CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 13, 2026

California def. Santa Clara 31

(24-26, 25-19, 28-26, 25-12)
Set1234Sets
CAL242528253
STCLAR261926121

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STCLAR above 50 · CAL below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100STCLARCALBiggest swing +13.5% STCLAR · S3 23-24rally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.5% to Santa Clara — set 3, CAL 23-24 STCLAR. Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Lexi Trapani). STCLAR win probability 35%49%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CAL 70.7%29.3% STCLAR

California wins

3-0
23.8%
3-1
27.1%
3-2
19.8%

Santa Clara wins

3-0
5.5%
3-1
10.2%
3-2
13.5%
CAL break %
41.6% vs this opp
STCLAR break %
37.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Morgan HayesKill+13.5%

    Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Lexi Trapani)

    Set 3 · CAL 23-24 STCLAR · STCLAR 35%49%

  2. 02
    Kaia GrieveAttack error+12.6%

    Attack error by Kaia Grieve

    Set 3 · CAL 27-26 STCLAR · CAL 60%73%

  3. 03
    Cate ShanahanAttack error+11.4%

    Attack error by Cate Shanahan

    Set 3 · CAL 28-26 STCLAR · CAL 73%84%

  4. 04
    Morgan HayesKill+10.6%

    Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 1 · CAL 24-26 STCLAR · STCLAR 40%51%

  5. 05
    Morgan HayesKill+9.6%

    Kill by Morgan Hayes (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 1 · CAL 24-25 STCLAR · STCLAR 31%40%

  6. 06

    Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Anna Flores)

    Set 3 · CAL 24-24 STCLAR · CAL 51%60%

  7. 07

    Kill by Allison Dzieciuch (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 3 · CAL 24-25 STCLAR · STCLAR 40%49%

  8. 08
    Cate ShanahanAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Cate Shanahan

    Set 3 · CAL 25-25 STCLAR · CAL 51%60%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410017.58800020275.515.5
410332.21913213102114
410627.1482004000010
48318.278002500219
4409.44445131000427
4000100810000
414334.32400070031.515.5
14Elise LauL/DS
4000111000001
4001.000100400000
40004001000000
Team totals5615138.297555863221811102
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
426852.346002130010.526.5
415944.136102102010.515.5
47127.22201430010.58.5
44724-.12500020010.54.5
4005.0004502140010.50.5
2214.25000000010.52.5
4001.000011400001
4001.0008021210000
3000000000000
2205.400000101224
1000000000000
Team totals5626163.1845421359518583

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 CAL · STCLAR 4

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 CALSTCLAR 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 CALSTCLAR 2

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 4 CALSTCLAR 3

Set 4

25-12

Longest run 8 CALSTCLAR 4

Bars above the line = Santa Clara leads, below = California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
50%9/18
2
58%11/19
27%4/15
3
85%11/13
35%6/17
4
67%10/15
57%13/23
5
58%7/12
50%8/16
6
70%7/10
42%5/12
All
68%57/84
45%45/101

Santa Clara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
36%5/14
2
65%11/17
27%4/15
3
65%11/17
35%6/17
4
35%9/26
27%4/15
5
70%7/10
43%6/14
6
50%7/14
22%2/9
All
55%56/101
32%27/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

