CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Stanford def. Santa Clara 31

(25-18, 25-19, 22-25, 25-21)
Set1234Sets
STAN252522253
STCLAR181925211

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STCLAR above 50 · STAN below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100STCLARSTANBiggest swing +4.2% STCLAR · S4 19-21rally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Santa Clara — set 4, STAN 19-21 STCLAR. Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Lexi Trapani). STCLAR win probability 11%15%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STAN 93.8%6.2% STCLAR

Stanford wins

3-0
52.3%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
11.1%

Santa Clara wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.8%
3-2
3.7%
STAN break %
47.1% vs this opp
STCLAR break %
35.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Cate ShanahanKill+4.2%

    Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Lexi Trapani)

    Set 4 · STAN 19-21 STCLAR · STCLAR 11%15%

  2. 02
    Ella AndrewsKill+3.9%

    Kill by Ella Andrews (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 4 · STAN 21-21 STCLAR · STAN 87%91%

  3. 03
    Cate ShanahanAttack error+3.8%

    Cate Shanahan stuffed by Ella Andrews & Logan Parks

    Set 4 · STAN 22-21 STCLAR · STAN 91%95%

  4. 04
    STCLAR serverAce+3.6%

    Santa Clara ace on Julia Blyashov

    Set 4 · STAN 19-20 STCLAR · STCLAR 8%11%

  5. 05
    Cate ShanahanAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Cate Shanahan

    Set 4 · STAN 23-21 STCLAR · STAN 95%98%

  6. 06
    STCLAR serverAce+2.7%

    Santa Clara ace on Team

    Set 4 · STAN 13-15 STCLAR · STCLAR 9%11%

  7. 07
    Danielle BrownAttack error+2.5%

    Danielle Brown stuffed by Jordyn Harvey & Lizzy Andrew

    Set 4 · STAN 16-16 STCLAR · STAN 90%92%

  8. 08
    Morgan HayesAttack error+2.3%

    Morgan Hayes stuffed by Kaci Demaria & Lizzy Andrew

    Set 4 · STAN 17-16 STCLAR · STAN 92%95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415437.29711112402117
412434.235124120031.515.5
413338.2630000204215
411021.5241001006314
4419.333000000637
4001.000411260031.52.5
40003111100001
40003111800001
4000000500000
Team totals5512140.30750696570241297
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418742.262121130010.520.5
414744.15900214310115
47223.217003000218
47514.143000100007
4318.2504410130010.54.5
2217.143000110002
4000142600004
40003011800000
32316-.063000000002
1000000000000
Team totals5326154.175497966614383

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 STAN · STCLAR 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 STANSTCLAR 2

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 STANSTCLAR 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 STANSTCLAR 6

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 6 STANSTCLAR 3

Bars above the line = Santa Clara leads, below = Stanford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Stanford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%12/14
50%10/20
2
53%10/19
39%7/18
3
71%10/14
33%5/15
4
80%8/10
64%14/22
5
50%8/16
20%2/10
6
73%8/11
27%3/11
All
67%56/84
43%41/96

Santa Clara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
29%4/14
2
56%10/18
42%8/19
3
56%9/16
23%3/13
4
50%8/16
36%5/14
5
67%8/12
38%5/13
6
62%8/13
27%3/11
All
57%55/96
33%28/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

