6
11	6-5	GRAMB	ARKMON	Serve err	Amaris Marks		+0.5
12	6-6	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Alayna Howard	+0.6
13	7-6	GRAMB	ARKMON×4	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Shayla Lacamiento	+0.6
14	8-6	ARKMON	ARKMON×4	Kill	Jalen Scroggins	set Ella Cline	+0.6
15	9-6	ARKMON	ARKMON×4	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Allyson Rosa	+0.5
16	10-6	ARKMON	ARKMON×4	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Ella Cline	+0.4
17	10-7	ARKMON	GRAMB×3	Blocked	Sophia Grubbs	blk Angelique Pena, Jazmine Binion	+0.3
18	10-8	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+0.5
19	10-9	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Blocked	Jalen Scroggins	blk Lyric Jordan, Angelique Pena	+0.7
20	11-9	GRAMB	ARKMON	Serve err	Reece Cook		+0.6
21	11-10	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Reece Cook	+0.6
22	12-10	GRAMB	ARKMON×3	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Ella Cline	+0.6
23	13-10	ARKMON	ARKMON×3	Attack err	Amaris Marks		+0.6
24	14-10	ARKMON	ARKMON×3	Kill	Jalen Scroggins	set Ella Cline	+0.5
25	14-11	ARKMON	GRAMB×5	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+0.4
26	14-12	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Attack err	Jalen Scroggins		+0.6
27	14-13	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Ella Cline	+0.9
28	14-14	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Piper Nelson	+1.1
29	14-15	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Blocked	Isabella Garcia	blk Rihianna Brown, Kenya Lucas	+1.4
30	15-15	GRAMB	ARKMON	Serve err	Angelique Pena		+1.0
31	15-16	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Reece Cook	+1.2
32	16-16	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Shayla Lacamiento	+1.0
33	16-17	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Alayna Howard	+1.3
34	17-17	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Shayla Lacamiento	+1.1
35	17-18	ARKMON	GRAMB×3	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Alayna Howard	+1.4
36	17-19	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Alayna Howard	+2.0
37	17-20	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+2.1
38	18-20	GRAMB	ARKMON	Attack err	Jazmine Binion		+1.2
39	18-21	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Alayna Howard	+1.8
40	18-22	GRAMB	GRAMB	Blocked	Jalen Scroggins	blk Angelique Pena, Lyric Jordan	+2.0
41	19-22	GRAMB	ARKMON	Serve err	Reece Cook		+0.8
42	19-23	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Reece Cook	+1.6
43	19-24	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Asialin Powell	+1.2
44	20-24	GRAMB	ARKMON	Attack err	Kenya Lucas		+0.2
45	20-25	ARKMON	GRAMB	Serve err	Kylie Miller		+0.6
Set 2
1	0-1	ARKMON	GRAMB	Blocked	Evalyn Dang	blk Kenya Lucas, Angelique Pena	+1.5
2	1-1	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Ella Cline	+1.3
3	1-2	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Reece Cook	+1.6
4	1-3	GRAMB	GRAMB	Ace	Angelique Pena	aced Allyson Rosa	+2.2
5	2-3	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Ella Cline	+1.5
6	2-4	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Reece Cook	+1.9
7	3-4	GRAMB	ARKMON×3	Kill	Evalyn Dang	set Allyson Rosa	+1.6
8	4-4	ARKMON	ARKMON×3	Attack err	Rihianna Brown		+1.9
9	5-4	ARKMON	ARKMON×3	Attack err	Amaris Marks		+1.7
10	5-5	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Alayna Howard	+1.5
11	5-6	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Rihianna Brown	set Alayna Howard	+2.3
12	6-6	GRAMB	ARKMON	Blocked	Lyric Jordan	blk Shayla Lacamiento, Jalen Scroggins	+1.6
13	6-7	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+1.9
14	6-8	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Alayna Howard	+2.7
15	7-8	GRAMB	ARKMON	Serve err	Asialin Powell		+1.9
16	7-9	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Alayna Howard	+2.3
17	7-10	GRAMB	GRAMB	Ace	Grambling	aced Kylie Miller	+3.2
18	8-10	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Jalen Scroggins	set Isabella Garcia	+2.1
19	8-11	ARKMON	GRAMB×5	Kill	Angelique Pena	set Reece Cook	+2.7
20	8-12	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Attack err	Sophia Grubbs		+3.6
21	8-13	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Blocked	Evalyn Dang	blk Angelique Pena	+3.6
22	8-14	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Blocked	Sophia Grubbs	blk Angelique Pena, Amaris Marks	+3.4
