California def. Santa Clara 3–1
(24-26, 25-19, 28-26, 25-12)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | 24 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 3 |
| STCLAR | 26 | 19 | 26 | 12 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 13.5% to Santa Clara — set 3, CAL 23-24 STCLAR. Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Lexi Trapani). STCLAR win probability 35% → 49%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
California wins
Santa Clara wins
- CAL break %
- 41.6% vs this opp
- STCLAR break %
- 37.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Morgan HayesKill+13.5%
Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Lexi Trapani)
Set 3 · CAL 23-24 STCLAR · STCLAR 35% → 49%
- 02
- 03Cate ShanahanAttack error+11.4%
Attack error by Cate Shanahan
Set 3 · CAL 28-26 STCLAR · CAL 73% → 84%
- 04Morgan HayesKill+10.6%
Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 1 · CAL 24-26 STCLAR · STCLAR 40% → 51%
- 05Morgan HayesKill+9.6%
Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 1 · CAL 24-25 STCLAR · STCLAR 31% → 40%
- 06Abby ZimmermanKill+9.0%
Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Anna Flores)
Set 3 · CAL 24-24 STCLAR · CAL 51% → 60%
- 07Allison DzieciuchKill+9.0%
Kill by Allison Dzieciuch (set by Macy Hinshaw)
Set 3 · CAL 24-25 STCLAR · STCLAR 40% → 49%
- 08
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 10 | 0 | 17 | .588 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 32 | .219 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 27 | .148 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 18 | .278 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | .444 | 45 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 14 | 3 | 34 | .324 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 15 | 138 | .297 | 55 | 5 | 8 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 102 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 26 | 8 | 52 | .346 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 26.5 | |
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 44 | .136 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 27 | .222 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 7 | 24 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 26 | 163 | .184 | 54 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 83 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
24-26
Set 2
25-19
Set 3
28-26
Set 4
25-12
Bars above the line = Santa Clara leads, below = California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
California
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73%11/15 | 50%9/18 |
| 2 | 58%11/19 | 27%4/15 |
| 3 | 85%11/13 | 35%6/17 |
| 4 | 67%10/15 | 57%13/23 |
| 5 | 58%7/12 | 50%8/16 |
| 6 | 70%7/10 | 42%5/12 |
| All | 68%57/84 | 45%45/101 |
Santa Clara
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%11/17 | 36%5/14 |
| 2 | 65%11/17 | 27%4/15 |
| 3 | 65%11/17 | 35%6/17 |
| 4 | 35%9/26 | 27%4/15 |
| 5 | 70%7/10 | 43%6/14 |
| 6 | 50%7/14 | 22%2/9 |
| All | 55%56/101 | 32%27/84 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
185 rallies
Rally log
| # | CAL-STCLAR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Sawyer Thomsen | set Anna Flores | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Cate Shanahan | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Sawyer Thomsen | set Anna Flores | +1.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | STCLAR | CAL | Bad set | Macy Hinshaw | +1.6 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | CAL | STCLAR×4 | Bad set | Anna Flores | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.7 |
| 9 | 3-6 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.7 |
| 10 | 3-7 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Ace | STCLAR server | aced Abby Zimmerman | +2.6 |
| 11 | 4-7 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +1.5 |
| 12 | 4-8 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Lexi Trapani | +1.8 |
| 13 | 5-8 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +1.5 |
| 14 | 5-9 | CAL | STCLAR | Attack err | Ashley Li | +1.8 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Ashley Li | set Anna Flores | +1.5 |
| 16 | 6-10 | CAL | STCLAR | Serve err | CAL server | +1.8 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Ashley Li | set Anna Flores | +1.5 |
| 18 | 7-11 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.9 |
| 19 | 7-12 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Attack err | Grace Agolli | blk Macy Hinshaw, Grace Flanagan | +2.5 |
| 20 | 8-12 | STCLAR | CAL×3 | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Sophia Johnson | +1.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | CAL | CAL×3 | Attack err | Kaia Grieve | blk Cari Bohm, Abby Zimmerman | +2.4 |
| 22 | 10-12 | CAL | CAL×3 | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +2.7 |
| 23 | 10-13 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Anna Flores | +1.8 |
| 25 | 11-14 | CAL | STCLAR | Attack err | Grace Agolli | +2.2 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.1 |
| 27 | 12-15 | STCLAR | CAL×3 | Serve err | STCLAR server | +1.6 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | CAL | CAL×3 | Kill | Anna Flores | set Ashley Li | +2.9 |
| 29 | 14-15 | CAL | CAL×3 | Kill | Ashley Li | set Anna Flores | +3.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Bryn Shankle | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | STCLAR | CAL×3 | Kill | Anna Flores | set Sophia Johnson | +2.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CAL | CAL×3 | Ace | CAL server | aced Cate Shanahan | +3.8 |
| 33 | 17-16 | CAL | CAL×3 | Kill | Sawyer Thomsen | set Anna Flores | +3.9 |
| 34 | 17-17 | CAL | STCLAR | Serve err | CAL server | +2.6 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Sawyer Thomsen | set Anna Flores | +2.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.7 |
| 37 | 18-19 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | +4.8 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Anna Flores | +3.0 |
| 39 | 20-19 | CAL | CAL | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Anna Flores | +4.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.2 |
