Montana State vs Eastern Wash. Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026ESPN+

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Montana St. (15-10) at Eastern Wash. (10-16), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 7:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Montana St. a 68% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Montana St. won 3-1 on Oct 3.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

MONTST 68.5%31.5% E WASH

Montana St. wins

3-0

22.2%

3-1

26.3%

3-2

20.0%

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0

6.1%

3-1

11.1%

3-2

14.3%

MONTST break %: 44.1% vs this opp
E WASH break %: 40.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.