185 rallies

Rally log

#CAL-STCLARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STCLARCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.4
21-1CALSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Cate Shanahan+1.5
32-1STCLARCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.5
42-2CALSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.5
52-3STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.5
63-3STCLARCALBad setMacy Hinshaw+1.6
73-4CALSTCLAR×4Bad setAnna Flores+1.7
83-5STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.7
93-6STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.7
103-7STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSTCLAR serveraced Abby Zimmerman+2.6
114-7STCLARCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.5
124-8CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+1.8
135-8STCLARCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.5
145-9CALSTCLARAttack errAshley Li+1.8
156-9STCLARCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.5
166-10CALSTCLARServe errCAL server+1.8
177-10STCLARCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.5
187-11CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.9
197-12STCLARSTCLARAttack errGrace Agolliblk Macy Hinshaw, Grace Flanagan+2.5
208-12STCLARCAL×3KillGrace Agolliset Sophia Johnson+1.3
219-12CALCAL×3Attack errKaia Grieveblk Cari Bohm, Abby Zimmerman+2.4
2210-12CALCAL×3KillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+2.7
2310-13CALSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+2.2
2411-13STCLARCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.8
2511-14CALSTCLARAttack errGrace Agolli+2.2
2611-15STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+3.1
2712-15STCLARCAL×3Serve errSTCLAR server+1.6
2813-15CALCAL×3KillAnna Floresset Ashley Li+2.9
2914-15CALCAL×3KillAshley Liset Anna Flores+3.4
3014-16CALSTCLARKillBryn Shankleset Macy Hinshaw+2.6
3115-16STCLARCAL×3KillAnna Floresset Sophia Johnson+2.2
3216-16CALCAL×3AceCAL serveraced Cate Shanahan+3.8
3317-16CALCAL×3KillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+3.9
3417-17CALSTCLARServe errCAL server+2.6
3518-17STCLARCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+2.7
3618-18CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.7
3718-19STCLARSTCLARKillGrace Flanagan+4.8
3819-19STCLARCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+3.0
3920-19CALCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+4.9
4020-20CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.2
4121-20STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+3.5
4221-21CALSTCLARServe errCAL server+3.5
4322-21STCLARCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+3.9
4423-21CALCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+5.5
4523-22CALSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+2.5
4624-22STCLARCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+4.0
4724-23CALSTCLAR×4KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.2
4824-24STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+8.6
4924-25STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+9.6
5024-26STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+10.6
Set 2
11-0CALCALAttack errBryn Shankle+2.8
21-1CALSTCLARAttack errAshley Liblk Bryn Shankle, Morgan Hayes+1.9
32-1STCLARCAL×4Serve errSTCLAR server+1.9
43-1CALCAL×4KillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+2.7
54-1CALCAL×4Attack errMorgan Hayes+2.5
65-1CALCAL×4KillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+2.2
75-2CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
86-2STCLARCAL×3Serve errSTCLAR server+1.4
97-2CALCAL×3KillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.9
108-2CALCAL×3Attack errMorgan Hayesblk Cari Bohm+1.5
118-3CALSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.8
129-3STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+1.0
1310-3CALCALKillGrace Agolliset Siena MacCudden+1.1
1410-4CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
1511-4STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+0.7
1612-4CALCALAttack errCate Shanahanblk Anna Flores, Cari Bohm+0.8
1712-5CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
1813-5STCLARCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.5
1913-6CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2013-7STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Lexi Trapani+0.8
2114-7STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+0.7
2214-8CALSTCLARKillBryn Shankleset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
2315-8STCLARCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.7
2415-9CALSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Lexi Trapani+0.5
2515-10STCLARSTCLARAttack errSawyer Thomsen+1.0
2616-10STCLARCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.9
2716-11CALSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
2817-11STCLARCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.9
2917-12CALSTCLARServe errCAL server+0.6
3018-12STCLARCALAttack errCate Shanahanblk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores+0.9
3118-13CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
3219-13STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+0.8
3319-14CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
3420-14STCLARCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.7
3520-15CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
3621-15STCLARCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.7
3721-16CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
3822-16STCLARCALAttack errKaia Grieve+0.6
3922-17CALSTCLARServe errCAL server+0.2
4023-17STCLARCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.4
4124-17CALCALAttack errMorgan Hayes+0.2
4224-18CALSTCLARAttack errAbby Zimmerman+0.0
