Fairfield vs Merrimack Volleyball: Fairfield Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: Fairfield 97.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Fairfield won at Merrimack 3-1 (23-25, 25-11, 25-10, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Fairfield's Emma Bortolotti led with 16 kills, and Katelyn Cook added 28 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:40 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
FAIR	23	25	25	25	3
MERMCK	25	11	10	18	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the third set broke it open for Fairfield.

Win probability never moved more than 3.4 points on one rally; Merrimack topped out at 12% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Fairfield 97% before first serve.

FairfieldMerrimack

Break %+22.3 pts
57.735.4
On serve: 56/97 against 23/65 (Merrimack sideout 42.3%).
Hitting+.274
.287.013
Kills and errors: 58–17 vs 31–29.
Longest run+3
74
Up 18–10 in the third set, Fairfield scored 7 straight to make it 25–10. The set finished 25–10.

Merrimack above 50Fairfield belowMax swing 3.4%

FairfieldMerrimack

Aces: Fairfield 8·Merrimack 5
Serve err: Fairfield 7·Merrimack 3
Blocks: Fairfield 11·Merrimack 22 BS · 18 BA vs 1 BS · 2 BA
Digs: Fairfield 86·Merrimack 64

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Merrimack above 50 · Fairfield below

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Merrimack — set 1, FAIR 23-25 MERMCK. Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis). MERMCK win probability 9% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FAIR 97.4%2.6% MERMCK

Fairfield wins

3-0

64.1%

3-1

26.5%

3-2

6.8%

Merrimack wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.7%

FAIR break %: 52.0% vs this opp
MERMCK break %: 37.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Jocelyn HammerstrandKill+3.4%
Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis)
Set 1 · FAIR 23-25 MERMCK · MERMCK 9% → 12%
02
Mia IzzoKill+2.3%
Kill by Mia Izzo (set by Sophia DeBonis)
Set 1 · FAIR 22-24 MERMCK · MERMCK 7% → 10%
03
Julie Dufourt&Zofia SykutBlock+1.6%
Mckenna Shotwell stuffed by Julie Dufourt & Zofia Sykut
Set 1 · FAIR 22-23 MERMCK · FAIR 91% → 93%
04
Emma BortolottiKill+1.3%
Kill by Emma Bortolotti (set by Zofia Sykut)
Set 1 · FAIR 23-24 MERMCK · FAIR 90% → 91%
05
Maiella BlandinKill+1.2%
Kill by Maiella Blandin (set by Devon Lowe)
Set 1 · FAIR 19-23 MERMCK · MERMCK 10% → 11%
06
Maiella BlandinKill+1.2%
Kill by Maiella Blandin (set by Devon Lowe)
Set 1 · FAIR 16-21 MERMCK · MERMCK 9% → 10%
07
Maiella BlandinKill+1.1%
Kill by Maiella Blandin (set by Devon Lowe)
Set 1 · FAIR 16-20 MERMCK · MERMCK 8% → 9%
08
FairfieldAce+1.1%
Fairfield ace on Ella Maldonado
Set 1 · FAIR 21-23 MERMCK · FAIR 90% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Fairfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Emma BortolottiOH	4	16	2	38	.368	1	1	1	17	1	1	2	2	19
22Harlan WycheMB	4	9	0	13	.692	0	1	1	5	0	0	4	2	12
12Julie DufourtL/DS	4	7	4	22	.136	0	0	2	11	1	0	3	1.5	8.5
11Zofia SykutS	4	4	1	8	.375	31	1	1	4	0	0	4	2	7
18Natalie CarlinL/DS	4	0	0	3	.000	2	2	0	10	0	0	0	0	2
4Courtney VinesMB	2	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Aislin OldachOH	4	15	4	34	.324	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	16.5
3Sophia NagyMB	4	6	4	13	.154	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	2	8
8Katelyn CookOH	4	0	0	1	.000	2	3	1	28	1	0	0	0	3
10Noella MigliuriS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
15Daniella SuarezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Lindsey HealeyOH	1	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	1
Team totals		58	17	143	.287	49	8	7	86	5	2	18	11	98

Merrimackhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Jocelyn HammerstrandOPP	4	5	5	25	.000	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Mckenna ShotwellOH	4	5	7	29	-.069	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	6
13Mia IzzoMB	4	4	3	15	.067	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
3Sophia DeBonisS	4	2	1	9	.111	11	1	0	12	0	0	0	0	3
17Kaitlyn OxceusOH	4	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
18Sienna Franks	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	11	1	0	0	0	1
14Maiella Blandin	4	4	4	16	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5
7Tamilore Afolalu	4	4	2	20	.100	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	4
12Ella MaldonadoL/DS	4	0	1	6	-.167	2	0	0	15	2	0	0	0	0
22Devon Lowe	4	0	1	4	-.250	13	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
15Gabrielle Moore	4	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Fabiola BetancourtOH	2	3	0	12	.250	0	1	1	3	2	0	0	0	4
4Vaia TsioutsioulasOH	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Natalia Zelubowski	1	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
9Avry BryantOPP	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	29	157	.013	28	5	3	64	8	1	2	2	64

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Fairfield vs Merrimack

Season series · Fairfield leads 2-0

Sat, Oct 3, 2026Merrimack at Fairfield · Fairfield won 3-1Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026Fairfield at Merrimack · Fairfield won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 FAIR · MERMCK 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 FAIRMERMCK 4

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 5 FAIRMERMCK 2

Set 3

25-10

Longest run 7 FAIRMERMCK 2

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 4 FAIRMERMCK 4

Bars above the line = Merrimack leads, below = Fairfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fairfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	61%11/18
2	69%9/13	57%12/21
3	64%7/11	64%14/22
4	67%6/9	60%9/15
5	67%6/9	50%6/12
6	83%5/6	44%4/9
All	65%42/65	58%56/97

Merrimack

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	46%6/13
2	31%8/26	31%4/13
3	50%7/14	22%2/9
4	32%6/19	46%6/13
5	100%6/6	40%4/10
6	33%5/15	14%1/7
All	42%41/97	35%23/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

