Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Montana St. def. Eastern Wash. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Montana St. 79.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Montana St. beat visiting Eastern Wash. 3-1 (22-25, 28-26, 25-20, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Karli Heidemann led Montana St. with 16 kills; Eastern Wash.'s Kalista Lukovich had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
E WASH252620211
MONTST 222825253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 2–6 in the fourth, Montana St. took the set and then the match.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Montana St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Montana St. went in as RallyIQ's 80% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Eastern Wash. 21–19 Montana St.

    Montana St. scored 4 straight to turn a 19–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead. The match swung to Montana St.

    Montana St. 44% → 69%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Eastern Wash. 21–23 Montana St.

    3 straight Eastern Wash. points turned a 21–23 deficit into a 24–23 lead. The match swung to Eastern Wash.

    Montana St. 69% → 44%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 2 · Eastern Wash. 25–25 Montana St.

    Montana St. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 28–26 and level the match at 1–1.

    Montana St. 54% → 74%

Montana St. above 50Eastern Wash. belowMax swing 12.4%

Eastern Wash.Montana St.

Sideout %
Eastern Wash. 58.6·Montana St. 63.4
Break %
Eastern Wash. 36.6·Montana St. 41.4
Hitting
Eastern Wash. .145·Montana St. .186
Longest run
Eastern Wash. 5·Montana St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Montana St. above 50 · Eastern Wash. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.4% E WASHrally 192 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.4% to Eastern Wash. — set 2, E WASH 24-23 MONTST . Attack error by Elli Tufto. MONTST win probability 57% → 44%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E WASH 15.7%84.3% MONTST

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
8.3%

Montana St. wins

3-0
36.3%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
16.8%
E WASH break %
38.8% vs this opp
MONTST break %
46.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Elli TuftoAttack error+12.4%

    Attack error by Elli Tufto

    Set 2 · E WASH 24-23 MONTST · E WASH 43% → 56%

  2. 02

    Kalista Lukovich stuffed by Lauren Schloe & Teagan Jaynes

    Set 2 · E WASH 25-26 MONTST · MONTST 54% → 65%

  3. 03

    Kill by Karli Heidemann (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 2 · E WASH 26-28 MONTST · MONTST 65% → 74%

  4. 04
    Joelie SpeltsKill+9.4%

    Kill by Joelie Spelts (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 2 · E WASH 24-24 MONTST · MONTST 44% → 54%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kalista Lukovich (set by Jailyn Davenport)

    Set 2 · E WASH 25-24 MONTST · E WASH 46% → 56%

  6. 06
    Joelie SpeltsKill+9.4%

    Kill by Joelie Spelts (set by Jailyn Davenport)

    Set 2 · E WASH 25-25 MONTST · MONTST 44% → 54%

  7. 07
    Lauren GreenyAttack error+8.4%

    Attack error by Lauren Greeny

    Set 2 · E WASH 23-23 MONTST · E WASH 35% → 43%

  8. 08
    Karli HeidemannAttack error+8.1%

    Attack error by Karli Heidemann

    Set 2 · E WASH 26-26 MONTST · E WASH 35% → 43%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418461.230200101212.520.5
415939.1540006102116
49227.25910020031.510.5
44110.30010000132.56.5
42412-.167104300635
42210.0004101160031.53.5
4229.000111500003
4035-.6000121110001
4000–3002210000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5227173.14550287543181292
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416645.22212261010.518.5
414430.3330123012217
413534.23521422002115
48116.438430190010.58.5
43514-.143100102236
4000–1001100000
4000–6012400000
34214.143000000004
33524-.083000300003
Team totals6128177.18654410792387100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Eastern Wash. vs Montana St.

Season series · Montana St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 E WASH · MONTST 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 E WASHMONTST 4

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 3 E WASHMONTST 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 E WASHMONTST 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 E WASHMONTST 4

Bars above the line = Montana St. leads, below = Eastern Wash. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Wash.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
33%5/15
2
65%11/17
25%4/16
3
47%9/19
44%8/18
4
60%9/15
44%7/16
5
53%9/17
31%4/13
6
67%8/12
40%6/15
All
59%58/99
37%34/93