4324-19STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4425-19STCLARCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+0.1
Set 3
11-0STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+2.0
21-1CALSTCLAR×3Serve errCAL server+2.1
31-2STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errSawyer Thomsen+3.4
41-3STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errAshley Li+3.6
52-3STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+2.2
62-4CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.5
73-4STCLARCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+2.2
84-4CALCALAceCAL serveraced Team+3.5
94-5CALSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Macy Hinshaw+2.5
105-5STCLARCAL×4KillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+2.3
116-5CALCAL×4KillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+3.5
127-5CALCAL×4KillAshley Liset Anna Flores+3.3
138-5CALCAL×4Attack errMorgan Hayes+3.0
148-6CALSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayes+1.9
158-7STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSTCLAR serveraced Francesca Popescu+3.3
168-8STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+3.8
179-8STCLARCALKillAshley Liset Francesca Popescu+2.5
189-9CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.6
199-10STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+4.3
2010-10STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+2.7
2111-10CALCALAttack errCate Shanahanblk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen+4.1
2211-11CALSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.8
2311-12STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errSawyer Thomsenblk Allison Dzieciuch+4.6
2411-13STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errAshley Liblk Cate Shanahan, Allison Dzieciuch+4.8
2512-13STCLARCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+2.8
2612-14CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+3.3
2713-14STCLARCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+2.9
2814-14CALCALAttack errKaia Grieve+4.9
2914-15CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.5
3014-16STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Lexi Trapani+5.5
3115-16STCLARCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+3.2
3216-16CALCALAttack errKaia Grieveblk Cari Bohm+5.4
3316-17CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.9
3417-17STCLARCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+3.7
3517-18CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+4.2
3618-18STCLARCALAttack errCate Shanahan+3.9
3718-19CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+4.5
3818-20STCLARSTCLARAttack errAshley Li+7.0
3919-20STCLARCAL×4Serve errSTCLAR server+3.8
4020-20CALCAL×4AceCAL serveraced Team+7.1
4121-20CALCAL×4KillAbby Zimmermanset Sophia Johnson+7.6
4222-20CALCAL×4Attack errCate Shanahan+6.9
4322-21CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+3.5
4422-22STCLARSTCLARBad setAnna Flores+8.3
4523-22STCLARCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+6.6
4623-23CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+6.3
4723-24STCLARSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Lexi Trapani+13.5
4824-24STCLARCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+9.0
4924-25CALSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+9.0
5025-25STCLARCALAttack errCate Shanahan+9.0
5125-26CALSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Lexi Trapani+9.0
5226-26STCLARCAL×3KillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+9.0
5327-26CALCAL×3Attack errKaia Grieve+12.6
5428-26CALCAL×3Attack errCate Shanahan+11.4
Set 4
11-0CALCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+2.6
22-0CALCALBad setMacy Hinshaw+2.5
32-1CALSTCLARAttack errAbby Zimmerman+1.6
43-1STCLARCALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.6
53-2CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+1.7
64-2STCLARCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+1.7
75-2CALCALAttack errMorgan Hayesblk Cari Bohm, Grace Agolli+2.4
85-3CALSTCLARKillKaia Grieveset Macy Hinshaw+1.5
96-3STCLARCAL×8KillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.6
107-3CALCAL×8AceCAL serveraced Lexi Trapani+2.1
118-3CALCAL×8Attack errGrace Flanagan+1.8
129-3CALCAL×8KillAnna Floresset Sophia Johnson+1.4
1310-3CALCAL×8KillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+1.1
1411-3CALCAL×8Attack errMorgan Hayesblk Grace Agolli, Cari Bohm+0.8
1512-3CALCAL×8Attack errKaia Grieveblk Cari Bohm, Anna Flores+0.5
1613-3CALCAL×8Attack errMorgan Hayesblk Cari Bohm, Grace Agolli+0.3
1713-4CALSTCLARServe errCAL server+0.1
1814-4STCLARCALKillGrace Agolliset Anna Flores+0.2
1914-5CALSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
2015-5STCLARCAL×4KillAnna Floresset Abby Zimmerman+0.2
2116-5CALCAL×4Attack errCate Shanahanblk Sawyer Thomsen, Anna Flores+0.1
2217-5CALCAL×4KillAshley Liset Elise Lau+0.1
2318-5CALCAL×4Attack errCate Shanahan+0.0
2418-6CALSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+0.0
2519-6STCLARCAL×3KillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.0
2620-6CALCAL×3Attack errMorgan Hayes+0.0
2721-6CALCAL×3KillAbby Zimmermanset Ashley Li+0.0
2821-7CALSTCLARServe errCAL server+0.0
2922-7STCLARCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.0
3022-8CALSTCLAR×4Attack errAshley Li+0.0
3122-9STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errAbby Zimmermanblk Allison Dzieciuch, Kaia Grieve+0.0
3222-10STCLARSTCLAR×4Attack errGrace Agolli+0.0
3322-11STCLARSTCLAR×4KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.0
3423-11STCLARCALAttack errKaia Grieve+0.0
3523-12CALSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.0
3624-12STCLARCALServe errSTCLAR server+0.0
3725-12CALCALAceCAL serveraced Cate Shanahan+0.0

Score shown after each rally, California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.