Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Pepperdine def. Santa Clara 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Pepperdine 87.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Pepperdine beat visiting Santa Clara 3-1 (25-22, 25-23, 26-28, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Maggie Beauer led Pepperdine with 17 kills; Santa Clara's Cate Shanahan had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
STCLAR222328221
PEPPER252526253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Pepperdine built it on runs.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.6 points. Santa Clara peaked at 21% in Set 4. These are the numbers behind it. Pepperdine went in as RallyIQ's 87% pick.

Santa ClaraPepperdine
  • Longest run+0
    55

    Pepperdine had 5 straight kills in the first set to stretch a 17–16 lead to 22–16. That set ended 25–22.

Pepperdine above 50Santa Clara belowMax swing 3.6%

Santa ClaraPepperdine

Hitting
Santa Clara .218·Pepperdine .264
Aces
Santa Clara 5·Pepperdine 7
Serve err
Santa Clara 6·Pepperdine 7
Blocks
Santa Clara 9·Pepperdine 90 BS · 18 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Santa Clara 64·Pepperdine 62

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Pepperdine above 50 · Santa Clara below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.6% PEPPERrally 196 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Pepperdine — set 4, STCLAR 18-19 PEPPER. Ace by Iva Popovic. PEPPER win probability 88% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STCLAR 17.1%82.9% PEPPER

Santa Clara wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
8.9%

Pepperdine wins

3-0
34.6%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
17.4%
STCLAR break %
37.0% vs this opp
PEPPER break %
44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Iva PopovicAce+3.6%

    Ace by Iva Popovic

    Set 4 · STCLAR 18-19 PEPPER · PEPPER 88% → 92%

  2. 02

    Chloe Pravednikov stuffed by Allison Dzieciuch & Morgan Hayes

    Set 4 · STCLAR 17-16 PEPPER · STCLAR 10% → 14%

  3. 03
    Selin AslayanAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Selin Aslayan

    Set 4 · STCLAR 19-21 PEPPER · PEPPER 92% → 95%

  4. 04
    Selin AslayanAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Selin Aslayan

    Set 4 · STCLAR 14-14 PEPPER · PEPPER 86% → 89%

  5. 05
    Grace FlanaganAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Grace Flanagan

    Set 4 · STCLAR 14-13 PEPPER · PEPPER 84% → 86%

  6. 06
    Cate ShanahanKill+2.8%

    Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 4 · STCLAR 18-17 PEPPER · STCLAR 11% → 14%

  7. 07
    Cate ShanahanAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Cate Shanahan

    Set 4 · STCLAR 14-15 PEPPER · PEPPER 89% → 92%

  8. 08
    Cate ShanahanKill+2.8%

    Kill by Cate Shanahan (set by Macy Hinshaw)

    Set 3 · STCLAR 28-26 PEPPER · STCLAR 5% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4211461.1150117202123
415846.15200070031.516.5
49218.38900150052.511.5
48015.5330000004210
4306.50053111300215
4102.5001001200001
44216.125000100215
41011.000010600002
4000–2231210002
2000–000100000
Team totals6226165.2185656647018995
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417432.40600030031.518.5
414544.20510080010.514.5
410322.31811110052.513.5
411540.1502006000011
46114.35710010031.57.5
4206.33348101001436
4000–220500002
4000–222610002
4000–1111520001
4001.000002710000
1000–001000000
Team totals6018159.26458776251169101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Santa Clara vs Pepperdine

Season series · Pepperdine leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 STCLAR · PEPPER 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 STCLARPEPPER 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 STCLARPEPPER 5

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 3 STCLARPEPPER 2

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 5 STCLARPEPPER 4

Bars above the line = Pepperdine leads, below = Santa Clara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Santa Clara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
41%7/17
2
59%10/17
40%8/20
3
47%9/19
41%7/17
4
75%9/12
31%4/13
5
60%9/15
44%7/16
6
42%8/19
38%5/13
All
57%57/100
40%38/96

