Evansville def. Tennessee St. 3–1
Evansville beat visiting Tennessee St. 3-1 (25-15, 22-25, 25-11, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Evansville's Lyla Fisher led with 16 kills, and Kendall Agler added 11 digs.
Data through · final Sep 12
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENNST | 15 | 25 | 11 | 20 | 1 |
| EVANS | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.6% to Tennessee St. — set 3, TENNST 2-0 EVANS. Tennessee St. ace. EVANS win probability 91% → 89%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Tennessee St. wins
Evansville wins
- TENNST break %
- 35.3% vs this opp
- EVANS break %
- 49.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Tennessee St.Ace+1.6%
Tennessee St. ace
Set 3 · TENNST 2-0 EVANS · TENNST 9% → 11%
- 02Carlotta Pascual CentellesAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Carlotta Pascual Centelles
Set 4 · TENNST 18-19 EVANS · TENNST 2% → 4%
- 03Wren JonesKill+1.3%
Kill by Wren Jones (set by Carsyn Kelley)
Set 4 · TENNST 19-21 EVANS · EVANS 96% → 98%
- 04Wren JonesKill+1.3%
Kill by Wren Jones (set by Carsyn Kelley)
Set 4 · TENNST 19-22 EVANS · EVANS 98% → 99%
- 05
- 06Gabrielle WashingtonKill+1.2%
Kill by Gabrielle Washington (set by Triniti Jackson)
Set 4 · TENNST 19-20 EVANS · TENNST 3% → 4%
- 07Tennessee St.Service error+1.2%
Tennessee St. service error
Set 4 · TENNST 18-20 EVANS · EVANS 96% → 97%
- 08Gabriella Blevins&Triniti JacksonBlock+1.2%
Wren Jones stuffed by Gabriella Blevins & Triniti Jackson
Set 4 · TENNST 9-9 EVANS · TENNST 3% → 4%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 25 | .280 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 16 | .438 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | .091 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -.286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 36 | 21 | 99 | .152 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 71 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 4 | 29 | .414 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 1 | 17 | .471 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 25 | .080 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 9 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | .500 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 28 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 19 | .316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 17 | 111 | .351 | 50 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 97 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Tennessee St. vs Evansville
Season series · Evansville leads 2-0
- Thu, Sep 10, 2026Evansville at Tennessee St. · Evansville won 3-1Result →
- Sat, Sep 12, 2026Tennessee St. at Evansville · Evansville won 3-1This match
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
15-25
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
11-25
Set 4
20-25
Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = Tennessee St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Tennessee St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%7/13 | 29%2/7 |
| 2 | 41%7/17 | 13%1/8 |
| 3 | 50%6/12 | 57%8/14 |
| 4 | 42%5/12 | 14%1/7 |
| 5 | 50%4/8 | 44%4/9 |
| 6 | 40%4/10 | 33%2/6 |
| All | 46%33/72 | 35%18/51 |
Evansville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%7/10 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 70%7/10 | 53%8/15 |
| 3 | 50%6/12 | 50%7/14 |
| 4 | 83%5/6 | 55%6/11 |
| 5 | 50%4/8 | 50%4/8 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 64%7/11 |
| All | 65%33/51 | 54%39/72 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
168 rallies
| # | TENNST-EVANS | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | EVANS | EVANS | Kill | Wren Jones | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TENNST | EVANS×4 | Kill | McKenzie Laubach | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.3 |
| 4 | 1-3 | EVANS | EVANS×4 | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.4 |
| 5 | 1-4 | EVANS | EVANS×4 | Attack err | Wiktoria Jakubik | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | EVANS | EVANS×4 | Attack err | Sydney Robinson | +0.2 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | EVANS | TENNST | Serve err | Evansville | +0.2 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | TENNST | TENNST | Blocked | Lyla Fisher | blk Wiktoria Jakubik, Gabrielle Washington | +0.3 |
| 9 | 3-6 | TENNST | EVANS×4 | Blocked | Gabrielle Washington | blk Lyla Fisher, McKenzie Laubach | +0.2 |
| 10 | 3-7 | EVANS | EVANS×4 | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.3 |
