FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Santa Clara def. Seattle U 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Santa Clara 97.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Santa Clara won at Seattle U 3-0 (25-23, 25-19, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Santa Clara's Cate Shanahan led with 18 kills, and Lexi Trapani added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
STCLAR2525253
SEATTL2319170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Cate Shanahan needed just 3 sets for 18 kills. Santa Clara swept Seattle U.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.0 points, and Seattle U's high was 4% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Santa Clara at 98%.

Santa ClaraSeattle U
  • Break %+15.2 pts
    41.926.7

    On serve: 31/74 against 16/60 (Seattle U sideout 58.1%).

  • Hitting+.175
    .321.146

    51 kills, 15 errors vs 26 kills, 13 errors.

Seattle U above 50Santa Clara belowMax swing 1.0%

Santa ClaraSeattle U

Aces
Santa Clara 7·Seattle U 1
Serve err
Santa Clara 16·Seattle U 4
Blocks
Santa Clara 5·Seattle U 21 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Santa Clara 44·Seattle U 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Seattle U above 50 · Santa Clara below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.0% STCLARrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Santa Clara — set 1, STCLAR 25-23 SEATTL. Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw). SEATTL win probability 2% → 1%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STCLAR 95.7%4.3% SEATTL

Santa Clara wins

3-0
57.6%
3-1
29.0%
3-2
9.1%

Seattle U wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
2.6%
STCLAR break %
49.1% vs this opp
SEATTL break %
36.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Cate ShanahanKill+1.0%

    Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 1 · STCLAR 25-23 SEATTL · STCLAR 98% → 99%

  2. 02
    Chloee LeslieKill+0.9%

    Kill by Chloee Leslie (set by Grace Jones)

    Set 1 · STCLAR 15-16 SEATTL · SEATTL 3% → 4%

  3. 03
    Selin AslayanKill+0.8%

    Kill by Selin Aslayan (set by Lexi Trapani)

    Set 1 · STCLAR 24-22 SEATTL · STCLAR 98% → 98%

  4. 04
    Selin AslayanAttack error+0.8%

    Attack error by Selin Aslayan

    Set 1 · STCLAR 23-22 SEATTL · SEATTL 2% → 2%

  5. 05
    Cate ShanahanBlock+0.7%

    Hailey McEllrath stuffed by Cate Shanahan

    Set 1 · STCLAR 17-16 SEATTL · STCLAR 96% → 97%

  6. 06
    Grace FlanaganAttack error+0.6%

    Attack error by Grace Flanagan

    Set 1 · STCLAR 14-14 SEATTL · SEATTL 2% → 3%

  7. 07
    Cate ShanahanKill+0.6%

    Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 1 · STCLAR 18-16 SEATTL · STCLAR 97% → 98%

  8. 08
    Adee ButlerKill+0.6%

    Kill by Adee Butler (set by Grace Jones)

    Set 1 · STCLAR 5-7 SEATTL · SEATTL 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318539.33310280111.519.5
39117.47100011031.510.5
38320.25001310010.59.5
38313.385001000219
36319.158000100006
3204.500391190010.53.5
3000–6341000003
3000–124600002
3000–000800000
1000–101000000
Team totals5115112.3214871644118575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35120.200002440005
3427.28600020010.54.5
3214.25019011000213
3000–000300000
25316.125000100005
2103.333000000001
36425.080000200006
3000–310300001
3000–3011100000
2216.167000210002
2115.00000000010.51.5
1003.000000100000
Team totals261389.146251439704259

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Santa Clara vs Seattle U

Season series · Santa Clara leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 STCLAR · SEATTL 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 STCLARSEATTL 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 STCLARSEATTL 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 STCLARSEATTL 2

Bars above the line = Seattle U leads, below = Santa Clara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Santa Clara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
33%4/12
2
100%9/9
18%2/11
3
58%7/12
53%8/15
4
58%7/12
42%5/12
5
100%6/6
40%4/10
6
75%6/8
57%8/14
All
73%44/60
42%31/74

