Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026

Marist def. Manhattan 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Marist 89.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Marist won at Manhattan 3-1 (25-19, 23-25, 25-19, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Marist's Mallory Reck led with 19 kills, and Cecilia Potter-Pessoa added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
MARIST252325253
MANHAT192519171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Caelyn Dumas, and Marist needed each of them.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Marist's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Marist at 90%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Marist 14–13 Manhattan

    Manhattan scored 4 straight to turn a 13–14 deficit into a 17–14 lead.

    Marist 84% → 69%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Marist 14–17 Manhattan

    Down 14–17, Marist scored 6 straight to lead 20–17.

    Marist 69% → 90%

Manhattan above 50Marist belowMax swing 5.2%

MaristManhattan

Sideout %
Marist 60.5·Manhattan 49.5
Break %
Marist 50.5·Manhattan 39.5
Hitting
Marist .326·Manhattan .273
Longest run
Marist 7·Manhattan 4

Molly Malone
4 kills inside the turning points, 10 K and .381 for the match (11.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Manhattan above 50 · Marist below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.2% MANHATrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.2% to Manhattan — set 2, MARIST 23-25 MANHAT. Kill by Helenn Montilla (set by Emilia Kuzniar). MANHAT win probability 11% → 16%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARIST 90.5%9.5% MANHAT

Marist wins

3-0
45.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.7%

Manhattan wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.4%
MARIST break %
47.1% vs this opp
MANHAT break %
37.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Helenn Montilla (set by Emilia Kuzniar)

    Set 2 · MARIST 23-25 MANHAT · MANHAT 11% → 16%

  2. 02

    Mallory Reck stuffed by Abby Morreale & Hanna Kaczynska

    Set 3 · MARIST 14-17 MANHAT · MANHAT 27% → 31%

  3. 03

    Kill by Hanna Kaczynska (set by Abby Morreale)

    Set 3 · MARIST 14-16 MANHAT · MANHAT 22% → 27%

  4. 04
    MaristAce+4.2%

    Marist ace on Katie Powers

    Set 3 · MARIST 17-17 MANHAT · MARIST 75% → 80%

  5. 05
    Mikalah CurranAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Mikalah Curran

    Set 3 · MARIST 16-17 MANHAT · MARIST 71% → 75%

  6. 06
    Molly MaloneKill+4.0%

    Kill by Molly Malone (set by Caelyn Dumas)

    Set 3 · MARIST 18-17 MANHAT · MARIST 80% → 84%

  7. 07

    Mallory Reck stuffed by Hanna Kaczynska & Abby Morreale

    Set 3 · MARIST 14-15 MANHAT · MANHAT 18% → 22%

  8. 08
    ManhattanAce+3.8%

    Manhattan ace on Claudia Kasperski

    Set 3 · MARIST 10-13 MANHAT · MANHAT 24% → 28%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Maristaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419648.27123012000022
414329.3791309100017
410221.38100000031.511.5
4317.286445080212.510.5
45110.400000101016
4000–021720002
44014.286000200215
4000–4101540001
4000–012000001
Team totals5513129.3265115354736698
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412222.45510260073.515.5
412228.357221144010.514.5
410216.50000010031.511.5
47219.263000001229
4102.500202140010.53.5
23511-.182001450003
46121.238000100428
4000–210740001
4000–2612700001
4000–100810000
35419.053011110006
3000–001100000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5618139.273527954151181080

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marist vs Manhattan

Season series · Marist leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 MARIST · MANHAT 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 7 MARISTMANHAT 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 MARISTMANHAT 2

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 6 MARISTMANHAT 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 MARISTMANHAT 4

Bars above the line = Manhattan leads, below = Marist leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
43%6/14
2
45%9/20
40%6/15
3
56%9/16
64%16/25
4
80%8/10
60%12/20
5
80%8/10
33%4/12
6
60%6/10
45%5/11
All
60%49/81
51%49/97

