Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Evansville def. Tennessee St. 3–1

Evansville beat visiting Tennessee St. 3-1 (25-15, 22-25, 25-11, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Evansville's Lyla Fisher led with 16 kills, and Kendall Agler added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
TENNST152511201
EVANS252225253

Win probability

Evansville above 50 · Tennessee St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.6% TENNSTrally 168 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Tennessee St. — set 3, TENNST 2-0 EVANS. Tennessee St. ace. EVANS win probability 91% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TENNST 3.5%96.5% EVANS

Tennessee St. wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
2.2%

Evansville wins

3-0
60.3%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
8.1%
TENNST break %
35.3% vs this opp
EVANS break %
49.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tennessee St.Ace+1.6%

    Tennessee St. ace

    Set 3 · TENNST 2-0 EVANS · TENNST 9% → 11%

  2. 02

    Attack error by Carlotta Pascual Centelles

    Set 4 · TENNST 18-19 EVANS · TENNST 2% → 4%

  3. 03
    Wren JonesKill+1.3%

    Kill by Wren Jones (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 4 · TENNST 19-21 EVANS · EVANS 96% → 98%

  4. 04
    Wren JonesKill+1.3%

    Kill by Wren Jones (set by Carsyn Kelley)

    Set 4 · TENNST 19-22 EVANS · EVANS 98% → 99%

  5. 05

    Kill by McKenzie Laubach

    Set 3 · TENNST 2-2 EVANS · EVANS 90% → 92%

  6. 06

    Kill by Gabrielle Washington (set by Triniti Jackson)

    Set 4 · TENNST 19-20 EVANS · TENNST 3% → 4%

  7. 07
    Tennessee St.Service error+1.2%

    Tennessee St. service error

    Set 4 · TENNST 18-20 EVANS · EVANS 96% → 97%

  8. 08

    Wren Jones stuffed by Gabriella Blevins & Triniti Jackson

    Set 4 · TENNST 9-9 EVANS · TENNST 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412525.2801004002113
49216.43801100132.512.5
48622.09100331010.58.5
4204.500291240111.54.5
4001.00000000031.51.5
2137-.286000220001
4000–042630004
4001.000011300001
4000–211600001
3039-.33300000010.50.5
24212.16700020010.54.5
1002.000000000000
1000–000120000
Team totals362199.15232810319212871
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416429.41400010010.516.5
49117.47100010052.511.5
48625.080012730009
4619.556000201439
4408.500042110219
4000–2821500002
411519.3160001000011
4103.333013500002
41011.0001611600002
4000–6011110000
1000–000000000
Team totals5617111.35150910408112797

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tennessee St. vs Evansville

Season series · Evansville leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TENNST · EVANS 6

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 TENNSTEVANS 6

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 TENNSTEVANS 3

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 TENNSTEVANS 6

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 5 TENNSTEVANS 5

Bars above the line = Evansville leads, below = Tennessee St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
29%2/7
2
41%7/17
13%1/8
3
50%6/12
57%8/14
4
42%5/12
14%1/7
5
50%4/8
44%4/9
6
40%4/10
33%2/6
All
46%33/72
35%18/51

Evansville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
54%7/13
2
70%7/10
53%8/15
3
50%6/12
50%7/14
4
83%5/6
55%6/11
5
50%4/8
50%4/8
6
80%4/5
64%7/11
All
65%33/51
54%39/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

