Merrimack vs Fairfield Volleyball: Fairfield Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Fairfield 99.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Fairfield beat visiting Merrimack 3-1 (23-25, 25-12, 25-23, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Fairfield's Mamie Krubally led with 22 kills, and Natalie Carlin added 22 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MERMCK	25	12	23	22	1
FAIR	23	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

An 8–0 run in the second set broke it open for Fairfield.

Win probability never moved more than 1.7 points on one rally; Merrimack topped out at 8% in Set 4. Fairfield went in as RallyIQ's >99% pick.

MerrimackFairfield

Break %+9.3 pts
42.251.5
50 of 97 on serve vs 35 of 83, so Merrimack's sideout was 48.5%.
Hitting+.167
.144.311
Kills and errors: 58–17 vs 44–24.
Longest run+3
58
8 straight Fairfield points in the second set stretched a 17–12 lead to 25–12. Final score of the set: 25–12.

Fairfield above 50Merrimack belowMax swing 1.7%

MerrimackFairfield

Aces: Merrimack 13·Fairfield 6
Serve err: Merrimack 9·Fairfield 6
Blocks: Merrimack 5·Fairfield 131 BS · 8 BA vs 2 BS · 22 BA
Digs: Merrimack 53·Fairfield 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fairfield above 50 · Merrimack below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Fairfield — set 3, MERMCK 23-25 FAIR. Kill by Harlan Wyche (set by Mary Kate Bradley). FAIR win probability 97% → 99%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERMCK 1.0%99.0% FAIR

Merrimack wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.7%

Fairfield wins

3-0

73.7%

3-1

21.4%

3-2

3.9%

MERMCK break %: 35.7% vs this opp
FAIR break %: 53.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Harlan WycheKill+1.7%
Kill by Harlan Wyche (set by Mary Kate Bradley)
Set 3 · MERMCK 23-25 FAIR · FAIR 97% → 99%
02
Mckenna ShotwellKill+1.6%
Kill by Mckenna Shotwell (set by Devon Lowe)
Set 1 · MERMCK 25-23 FAIR · MERMCK 2% → 4%
03
MerrimackAce+1.5%
Merrimack ace on Aislin Oldach
Set 4 · MERMCK 17-12 FAIR · MERMCK 6% → 8%
04
Katelyn CookAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Katelyn Cook
Set 4 · MERMCK 21-21 FAIR · MERMCK 2% → 3%
05
Natalia ZelubowskiKill+1.3%
Kill by Natalia Zelubowski (set by Sophia DeBonis)
Set 4 · MERMCK 18-13 FAIR · MERMCK 7% → 8%
06
MerrimackAce+1.3%
Merrimack ace on Natalie Carlin
Set 4 · MERMCK 15-11 FAIR · MERMCK 4% → 6%
07
Emma BortolottiKill+1.2%
Kill by Emma Bortolotti (set by Noella Migliuri)
Set 4 · MERMCK 18-16 FAIR · FAIR 94% → 95%
08
Emma BortolottiKill+1.2%
Kill by Emma Bortolotti (set by Noella Migliuri)
Set 4 · MERMCK 18-17 FAIR · FAIR 95% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Merrimackaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Mckenna ShotwellOH	4	9	7	42	.048	1	7	2	6	0	0	0	0	16
8Jocelyn HammerstrandOPP	4	12	4	27	.296	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	12
13Mia IzzoMB	4	6	2	15	.267	0	3	3	4	0	1	2	2	11
3Sophia DeBonisS	4	0	1	2	-.500	19	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
18Sienna Franks	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	2	4	2	0	0	0	0
1Naomi VajdaMB	3	2	4	8	-.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Maiella Blandin	4	8	1	18	.389	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	2	10
12Ella MaldonadoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	12	2	0	0	0	1
22Devon Lowe	4	0	0	2	.000	13	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
15Gabrielle Moore	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Natalia Zelubowski	2	5	0	14	.357	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	5
4Vaia TsioutsioulasOH	2	2	4	8	-.250	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
19Elizabeth KenneyS	2	0	0	1	.000	8	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
17Kaitlyn OxceusOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Tamilore Afolalu	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Fabiola BetancourtOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	24	139	.144	42	13	9	53	6	1	8	5	82

Fairfieldhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Mamie KruballyOPP	4	22	1	32	.656	0	0	0	1	0	1	8	5	27
8Katelyn CookOH	4	12	5	30	.233	0	3	2	12	1	0	0	0	15
22Harlan WycheMB	4	5	2	11	.273	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	8
3Sophia NagyMB	4	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	3	0	0	7	3.5	6.5
11Zofia SykutS	4	0	1	2	-.500	33	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Aislin OldachOH	3	4	1	17	.176	0	0	1	4	5	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Emma BortolottiOH	4	10	3	21	.333	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
18Natalie CarlinL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	22	3	0	0	0	1
5Mary Kate BradleyS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
15Daniella SuarezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Mia Jean ClaudeOH	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	5	4	0	1	0.5	2.5
10Noella MigliuriS	2	0	0	0	–	10	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
12Julie DufourtL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
4Courtney VinesMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	17	132	.311	54	6	6	61	13	2	22	13	98