| 41 | 21-20 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +3.5 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | CAL | STCLAR | Serve err | CAL server | +3.5 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Ashley Li | set Anna Flores | +3.9 |
| 44 | 23-21 | CAL | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +5.5 |
| 45 | 23-22 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +4.0 |
| 47 | 24-23 | CAL | STCLAR×4 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.2 |
| 48 | 24-24 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +8.6 |
| 49 | 24-25 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +9.6 |
| 50 | 24-26 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +10.6 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CAL | CAL | Attack err | Bryn Shankle | +2.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | CAL | STCLAR | Attack err | Ashley Li | blk Bryn Shankle, Morgan Hayes | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | STCLAR | CAL×4 | Serve err | STCLAR server | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | CAL | CAL×4 | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +2.7 |
| 5 | 4-1 | CAL | CAL×4 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | CAL | CAL×4 | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Anna Flores | +2.2 |
| 7 | 5-2 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.3 |
| 8 | 6-2 | STCLAR | CAL×3 | Serve err | STCLAR server | +1.4 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | CAL | CAL×3 | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +1.9 |
| 10 | 8-2 | CAL | CAL×3 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | blk Cari Bohm | +1.5 |
| 11 | 8-3 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.8 |
| 12 | 9-3 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +1.0 | |
| 13 | 10-3 | CAL | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Siena MacCudden | +1.1 |
| 14 | 10-4 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.6 |
| 15 | 11-4 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +0.7 | |
| 16 | 12-4 | CAL | CAL | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | blk Anna Flores, Cari Bohm | +0.8 |
| 17 | 12-5 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.4 |
| 18 | 13-5 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +0.5 |
| 19 | 13-6 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.3 |
| 20 | 13-7 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Lexi Trapani | +0.8 |
| 21 | 14-7 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +0.7 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Bryn Shankle | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.5 |
| 23 | 15-8 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Anna Flores | +0.7 |
| 24 | 15-9 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Lexi Trapani | +0.5 |
| 25 | 15-10 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Attack err | Sawyer Thomsen | +1.0 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Sawyer Thomsen | set Anna Flores | +0.9 |
| 27 | 16-11 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.7 |
| 28 | 17-11 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +0.9 |
| 29 | 17-12 | CAL | STCLAR | Serve err | CAL server | +0.6 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | STCLAR | CAL | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | blk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores | +0.9 |
| 31 | 18-13 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.6 |
| 32 | 19-13 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +0.8 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.5 |
| 34 | 20-14 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Sawyer Thomsen | set Anna Flores | +0.7 |
| 35 | 20-15 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.4 |
| 36 | 21-15 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Sawyer Thomsen | set Anna Flores | +0.7 |
| 37 | 21-16 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.3 |
| 38 | 22-16 | STCLAR | CAL | Attack err | Kaia Grieve | +0.6 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | CAL | STCLAR | Serve err | CAL server | +0.2 | |
| 40 | 23-17 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +0.4 |
| 41 | 24-17 | CAL | CAL | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +0.2 | |
| 42 | 24-18 | CAL | STCLAR | Attack err | Abby Zimmerman | +0.0 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.1 |
| 44 | 25-19 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +0.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +2.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | CAL | STCLAR×3 | Serve err | CAL server | +2.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Sawyer Thomsen | +3.4 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Ashley Li | +3.6 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +2.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CAL | CAL | Ace | CAL server | aced Team | +3.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | STCLAR | CAL×4 | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +2.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CAL | CAL×4 | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +3.5 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CAL | CAL×4 | Kill | Ashley Li | set Anna Flores | +3.3 |
| 13 | 8-5 | CAL | CAL×4 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +3.0 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | CAL | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | +1.9 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Ace | STCLAR server | aced Francesca Popescu | +3.3 |
| 16 | 8-8 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Ashley Li | set Francesca Popescu | +2.5 |
| 18 | 9-9 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.6 |
| 19 | 9-10 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +4.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +2.7 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | CAL | CAL | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | blk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen | +4.1 |
| 22 | 11-11 | CAL | STCLAR×3 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +2.8 |
| 23 | 11-12 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Sawyer Thomsen | blk Allison Dzieciuch | +4.6 |