Montana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
41%7/17
2
58%11/19
29%5/17
3
56%9/16
40%6/15
4
53%9/17
53%10/19
5
60%9/15
44%7/16
6
100%9/9
40%6/15
All
63%59/93
41%41/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#E WASH-MONTST SrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Nicolette Noble+1.6
20-2MONTST MONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Lauren Schloe+1.5
31-2MONTST E WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
41-3E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.1
52-3MONTST E WASHServe errMontana St.+1.2
62-4E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.2
73-4MONTST E WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
84-4E WASHE WASHAttack errLauren Greeny+1.8
94-5E WASHMONTST ×4BlockedEastern Wash.blk Lauren Schloe+1.3
104-6MONTST MONTST ×4KillElli Tufto+1.7
114-7MONTST MONTST ×4BlockedCarlyn Rapozo-Kamokublk Joelie Spelts+1.5
124-8MONTST MONTST ×4KillJoelie Spelts+1.3
135-8MONTST E WASHAttack errLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.9
145-9E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.0
156-9MONTST E WASH×3KillReese Betschartset Jailyn Davenport+0.9
167-9E WASHE WASH×3BlockedElli Tuftoblk Sidney Gray, Bria Carlisle+1.5
178-9E WASHE WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
188-10E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
199-10MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovich+1.4
209-11E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
219-12MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.aced Elle Bruegman+1.7
2210-12MONTST E WASHAttack errLauren Schloeset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
2310-13E WASHMONTST Attack errKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.3
2411-13MONTST E WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.3
2512-13E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Karli Heidemann+2.1
2613-13E WASHE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.5
2713-14E WASHMONTST ×4KillLauren Schloeset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
2813-15MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errJudith Bolomboy+2.3
2913-16MONTST MONTST ×4AceMontana St.aced Kalista Lukovich+2.0
3013-17MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errCarlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+1.6
3114-17MONTST E WASHAttack errElli Tuftoset Elli Tufto+1.0
3214-18E WASHMONTST Serve errEastern Wash.+1.2
3315-18MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
3416-18E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Judith Bolomboy+1.9
3516-19E WASHMONTST Serve errEastern Wash.+1.7
3617-19MONTST E WASH×5Serve errMontana St.+1.4
3718-19E WASHE WASH×5BlockedJoelie Speltsblk Kalista Lukovich+2.7
3819-19E WASHE WASH×5BlockedJoelie Speltsblk Sidney Gray+3.5
3920-19E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+4.2
4021-19E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Sidney Gray+4.5
4121-20E WASHMONTST Attack errReese Betschartset Jailyn Davenport+2.7
4222-20MONTST E WASHBlockedJoelie Speltsblk Kalista Lukovich+3.8
4322-21E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.8
4423-21MONTST E WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+4.3
4523-22E WASHMONTST Attack errAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+3.0
4624-22MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+5.2
4725-22E WASHE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+4.3
Set 2
10-1E WASHMONTST BlockedAspyn Reedblk Lauren Schloe+1.8
21-1MONTST E WASH×3Serve errMontana St.+2.0
32-1E WASHE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+2.9
43-1E WASHE WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+3.1
53-2E WASHMONTST Attack errBria Carlisleset Lauren Greeny+2.1
64-2MONTST E WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.4
74-3E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.2
85-3MONTST E WASHAttack errJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.5
95-4E WASHMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Nicolette Noble+2.2
105-5MONTST MONTST BlockedJudith Bolomboyblk Karli Heidemann, Joelie Spelts+3.0
116-5MONTST E WASHBlockedKarli Heidemannblk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy+2.4
126-6E WASHMONTST Serve errEastern Wash.+2.3
137-6MONTST E WASHAttack errKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.5
147-7E WASHMONTST KillLauren Schloeset Teagan Jaynes+2.3
158-7MONTST E WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+2.6
169-7E WASHE WASHKillAspyn Reed+3.7
179-8E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.5
1810-8MONTST E WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+2.9
1910-9E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.6
2010-10MONTST MONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+3.5
2111-10MONTST E WASHKillAspyn Reedset Bria Carlisle+2.9
2211-11E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.7
2312-11MONTST E WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+3.0
2412-12E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.8
2512-13MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemann+3.7
2613-13MONTST E WASHKillReese Betschartset Jailyn Davenport+2.9
2713-14E WASHMONTST Serve errEastern Wash.+2.8
2813-15MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+3.6
2914-15MONTST E WASHServe errMontana St.+2.6
3014-16E WASHMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Afton Thomsen+2.7
3115-16MONTST E WASH×3KillJailyn Davenportset Kalista Lukovich+2.7
3216-16E WASHE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+4.4
3317-16E WASHE WASH×3Attack errKarli Heidemann+5.1
3417-17E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+3.6
3517-18MONTST MONTST Attack errSidney Gray+4.9
3618-18MONTST E WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+3.8
3719-18E WASHE WASHAttack errLauren Schloe+5.9
3819-19E WASHMONTST Attack errAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+4.1
3920-19MONTST E WASHServe errMontana St.+4.9
4021-19E WASHE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+6.9
4121-20E WASHMONTST ×4Serve errEastern Wash.+4.1
4221-21MONTST MONTST ×4KillTeagan Jaynesset Karli Heidemann+6.9
4321-22MONTST MONTST ×4KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+7.4
4421-23MONTST MONTST ×4KillElli Tuftoset Nicolette Noble+6.5
4522-23MONTST E WASH×3Serve errMontana St.+3.6
4623-23E WASHE WASH×3Attack errLauren Greeny+8.4
4724-23E WASHE WASH×3Attack errElli Tufto+12.4
4824-24E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+9.4
4925-24MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+9.4