Manhattan

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
50%7/14
2
53%9/17
40%6/15
3
36%9/25
50%9/18
4
47%8/17
40%6/15
5
54%7/13
27%3/11
6
86%6/7
13%1/8
All
49%48/97
40%32/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#MARIST-MANHATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MARISTMARIST×4AceMaristaced Anna Duncan+1.0
22-0MARISTMARIST×4KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.9
33-0MARISTMARIST×4KillMallory Reckset Sara Dasic+0.8
44-0MARISTMARIST×4AceMaristaced Katie Powers+0.7
54-1MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+0.5
64-2MANHATMANHATAttack errSarah Bumstead+0.8
75-2MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
85-3MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+0.6
96-3MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
106-4MARISTMANHAT×3KillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.6
116-5MANHATMANHAT×3KillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.0
126-6MANHATMANHAT×3AceManhattanaced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+1.3
137-6MANHATMARISTServe errManhattan+0.9
147-7MARISTMANHATAttack errSara Dasic+1.0
158-7MANHATMARISTAttack errEmma Francesconi+0.9
168-8MARISTMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.0
179-8MANHATMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+0.9
189-9MARISTMANHAT×4KillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.0
199-10MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedSara Dasicblk Abby Morreale, Lyla Auth+1.7
209-11MANHATMANHAT×4KillLyla Authset Julia Pfleger+1.9
219-12MANHATMANHAT×4AceManhattanaced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+2.0
2210-12MANHATMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
2311-12MARISTMARISTAttack errEmma Francesconi+1.8
2411-13MARISTMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Ori Briger+1.5
2512-13MANHATMARISTAttack errAbby Morreale+1.3
2612-14MARISTMANHATBlockedMallory Reckblk Lyla Auth, Abby Morreale+1.6
2712-15MANHATMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+2.3
2813-15MANHATMARIST×7Serve errManhattan+1.3
2914-15MARISTMARIST×7KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
3015-15MARISTMARIST×7AceMaristaced Emma Francesconi+2.0
3116-15MARISTMARIST×7KillTrinity Woods+1.9
3217-15MARISTMARIST×7AceMaristaced Emma Francesconi+1.7
3318-15MARISTMARIST×7Attack errKatie Powers+1.3
3419-15MARISTMARIST×7KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
3519-16MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.5
3619-17MANHATMANHATBlockedMolly Maloneblk Helenn Montilla, Katie Powers+1.2
3720-17MANHATMARIST×4KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
3821-17MARISTMARIST×4KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
3922-17MARISTMARIST×4AceMaristaced Emma Francesconi+0.6
4023-17MARISTMARIST×4KillCaelyn Dumasset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+0.2
4123-18MARISTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Katie Powers+0.1
4224-18MANHATMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+0.1
4324-19MARISTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar·
4425-19MANHATMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+0.1
Set 2
10-1MANHATMANHATAttack errCaelyn Dumas+0.8
20-2MANHATMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.9
31-2MANHATMARIST×3KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
42-2MARISTMARIST×3AceMaristaced Anna Duncan+0.8
53-2MARISTMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
63-3MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+0.6
73-4MANHATMANHATAceManhattanaced Claudia Kasperski+0.9
84-4MANHATMARISTKillCaelyn Dumasset Mallory Reck+0.6
94-5MARISTMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Emilia Kuzniar+0.7
105-5MANHATMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
115-6MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+0.7
126-6MANHATMARIST×3KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.7
137-6MARISTMARIST×3AceMaristaced Katie Powers+0.9
148-6MARISTMARIST×3AceMaristaced Mikalah Curran+0.8
158-7MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+0.6
169-7MANHATMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+0.6
179-8MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.6
189-9MANHATMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Ori Briger+1.0
1910-9MANHATMARISTServe errManhattan+0.7
2010-10MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+0.8
2111-10MANHATMARISTKillSara Dasicset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+0.7
2211-11MARISTMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.8
2312-11MANHATMARISTAttack errMikalah Curran+0.7
2412-12MARISTMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.8
2513-12MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
2613-13MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+0.9
2714-13MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+0.8
2814-14MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+0.9
2914-15MANHATMANHATAceManhattanaced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+1.5
3015-15MANHATMARISTServe errManhattan+1.0
3115-16MARISTMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+1.2
3216-16MANHATMARISTKillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
3316-17MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+1.2
3416-18MANHATMANHATBad setCaelyn Dumas+1.9
3517-18MANHATMARISTServe errManhattan+1.1
3617-19MARISTMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.5
3718-19MANHATMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
3818-20MARISTMANHATKillMikalah Curranset Emilia Kuzniar+1.6
3919-20MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.3
4020-20MARISTMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
4120-21MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+1.8
4221-21MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.6
4321-22MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+2.0
