UTRGV vs Houston Christian Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026ESPN+

–:–

UTRGV (14-11) at Houston Christian (6-20), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UTRGV a 79% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, UTRGV won 3-0 on Oct 3.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

UTRGV 78.8%21.2% HOUCHR

UTRGV wins

3-0

30.4%

3-1

29.9%

3-2

18.6%

Houston Christian wins

3-0

3.5%

3-1

7.1%

3-2

10.6%

UTRGV break %: 46.1% vs this opp
HOUCHR break %: 40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.