162 rallies

#	FAIR-MERMCK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Julie Dufourt		+0.4
2	0-2	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.5
3	0-3	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Mia Izzo		+0.6
4	0-4	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Julie Dufourt		+0.7
5	1-4	MERMCK	FAIR	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.4
6	1-5	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.6
7	1-6	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Lindsey Healey		+0.8
8	2-6	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	+0.5
9	2-7	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Lindsey Healey		+0.7
10	3-7	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+0.5
11	4-7	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+0.7
12	4-8	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.7
13	4-9	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Sophia Nagy		+0.9
14	5-9	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Noella Migliuri	+0.5
15	6-9	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+0.7
16	6-10	FAIR	MERMCK×3	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.7
17	6-11	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Bad set	Noella Migliuri		+0.9
18	6-12	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+1.0
19	7-12	MERMCK	FAIR	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.5
20	7-13	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+0.8
21	8-13	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Moore		+0.5
22	9-13	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Mia Izzo		+0.8
23	10-13	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	+0.8
24	10-14	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+0.9
25	10-15	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Lindsey Healey	+1.1
26	11-15	MERMCK	FAIR	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.6
27	11-16	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.9
28	11-17	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Lindsey Healey	+1.0
29	12-17	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	+0.5
30	13-17	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Lindsey Healey	set Noella Migliuri	+0.8
31	13-18	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Sophia Nagy		+1.0
32	14-18	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Noella Migliuri	+0.6
33	14-19	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.0
34	15-19	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+0.6
35	16-19	FAIR	FAIR	Ace	Fairfield	aced Tamilore Afolalu	+0.9
36	16-20	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+1.1
37	16-21	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+1.2
38	17-21	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Katelyn Cook	+0.5
39	17-22	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Aislin Oldach		+1.0
40	18-22	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
41	19-22	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.8
42	19-23	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+1.2
43	20-23	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Julie Dufourt	set Zofia Sykut	+0.5
44	21-23	FAIR	FAIR×3	Ace	Fairfield	aced Ella Maldonado	+1.1
45	22-23	FAIR	FAIR×3	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Julie Dufourt, Zofia Sykut	+1.6
46	22-24	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.3
47	23-24	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	+1.3
48	23-25	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.4
Set 2
1	1-0	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Zofia Sykut	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
2	2-0	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Mia Izzo		+0.9
3	2-1	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Sophia DeBonis		+0.8
4	3-1	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	+0.7
5	4-1	FAIR	FAIR	Ace	Fairfield	aced Ella Maldonado	+0.8
6	4-2	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Mia Izzo	+0.7
7	4-3	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.1
8	5-3	MERMCK	FAIR×4	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.8
9	6-3	FAIR	FAIR×4	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+0.9
10	7-3	FAIR	FAIR×4	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Harlan Wyche, Aislin Oldach	+0.7
11	8-3	FAIR	FAIR×4	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Katelyn Cook	+0.5
12	8-4	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.4
13	9-4	MERMCK	FAIR×5	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Noella Migliuri	+0.4
14	10-4	FAIR	FAIR×5	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.4
15	11-4	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Devon Lowe	+0.3
16	12-4	FAIR	FAIR×5	Blocked	Kaitlyn Oxceus	blk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche	+0.2
17	13-4	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Harlan Wyche		+0.1
18	13-5	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti		+0.1
19	14-5	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Julie Dufourt	set Noella Migliuri	+0.1
20	14-6	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Gabrielle Moore	+0.1
21	15-6	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Julie Dufourt	set Noella Migliuri	+0.1
22	16-6	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Julie Dufourt	set Zofia Sykut	+0.1
23	17-6	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	·
24	17-7	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		·
25	18-7	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	·
26	18-8	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		·
27	19-8	MERMCK	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	·
28	20-8	FAIR	FAIR×5	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Zofia Sykut, Harlan Wyche	·
29	21-8	FAIR	FAIR×5	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		·
30	22-8	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	·
31	23-8	FAIR	FAIR×5	Attack err	Ella Maldonado		·
32	23-9	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	set Sophia DeBonis	·
33	24-9	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Zofia Sykut	set Mckenna Shotwell	·
34	24-10	FAIR	MERMCK	Bad set	Noella Migliuri		·