4422-22MANHATMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
4522-23MARISTMANHATKillLyla Authset Anna Duncan+2.4
4623-23MANHATMARISTAttack errLyla Auth+2.2
4723-24MARISTMANHATServe errMarist+3.1
4823-25MANHATMANHATKillHelenn Montillaset Emilia Kuzniar+5.2
Set 3
10-1MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+1.6
21-1MANHATMARISTKillCaelyn Dumasset Mallory Reck+1.5
31-2MARISTMANHAT×4Serve errMarist+1.7
41-3MANHATMANHAT×4AceManhattanaced Sara Dasic+2.6
51-4MANHATMANHAT×4KillMikalah Curran+2.8
61-5MANHATMANHAT×4KillMikalah Curranset Emilia Kuzniar+3.0
72-5MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
82-6MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+2.3
92-7MANHATMANHATAceManhattanaced Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+3.1
103-7MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
113-8MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Ori Briger+2.3
123-9MANHATMANHATKillLyla Authset Caelyn Dumas+3.0
134-9MANHATMARIST×3Serve errManhattan+1.7
145-9MARISTMARIST×3Attack errKatie Powers+2.6
156-9MARISTMARIST×3AceMaristaced Anna Duncan+2.8
166-10MARISTMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+2.5
177-10MANHATMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+2.0
188-10MARISTMARISTAceMaristaced Katie Powers+3.0
198-11MARISTMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+2.6
209-11MANHATMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+2.1
2110-11MARISTMARISTBlockedHelenn Montillablk Caelyn Dumas+3.1
2210-12MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+2.7
2310-13MANHATMANHATAceManhattanaced Claudia Kasperski+3.8
2411-13MANHATMARIST×4BlockedHelenn Montillablk Caelyn Dumas+2.3
2512-13MARISTMARIST×4AceMaristaced Anna Duncan+3.4
2613-13MARISTMARIST×4Bad setEmilia Kuzniar+3.3
2714-13MARISTMARIST×4BlockedMikalah Curranblk Molly Malone, Caelyn Dumas+3.1
2814-14MARISTMANHAT×4Serve errMarist+2.4
2914-15MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedMallory Reckblk Hanna Kaczynska, Abby Morreale+3.9
3014-16MANHATMANHAT×4KillHanna Kaczynskaset Abby Morreale+4.4
3114-17MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedMallory Reckblk Abby Morreale, Hanna Kaczynska+4.6
3215-17MANHATMARIST×6KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+2.6
3316-17MARISTMARIST×6Attack errMikalah Curran+4.1
3417-17MARISTMARIST×6AceMaristaced Katie Powers+4.2
3518-17MARISTMARIST×6KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+4.0
3619-17MARISTMARIST×6KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+3.5
3720-17MARISTMARIST×6KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+2.7
3820-18MARISTMANHATKillOri Briger+1.6
3920-19MANHATMANHATBlockedMallory Reckblk Lyla Auth, Abby Morreale+3.4
4021-19MANHATMARIST×5BlockedMikalah Curranblk Trinity Woods, Molly Malone+2.9
4122-19MARISTMARIST×5KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+3.0
4223-19MARISTMARIST×5KillSara Dasicset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+1.7
4324-19MARISTMARIST×5KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+0.7
4425-19MARISTMARIST×5KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+0.1
Set 4
11-0MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.0
22-0MARISTMARISTAttack errHanna Kaczynska+1.2
32-1MARISTMANHAT×4KillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+0.9
42-2MANHATMANHAT×4KillEmma Francesconiset Emilia Kuzniar+1.5
52-3MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedMolly Maloneblk Helenn Montilla+1.8
62-4MANHATMANHAT×4BlockedMallory Reckblk Helenn Montilla, Hanna Kaczynska+2.0
73-4MANHATMARIST×5KillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.3
84-4MARISTMARIST×5Attack errEmma Francesconi+1.7
95-4MARISTMARIST×5AceMaristaced Julia Pfleger+1.6
106-4MARISTMARIST×5BlockedEmma Francesconiblk Molly Malone, Trinity Woods+1.4
117-4MARISTMARIST×5AceMaristaced Emma Francesconi+1.2
127-5MARISTMANHAT×3KillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+0.9
137-6MANHATMANHAT×3BlockedMallory Reckblk Hanna Kaczynska, Abby Morreale+1.5
147-7MANHATMANHAT×3KillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+1.8
158-7MANHATMARISTKillMallory Reckset Caelyn Dumas+1.2
169-7MARISTMARISTAttack errEmma Francesconi+1.6
179-8MARISTMANHATKillAbby Morrealeset Emilia Kuzniar+1.2
189-9MANHATMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+1.9
1910-9MANHATMARISTServe errManhattan+1.3
2010-10MARISTMANHATKillEmma Francesconiset Katie Powers+1.5
2110-11MANHATMANHATKillLyla Authset Anna Duncan+2.4
2211-11MANHATMARISTKillSara Dasicset Cecilia Potter-Pessoa+1.6
2311-12MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+1.8
2412-12MANHATMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.6
2512-13MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Ori Briger+1.9
2613-13MANHATMARISTKillSarah Bumsteadset Caelyn Dumas+1.7
2713-14MARISTMANHATKillKatie Powersset Emilia Kuzniar+2.0
2814-14MANHATMARISTServe errManhattan+1.8
2915-14MARISTMARISTKillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+2.5
3015-15MARISTMANHATKillHanna Kaczynskaset Emilia Kuzniar+1.9
3116-15MANHATMARIST×4KillTrinity Woodsset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
3217-15MARISTMARIST×4KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+2.3
3318-15MARISTMARIST×4KillMolly Maloneset Caelyn Dumas+1.8
3419-15MARISTMARIST×4KillSara Dasic+1.3
3519-16MARISTMANHATBlockedSara Dasicblk Ori Briger, Abby Morreale+0.7
3620-16MANHATMARISTKillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas+0.9
3720-17MARISTMANHATKillLyla Authset Ori Briger+0.7
3821-17MANHATMARIST×5Serve errEmma Francesconi+1.0
3922-17MARISTMARIST×5AceClaudia Kasperskiaced Emma Francesconi+0.8
4023-17MARISTMARIST×5Attack errLyla Auth+0.3
4124-17MARISTMARIST×5BlockedAbby Morrealeblk Sarah Bumstead+0.1
4225-17MARISTMARIST×5KillSara Dasicset Caelyn Dumas·

Score shown after each rally, Marist first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).