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Merrimack vs Fairfield

Season series · Fairfield leads 2-0

Sat, Oct 3, 2026Merrimack at Fairfield · Fairfield won 3-1This match
Fri, Oct 30, 2026Fairfield at Merrimack · Fairfield won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MERMCK · FAIR 8

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 MERMCKFAIR 3

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKFAIR 8

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 MERMCKFAIR 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKFAIR 5

Bars above the line = Fairfield leads, below = Merrimack leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Merrimack

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%9/23	40%6/15
2	40%8/20	47%8/17
3	53%8/15	38%5/13
4	50%8/16	38%5/13
5	47%7/15	36%4/11
6	88%7/8	50%7/14
All	48%47/97	42%35/83

Fairfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%10/15	38%5/13
2	64%9/14	57%12/21
3	57%8/14	67%16/24
4	50%7/14	38%5/13
5	64%7/11	56%9/16
6	47%7/15	30%3/10
All	58%48/83	52%50/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#	MERMCK-FAIR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Mia Izzo		+0.1
2	0-2	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Zofia Sykut	+0.1
3	1-2	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.1
4	1-3	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	·
5	2-3	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.1
6	2-4	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	·
7	2-5	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Vaia Tsioutsioulas		·
8	3-5	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Sophia Nagy		·
9	3-6	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	·
10	4-6	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	·
11	4-7	MERMCK	FAIR	Serve err	Merrimack		·
12	5-7	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.1
13	5-8	MERMCK	FAIR	Serve err	Merrimack		·
14	6-8	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti		+0.1
15	7-8	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Aislin Oldach	+0.1
16	7-9	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+0.1
17	7-10	FAIR	FAIR	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche	+0.1
18	8-10	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.1
19	8-11	MERMCK	FAIR	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.1
20	9-11	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.1
21	9-12	MERMCK	FAIR	Blocked	Naomi Vajda	blk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally	+0.1
22	10-12	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.1
23	10-13	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.1
24	10-14	FAIR	FAIR×3	Ace	Fairfield	aced Vaia Tsioutsioulas	+0.1
25	10-15	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Noella Migliuri	·
26	11-15	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	·
27	11-16	MERMCK	FAIR	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Sophia Nagy, Aislin Oldach	·
28	12-16	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	·
29	12-17	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Noella Migliuri	·
30	13-17	FAIR	MERMCK×4	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Devon Lowe	·
31	14-17	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti		+0.1
32	15-17	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Katelyn Cook		+0.1
33	16-17	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Harlan Wyche		+0.2
34	16-18	MERMCK	FAIR	Blocked	Sophia DeBonis	blk Harlan Wyche	+0.1
35	17-18	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.2
36	18-18	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Aislin Oldach	+0.3
37	18-19	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.2
38	18-20	FAIR	FAIR	Blocked	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	blk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche	+0.2
39	19-20	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.2
40	20-20	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Natalie Carlin	+0.4
41	20-21	MERMCK	FAIR	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.3
42	20-22	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Naomi Vajda		+0.3
43	21-22	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.2
44	21-23	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
45	22-23	FAIR	MERMCK×4	Kill	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	set Devon Lowe	+0.2
46	23-23	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Ace	Merrimack	aced Aislin Oldach	+0.6
47	24-23	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Sophia Nagy		+1.0
48	25-23	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+1.6
Set 2
1	0-1	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
2	1-1	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.4
3	1-2	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
4	1-3	FAIR	FAIR×3	Blocked	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	blk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy	+0.4
5	1-4	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
6	2-4	FAIR	MERMCK×3	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.3
7	3-4	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Mckenna Shotwell	+0.4
8	4-4	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Ace	Merrimack	aced Katelyn Cook	+0.6
9	4-5	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
10	4-6	FAIR	FAIR	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Mia Jean Claude, Sophia Nagy	+0.4
11	5-6	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.4
12	6-6	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda		+0.7
13	6-7	MERMCK	FAIR	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.5
14	7-7	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+0.6
15	7-8	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Mary Kate Bradley	+0.5
16	7-9	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche		+0.5
17	8-9	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda	set Devon Lowe	+0.5
18	9-9	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Harlan Wyche		+0.8
19	9-10	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Mary Kate Bradley	+0.6
20	10-10	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+0.8
21	10-11	MERMCK	FAIR×7	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.6
22	10-12	FAIR	FAIR×7	Ace	Fairfield	aced Sienna Franks	+0.7
23	10-13	FAIR	FAIR×7	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Mamie Krubally	+0.5
24	10-14	FAIR	FAIR×7	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+0.4
25	10-15	FAIR	FAIR×7	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
26	10-16	FAIR	FAIR×7	Ace	Fairfield	aced Sienna Franks	+0.2
27	10-17	FAIR	FAIR×7	Ace	Fairfield	aced Ella Maldonado	+0.1
28	11-17	FAIR	MERMCK	Bad set	Zofia Sykut		+0.1
29	12-17	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Mia Jean Claude	+0.1
30	12-18	MERMCK	FAIR×8	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.1
31	12-19	FAIR	FAIR×8	Blocked	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	blk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy	+0.1
32	12-20	FAIR	FAIR×8	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	·
33	12-21	FAIR	FAIR×8	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	·
34	12-22	FAIR	FAIR×8	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		·
35	12-23	FAIR	FAIR×8	Attack err	Mia Izzo		·