Seattle U

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
42%5/12
2
73%8/11
0%0/9
3
54%7/13
11%1/9
4
50%7/14
36%4/11
5
50%6/12
42%5/12
6
50%6/12
14%1/7
All
58%43/74
27%16/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#STCLAR-SEATTLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1STCLARSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+0.3
21-1SEATTLSTCLARAttack errTeagan Melton+0.3
31-2STCLARSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+0.3
42-2SEATTLSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
52-3STCLARSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+0.3
63-3SEATTLSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
74-3STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errAdee Butler+0.3
85-3STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+0.3
95-4STCLARSEATTL×4Serve errSanta Clara+0.2
105-5SEATTLSEATTL×4BlockedCate Shanahanblk Grace Jones, Hailey McEllrath+0.4
115-6SEATTLSEATTL×4Attack errCate Shanahan+0.5
125-7SEATTLSEATTL×4KillAdee Butlerset Grace Jones+0.6
136-7SEATTLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
146-8STCLARSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones+0.5
157-8SEATTLSTCLAR×3KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
168-8STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMacy Hinshawset Cate Shanahan+0.5
179-8STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedGrace Jonesblk Danielle Brown, Allison Dzieciuch+0.4
189-9STCLARSEATTLKillAdee Butlerset Grace Jones+0.4
1910-9SEATTLSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2010-10STCLARSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones+0.4
2111-10SEATTLSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2211-11STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara+0.4
2312-11SEATTLSTCLAR×3KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
2413-11STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
2514-11STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2614-12STCLARSEATTL×3Serve errSanta Clara+0.3
2714-13SEATTLSEATTL×3KillTaniyah Pruittset Grace Jones+0.5
2814-14SEATTLSEATTL×3Attack errGrace Flanagan+0.6
2915-14SEATTLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
3015-15STCLARSEATTLKillGrace Jonesset Clara Garcia+0.5
3115-16SEATTLSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+0.9
3216-16SEATTLSTCLAR×3Serve errSeattle U+0.6
3317-16STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedHailey McEllrathblk Cate Shanahan+0.7
3418-16STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
3518-17STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara+0.5
3619-17SEATTLSTCLARServe errSeattle U+0.5
3719-18STCLARSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Janae Demant+0.5
3820-18SEATTLSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
3921-18STCLARSTCLARAttack errChloee Leslie+0.5
4021-19STCLARSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
4122-19SEATTLSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
4222-20STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara+0.3
4323-20SEATTLSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
4423-21STCLARSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+0.3
4523-22SEATTLSEATTLAttack errSelin Aslayan+0.8
4624-22SEATTLSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Lexi Trapani+0.8
4724-23STCLARSEATTLKillAdee Butlerset Janae Demant+0.5
4825-23SEATTLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
Set 2
10-1SEATTLSEATTLAttack errCate Shanahan+0.2
21-1SEATTLSTCLARBlockedTeagan Meltonblk Cate Shanahan, Allison Dzieciuch+0.2
31-2STCLARSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones+0.2
42-2SEATTLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
52-3STCLARSEATTLAttack errSelin Aslayan+0.2
62-4SEATTLSEATTLAceClara Garciaaced Allison Dzieciuch+0.3
73-4SEATTLSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
83-5STCLARSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+0.3
94-5SEATTLSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
104-6STCLARSEATTLKillAdee Butlerset Clara Garcia+0.3
115-6SEATTLSTCLAR×4KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
126-6STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Clara+0.3
137-6STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Chloee Leslie+0.2
148-6STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errAdee Butler+0.2
158-7STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara+0.2
169-7SEATTLSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
179-8STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara+0.2
189-9SEATTLSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+0.3
1910-9SEATTLSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
2010-10STCLARSEATTLAttack errDanielle Brown+0.2
2111-10SEATTLSTCLAR×3KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
2212-10STCLARSTCLAR×3KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2313-10STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errTeagan Melton+0.2
2413-11STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara+0.2
2514-11SEATTLSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
2614-12STCLARSEATTLKillGrace Jonesset Clara Garcia+0.2
2715-12SEATTLSTCLAR×3Serve errSeattle U+0.2
2816-12STCLARSTCLAR×3KillGrace Flanaganset Grace Jones+0.2
2917-12STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3017-13STCLARSEATTLAttack errGrace Flanagan+0.1
3118-13SEATTLSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3219-13STCLARSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3319-14STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara·
3419-15SEATTLSEATTLAttack errGrace Flanagan+0.1
3520-15SEATTLSTCLAR×3Attack errAdee Butler+0.1
3621-15STCLARSTCLAR×3KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3722-15STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSanta Claraaced Chloee Leslie·
3822-16STCLARSEATTL×3KillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones·
3922-17SEATTLSEATTL×3Attack errAllison Dzieciuch·
4022-18SEATTLSEATTL×3Attack errCate Shanahan+0.1
4123-18SEATTLSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4224-18STCLARSTCLARBlockedHailey McEllrathblk Allison Dzieciuch, Danielle Brown·
4324-19STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara·
4425-19SEATTLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Ashlynn Reilly·
Set 3
10-1STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara+0.1
21-1SEATTLSTCLARKillMacy Hinshawset Lexi Trapani+0.1
32-1STCLARSTCLARAceSanta Claraaced Chloee Leslie+0.1
42-2STCLARSEATTLKillLexi Jonesset Grace Jones+0.1
53-2SEATTLSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
64-2STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errLexi Jones+0.1
75-2STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
85-3STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara·
95-4SEATTLSEATTLBlockedSelin Aslayanblk Lexi Jones, Grace Jones+0.1
106-4SEATTLSTCLAR×4Serve errSeattle U+0.1
117-4STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Clara+0.1
128-4STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Chloee Leslie·
139-4STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Tamara Unga·
149-5STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara·
1510-5SEATTLSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw·
1610-6STCLARSEATTLKillAdee Butlerset Grace Jones·
1711-6SEATTLSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw·
1812-6STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani·
1912-7STCLARSEATTLKillAdee Butlerset Grace Jones·
2012-8SEATTLSEATTLAttack errCate Shanahan·
2113-8SEATTLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani·
2213-9STCLARSEATTLKillTamara Ungaset Janae Demant·
2314-9SEATTLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw·
2414-10STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara·
2515-10SEATTLSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw·
2615-11STCLARSEATTLAttack errDanielle Brown·
2716-11SEATTLSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw·
2816-12STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara·
2916-13SEATTLSEATTLAttack errDanielle Brown+0.1
3017-13SEATTLSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3117-14STCLARSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones·
3218-14SEATTLSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3319-14STCLARSTCLARBlockedAdee Butlerblk Grace Flanagan, Macy Hinshaw·
3419-15STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara·
3520-15SEATTLSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw·
3621-15STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Alyssa Eimer·
3721-16STCLARSEATTLServe errSanta Clara·
3822-16SEATTLSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw·
3922-17STCLARSEATTLKillTamara Ungaset Grace Jones·
4023-17SEATTLSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani·
4124-17STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errTamara Unga·
4225-17STCLARSTCLAR×3KillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw·

Score shown after each rally, Santa Clara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).