35	24-11	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Katelyn Cook	·
36	25-11	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	·
Set 3
1	1-0	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.7
2	1-1	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+0.8
3	2-1	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.7
4	3-1	FAIR	FAIR×3	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Aislin Oldach	+0.8
5	4-1	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Noella Migliuri	+0.7
6	4-2	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.6
7	5-2	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Emma Bortolotti	+0.5
8	6-2	FAIR	FAIR	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Harlan Wyche, Julie Dufourt	+0.6
9	6-3	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Julie Dufourt		+0.5
10	6-4	MERMCK	MERMCK	Bad set	Julie Dufourt		+0.8
11	7-4	MERMCK	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Natalie Carlin	+0.6
12	8-4	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Julie Dufourt		+0.6
13	9-4	FAIR	FAIR×5	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Emma Bortolotti, Sophia Nagy	+0.5
14	10-4	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+0.3
15	11-4	FAIR	FAIR×5	Blocked	Maiella Blandin	blk Julie Dufourt, Sophia Nagy	+0.2
16	11-5	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti		+0.2
17	12-5	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Julie Dufourt	set Noella Migliuri	+0.2
18	12-6	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+0.2
19	12-7	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+0.3
20	13-7	MERMCK	FAIR×4	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
21	14-7	FAIR	FAIR×4	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+0.2
22	15-7	FAIR	FAIR×4	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Zofia Sykut, Sophia Nagy	+0.1
23	16-7	FAIR	FAIR×4	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Sophia Nagy, Zofia Sykut	+0.1
24	16-8	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Fabiola Betancourt	set Devon Lowe	·
25	16-9	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Zofia Sykut		+0.1
26	17-9	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	+0.1
27	18-9	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	+0.1
28	18-10	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		·
29	19-10	MERMCK	FAIR×7	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.1
30	20-10	FAIR	FAIR×7	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Sophia DeBonis	·
31	21-10	FAIR	FAIR×7	Blocked	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	blk Emma Bortolotti	·
32	22-10	FAIR	FAIR×7	Ace	Fairfield	aced Fabiola Betancourt	·
33	23-10	FAIR	FAIR×7	Attack err	Mia Izzo		·
34	24-10	FAIR	FAIR×7	Attack err	Avry Bryant		·
35	25-10	FAIR	FAIR×7	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	·
Set 4
1	1-0	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.6
2	2-0	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	+0.5
3	2-1	FAIR	MERMCK	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.5
4	3-1	MERMCK	FAIR×4	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.4
5	4-1	FAIR	FAIR×4	Ace	Fairfield		+0.5
6	5-1	FAIR	FAIR×4	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
7	6-1	FAIR	FAIR×4	Attack err	Sophia DeBonis		+0.3
8	6-2	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.2
9	6-3	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Aislin Oldach		+0.4
10	7-3	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
11	8-3	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Natalia Zelubowski		+0.3
12	8-4	FAIR	MERMCK×4	Serve err	Fairfield		+0.2
13	8-5	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Blocked	Aislin Oldach	blk Maiella Blandin	+0.4
14	8-6	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Devon Lowe	+0.6
15	8-7	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Devon Lowe	+0.8
16	9-7	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+0.6
17	10-7	FAIR	FAIR×3	Ace	Natalie Carlin	aced Natalia Zelubowski	+0.6
18	11-7	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Devon Lowe		+0.5
19	11-8	FAIR	MERMCK	Bad set	Harlan Wyche		+0.4
20	12-8	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
21	12-9	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Fabiola Betancourt	set Devon Lowe	+0.4
22	13-9	MERMCK	FAIR×3	Kill	Julie Dufourt	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
23	14-9	FAIR	FAIR×3	Ace	Emma Bortolotti	aced Sienna Franks	+0.4
24	15-9	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Zofia Sykut	set Devon Lowe	+0.3
25	15-10	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Sophia Nagy		+0.2
26	16-10	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+0.2
27	17-10	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.2
28	17-11	FAIR	MERMCK×3	Blocked	Aislin Oldach	blk Mia Izzo, Jocelyn Hammerstrand	+0.1
29	17-12	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Ace	Fabiola Betancourt	aced Emma Bortolotti	+0.2
30	17-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Sophia Nagy		+0.3
31	18-13	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Zofia Sykut	set Ella Maldonado	+0.3
32	19-13	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.3
33	19-14	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Sophia DeBonis		+0.1
34	20-14	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Fabiola Betancourt	+0.2
35	21-14	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	+0.1
36	21-15	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Ella Maldonado	+0.1
37	22-15	MERMCK	FAIR	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+0.1
38	23-15	FAIR	FAIR	Ace	Natalie Carlin	aced Fabiola Betancourt	·
39	23-16	FAIR	MERMCK	Attack err	Julie Dufourt		·
40	23-17	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Sienna Franks	aced Julie Dufourt	·
41	24-17	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Zofia Sykut	·
42	24-18	FAIR	MERMCK	Kill	Fabiola Betancourt	set Devon Lowe	·
43	25-18	MERMCK	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Natalie Carlin	·

Score shown after each rally, Fairfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Fairfield def. Merrimack 3–1

A 7–0 run in the third set broke it open for Fairfield.