5025-25E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Jailyn Davenport+9.4
5125-26MONTST MONTST BlockedKalista Lukovichblk Lauren Schloe, Teagan Jaynes+11.1
5226-26MONTST E WASHAttack errKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+8.1
5326-27E WASHMONTST KillLauren Schloeset Teagan Jaynes+8.1
5426-28MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+9.6
Set 3
10-1MONTST MONTST Attack errAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+2.5
20-2MONTST MONTST Attack errAspyn Reed+2.3
31-2MONTST E WASHKillJailyn Davenportset Kalista Lukovich+1.8
41-3E WASHMONTST KillLauren Schloeset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
52-3MONTST E WASHKillTeagan Jaynesset Nicolette Noble+1.8
62-4E WASHMONTST Attack errAspyn Reed+1.8
73-4MONTST E WASH×3KillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.9
84-4E WASHE WASH×3BlockedLauren Greenyblk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy+2.8
95-4E WASHE WASH×3BlockedKarli Heidemannblk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy+3.1
105-5E WASHMONTST Serve errEastern Wash.+2.2
116-5MONTST E WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.4
127-5E WASHE WASHBlockedLauren Greenyblk Kalista Lukovich, Judith Bolomboy+3.5
137-6E WASHMONTST ×5KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.3
147-7MONTST MONTST ×5BlockedKalista Lukovichblk Joelie Spelts, Lauren Greeny+3.2
157-8MONTST MONTST ×5Attack errJudith Bolomboy+3.1
167-9MONTST MONTST ×5KillJoelie Spelts+2.8
177-10MONTST MONTST ×5KillElli Tuftoset Nicolette Noble+2.5
188-10MONTST E WASHKillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
198-11E WASHMONTST KillTeagan Jaynes+1.9
208-12MONTST MONTST Attack errCarlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+2.2
219-12MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.5
229-13E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.6
2310-13MONTST E WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.5
2410-14E WASHMONTST ×4KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
2510-15MONTST MONTST ×4KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
2610-16MONTST MONTST ×4KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.3
2710-17MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errBria Carlisle+0.8
2811-17MONTST E WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+0.4
2912-17E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.9
3012-18E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Nicolette Noble+0.9
3113-18MONTST E WASHBlockedLauren Schloeblk Judith Bolomboy, Aspyn Reed+0.6
3213-19E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.8
3314-19MONTST E WASH×3Serve errMontana St.+0.6
3415-19E WASHE WASH×3Attack errElli Tufto+1.2
3516-19E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.+1.9
3616-20E WASHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
3717-20MONTST E WASHAttack errElli Eskoset Joelie Spelts+1.4
3817-21E WASHMONTST Serve errEastern Wash.+1.9
3917-22MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.aced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+1.5
4018-22MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.6
4118-23E WASHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.0
4219-23MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.4
4319-24E WASHMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Lauren Greeny+0.8
4420-24MONTST E WASHServe errMontana St.+0.2
4520-25E WASHMONTST Attack errAspyn Reedset Nicolette Noble+0.4
Set 4
11-0E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
21-1E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.6
32-1MONTST E WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+1.7
42-2E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.6
53-2MONTST E WASH×4KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.8
64-2E WASHE WASH×4BlockedLauren Schloeblk Sidney Gray, Aspyn Reed+2.6
75-2E WASHE WASH×4KillAspyn Reed+2.7
86-2E WASHE WASH×4KillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+2.7
96-3E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
106-4MONTST MONTST Attack errAspyn Reed+2.5
117-4MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.1
128-4E WASHE WASHBlockedElli Eskoblk Judith Bolomboy, Bria Carlisle+2.8
138-5E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
148-6MONTST MONTST Attack errJudith Bolomboy+2.6
159-6MONTST E WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
169-7E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
179-8MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.7
1810-8MONTST E WASHServe errMontana St.+2.3
1910-9E WASHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.1
2011-9MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.4
2112-9E WASHE WASHAttack errTeagan Jaynes+3.3
2212-10E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.1
2313-10MONTST E WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+2.5
2414-10E WASHE WASHBlockedKarli Heidemannblk Bria Carlisle, Sidney Gray+3.3
2514-11E WASHMONTST ×3Serve errEastern Wash.+1.9
2614-12MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errJailyn Davenport+3.0
2714-13MONTST MONTST ×3BlockedKalista Lukovichblk Lauren Schloe, Lauren Greeny+3.2
2815-13MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Reese Betschart+2.8
2915-14E WASHMONTST ×4Attack errAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.5
3015-15MONTST MONTST ×4KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+3.5
3115-16MONTST MONTST ×4KillLauren Greenyset Nicolette Noble+3.5
3215-17MONTST MONTST ×4AceMontana St.aced Aspyn Reed+3.2
3316-17MONTST E WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+2.3
3417-17E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.7
3517-18E WASHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.9
3618-18MONTST E WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+3.0
3718-19E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Lauren Greeny+3.1
3818-20MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Spelts+3.9
3919-20MONTST E WASHServe errMontana St.+2.6
4019-21E WASHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+3.0
4119-22MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+3.2
4220-22MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.6
4320-23E WASHMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Nicolette Noble+2.4
4420-24MONTST MONTST Attack errReese Betschart+1.7
4521-24MONTST E WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.4
4621-25E WASHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Wash. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).