168 rallies

#TENNST-EVANSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1EVANSEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
21-1EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.3
31-2TENNSTEVANS×4KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
41-3EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
51-4EVANSEVANS×4Attack errWiktoria Jakubik+0.3
61-5EVANSEVANS×4Attack errSydney Robinson+0.2
72-5EVANSTENNSTServe errEvansville+0.2
83-5TENNSTTENNSTBlockedLyla Fisherblk Wiktoria Jakubik, Gabrielle Washington+0.3
93-6TENNSTEVANS×4BlockedGabrielle Washingtonblk Lyla Fisher, McKenzie Laubach+0.2
103-7EVANSEVANS×4KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
113-8EVANSEVANS×4KillLyla Fisherset Kendall Agler+0.2
123-9EVANSEVANS×4BlockedSydney Robinsonblk Makenzie Miller, Ryan Scheu+0.1
134-9EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.1
145-9TENNSTTENNSTKillSydney Robinsonset Triniti Jackson+0.2
155-10TENNSTEVANSKillMakenzie Millerset Carsyn Kelley+0.1
165-11EVANSEVANSKillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen+0.1
176-11EVANSTENNSTKillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+0.1
187-11TENNSTTENNSTKillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+0.2
197-12TENNSTEVANSServe errTennessee St.+0.2
208-12EVANSTENNSTKillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+0.1
218-13TENNSTEVANS×6Serve errTennessee St.+0.2
228-14EVANSEVANS×6AceEvansvilleaced Carsyn Stansberry+0.2
238-15EVANSEVANS×6Attack errCarsyn Stansberry+0.1
248-16EVANSEVANS×6AceEvansvilleaced Carsyn Stansberry+0.1
258-17EVANSEVANS×6AceEvansvilleaced Sydney Robinson·
268-18EVANSEVANS×6KillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen·
279-18EVANSTENNSTServe errEvansville·
289-19TENNSTEVANSAttack errJulia Culpepper·
2910-19EVANSTENNSTAttack errWren Jones·
3010-20TENNSTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley·
3111-20EVANSTENNST×3Serve errEvansville·
3212-20TENNSTTENNST×3KillSydney Robinsonset Sydni Poston·
3313-20TENNSTTENNST×3KillSydney Robinsonset Wiktoria Jakubik·
3413-21TENNSTEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley·
3514-21EVANSTENNSTKillSydney Robinsonset Triniti Jackson·
3614-22TENNSTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley·
3715-22EVANSTENNSTKillSydney Robinsonset Triniti Jackson·
3815-23TENNSTEVANS×3Serve errTennessee St.·
3915-24EVANSEVANS×3KillMakenzie Millerset Lexi Owen·
4015-25EVANSEVANS×3KillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen·
Set 2
11-0TENNSTTENNSTBlockedMcKenzie Laubachblk Gabriella Blevins, Wiktoria Jakubik+0.3
21-1TENNSTEVANSServe errTennessee St.+0.2
32-1EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.3
42-2TENNSTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.2
53-2EVANSTENNSTServe errEvansville+0.3
64-2TENNSTTENNSTAttack errLyla Fisher+0.4
74-3TENNSTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.3
84-4EVANSEVANSAttack errSydney Robinson+0.4
95-4EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.3
105-5TENNSTEVANSKillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Kendall Agler+0.3
115-6EVANSEVANSKillMakenzie Miller+0.3
126-6EVANSTENNSTKillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+0.3
137-6TENNSTTENNSTBlockedWren Jonesblk Gabrielle Washington+0.4
147-7TENNSTEVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Lexi Owen+0.3
157-8EVANSEVANS×3KillCarlotta Pascual Centelles+0.4
167-9EVANSEVANS×3KillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen+0.3
178-9EVANSTENNSTKillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+0.2
189-9TENNSTTENNSTAttack errWren Jones+0.4
199-10TENNSTEVANSKillLexi Owen+0.3
2010-10EVANSTENNSTKillMelae Lacyset Triniti Jackson+0.3
2111-10TENNSTTENNSTAceTennessee St.aced Wren Jones+0.5
2211-11TENNSTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
2312-11EVANSTENNSTAttack errLyla Fisher+0.4
2412-12TENNSTEVANS×3KillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
2512-13EVANSEVANS×3BlockedSydney Robinsonblk Makenzie Miller, Ryan Scheu+0.5
2612-14EVANSEVANS×3Attack errSydney Robinson+0.4
2713-14EVANSTENNST×5KillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.3
2814-14TENNSTTENNST×5AceTennessee St.aced Makenzie Miller+0.5
2915-14TENNSTTENNST×5AceTennessee St.aced Kendall Agler+0.7
3016-14TENNSTTENNST×5AceTennessee St.aced Wren Jones+0.8
3117-14TENNSTTENNST×5KillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.9
3217-15TENNSTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
3318-15EVANSTENNSTBlockedCarlotta Pascual Centellesblk Gabrielle Washington, Julia Culpepper+0.7
3418-16TENNSTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Lexi Owen+0.5
3518-17EVANSEVANSKillWren Jonesset Kendall Agler+0.8
3619-17EVANSTENNST×3Serve errEvansville+0.8
3720-17TENNSTTENNST×3KillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+1.1
3821-17TENNSTTENNST×3KillMelae Lacyset Lexi Owen+1.0
3921-18TENNSTEVANSKillWren Jonesset Lexi Owen+0.4
4022-18EVANSTENNSTKillMelae Lacyset Triniti Jackson+0.8
4122-19TENNSTEVANSKillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen+0.4
4222-20EVANSEVANSBlockedMelae Lacyblk Ryan Scheu, McKenzie Laubach+0.8