180 rallies

Rally log

#STAN-STCLARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.5
21-1STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
31-2STCLARSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
42-2STCLARSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.6
52-3STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
63-3STCLARSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.6
74-3STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Spencer Etzler+0.8
84-4STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+0.6
95-4STCLARSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.5
105-5STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
116-5STCLARSTAN×3Serve errSTCLAR server+0.6
127-5STANSTAN×3AceSTAN serveraced Kaia Grieve+0.7
138-5STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Malyssa Cawa+0.6
148-6STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
159-6STCLARSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.4
169-7STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
179-8STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Lexi Trapani+0.8
1810-8STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.6
1910-9STANSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
2010-10STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.1
2111-10STCLARSTAN×4Attack errMacy Hinshawblk Lizzy Andrew, Kaci Demaria+0.7
2212-10STANSTAN×4Attack errMorgan Hayesblk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+0.9
2313-10STANSTAN×4AceSTAN serveraced Cate Shanahan+0.7
2414-10STANSTAN×4Attack errMorgan Hayesblk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+0.6
2514-11STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
2615-11STCLARSTAN×3Attack errCate Shanahan+0.4
2716-11STANSTAN×3Attack errCate Shanahan+0.4
2817-11STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Malyssa Cawa+0.3
2917-12STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
3017-13STCLARSTCLARAttack errJordyn Harvey+0.3
3118-13STCLARSTANAttack errMorgan Hayes+0.3
3218-14STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
3319-14STCLARSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.3
3419-15STANSTCLARAttack errJulia Blyashovblk Macy Hinshaw, Grace Flanagan+0.2
3520-15STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.3
3621-15STANSTANAceSTAN serveraced Cate Shanahan+0.2
3721-16STANSTCLARKillMacy Hinshaw+0.1
3822-16STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.1
3922-17STANSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4023-17STCLARSTANServe errSTCLAR server+0.1
4124-17STANSTANAceSTAN serveraced Cate Shanahan+0.0
4224-18STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+0.0
4325-18STCLARSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.0
Set 2
11-0STANSTANAttack errAllison Dzieciuchblk Lizzy Andrew, Jordyn Harvey+0.5
21-1STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
32-1STCLARSTAN×4KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.3
43-1STANSTAN×4KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.4
54-1STANSTAN×4Attack errMorgan Hayes+0.3
65-1STANSTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.3
75-2STANSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Morgan Hayes+0.2
85-3STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSTCLAR serveraced Kaci Demaria+0.3
95-4STCLARSTCLAR×3KillGrace Flanagan+0.4
106-4STCLARSTANServe errSTCLAR server+0.3
117-4STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.4
127-5STANSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
138-5STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.3
148-6STANSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
159-6STCLARSTANServe errSTCLAR server+0.3
169-7STANSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
1710-7STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.3
1811-7STANSTANKillElla Andrews+0.3
1911-8STANSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
2011-9STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSTCLAR serveraced Julia Blyashov+0.4
2111-10STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSTCLAR serveraced Julia Blyashov+0.6
2212-10STCLARSTAN×3KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.4
2313-10STANSTAN×3AceSTAN serveraced Team+0.5
2414-10STANSTAN×3Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+0.4
2514-11STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
2615-11STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.3
2715-12STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
2816-12STCLARSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.3
2916-13STANSTCLARAttack errJulia Blyashov+0.2
3016-14STCLARSTCLARBad setJordyn Harvey+0.5
3117-14STCLARSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.4
3218-14STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.4
3319-14STANSTAN×3Attack errGrace Flanaganblk Ella Andrews, Julia Blyashov+0.3
3419-15STANSTCLARAttack errJulia Blyashov+0.1
3520-15STCLARSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.2
3621-15STANSTANAttack errKaia Grieve+0.1
3721-16STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+0.1
3822-16STCLARSTANAttack errMorgan Hayesblk Ella Andrews, Julia Blyashov+0.1
3922-17STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+0.0
4022-18STCLARSTCLARAceSTCLAR serveraced Julia Blyashov+0.1
4123-18STCLARSTANAttack errCate Shanahanblk Ella Andrews, Jordyn Harvey+0.1
4223-19STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4324-19STCLARSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.1
4425-19STANSTANKillLizzy Andrew+0.0
Set 3
11-0STCLARSTANServe errSTCLAR server+0.1
21-1STANSTCLAR×4KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
31-2STCLARSTCLAR×4KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