| 11 | 3-8 | EVANS | EVANS×4 | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Kendall Agler | +0.2 |
| 12 | 3-9 | EVANS | EVANS×4 | Blocked | Sydney Robinson | blk Makenzie Miller, Ryan Scheu | +0.1 |
| 13 | 4-9 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.1 |
| 14 | 5-9 | TENNST | TENNST | Kill | Sydney Robinson | set Triniti Jackson | +0.2 |
| 15 | 5-10 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Makenzie Miller | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.1 |
| 16 | 5-11 | EVANS | EVANS | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Lexi Owen | +0.1 |
| 17 | 6-11 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +0.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | TENNST | TENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +0.2 |
| 19 | 7-12 | TENNST | EVANS | Serve err | Tennessee St. | +0.2 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +0.1 |
| 21 | 8-13 | TENNST | EVANS×6 | Serve err | Tennessee St. | +0.2 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Ace | Evansville | aced Carsyn Stansberry | +0.2 |
| 23 | 8-15 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Attack err | Carsyn Stansberry | +0.1 | |
| 24 | 8-16 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Ace | Evansville | aced Carsyn Stansberry | +0.1 |
| 25 | 8-17 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Ace | Evansville | aced Sydney Robinson | · |
| 26 | 8-18 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Lexi Owen | · |
| 27 | 9-18 | EVANS | TENNST | Serve err | Evansville | · | |
| 28 | 9-19 | TENNST | EVANS | Attack err | Julia Culpepper | · | |
| 29 | 10-19 | EVANS | TENNST | Attack err | Wren Jones | · | |
| 30 | 10-20 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | · |
| 31 | 11-20 | EVANS | TENNST×3 | Serve err | Evansville | · | |
| 32 | 12-20 | TENNST | TENNST×3 | Kill | Sydney Robinson | set Sydni Poston | · |
| 33 | 13-20 | TENNST | TENNST×3 | Kill | Sydney Robinson | set Wiktoria Jakubik | · |
| 34 | 13-21 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | McKenzie Laubach | set Carsyn Kelley | · |
| 35 | 14-21 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Sydney Robinson | set Triniti Jackson | · |
| 36 | 14-22 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | · |
| 37 | 15-22 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Sydney Robinson | set Triniti Jackson | · |
| 38 | 15-23 | TENNST | EVANS×3 | Serve err | Tennessee St. | · | |
| 39 | 15-24 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Kill | Makenzie Miller | set Lexi Owen | · |
| 40 | 15-25 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Lexi Owen | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TENNST | TENNST | Blocked | McKenzie Laubach | blk Gabriella Blevins, Wiktoria Jakubik | +0.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TENNST | EVANS | Serve err | Tennessee St. | +0.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.2 |
| 5 | 3-2 | EVANS | TENNST | Serve err | Evansville | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | TENNST | TENNST | Attack err | Lyla Fisher | +0.4 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | EVANS | EVANS | Attack err | Sydney Robinson | +0.4 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Kendall Agler | +0.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | EVANS | EVANS | Kill | Makenzie Miller | +0.3 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +0.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | TENNST | TENNST | Blocked | Wren Jones | blk Gabrielle Washington | +0.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TENNST | EVANS×3 | Kill | Wren Jones | set Lexi Owen | +0.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | +0.4 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Lexi Owen | +0.3 |
| 17 | 8-9 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +0.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | TENNST | TENNST | Attack err | Wren Jones | +0.4 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lexi Owen | +0.3 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Melae Lacy | set Triniti Jackson | +0.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | TENNST | TENNST | Ace | Tennessee St. | aced Wren Jones | +0.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | EVANS | TENNST | Attack err | Lyla Fisher | +0.4 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | TENNST | EVANS×3 | Kill | McKenzie Laubach | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.4 |
| 25 | 12-13 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Blocked | Sydney Robinson | blk Makenzie Miller, Ryan Scheu | +0.5 |
