Austin Peay vs UT Arlington Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 12, 2026ESPN+

–:–

Austin Peay (11-15) at UT Arlington (11-13), Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 6:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UT Arlington a 66% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, UT Arlington won 3-0 on Oct 31.

Data through Nov 4, 3:15 PM CT

Match prediction

A PEAY 33.8%66.2% TX ARL

Austin Peay wins

3-0

6.8%

3-1

12.0%

3-2

14.9%

UT Arlington wins

3-0

20.8%

3-1

25.4%

3-2

20.0%

A PEAY break %: 40.2% vs this opp
TX ARL break %: 43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.