Pepperdine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%12/14
44%8/18
2
48%12/25
29%5/17
3
64%9/14
50%9/18
4
75%9/12
50%9/18
5
47%8/17
25%3/12
6
57%8/14
53%9/17
All
60%58/96
43%43/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

196 rallies

#STCLAR-PEPPERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PEPPERPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.2
21-1PEPPERSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
31-2STCLARPEPPERServe errSanta Clara+0.8
42-2PEPPERSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
52-3STCLARPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Irelynd Lorenzen+0.9
62-4PEPPERPEPPERAttack errSelin Aslayan+1.2
73-4PEPPERSTCLAR×4KillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.8
84-4STCLARSTCLAR×4BlockedChloe Pravednikovblk Grace Flanagan, Morgan Hayes+1.4
95-4STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Charis Kai+1.6
106-4STCLARSTCLAR×4BlockedElla Piskorzblk Grace Flanagan, Cate Shanahan+1.8
116-5STCLARPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Chloe Pravednikov+1.1
127-5PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
137-6STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Ella Piskorz+1.1
147-7PEPPERPEPPERAcePepperdine+1.7
158-7PEPPERSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
169-7STCLARSTCLAR×3KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+2.0
1710-7STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errMaggie Beauer+2.1
1810-8STCLARPEPPERBlockedCate Shanahanblk Irelynd Lorenzen, Chloe Pravednikov+1.2
1910-9PEPPERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+1.9
2011-9PEPPERSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.5
2111-10STCLARPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.3
2212-10PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.6
2312-11STCLARPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+1.4
2413-11PEPPERSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.7
2513-12STCLARPEPPER×4KillTristen Raymondset Mariia Nikol Dvornikova+1.4
2613-13PEPPERPEPPER×4AcePepperdineaced Cate Shanahan+2.1
2713-14PEPPERPEPPER×4BlockedSelin Aslayanblk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz+2.0
2813-15PEPPERPEPPER×4Attack errMorgan Hayes+1.8
2914-15PEPPERSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.2
3014-16STCLARPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.2
3115-16PEPPERSTCLARAttack errChloe Pravednikov+1.3
3215-17STCLARPEPPERServe errSanta Clara+1.3
3316-17PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
3416-18STCLARPEPPER×5KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.4
3516-19PEPPERPEPPER×5KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.7
3616-20PEPPERPEPPER×5KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+1.2
3716-21PEPPERPEPPER×5KillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+0.7
3816-22PEPPERPEPPER×5KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.3
3917-22PEPPERSTCLAR×4KillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4018-22STCLARSTCLAR×4AceSanta Claraaced Iva Popovic+0.3
4119-22STCLARSTCLAR×4KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.6
4220-22STCLARSTCLAR×4Bad setIva Popovic+1.3
4320-23STCLARPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.3
4421-23PEPPERSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.8
4521-24STCLARPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.3
4622-24PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
4722-25STCLARPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.1
Set 2
10-1STCLARPEPPERBlockedSelin Aslayanblk Ella Piskorz, Maggie Beauer+0.6
21-1PEPPERSTCLAR×3BlockedMariia Nikol Dvornikovablk Allison Dzieciuch, Macy Hinshaw+0.6
32-1STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSanta Claraaced Laine Briggs+1.0
43-1STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Lexi Trapani+1.2
53-2STCLARPEPPERServe errSanta Clara+0.7
64-2PEPPERSTCLAR×3KillMacy Hinshawset Macy Hinshaw+0.9
75-2STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
86-2STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
96-3STCLARPEPPERKillTristen Raymond+0.8
106-4PEPPERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Eliya Dev+1.2
117-4PEPPERSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.0
127-5STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.8
138-5PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Lexi Trapani+1.0
