Northwestern State vs UTRGV Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 7, 2026ESPN+

–:–

Northwestern St. (13-14) at UTRGV (14-9), Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 1:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UTRGV a 95% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, UTRGV won 3-0 on Oct 8.

Data through Nov 4, 3:10 PM CT

Match prediction

NW ST 5.5%94.5% UTRGV

Northwestern St. wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.6%

3-2

3.3%

UTRGV wins

3-0

54.1%

3-1

30.1%

3-2

10.4%

NW ST break %: 36.0% vs this opp
UTRGV break %: 48.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.