Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayBIG-WEST

2:3

HomeWCC

Santa Clara def. CSU Bakersfield 3–2

(25-18, 23-25, 25-18, 21-25, 16-14)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
CSUBAK	18	25	18	25	14	2
STCLAR	25	23	25	21	16	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STCLAR above 50 · CSUBAK below

Biggest swing: 23.7% to CSU Bakersfield — set 5, CSUBAK 14-14 STCLAR. Bad set by Grace Flanagan. STCLAR win probability 86% → 62%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CSUBAK 16.5%83.5% STCLAR

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

2.5%

3-1

5.4%

3-2

8.6%

Santa Clara wins

3-0

35.3%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

17.2%

CSUBAK break %: 37.2% vs this opp
STCLAR break %: 44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Grace FlanaganBad set+23.7%
Bad set by Grace Flanagan
Set 5 · CSUBAK 14-14 STCLAR · CSUBAK 14% → 38%
02
Anna BacchinBad set+20.9%
Bad set by Anna Bacchin
Set 5 · CSUBAK 14-16 STCLAR · STCLAR 79% → 100%
03
Grace FlanaganKill+16.8%
Kill by Grace Flanagan (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 14-15 STCLAR · STCLAR 62% → 79%
04
Kaia GrieveKill+9.8%
Kill by Kaia Grieve (set by Lexi Trapani)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 5-6 STCLAR · STCLAR 62% → 72%
05
Cate ShanahanKill+9.3%
Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Lexi Trapani)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 6-8 STCLAR · STCLAR 72% → 81%
06
Cate ShanahanAttack error+8.8%
Attack error by Cate Shanahan
Set 5 · CSUBAK 13-14 STCLAR · CSUBAK 5% → 14%
07
Morgan HayesAttack error+8.7%
Attack error by Morgan Hayes
Set 5 · CSUBAK 1-0 STCLAR · CSUBAK 32% → 41%
08
Suelen LimaAttack error+7.9%
Suelen Lima stuffed by Grace Flanagan & Morgan Hayes
Set 5 · CSUBAK 7-10 STCLAR · STCLAR 82% → 90%

Official NCAA box

Box score

CSU Bakersfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Suelen LimaOH	5	10	6	40	.100	2	2	1	9	5	1	0.5	12.5
19Leylah DuranMB	5	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
14Defne YanikMB	5	3	3	13	.000	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	4.5
9Nele BroszatMB	5	2	2	9	.000	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Luiza Da CruzS	5	1	1	7	.000	17	1	4	14	0	0	0	2
11Boden LiljedahlL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
20Jordyn Waite-WardMB	5	17	2	26	.577	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	17
6Anna BacchinOH	5	12	3	36	.250	0	1	4	10	0	3	1.5	14.5
15Samantha CapinpinS	5	0	1	2	-.500	14	1	3	6	0	0	0	1
5Analiese GaglianoL/DS	5	0	0	2	.000	8	0	1	16	0	0	0	0
18Reese JacksonMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Ana Franca BenjaminOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	19	149	.201	42	6	16	58	10	10	5	100

Santa Clarahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Cate ShanahanOH	5	23	7	43	.372	1	2	3	10	0	1	0.5	25.5
20Morgan HayesOPP	5	13	11	48	.042	0	1	2	11	0	6	3	17
6Grace FlanaganMB	5	9	2	21	.333	1	0	0	6	0	4	2	11
12Allison DzieciuchMB	5	7	1	17	.353	0	0	0	2	0	4	2	9
1Macy HinshawS	5	0	0	7	.000	46	2	1	13	0	1	0.5	2.5
3Danielle BrownMB	3	3	5	17	-.118	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	3
10Ashlynn ReillyL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	0	4	3	7	0	0	0	4
11Lexi TrapaniL/DS	5	1	0	2	.500	7	1	4	20	2	0	0	2
8Alyssa EimerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
2Kaia GrieveOH	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
18Hailey NewellS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		61	28	170	.194	56	10	13	71	6	16	8	110

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 CSUBAK · STCLAR 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 CSUBAKSTCLAR 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 CSUBAKSTCLAR 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKSTCLAR 5

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 3 CSUBAKSTCLAR 3

Set 5

14-16

Longest run 6 CSUBAKSTCLAR 5

Bars above the line = Santa Clara leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

CSU Bakersfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%13/26	45%9/20
2	76%13/17	24%4/17
3	52%11/21	57%16/28
4	77%10/13	17%2/12
5	56%9/16	23%3/13
6	50%8/16	18%2/11
All	59%64/109	36%36/101

Santa Clara

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	65%13/20	58%14/24
2	72%13/18	35%7/20
3	44%12/27	35%7/20
4	77%10/13	39%7/18
5	90%9/10	36%5/14
6	62%8/13	38%5/13
All	64%65/101	41%45/109