36	12-24	FAIR	FAIR×8	Kill	Mia Jean Claude		·
37	12-25	FAIR	FAIR×8	Ace	Fairfield	aced Ella Maldonado	·
Set 3
1	0-1	FAIR	FAIR	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche	+0.3
2	1-1	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.3
3	1-2	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
4	2-2	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.4
5	2-3	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.3
6	2-4	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+0.3
7	2-5	FAIR	FAIR×3	Blocked	Naomi Vajda	blk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy	+0.2
8	3-5	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.2
9	4-5	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Mia Jean Claude	blk Maiella Blandin, Naomi Vajda	+0.4
10	4-6	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
11	4-7	FAIR	FAIR×3	Ace	Fairfield	aced Natalia Zelubowski	+0.3
12	4-8	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.2
13	5-8	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Devon Lowe	+0.2
14	5-9	MERMCK	FAIR×5	Blocked	Maiella Blandin	blk Sophia Nagy, Emma Bortolotti	+0.2
15	5-10	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Mary Kate Bradley	+0.2
16	5-11	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Mary Kate Bradley	+0.1
17	5-12	FAIR	FAIR×5	Attack err	Naomi Vajda		+0.1
18	5-13	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Mckenna Shotwell	·
19	6-13	FAIR	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Katelyn Cook		·
20	7-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti		+0.1
21	8-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mia Izzo		+0.1
22	9-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack	aced Mia Jean Claude	+0.2
23	10-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Katelyn Cook	blk Mia Izzo, Maiella Blandin	+0.3
24	10-14	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Zofia Sykut	+0.2
25	11-14	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.2
26	11-15	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	+0.2
27	12-15	FAIR	MERMCK×4	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.3
28	13-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Ace	Merrimack	aced Mia Jean Claude	+0.5
29	14-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Bad set	Zofia Sykut		+0.7
30	15-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Ace	Merrimack	aced Mia Jean Claude	+1.0
31	15-16	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.8
32	15-17	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.8
33	16-17	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.7
34	16-18	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.7
35	16-19	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.6
36	16-20	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
37	17-20	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.3
38	18-20	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Zofia Sykut		+0.6
39	18-21	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+0.6
40	19-21	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.5
41	20-21	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Ella Maldonado	+1.2
42	20-22	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Mary Kate Bradley	+1.1
43	20-23	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Mary Kate Bradley	+0.9
44	21-23	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.5
45	21-24	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Mary Kate Bradley	+0.7
46	22-24	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.3
47	23-24	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
48	23-25	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Mary Kate Bradley	+1.7
Set 4
1	1-0	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Courtney Vines	blk Mia Izzo	+0.3
2	1-1	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.2
3	1-2	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
4	2-2	FAIR	MERMCK×3	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.2
5	3-2	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Ace	Merrimack	aced Natalie Carlin	+0.4
6	4-2	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Ace	Merrimack	aced Aislin Oldach	+0.5
7	4-3	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
8	4-4	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
9	5-4	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.4
10	6-4	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Mamie Krubally		+0.6
11	6-5	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Natalie Carlin	+0.4
12	7-5	FAIR	MERMCK×3	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.5
13	8-5	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.7
14	9-5	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Blocked	Aislin Oldach	blk Maiella Blandin, Kaitlyn Oxceus	+0.9
15	9-6	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Mary Kate Bradley	+0.6
16	10-6	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.8
17	10-7	MERMCK	FAIR	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.6
18	11-7	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.9
19	12-7	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Katelyn Cook	blk Mia Izzo, Maiella Blandin	+1.1
20	12-8	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Mary Kate Bradley	+0.7
21	13-8	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Elizabeth Kenney	+1.0
22	13-9	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.7
23	13-10	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.9
24	13-11	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.9
25	14-11	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.0
26	15-11	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Natalie Carlin	+1.3
27	15-12	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.8
28	16-12	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.2
29	17-12	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Aislin Oldach	+1.5
30	17-13	MERMCK	FAIR	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.8
31	18-13	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.3
32	18-14	MERMCK	FAIR×5	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Noella Migliuri	+0.8
33	18-15	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti		+1.1
34	18-16	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+1.2
35	18-17	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+1.2
36	18-18	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+1.1
37	19-18	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Devon Lowe	+1.2
38	19-19	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Noella Migliuri	+1.0
39	19-20	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+1.1
40	19-21	FAIR	FAIR×3	Bad set	Devon Lowe		+0.9
41	20-21	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+0.7
42	21-21	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Katelyn Cook		+1.4
43	21-22	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+1.2
44	21-23	FAIR	FAIR	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy	+1.1
45	22-23	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+0.8
46	22-24	MERMCK	FAIR	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+1.0
47	22-25	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Merrimack first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Fairfield def. Merrimack 3–1

An 8–0 run in the second set broke it open for Fairfield.