FinalTue, Sep 1, 2026

AwayWCC

3:0

HomeBIG-12

Santa Clara def. Cincinnati 3–0

(25-16, 25-23, 25-21)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
STCLAR	25	25	25	3
CINCY	16	23	21	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CINCY above 50 · STCLAR below

Biggest swing: 15.2% to Santa Clara — set 2, STCLAR 25-23 CINCY. Attack error by Lilian Entenmann. CINCY win probability 51% → 36%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STCLAR 13.9%86.1% CINCY

Santa Clara wins

3-0

2.0%

3-1

4.4%

3-2

7.5%

Cincinnati wins

3-0

38.5%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.1%

STCLAR break %: 37.3% vs this opp
CINCY break %: 45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lilian EntenmannAttack error+15.2%
Attack error by Lilian Entenmann
Set 2 · STCLAR 25-23 CINCY · STCLAR 49% → 64%
02
STCLAR serverAce+12.4%
Santa Clara ace on Ava Ledebuhr
Set 2 · STCLAR 24-23 CINCY · STCLAR 36% → 49%
03
STCLAR serverAce+8.2%
Santa Clara ace on Andrea Simovski
Set 3 · STCLAR 24-21 CINCY · STCLAR 88% → 96%
04
Cate ShanahanKill+8.1%
Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 2 · STCLAR 23-23 CINCY · STCLAR 28% → 36%
05
Selin AslayanKill+7.4%
Kill by Selin Aslayan (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 3 · STCLAR 23-21 CINCY · STCLAR 81% → 88%
06
Cate ShanahanKill+6.6%
Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 3 · STCLAR 20-17 CINCY · STCLAR 81% → 87%
07
Morgan HayesKill+6.5%
Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 3 · STCLAR 22-20 CINCY · STCLAR 79% → 86%
08
Izzy BusignaniKill+6.5%
Kill by Izzy Busignani (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 3 · STCLAR 21-20 CINCY · CINCY 14% → 21%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Santa Claraaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Cate ShanahanOH	3	13	3	28	.357	0	1	1	8	0	2	2	3	17
20Morgan HayesOPP	3	12	3	27	.333	0	2	2	3	1	0	1	0.5	14.5
9Selin AslayanOH	3	6	2	20	.200	0	2	2	7	1	0	0	0	8
6Grace FlanaganMB	3	6	1	16	.313	0	0	1	2	0	0	4	2	8
21Bryn ShankleMB	3	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
1Macy HinshawS	3	1	0	2	.500	32	0	0	6	0	0	4	2	3
11Lexi TrapaniL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	3	1	3	15	0	0	0	0	2
10Ashlynn ReillyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
22Tia KapiheOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
8Alyssa EimerL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Hailey NewellS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Savannah WalkerOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	10	104	.317	36	8	10	46	3	2	13	8.5	75

Cincinnatihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Sydney NolanOH	3	12	3	35	.257	2	0	0	12	1	1	0.5	12.5
7Andrea SimovskiOH	3	4	3	23	.043	0	2	0	6	2	0	0	6
11Nina ScruccaOPP	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
4Audrey RomeMB	3	4	2	10	.200	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Kate LijicS	3	1	0	4	.250	30	1	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
8Ligia WilliamsOH	2	3	2	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	16	2	0	0	0
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	3	7	1	0	0	0
16Izzy BusignaniOH	2	8	2	17	.353	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	8
5Lilian EntenmannMB	1	0	2	5	-.400	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
13Kayla EdgintonOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kayla HostetlerL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
18Tatjana SimeunovicMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	17	113	.177	34	3	7	44	8	6	3	60

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 STCLAR · CINCY 4

Set 1*

25-16

Longest run 8 STCLARCINCY 3

Set 2*

25-23

Longest run 4 STCLARCINCY 3

Set 3*

25-21

Longest run 4 STCLARCINCY 4

Bars above the line = Cincinnati leads, below = Santa Clara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Santa Clara

No clean sets to split.

