San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 19, 2026

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San Diego St. (15-7) at Utah St. (6-16), Thu, Nov 19, 2026, 8:00 PM CT. RallyIQ gives San Diego St. a 69% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, San Diego St. won 3-2 on Oct 15.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

SDSU 69.0%31.0% UT ST

San Diego St. wins

3-0

22.6%

3-1

26.5%

3-2

19.9%

Utah St. wins

3-0

6.0%

3-1

10.9%

3-2

14.1%

SDSU break %: 42.0% vs this opp
UT ST break %: 38.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.