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

210 rallies

Rally log

#	CSUBAK-STCLAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Allison Dzieciuch	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.5
2	0-2	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Suelen Lima	blk Morgan Hayes, Grace Flanagan	+1.4
3	1-2	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.0
4	1-3	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Danielle Brown	+0.9
5	2-3	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+1.0
6	3-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Grace Flanagan		+1.6
7	3-4	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.1
8	4-4	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.2
9	4-5	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.1
10	5-5	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+1.2
11	5-6	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Allison Dzieciuch	set Grace Flanagan	+1.2
12	6-6	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.3
13	6-7	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.2
14	6-8	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Defne Yanik		+1.6
15	7-8	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.1
16	8-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.9
17	8-9	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.3
18	9-9	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.4
19	9-10	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.3
20	9-11	STCLAR	STCLAR	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Suelen Lima	+1.8
21	10-11	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.2
22	10-12	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.2
23	10-13	STCLAR	STCLAR	Bad set	Samantha Capinpin		+1.6
24	11-13	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Bad set	Macy Hinshaw		+1.0
25	11-14	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.1
26	12-14	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.1
27	12-15	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.1
28	12-16	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Lexi Trapani	+1.3
29	13-16	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.8
30	13-17	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.9
31	13-18	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Defne Yanik		+1.0
32	14-18	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+0.5
33	14-19	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Danielle Brown	set Cate Shanahan	+0.6
34	14-20	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.6
35	15-20	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+0.2
36	15-21	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.3
37	16-21	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.2
38	16-22	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.3
39	17-22	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Nele Broszat	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.1
40	17-23	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.2
41	18-23	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.1
42	18-24	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Allison Dzieciuch	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.2
43	18-25	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes		+0.7
2	1-1	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+0.8
3	1-2	CSUBAK	STCLAR×3	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.8
4	1-3	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Kill	Grace Flanagan		+1.0
5	1-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Bad set	Luiza Da Cruz		+0.9
6	2-4	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+0.6
7	2-5	CSUBAK	STCLAR×3	Kill	Danielle Brown	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.6
8	2-6	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Suelen Lima	+0.8
9	2-7	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Suelen Lima	+0.6
10	3-7	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
11	3-8	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.4
12	4-8	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Morgan Hayes	blk Defne Yanik, Anna Bacchin	+0.4
13	5-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Cate Shanahan		+0.7
14	5-9	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.6
15	6-9	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+0.5
16	6-10	CSUBAK	STCLAR×3	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.6
17	6-11	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Attack err	Suelen Lima	blk Morgan Hayes, Allison Dzieciuch	+0.7
18	6-12	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Team	+0.5
19	7-12	STCLAR	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+0.3
20	8-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Danielle Brown		+0.6
21	9-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.8
22	10-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.0
23	10-13	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.8
24	11-13	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Bad set	Macy Hinshaw		+0.8
25	11-14	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.8
26	12-14	STCLAR	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.8
27	13-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Danielle Brown	+1.4
28	14-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Suelen Lima	+1.8
29	14-15	CSUBAK	STCLAR×3	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.2
30	14-16	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.6
31	14-17	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Bad set	Anna Bacchin		+1.4
32	15-17	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.8
33	15-18	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.0
34	16-18	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima		+0.8
35	16-19	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.0
36	16-20	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Leylah Duran	blk Allison Dzieciuch, Cate Shanahan	+1.1
37	17-20	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.5
38	17-21	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Allison Dzieciuch	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.7
39	18-21	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+0.5
40	18-22	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Attack err	Suelen Lima	blk Morgan Hayes, Allison Dzieciuch	+0.7
41	19-22	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
42	20-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.1
43	20-23	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Danielle Brown	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.2
44	21-23	STCLAR	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+0.7
45	22-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Danielle Brown		+2.0
46	23-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Danielle Brown		+3.7
47	24-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+5.6
48	25-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Morgan Hayes	blk Defne Yanik, Anna Bacchin	+6.7
Set 3
1	0-1	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Lexi Trapani	+2.4
2	0-2	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.2
3	0-3	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Team	+1.9
4	0-4	STCLAR	STCLAR×4	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+1.6
5	1-4	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.1
6	2-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Lexi Trapani	+1.9
7	2-5	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.4
8	2-6	STCLAR	STCLAR	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Suelen Lima	+1.7
9	3-6	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Bad set	Macy Hinshaw		+1.1
10	4-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Danielle Brown		+2.0
11	4-7	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.4
12	5-7	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.4
13	5-8	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.5
14	5-9	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Anna Bacchin	blk Grace Flanagan, Macy Hinshaw	+1.8