149-5STCLARSTCLARBlockedIrelynd Lorenzenblk Cate Shanahan, Allison Dzieciuch+1.4
159-6STCLARPEPPERBlockedCate Shanahanblk Tristen Raymond+0.8
1610-6PEPPERSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+1.1
1710-7STCLARPEPPERAttack errCate Shanahan+0.8
1811-7PEPPERSTCLARServe errPepperdine+1.1
1911-8STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.8
2011-9PEPPERPEPPERBad setMacy Hinshaw+1.3
2112-9PEPPERSTCLAR×3Serve errPepperdine+1.1
2213-9STCLARSTCLAR×3AceSanta Claraaced Laine Briggs+1.6
2314-9STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.5
2414-10STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Laine Briggs+0.8
2514-11PEPPERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.3
2615-11PEPPERSTCLARServe errPepperdine+1.2
2715-12STCLARPEPPER×5KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.9
2815-13PEPPERPEPPER×5BlockedGrace Flanaganblk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz+1.5
2915-14PEPPERPEPPER×5AcePepperdine+1.6
3015-15PEPPERPEPPER×5KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.7
3115-16PEPPERPEPPER×5Attack errSelin Aslayan+1.6
3216-16PEPPERSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.2
3316-17STCLARPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.1
3417-17PEPPERSTCLARServe errPepperdine+1.2
3517-18STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.2
3618-18PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
3719-18STCLARSTCLARAttack errMaggie Beauer+2.3
3819-19STCLARPEPPER×3KillChloe Pravednikovset Eliya Dev+1.5
3919-20PEPPERPEPPER×3BlockedCate Shanahanblk Irelynd Lorenzen, Maggie Beauer+2.2
4019-21PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.9
4120-21PEPPERSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+1.1
4220-22STCLARPEPPER×3KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.4
4320-23PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errCate Shanahan+1.4
4420-24PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errSelin Aslayan+0.7
4521-24PEPPERSTCLAR×3KillAshlynn Reillyset Macy Hinshaw+0.1
4622-24STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedMariia Nikol Dvornikovablk Grace Flanagan, Macy Hinshaw+0.5
4723-24STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.4
4823-25STCLARPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+2.2
Set 3
10-1PEPPERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.4
21-1PEPPERSTCLARAttack errMariia Nikol Dvornikova+0.3
31-2STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.3
41-3PEPPERPEPPERAttack errSelin Aslayan+0.4
52-3PEPPERSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
63-3STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
73-4STCLARPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+0.3
84-4PEPPERSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
94-5STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.3
104-6PEPPERPEPPERAceElla Piskorzaced Lexi Trapani+0.4
115-6PEPPERSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
126-6STCLARSTCLARKillTia Kapiheset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
136-7STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.3
146-8PEPPERPEPPERAttack errCate Shanahan+0.4
157-8PEPPERSTCLARAttack errChloe Pravednikov+0.3
167-9STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.3
177-10PEPPERPEPPERBlockedCate Shanahanblk Irelynd Lorenzen, Maggie Beauer+0.4
188-10PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
199-10STCLARSTCLARBad setTristen Raymond+0.5
209-11STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.3
219-12PEPPERPEPPERAceLaine Briggsaced Cate Shanahan+0.4
2210-12PEPPERSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2310-13STCLARPEPPERServe errLexi Trapani+0.3
2411-13PEPPERSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.3
2512-13STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errMariia Nikol Dvornikova+0.5
2613-13STCLARSTCLAR×3BlockedElla Piskorzblk Selin Aslayan, Grace Flanagan+0.6
2713-14STCLARPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.4
2814-14PEPPERSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
2914-15STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.5
3014-16PEPPERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.6
3115-16PEPPERSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+0.4
3216-16STCLARSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.8