4323-20EVANSTENNSTKillTriniti Jackson+1.0
4423-21TENNSTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
4524-21EVANSTENNSTKillMelae Lacyset Triniti Jackson+1.1
4624-22TENNSTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
4725-22EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+1.1
Set 3
11-0EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+1.0
22-0TENNSTTENNSTAceTennessee St.+1.6
32-1TENNSTEVANS×6Serve errTennessee St.+1.0
42-2EVANSEVANS×6KillMcKenzie Laubach+1.3
52-3EVANSEVANS×6BlockedJulia Culpepperblk Ryan Scheu, McKenzie Laubach+1.2
62-4EVANSEVANS×6KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+1.0
72-5EVANSEVANS×6Attack errWiktoria Jakubik+0.8
82-6EVANSEVANS×6Attack errJulia Culpepper+0.6
93-6EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Sydni Poston+0.5
103-7TENNSTEVANSServe errTennessee St.+0.5
114-7EVANSTENNSTKillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+0.5
124-8TENNSTEVANS×5KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
134-9EVANSEVANS×5KillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Triniti Jackson+0.5
144-10EVANSEVANS×5KillMakenzie Millerset Lexi Owen+0.4
154-11EVANSEVANS×5AceEvansvilleaced Jordan Imperial+0.3
164-12EVANSEVANS×5KillLyla Fisherset Kendall Agler+0.2
175-12EVANSTENNSTAttack errCarlotta Pascual Centelles+0.1
185-13TENNSTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Lexi Owen+0.1
196-13EVANSTENNSTBlockedCarlotta Pascual Centellesblk Gabrielle Washington, Melae Lacy+0.1
207-13TENNSTTENNSTAceTennessee St.+0.2
217-14TENNSTEVANSKillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen+0.2
228-14EVANSTENNSTServe errEvansville+0.1
238-15TENNSTEVANS×6KillMcKenzie Laubachset Lexi Owen+0.2
248-16EVANSEVANS×6BlockedWiktoria Jakubikblk Ryan Scheu, McKenzie Laubach+0.1
258-17EVANSEVANS×6Attack errMelae Lacy+0.1
268-18EVANSEVANS×6KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley·
278-19EVANSEVANS×6KillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley·
288-20EVANSEVANS×6Attack errWiktoria Jakubik·
299-20EVANSTENNSTServe errEvansville·
309-21TENNSTEVANSKillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley·
3110-21EVANSTENNSTKillSydney Robinsonset Triniti Jackson·
3210-22TENNSTEVANS×3Serve errTennessee St.·
3310-23EVANSEVANS×3Attack errGabrielle Washington·
3410-24EVANSEVANS×3Attack errWiktoria Jakubik·
3511-24EVANSTENNSTKillSydney Robinsonset Triniti Jackson·
3611-25TENNSTEVANSServe errTennessee St.·
Set 4
10-1TENNSTEVANS×3KillRyan Scheuset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
20-2EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Kendall Agler+0.6
30-3EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
41-3EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.4
51-4TENNSTEVANSKillMcKenzie Laubachset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
62-4EVANSTENNSTBlockedRyan Scheublk Gabriella Blevins, Sydney Robinson+0.4
72-5TENNSTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.4
82-6EVANSEVANSKillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen+0.5
93-6EVANSTENNSTServe errEvansville+0.3
104-6TENNSTTENNSTAceTennessee St.aced Wren Jones+0.6
114-7TENNSTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Kendall Agler+0.4
125-7EVANSTENNSTServe errEvansville+0.5
135-8TENNSTEVANSKillBrooke Herdesset Lexi Owen+0.5
145-9EVANSEVANSAceEvansville+0.5
156-9EVANSTENNST×4Attack errWren Jones+0.4
167-9TENNSTTENNST×4AceTennessee St.+0.7
178-9TENNSTTENNST×4Attack errCarlotta Pascual Centelles+0.9
189-9TENNSTTENNST×4BlockedWren Jonesblk Gabriella Blevins, Triniti Jackson+1.2
199-10TENNSTEVANS×5Attack errCarsyn Stansberry+0.8
209-11EVANSEVANS×5AceEvansvilleaced Morgan Fowler+1.0
219-12EVANSEVANS×5AceEvansvilleaced Morgan Fowler+0.8
229-13EVANSEVANS×5Bad setTriniti Jackson+0.6
23–2410-14TENNST · EVANS
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
2511-14TENNSTTENNSTAttack errLyla Fisher+0.6
2611-15TENNSTEVANSBlockedSydney Robinsonblk McKenzie Laubach+0.4
2712-15EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.4
2812-16TENNSTEVANSKillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.5
2913-16EVANSTENNSTKillWiktoria Jakubikset Triniti Jackson+0.4
3013-17TENNSTEVANS×3KillCarlotta Pascual Centellesset Lexi Owen+0.5
3113-18EVANSEVANS×3KillWren Jonesset Lexi Owen+0.5
3213-19EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Jordan Imperial+0.3
3314-19EVANSTENNST×5Serve errEvansville+0.1
3415-19TENNSTTENNST×5KillCarsyn Stansberryset Triniti Jackson+0.3
3516-19TENNSTTENNST×5KillTriniti Jacksonset Lexi Owen+0.6
3617-19TENNSTTENNST×5KillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+1.0
3718-19TENNSTTENNST×5Attack errCarlotta Pascual Centelles+1.5
3818-20TENNSTEVANSServe errTennessee St.+1.2
3919-20EVANSTENNSTKillGabrielle Washingtonset Triniti Jackson+1.2
4019-21TENNSTEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
4119-22EVANSEVANSKillWren Jonesset Carsyn Kelley+1.3
4220-22EVANSTENNSTKillSydney Robinsonset Triniti Jackson+0.7
4320-23TENNSTEVANS×3Attack errCarsyn Stansberry+1.0
4420-24EVANSEVANS×3AceEvansvilleaced Jordan Imperial+0.6
4520-25EVANSEVANS×3KillLyla Fisherset Carsyn Kelley+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).