| 26 | 12-14 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Attack err | Sydney Robinson | +0.4 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | EVANS | TENNST×5 | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.3 |
| 28 | 14-14 | TENNST | TENNST×5 | Ace | Tennessee St. | aced Makenzie Miller | +0.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | TENNST | TENNST×5 | Ace | Tennessee St. | aced Kendall Agler | +0.7 |
| 30 | 16-14 | TENNST | TENNST×5 | Ace | Tennessee St. | aced Wren Jones | +0.8 |
| 31 | 17-14 | TENNST | TENNST×5 | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.9 |
| 32 | 17-15 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.5 |
| 33 | 18-15 | EVANS | TENNST | Blocked | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | blk Gabrielle Washington, Julia Culpepper | +0.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Lexi Owen | +0.5 |
| 35 | 18-17 | EVANS | EVANS | Kill | Wren Jones | set Kendall Agler | +0.8 |
| 36 | 19-17 | EVANS | TENNST×3 | Serve err | Evansville | +0.8 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | TENNST | TENNST×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +1.1 |
| 38 | 21-17 | TENNST | TENNST×3 | Kill | Melae Lacy | set Lexi Owen | +1.0 |
| 39 | 21-18 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Wren Jones | set Lexi Owen | +0.4 |
| 40 | 22-18 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Melae Lacy | set Triniti Jackson | +0.8 |
| 41 | 22-19 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Lexi Owen | +0.4 |
| 42 | 22-20 | EVANS | EVANS | Blocked | Melae Lacy | blk Ryan Scheu, McKenzie Laubach | +0.8 |
| 43 | 23-20 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Triniti Jackson | +1.0 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Melae Lacy | set Triniti Jackson | +1.1 |
| 46 | 24-22 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.4 |
| 47 | 25-22 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +1.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +1.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | TENNST | TENNST | Ace | Tennessee St. | +1.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | TENNST | EVANS×6 | Serve err | Tennessee St. | +1.0 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Kill | McKenzie Laubach | +1.3 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Blocked | Julia Culpepper | blk Ryan Scheu, McKenzie Laubach | +1.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +1.0 |
| 7 | 2-5 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Attack err | Wiktoria Jakubik | +0.8 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Attack err | Julia Culpepper | +0.6 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Sydni Poston | +0.5 |
| 10 | 3-7 | TENNST | EVANS | Serve err | Tennessee St. | +0.5 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +0.5 |
| 12 | 4-8 | TENNST | EVANS×5 | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.5 |
| 13 | 4-9 | EVANS | EVANS×5 | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Triniti Jackson | +0.5 |
| 14 | 4-10 | EVANS | EVANS×5 | Kill | Makenzie Miller | set Lexi Owen | +0.4 |
| 15 | 4-11 | EVANS | EVANS×5 | Ace | Evansville | aced Jordan Imperial | +0.3 |
| 16 | 4-12 | EVANS | EVANS×5 | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Kendall Agler | +0.2 |
| 17 | 5-12 | EVANS | TENNST | Attack err | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 5-13 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Lexi Owen | +0.1 |
| 19 | 6-13 | EVANS | TENNST | Blocked | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | blk Gabrielle Washington, Melae Lacy | +0.1 |
| 20 | 7-13 | TENNST | TENNST | Ace | Tennessee St. | +0.2 | |
| 21 | 7-14 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Lexi Owen | +0.2 |
| 22 | 8-14 | EVANS | TENNST | Serve err | Evansville | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 8-15 | TENNST | EVANS×6 | Kill | McKenzie Laubach | set Lexi Owen | +0.2 |
| 24 | 8-16 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Blocked | Wiktoria Jakubik | blk Ryan Scheu, McKenzie Laubach | +0.1 |
| 25 | 8-17 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Attack err | Melae Lacy | +0.1 | |
| 26 | 8-18 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | · |
| 27 | 8-19 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Kill | Wren Jones | set Carsyn Kelley | · |
| 28 | 8-20 | EVANS | EVANS×6 | Attack err | Wiktoria Jakubik | · | |
| 29 | 9-20 | EVANS | TENNST | Serve err | Evansville | · | |
| 30 | 9-21 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | · |
| 31 | 10-21 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Sydney Robinson | set Triniti Jackson | · |
| 32 | 10-22 | TENNST | EVANS×3 | Serve err | Tennessee St. | · | |
| 33 | 10-23 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Attack err | Gabrielle Washington | · | |
| 34 | 10-24 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Attack err | Wiktoria Jakubik | · | |
| 35 | 11-24 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Sydney Robinson | set Triniti Jackson | · |
| 36 | 11-25 | TENNST | EVANS | Serve err | Tennessee St. | · | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TENNST | EVANS×3 | Kill | Ryan Scheu | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Kendall Agler | +0.6 |
| 3 | 0-3 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.4 |
| 5 | 1-4 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | McKenzie Laubach | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | EVANS | TENNST | Blocked | Ryan Scheu | blk Gabriella Blevins, Sydney Robinson | +0.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.4 |
| 8 | 2-6 | EVANS | EVANS | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Lexi Owen | +0.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | EVANS | TENNST | Serve err | Evansville | +0.3 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | TENNST | TENNST | Ace | Tennessee St. | aced Wren Jones | +0.6 |
| 11 | 4-7 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Kendall Agler | +0.4 |
| 12 | 5-7 | EVANS | TENNST | Serve err | Evansville | +0.5 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Brooke Herdes | set Lexi Owen | +0.5 |
| 14 | 5-9 | EVANS | EVANS | Ace | Evansville | +0.5 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | EVANS | TENNST×4 | Attack err | Wren Jones | +0.4 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | TENNST | TENNST×4 | Ace | Tennessee St. | +0.7 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | TENNST | TENNST×4 | Attack err | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | +0.9 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | TENNST | TENNST×4 | Blocked | Wren Jones | blk Gabriella Blevins, Triniti Jackson | +1.2 |
| 19 | 9-10 | TENNST | EVANS×5 | Attack err | Carsyn Stansberry | +0.8 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | EVANS | EVANS×5 | Ace | Evansville | aced Morgan Fowler | +1.0 |
| 21 | 9-12 | EVANS | EVANS×5 | Ace | Evansville | aced Morgan Fowler | +0.8 |
| 22 | 9-13 | EVANS | EVANS×5 | Bad set | Triniti Jackson | +0.6 | |
| 23–24 | 10-14 | TENNST · EVANS | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.2 | |||
| 25 | 11-14 | TENNST | TENNST | Attack err | Lyla Fisher | +0.6 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | TENNST | EVANS | Blocked | Sydney Robinson | blk McKenzie Laubach | +0.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.5 |
| 29 | 13-16 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Wiktoria Jakubik | set Triniti Jackson | +0.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | TENNST | EVANS×3 | Kill | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | set Lexi Owen | +0.5 |
| 31 | 13-18 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Kill | Wren Jones | set Lexi Owen | +0.5 |
| 32 | 13-19 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Ace | Evansville | aced Jordan Imperial | +0.3 |
| 33 | 14-19 | EVANS | TENNST×5 | Serve err | Evansville | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | TENNST | TENNST×5 | Kill | Carsyn Stansberry | set Triniti Jackson | +0.3 |
| 35 | 16-19 | TENNST | TENNST×5 | Kill | Triniti Jackson | set Lexi Owen | +0.6 |
| 36 | 17-19 | TENNST | TENNST×5 | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +1.0 |
| 37 | 18-19 | TENNST | TENNST×5 | Attack err | Carlotta Pascual Centelles | +1.5 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | TENNST | EVANS | Serve err | Tennessee St. | +1.2 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Washington | set Triniti Jackson | +1.2 |
| 40 | 19-21 | TENNST | EVANS | Kill | Wren Jones | set Carsyn Kelley | +1.3 |
| 41 | 19-22 | EVANS | EVANS | Kill | Wren Jones | set Carsyn Kelley | +1.3 |
| 42 | 20-22 | EVANS | TENNST | Kill | Sydney Robinson | set Triniti Jackson | +0.7 |
| 43 | 20-23 | TENNST | EVANS×3 | Attack err | Carsyn Stansberry | +1.0 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Ace | Evansville | aced Jordan Imperial | +0.6 |
| 45 | 20-25 | EVANS | EVANS×3 | Kill | Lyla Fisher | set Carsyn Kelley | +0.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Tennessee St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).