15	6-9	STCLAR	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.2
16	7-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Danielle Brown		+2.1
17	8-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Team	+2.6
18	8-10	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.9
19	9-10	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.9
20	9-11	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.9
21	10-11	STCLAR	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.0
22	11-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	+3.4
23	12-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima		+3.9
24	12-12	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+2.5
25	12-13	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Allison Dzieciuch	set Macy Hinshaw	+3.6
26	13-13	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Lexi Trapani	+2.6
27	13-14	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.5
28	14-14	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.7
29	14-15	CSUBAK	STCLAR×5	Kill	Allison Dzieciuch	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.7
30	14-16	STCLAR	STCLAR×5	Kill	Grace Flanagan		+3.6
31	14-17	STCLAR	STCLAR×5	Attack err	Luiza Da Cruz		+3.0
32	14-18	STCLAR	STCLAR×5	Attack err	Anna Bacchin	blk Grace Flanagan, Morgan Hayes	+2.2
33	14-19	STCLAR	STCLAR×5	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Suelen Lima	+1.5
34	15-19	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.7
35	16-19	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.7
36	16-20	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Attack err	Samantha Capinpin		+1.5
37	16-21	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.4
38	17-21	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.6
39	17-22	CSUBAK	STCLAR×3	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.9
40	17-23	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Team	+0.6
41	17-24	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Boden Liljedahl	+0.2
42	18-24	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+0.0
43	18-25	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Luiza Da Cruz	set Suelen Lima	+2.1
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Alyssa Eimer	+2.3
3	2-1	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.5
4	3-1	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.7
5	3-2	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Kaia Grieve	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.5
6	4-2	STCLAR	CSUBAK×3	Serve err	STCLAR server		+1.7
7	5-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Lexi Trapani	+2.6
8	6-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Team	+2.6
9	6-3	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Kaia Grieve	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.5
10	7-3	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.9
11	8-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+2.6
12	8-4	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.5
13	9-4	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.9
14	9-5	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.5
15	10-5	STCLAR	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.9
16	11-5	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Jordyn Waite-Ward	+2.5
17	12-5	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Lexi Trapani	+2.1
18	12-6	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.0
19	12-7	STCLAR	STCLAR	Attack err	Defne Yanik	blk Allison Dzieciuch, Morgan Hayes	+1.9
20	13-7	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+1.8
21	13-8	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Allison Dzieciuch	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.2
22	13-9	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Lexi Trapani	set Anna Bacchin	+2.2
23	14-9	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Analiese Gagliano	+2.0
24	14-10	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.5
25	15-10	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.1
26	16-10	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.5
27	16-11	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Kaia Grieve	set Lexi Trapani	+1.1
28	17-11	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Morgan Hayes	blk Leylah Duran, Anna Bacchin	+1.7
29	17-12	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Attack err	Nele Broszat		+1.1
30	17-13	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan		+2.1
31	18-13	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.1
32	18-14	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Attack err	Nele Broszat		+1.3
33	18-15	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.6
34	19-15	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Nele Broszat	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.6
35	19-16	CSUBAK	STCLAR×3	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+1.7
36	19-17	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+3.3
37	19-18	STCLAR	STCLAR×3	Ace	STCLAR server	aced Team	+3.9
38	20-18	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.5
39	20-19	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+2.8
40	21-19	STCLAR	CSUBAK×3	Serve err	STCLAR server		+3.9
41	22-19	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+5.0
42	23-19	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Allison Dzieciuch		+3.6
43	23-20	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.1
44	24-20	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.3
45	24-21	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.6
46	25-21	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Kaia Grieve	blk Leylah Duran, Nele Broszat	+0.3
Set 5
1	1-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Morgan Hayes		+8.7
2	1-1	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+5.6
3	2-1	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Cate Shanahan	blk Defne Yanik, Suelen Lima	+6.5
4	2-2	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Macy Hinshaw	+5.9
5	3-2	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+6.7
6	3-3	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+6.2
7	4-3	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+7.1
8	4-4	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Kaia Grieve	set Macy Hinshaw	+6.5
9	5-4	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Kaia Grieve		+7.5
10	5-5	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+6.8
11	5-6	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Kaia Grieve	set Lexi Trapani	+9.8
12	6-6	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+7.1
13	6-7	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+7.0
14	6-8	STCLAR	STCLAR	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Lexi Trapani	+9.3
15	7-8	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Serve err	STCLAR server		+6.1
16	7-9	CSUBAK	STCLAR×5	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+6.7
17	7-10	STCLAR	STCLAR×5	Attack err	Suelen Lima	blk Grace Flanagan, Morgan Hayes	+7.9
18	7-11	STCLAR	STCLAR×5	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+5.4
19	7-12	STCLAR	STCLAR×5	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Lexi Trapani	+3.0
20	7-13	STCLAR	STCLAR×5	Kill	Cate Shanahan	set Lexi Trapani	+1.3
21	8-13	STCLAR	CSUBAK	Attack err	Cate Shanahan		+0.3
22	8-14	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Morgan Hayes	set Macy Hinshaw	+0.6
23	9-14	STCLAR	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Cate Shanahan		+0.1
24	10-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Grace Flanagan		+0.5
25	11-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Cate Shanahan		+1.2
26	12-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Cate Shanahan		+3.3
27	13-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Cate Shanahan		+8.8
28	14-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Bad set	Grace Flanagan		+23.7
29	14-15	CSUBAK	STCLAR	Kill	Grace Flanagan	set Macy Hinshaw	+16.8
30	14-16	STCLAR	STCLAR	Bad set	Anna Bacchin		+20.9

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.