3316-17STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+0.5
3416-18PEPPERPEPPERAttack errCate Shanahan+0.7
3517-18PEPPERSTCLARKillAllison Dzieciuchset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
3617-19STCLARPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+0.5
3718-19PEPPERSTCLARServe errIva Popovic+0.5
3819-19STCLARSTCLARBlockedMaggie Beauerblk Selin Aslayan, Allison Dzieciuch+0.9
3919-20STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Mariia Nikol Dvornikova+0.7
4020-20PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.7
4120-21STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.8
4220-22PEPPERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Iva Popovic+1.0
4321-22PEPPERSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
4422-22STCLARSTCLAR×3KillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
4523-22STCLARSTCLAR×3Attack errMariia Nikol Dvornikova+1.8
4623-23STCLARPEPPERAttack errMorgan Hayes+1.1
4724-23PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.6
4824-24STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.6
4924-25PEPPERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.9
5025-25PEPPERSTCLARServe errElla Piskorz+1.3
5125-26STCLARPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.3
5226-26PEPPERSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+1.3
5327-26STCLARSTCLAR×3KillMacy Hinshaw+2.2
5428-26STCLARSTCLAR×3KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.8
Set 4
11-0STCLARSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Tristen Raymond+1.9
22-0STCLARSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+2.1
32-1STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.3
43-1PEPPERSTCLARKillSelin Aslayanset Macy Hinshaw+1.5
54-1STCLARSTCLARAceMacy Hinshaw+2.3
64-2STCLARPEPPERServe errMacy Hinshaw+1.4
74-3PEPPERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+2.0
85-3PEPPERSTCLARBad setTristen Raymond+1.6
95-4STCLARPEPPERBlockedCate Shanahanblk Tristen Raymond, Ella Piskorz+1.4
105-5PEPPERPEPPERAttack errCate Shanahan+2.0
116-5PEPPERSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+1.6
126-6STCLARPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.4
137-6PEPPERSTCLAR×5KillMacy Hinshawset Tia Kapihe+1.6
148-6STCLARSTCLAR×5KillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.5
159-6STCLARSTCLAR×5Attack errChloe Pravednikov+2.7
1610-6STCLARSTCLAR×5Attack errMaggie Beauer+2.7
1711-6STCLARSTCLAR×5KillAllison Dzieciuch+2.6
1811-7STCLARPEPPER×3KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.4
1911-8PEPPERPEPPER×3AceIva Popovic+2.3
2011-9PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errCate Shanahan+2.5
2112-9PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.1
2212-10STCLARPEPPERServe errCate Shanahan+1.7
2313-10PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.2
2413-11STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.8
2514-11PEPPERSTCLARServe errCharis Kai+2.3
2614-12STCLARPEPPER×4KillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.8
2714-13PEPPERPEPPER×4Attack errGrace Flanagan+2.9
2814-14PEPPERPEPPER×4Attack errSelin Aslayan+2.9
2914-15PEPPERPEPPER×4Attack errCate Shanahan+2.8
3015-15PEPPERSTCLARKillMorgan Hayesset Macy Hinshaw+2.0
3115-16STCLARPEPPERAttack errCate Shanahan+2.0
3216-16PEPPERSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+2.1
3317-16STCLARSTCLARBlockedChloe Pravednikovblk Allison Dzieciuch, Morgan Hayes+3.6
3417-17STCLARPEPPERBad setAllison Dzieciuch+2.3
3518-17PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.8
3618-18STCLARPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Iva Popovic+2.5
3718-19PEPPERPEPPERAceIva Popovic+3.6
3819-19PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+2.6
3919-20STCLARPEPPER×4KillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+2.7
4019-21PEPPERPEPPER×4Attack errSelin Aslayan+3.4
4119-22PEPPERPEPPER×4KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+2.5
4219-23PEPPERPEPPER×4KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+1.4
4320-23PEPPERSTCLARKillCate Shanahanset Macy Hinshaw+0.5
4420-24STCLARPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.8
4521-24PEPPERSTCLARKillGrace Flanaganset Macy Hinshaw+0.2
4622-24STCLARSTCLARBlockedElla Piskorzblk Selin Aslayan, Grace Flanagan+1.0
4722-25STCLARPEPPERAttack errCate Shanahan+1.5

Score shown after each rally, Santa Clara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).