41-3STCLARSTCLAR×4Serve errSTCLAR server+0.3
51-4STCLARSTCLAR×4KillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
62-4STCLARSTANAttack errGrace Flanagan+0.2
72-5STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+0.3
83-5STCLARSTAN×3Serve errSTCLAR server+0.2
94-5STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.3
105-5STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Spencer Etzler+0.3
115-6STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
125-7STCLARSTCLARAttack errJordyn Harvey+0.4
136-7STCLARSTANAttack errCate Shanahan+0.2
146-8STANSTCLAR×6KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
156-9STCLARSTCLAR×6Attack errElla Andrewsblk Cate Shanahan+0.4
166-10STCLARSTCLAR×6KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
176-11STCLARSTCLAR×6KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
186-12STCLARSTCLAR×6KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
196-13STCLARSTCLAR×6Attack errJordyn Harvey+0.4
207-13STCLARSTANAttack errAllison Dzieciuch+0.2
217-14STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Lexi Trapani+0.3
228-14STCLARSTANServe errSTCLAR server+0.2
239-14STANSTANAttack errAllison Dzieciuch+0.3
249-15STANSTCLARKillDanielle Brownset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2510-15STCLARSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.2
2611-15STANSTANKillKaci Demariaset Julia Blyashov+0.4
2711-16STANSTCLARAttack errKaci Demaria+0.4
2811-17STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
2912-17STCLARSTANKillKaci Demariaset Jordyn Harvey+0.2
3012-18STANSTCLARAttack errKaci Demaria+0.3
3112-19STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
3213-19STCLARSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.1
3314-19STANSTANAceSTAN serveraced Team+0.2
3414-20STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
3515-20STCLARSTANServe errSTCLAR server+0.1
3615-21STANSTCLARKillMacy Hinshaw+0.3
3716-21STCLARSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.1
3816-22STANSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
3917-22STCLARSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.1
4018-22STANSTAN×3Attack errAllison Dzieciuch+0.2
4119-22STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Spencer Etzler+0.4
4219-23STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
4320-23STCLARSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.2
4421-23STANSTAN×3KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.5
4522-23STANSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.8
4622-24STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
4722-25STCLARSTCLARAceSTCLAR serveraced Kaci Demaria+0.9
Set 4
11-0STANSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.1
21-1STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+0.8
32-1STCLARSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.7
42-2STANSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
53-2STCLARSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Malyssa Cawa+0.8
63-3STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+0.9
74-3STCLARSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.8
84-4STANSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
95-4STCLARSTANServe errSTCLAR server+0.8
106-4STANSTANKillJulia Blyashov+1.1
116-5STANSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.8
126-6STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errJordyn Harvey+1.4
136-7STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Ashlynn Reilly+1.6
147-7STCLARSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.0
157-8STANSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.2
168-8STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.1
178-9STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
188-10STCLARSTCLARAttack errKaci Demariablk Morgan Hayes, Grace Flanagan+2.1
199-10STCLARSTANAttack errDanielle Brown+1.3
209-11STANSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.6
2110-11STCLARSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+1.3
2210-12STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.7
2311-12STCLARSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Lizzy Andrew+1.4
2412-12STANSTANAttack errMorgan Hayes+2.0
2512-13STANSTCLARAttack errJulia Blyashov+1.6
2613-13STCLARSTANAttack errCate Shanahanblk Ella Andrews, Logan Parks+1.4
2713-14STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+1.7
2813-15STCLARSTCLARAceSTCLAR serveraced Team+2.7
2914-15STCLARSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.6
3014-16STANSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.1
3115-16STCLARSTAN×3Attack errDanielle Brown+1.7
3216-16STANSTAN×3Attack errDanielle Brownblk Jordyn Harvey, Lizzy Andrew+2.5
3317-16STANSTAN×3Attack errMorgan Hayesblk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+2.3
3417-17STANSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.7
3518-17STCLARSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.7
3618-18STANSTCLARServe errSTAN server+1.9
3719-18STCLARSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+1.8
3819-19STANSTCLAR×3KillMacy Hinshawset Macy Hinshaw+2.0
3919-20STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSTCLAR serveraced Julia Blyashov+3.6
4019-21STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+4.2
4120-21STCLARSTAN×6KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.3
4221-21STANSTAN×6KillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+3.9
4322-21STANSTAN×6Attack errCate Shanahanblk Ella Andrews, Logan Parks+3.8
4423-21STANSTAN×6Attack errCate Shanahan+3.1
4524-21STANSTAN×6Attack errCate Shanahanblk Ella Andrews, Logan Parks+1.8
4625-21STANSTAN×6KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Stanford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.