23	8-15	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Ace	Grambling	aced Isabella Garcia	+3.1
24	9-15	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Ella Cline	+1.6
25	9-16	ARKMON	GRAMB	Attack err	Kylie Miller		+2.5
26	9-17	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Evalyn Dang		+2.5
27	10-17	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Ella Cline	+1.1
28	10-18	ARKMON	GRAMB×3	Kill	Amaris Marks	set Reece Cook	+1.9
29	10-19	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Attack err	Isabella Garcia		+1.6
30	10-20	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Attack err	Evalyn Dang		+1.0
31	11-20	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Ella Cline	set Ella Cline	+0.3
32	11-21	ARKMON	GRAMB×3	Kill	Nile Johnson	set Alayna Howard	+0.6
33	11-22	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Attack err	Isabella Garcia		+0.4
34	11-23	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Asialin Powell	+0.1
35	12-23	GRAMB	ARKMON	Serve err	Amaris Marks		·
36	13-23	ARKMON	ARKMON	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Isabella Garcia	·
37	13-24	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Jazmine Binion	set Alayna Howard	+0.1
38	13-25	GRAMB	GRAMB	Ace	Asialin Powell	aced Isabella Garcia	·
Set 3
1	1-0	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Hannah Hubbard	+1.8
2	2-0	ARKMON	ARKMON	Attack err	Nile Johnson		+2.1
3	2-1	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Lyric Jordan	set Asialin Powell	+1.8
4	3-1	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Kylie Miller	set Hannah Hubbard	+1.6
5	3-2	ARKMON	GRAMB	Bad set	Hannah Hubbard		+1.8
6	3-3	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Avri Solik-Fifarek	+2.8
7	4-3	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Hannah Hubbard	+2.0
8	4-4	ARKMON	GRAMB×3	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Reece Cook	+2.3
9	4-5	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Alayna Howard	+3.5
10	4-6	GRAMB	GRAMB×3	Bad set	Ella Cline		+4.0
11	5-6	GRAMB	ARKMON	Bad set	Alayna Howard		+2.8
12	6-6	ARKMON	ARKMON	Attack err	Jocelyn Pargas		+3.4
13	6-7	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Asialin Powell	+3.0
14	6-8	GRAMB	GRAMB	Attack err	Ja'Miah Thomas		+4.4
15	7-8	GRAMB	ARKMON	Serve err	Lainy Evans		+3.0
16	7-9	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Avri Solik-Fifarek	set Alayna Howard	+3.7
17	7-10	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Avri Solik-Fifarek	set Alayna Howard	+5.1
18	8-10	GRAMB	ARKMON	Attack err	Jocelyn Pargas		+3.3
19	8-11	ARKMON	GRAMB×5	Kill	Nile Johnson	set Alayna Howard	+4.3
20	8-12	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Reece Cook	+5.7
21	8-13	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+5.8
22	8-14	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Kill	Avri Solik-Fifarek	set Reece Cook	+5.5
23	8-15	GRAMB	GRAMB×5	Attack err	Ella Cline		+5.0
24	9-15	GRAMB	ARKMON×3	Kill	Sophia Grubbs	set Ella Cline	+2.5
25	10-15	ARKMON	ARKMON×3	Blocked	Kenya Lucas	blk Ella Cline, Kylie Miller	+3.9
26	11-15	ARKMON	ARKMON×3	Ace	Sophia Grubbs	aced Asialin Powell	+4.5
27	11-16	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Kenya Lucas	set Asialin Powell	+5.0
28	11-17	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Nile Johnson	set Reece Cook	+5.6
29	12-17	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Isabella Garcia	set Hannah Hubbard	+2.8
30	13-17	ARKMON	ARKMON	Kill	Ella Cline	set Isabella Garcia	+4.5
31	13-18	ARKMON	GRAMB	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Reece Cook	+5.2
32	13-19	GRAMB	GRAMB	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Reece Cook	+5.5
33	14-19	GRAMB	ARKMON	Kill	Ella Cline	set Hannah Hubbard	+2.5
34	14-20	ARKMON	GRAMB×6	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Reece Cook	+4.3
35	14-21	GRAMB	GRAMB×6	Kill	Jocelyn Pargas	set Asialin Powell	+3.7
36	14-22	GRAMB	GRAMB×6	Kill	Jocelyn Pargas	set Alayna Howard	+2.1
37	14-23	GRAMB	GRAMB×6	Kill	Lainy Evans	set Alayna Howard	+1.0
38	14-24	GRAMB	GRAMB×6	Blocked	Isabella Garcia	blk Chiara Mearelli, Jocelyn Pargas	+0.3
39	14-25	GRAMB	GRAMB×6	Blocked	Summer Stephens	blk Chiara Mearelli, Lainy Evans	·

Score shown after each rally, Ark.-Monticello first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Grambling def. Ark.-Monticello 3–0

The upset: Grambling, a 5% pick, over Ark.-Monticello.