Cincinnati

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	STCLAR-CINCY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	STCLAR	CINCY	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
2	0-2	CINCY	CINCY	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.2
3	1-2	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
4	2-2	STCLAR	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
5	2-3	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Audrey Rome	set Kate Lijic	+1.0
6	2-4	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+1.3
7	3-4	CINCY	STCLAR×8	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.9
8	4-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×8	Kill	Grace Flanagan		+1.5
9	5-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×8	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.7
10	6-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×8	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+1.9
11	7-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×8	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Kayla Hostetler	+2.0
12	8-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×8	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Viktoria Ninova	+2.1
13	9-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×8	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.0
14	10-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×8	Attack err	Andrea Simovski	blk Macy Hinshaw, Grace Flanagan	+1.9
15	10-5	STCLAR	CINCY	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.0
16	11-5	CINCY	STCLAR×4	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.4
17	12-5	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.7
18	13-5	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
19	14-5	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Attack err	Ligia Williams	blk Cate Shanahan	+1.1
20	14-6	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+0.5
21	15-6	CINCY	STCLAR×3	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.7
22	16-6	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Attack err	Izzy Busignani		+0.7
23	17-6	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Attack err	Nina Scrucca	blk Bryn Shankle, Cate Shanahan	+0.4
24	17-7	STCLAR	CINCY×3	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Viktoria Ninova	+0.1
25	17-8	CINCY	CINCY×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
26	17-9	CINCY	CINCY×3	Ace	CINCY server	aced Team	+0.5
27	18-9	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.6
28	18-10	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+0.3
29	18-11	CINCY	CINCY	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
30	19-11	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Bryn Shankle	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.7
31	20-11	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Lexi Trapani	+0.6
32	20-12	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca		+0.2
33	21-12	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.3
34	22-12	STCLAR	STCLAR	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Kayla Hostetler	+0.2
35	22-13	STCLAR	CINCY	Serve err	STCLAR server		+0.0
36	23-13	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Selin Aslayan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.1
37	23-14	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Audrey Rome	set Kate Lijic	+0.0
38	24-14	CINCY	STCLAR	Attack err	Ligia Williams		+0.0
39	24-15	STCLAR	CINCY	Serve err	STCLAR server		+0.0
40	24-16	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams		+0.0
41	25-16	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Hailey Newell	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.9
2	1-1	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+1.8
3	2-1	CINCY	STCLAR	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+2.0
4	2-2	STCLAR	CINCY	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.8
5	3-2	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.1
6	3-3	STCLAR	CINCY×3	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.9
7	3-4	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Sydney Nolan	+2.5
8	3-5	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+2.3
9	4-5	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan		+1.7
10	4-6	STCLAR	CINCY	Attack err	Grace Flanagan		+1.6
11	5-6	CINCY	STCLAR	Serve err	CINCY server		+1.7
12	6-6	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Sydney Nolan	blk Macy Hinshaw, Grace Flanagan, Cate Shanahan	+2.8
13	6-7	STCLAR	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
14	6-8	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.5
15	6-9	CINCY	CINCY×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.2
16	7-9	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.5
17	7-10	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.5
18	8-10	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.5
19	9-10	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Lilian Entenmann		+2.7
20	9-11	STCLAR	CINCY	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.9
21	10-11	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
22	11-11	STCLAR	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.3
23	11-12	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.3
24	12-12	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Selin Aslayan	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.5
25	12-13	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+2.4
26	13-13	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
27	13-14	STCLAR	CINCY×3	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+2.6
28	13-15	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Cate Shanahan		+3.3
29	13-16	CINCY	CINCY×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.8
30	14-16	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Selin Aslayan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.8
31	15-16	STCLAR	STCLAR	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Andrea Simovski	+3.3
32	15-17	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+2.5
33	16-17	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Lexi Trapani	+2.5
34	16-18	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+2.7
35	17-18	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.6
36	18-18	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+4.8
37	18-19	STCLAR	CINCY	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.5
38	19-19	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.8
39	19-20	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+3.9
40	19-21	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Selin Aslayan	blk Audrey Rome, Kate Lijic	+4.9
41	20-21	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+3.0
42	20-22	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan		+3.7
43	21-22	CINCY	STCLAR	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+3.1
44	21-23	STCLAR	CINCY	Serve err	STCLAR server		+4.2
45	22-23	CINCY	STCLAR×4	Kill	Selin Aslayan		+3.1
46	23-23	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+8.1
47	24-23	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Ava Ledebuhr	+12.4
48	25-23	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Attack err	Lilian Entenmann		+15.2
Set 3
1	0-1	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
2	1-1	CINCY	STCLAR	Serve err	CINCY server		+2.0
3	2-1	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Bryn Shankle		+3.1
4	2-2	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Audrey Rome		+2.0
5	3-2	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.3
6	3-3	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+2.1
7	3-4	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Selin Aslayan		+2.8
8	4-4	CINCY	STCLAR	Serve err	CINCY server		+2.1
9	4-5	STCLAR	CINCY	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
10	5-5	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.2
11	5-6	STCLAR	CINCY	Attack err	Cate Shanahan		+2.1
12	6-6	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.3
13	7-6	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+3.6
14	7-7	STCLAR	CINCY	Serve err	STCLAR server		+2.4
15	8-7	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan		+2.7
16	9-7	STCLAR	STCLAR	Serve err	STCLAR server		+4.1
17	9-8	STCLAR	CINCY	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+2.6
18	10-8	CINCY	STCLAR×4	Serve err	CINCY server		+3.1
19	11-8	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Sydney Nolan	+4.5
20	12-8	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+4.5
21	13-8	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Kill	Bryn Shankle	set Macy Hinshaw	+4.3
22	13-9	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+2.3
23	14-9	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Bryn Shankle	set Macy Hinshaw	+3.2
24	15-9	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes		+3.8
25	15-10	STCLAR	CINCY	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.8
26	16-10	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
27	16-11	STCLAR	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
28	16-12	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+3.2
29	16-13	CINCY	CINCY×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.9
30	16-14	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+4.5
31	17-14	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+4.2
32	17-15	STCLAR	CINCY	Serve err	STCLAR server		+3.2
33	17-16	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	CINCY server	aced Morgan Hayes	+5.2
34	18-16	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Lexi Trapani	+4.6
35	18-17	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+3.8
36	19-17	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes		+4.9
37	20-17	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+6.6
38	20-18	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+3.4
39	21-18	CINCY	STCLAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+5.1
40	21-19	STCLAR	CINCY	Attack err	Bryn Shankle		+3.4
41	21-20	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+6.5
42	22-20	CINCY	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+6.5
43	22-21	STCLAR	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+4.7
44	23-21	CINCY	STCLAR×3	Kill	Selin Aslayan	set Macy Hinshaw	+7.4
45	24-21	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Andrea Simovski	+8.2
46	25-21	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Ava Ledebuhr	+3.5

Score shown after each rally, Santa Clara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.