| 24 | 11-13 | STCLAR | STCLAR×3 | Attack err | Ashley Li | blk Cate Shanahan, Allison Dzieciuch | +4.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Anna Flores | +2.8 |
| 26 | 12-14 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.3 |
| 27 | 13-14 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +2.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | CAL | CAL | Attack err | Kaia Grieve | +4.9 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.5 |
| 30 | 14-16 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Lexi Trapani | +5.5 |
| 31 | 15-16 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +3.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CAL | CAL | Attack err | Kaia Grieve | blk Cari Bohm | +5.4 |
| 33 | 16-17 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.9 |
| 34 | 17-17 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +3.7 |
| 35 | 17-18 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +4.2 |
| 36 | 18-18 | STCLAR | CAL | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | +3.9 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +4.5 |
| 38 | 18-20 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Attack err | Ashley Li | +7.0 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | STCLAR | CAL×4 | Serve err | STCLAR server | +3.8 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | CAL | CAL×4 | Ace | CAL server | aced Team | +7.1 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CAL | CAL×4 | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Sophia Johnson | +7.6 |
| 42 | 22-20 | CAL | CAL×4 | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | +6.9 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +3.5 |
| 44 | 22-22 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Bad set | Anna Flores | +8.3 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Anna Flores | +6.6 |
| 46 | 23-23 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Macy Hinshaw | +6.3 |
| 47 | 23-24 | STCLAR | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Lexi Trapani | +13.5 |
| 48 | 24-24 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Anna Flores | +9.0 |
| 49 | 24-25 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +9.0 |
| 50 | 25-25 | STCLAR | CAL | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | +9.0 | |
| 51 | 25-26 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Lexi Trapani | +9.0 |
| 52 | 26-26 | STCLAR | CAL×3 | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +9.0 |
| 53 | 27-26 | CAL | CAL×3 | Attack err | Kaia Grieve | +12.6 | |
| 54 | 28-26 | CAL | CAL×3 | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | +11.4 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CAL | CAL | Kill | Ashley Li | set Anna Flores | +2.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | CAL | CAL | Bad set | Macy Hinshaw | +2.5 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | CAL | STCLAR | Attack err | Abby Zimmerman | +1.6 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Sawyer Thomsen | set Anna Flores | +1.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Lexi Trapani | +1.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +1.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | CAL | CAL | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | blk Cari Bohm, Grace Agolli | +2.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Kaia Grieve | set Macy Hinshaw | +1.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | STCLAR | CAL×8 | Kill | Cari Bohm | set Anna Flores | +1.6 |
| 10 | 7-3 | CAL | CAL×8 | Ace | CAL server | aced Lexi Trapani | +2.1 |
| 11 | 8-3 | CAL | CAL×8 | Attack err | Grace Flanagan | +1.8 | |
| 12 | 9-3 | CAL | CAL×8 | Kill | Anna Flores | set Sophia Johnson | +1.4 |
| 13 | 10-3 | CAL | CAL×8 | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +1.1 |
| 14 | 11-3 | CAL | CAL×8 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | blk Grace Agolli, Cari Bohm | +0.8 |
| 15 | 12-3 | CAL | CAL×8 | Attack err | Kaia Grieve | blk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores | +0.5 |
| 16 | 13-3 | CAL | CAL×8 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | blk Cari Bohm, Grace Agolli | +0.3 |
| 17 | 13-4 | CAL | STCLAR | Serve err | CAL server | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 14-4 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Grace Agolli | set Anna Flores | +0.2 |
| 19 | 14-5 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Grace Flanagan | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.1 |
| 20 | 15-5 | STCLAR | CAL×4 | Kill | Anna Flores | set Abby Zimmerman | +0.2 |
| 21 | 16-5 | CAL | CAL×4 | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | blk Sawyer Thomsen, Anna Flores | +0.1 |
| 22 | 17-5 | CAL | CAL×4 | Kill | Ashley Li | set Elise Lau | +0.1 |
| 23 | 18-5 | CAL | CAL×4 | Attack err | Cate Shanahan | +0.0 | |
| 24 | 18-6 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Cate Shanahan | set Lexi Trapani | +0.0 |
| 25 | 19-6 | STCLAR | CAL×3 | Kill | Ashley Li | set Anna Flores | +0.0 |
| 26 | 20-6 | CAL | CAL×3 | Attack err | Morgan Hayes | +0.0 | |
| 27 | 21-6 | CAL | CAL×3 | Kill | Abby Zimmerman | set Ashley Li | +0.0 |
| 28 | 21-7 | CAL | STCLAR | Serve err | CAL server | +0.0 | |
| 29 | 22-7 | STCLAR | CAL | Kill | Ashley Li | set Anna Flores | +0.0 |
| 30 | 22-8 | CAL | STCLAR×4 | Attack err | Ashley Li | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 22-9 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Attack err | Abby Zimmerman | blk Allison Dzieciuch, Kaia Grieve | +0.0 |
| 32 | 22-10 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Attack err | Grace Agolli | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 22-11 | STCLAR | STCLAR×4 | Kill | Morgan Hayes | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.0 |
| 34 | 23-11 | STCLAR | CAL | Attack err | Kaia Grieve | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 23-12 | CAL | STCLAR | Kill | Allison Dzieciuch | set Macy Hinshaw | +0.0 |
| 36 | 24-12 | STCLAR | CAL | Serve err | STCLAR server | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 25-12 | CAL | CAL | Ace | CAL server | aced Cate Shanahan | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.